Introduction - Household shocks and community preferences 109

Table 3.1 Population, by sex, and by age; also stating sex ratio, by age Age Thousands Percentages Sex Male Female Total Male Female Total Ratio 0-9 4,249 4,132 8,381 33 34 34 103 10-19 3,447 3,052 6,499 27 25 26 113 20-29 1,708 1,786 3,494 13 15 14 96 30-39 1,214 1,304 2,518 9 11 10 93 40-49 879 881 1,760 7 7 7 100 50-59 595 569 1,164 5 5 5 105 60-69 396 295 691 3 2 3 134 70-79 210 111 322 2 1 1 189 80+ 89 43 132 1 1 209 Total 12,787 12,173 24,960 100 100 100 105 As is shown in Table 3.1, the age-specific sex ratios markedly deviate from the described common pattern. Especially noticeable are the high to extremely high sex ratios in the age ranges 10-19 and over-50, which suggest large male surpluses in these age brackets. Although in-depth investigation is warranted in this matter, it is likely that a combination of female under-enumeration – related to cultural norms of female seclusion – and excess female mortality – especially related to maternal mortality – are contributing factors. Another noticeable feature is that in the mid-age range of 20 to 39 women are reported as in the majority, which may be caused by lower survey coverage and real absence of mobile men in the working age population see Section 3.5.1. The 2005 NRVA showed a similar pattern, but with consistently higher sex ratio levels.

3.2.2 Geographic distribution

The Afghan population is overwhelmingly rural: 74 percent around 18.5 million people lives in rural areas and only 20 percent 5.0 million in urban areas, whereas six percent 1.5 million is classified as nomadic Kuchi see Table 3.2. Table 3.2: Population, by residence, sex, and by age; also stating total sex ratio Age Residence, sex Urban Rural Kuchi National Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total In thousands 0-14 1,094 1,075 2,169 4,748 4,458 9,206 383 363 745 6,225 5,896 12,120 15-24 581 551 1,133 1,705 1,567 3,272 137 106 243 2,423 2,225 4,647 25-39 377 398 775 1,473 1,629 3,102 119 127 246 1,970 2,154 4,123 40-64 354 374 728 1,279 1,192 2,471 96 85 181 1,729 1,651 3,380 65+ 102 57 159 313 175 488 26 17 43 441 248 689 Total 2,510 2,454 4,964 9,517 9,021 18,538 760 698 1,458 12,787 12,173 24,960 In percentages 0-14 44 44 44 50 49 50 50 52 51 49 48 49 15-24 23 22 23 18 17 17 18 15 17 19 18 19 25-39 15 16 16 15 18 18 16 18 17 15 18 17 40-64 14 15 15 13 13 13 13 12 12 14 14 17 65+ 4 2 3 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 2 3 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Total Sex Ratio 102 105 109 105 Population structure and change 11 Population structure and change 12 The urban population has a significantly smaller share of under-fifteens 44 percent than the rural and Kuchi populations 50 and 51 percent, respectively, and a larger share of persons in the age range 15-24 23 percent, compared to 18 and 17 percent. This is the effect of lower urban fertility see Section 3.4.1 and probably also selective in-migration of young adults looking for jobs on the urban labour market. On the basis of common sex-specific migration patterns one would expect relatively larger shares of males in urban areas. The NRVA data, however, indicate the opposite with an urban sex ratio of 102 males for every 100 females, compared with 105 for the rural population. It is expected that female under-reporting in the latter populations – particularly in the age range 10-19 – can largely explain this observation. In addition, urban-rural migration is significantly more dominated by men than migration in the reverse direction. At provincial level, the share of children under 15 in the total population ranges from less than 44 percent Kabul, Badghis, Jawzjan and Nooristan to over 53 percent Farah, Kandahar, Nimroz and Wardak. Provincial sex ratios even more diverge, varying from under 100 in Daykundi, Kunduz, Bamyan, Jawzjan, Panshir and Balkh to over 127 in Paktya and Helmand data not shown here. A more in-depth analysis of possible contributions of age-specific and sex-specific under-coverage is beyond the scope of the present report.

3.3 Household structure and marriage patterns

3.3.1 Household structure

The total number of households in Afghanistan is estimated at around 3.4 million. This implies an average household size of 7.3 persons, about the same as found in the 2005 NRVA 7.4 members per household. With an average size of 7.6, Kuchi households are larger than rural and urban households see Table 3.3. Table 3.3 Household structure indicators, by residence Selected indicators Residence, sex Urban Rural Kuchi National Thousands Percentage Thousands Percentage Thousands Percentage Thousands Percentage Household size 1-3 persons 52 8 207 8 11 6 270 8 4-6 persons 249 37 930 36 72 37 1,251 36 7-9 persons 253 37 944 37 68 35 1,265 37 10-13 persons 103 15 379 15 31 16 513 15 14 persons or more 25 4 102 4 11 6 138 4 Total 682 100 2,563 100 193 100 3,438 100 Average Household size 7.3 7.2 7.6 7.3 Number of children 0-14 3.2 3.6 3.6 3.5 Number of elderly 65+ 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 Share of Children 0-14 44 50 51 49 Elderly 65+ 3 3 3 3