Lampiran 15 Proyeksi Cash Flow dengan Kenaikan Pupuk Kimia 40 Usaha Budidaya Jambu Kristal di Desa Tangkil
URAIAN Tahun ke-
1 2
3 4
5 6
7 8
9 10
1. INFLOW 2006
2007 2008
2009 2010
2011 2012
2013 2014
2015 a. PRODUKSI JAMBU KRISTAL
45000000 45000000
45000000 600000000
1100000000 1100000000
1100000000 1350000000
1350000000 1350000000
b. BIBIT JAMBU KRISTAL 6000000
18000000 18000000
15000000 18000000
21000000 24000000
27000000 c. NILAI SISA
TOTAL PENERIMAAN 45000000
45000000 51000000
618000000 1118000000
1115000000 1118000000
1371000000 1374000000
1377000000 2. OUTFLOW
A. BIAYA INVESTASI
a. Parang 600000
600000 600000
600000 b. Cangkul
2250000 2250000
c. Linggis 500000
500000 d. Tali tambang
5000000 5000000
e. Pasak 4500000
4500000 4500000
4500000 4500000
f. Gunting 2500000
2500000 g. Drum
10000000 10000000
10000000 10000000
h. Koret 900000
900000 900000
900000 i. Handsflyer
18000000 18000000
18000000 j. Kontainer
24000000 k. Selang
12000000 12000000
12000000 12000000
l. Bibit 3000000
m. Bangunan Kantor 300000000
TOTAL BIAYA INVESTASI 383250000
4500000 23500000
22500000 10250000
28000000 22500000
23500000 B. BIAYA OPERASIONAL-VARIABEL
1. UPAH TENAGA KERJA
a. PENGOLAHAN TANAH 4800000
4800000 4800000
9600000 9600000
9600000 9600000
9600000 9600000
9600000 b. PEMBUATAN LUBANG TANAM
1120000 1120000
1120000 2240000
2240000 2240000
2240000 2240000
2240000 2240000
c. PENANAMAN 6600000
6600000 6600000
13200000 13200000
13200000 13200000
13200000 13200000
13200000 d. PEMELIHARAAN
33000000 33000000
33000000 66000000
66000000 66000000
66000000 66000000
66000000 66000000
115
e. PEMUPUKAN 22000000
22000000 22000000
4400000 4400000
4400000 4400000
4400000 4400000
4400000 f. PENGANGKUTAN
21120000 21120000
21120000 42240000
422400000 422400000
422400000 422400000
422400000 422400000
g. PEMANENAN 21120000
21120000 21120000
42240000 422400000
422400000 422400000
422400000 422400000
422400000
2. PESTISIDA
a. OBAT INSEKTISIDA DECYD 138000
92000 92000
153333.3333 184000
184000 184000
184000 184000
184000 b. OBAT FUNGISIDA DITEND
123000 82000
82000 136666.6667
164000 164000
164000 164000
164000 164000
c. OBAT AKARISIDA AGRIMEX 195000
130000 130000
216666.6667 260000
260000 260000
260000 260000
260000 d. OBAT NUTRISIDA GANDACYL
195000 130000
130000 216666.6667
260000 260000
260000 260000
260000 260000
3.PUPUK DAN PELENGKAP
a. PUPUK NPK 1260000
11025000 46305000
108045000 181515600
181515600 181515600
181515600 181515600
181515600 b. PUPUK KANDANG
1050000 6562500
19687500 32812500
39375000 39375000
39375000 39375000
39375000 39375000
c. TALI PENGIKAT 3200
20000 60000
100000 120000
120000 120000
120000 120000
120000 d. PLASTIK
320000 2000000
6000000 10000000
12000000 12000000
12000000 12000000
12000000 12000000
e. FOAM 256000
1600000 4800000
8000000 9600000
9600000 9600000
9600000 9600000
9600000
TOTAL BIAYA OPERASIONAL- VARIABEL
113300200 131401500
187046500 339600833.3
1183718600 1183718600
1183718600 1183718600
1183718600 1183718600
C. BIAYA OPERASIONAL-TETAP
a. BIAYA PAJAK PBB 308333.3333
308333.3333 308333.3333
308333.3333 308333.3333
308333.3333 308333.3333
308333.3333 308333.3333
308333.3333 b. BIAYA PENGAIRAN
100000 100000
100000 100000
100000 100000
100000 100000
100000 100000
c. SEWA LAHAN 450000
3000000 9000000
15000000 18000000
18000000 18000000
18000000 18000000
18000000
TOTAL BIAYA OPERASIONAL-TETAP 858333.3333
3408333.333 9408333.333
15408333.33 18408333.33
18408333.33 18408333.33
18408333.33 18408333.33
18408333.33 TOTAL BIAYA OPERASIONAL
114158533.3 134809833.3
196454833.3 355009166.7
1202126933 1202126933
1202126933 1202126933
1202126933 1202126933
TOTAL OUTFLOW 497408533.3
134809833.3 200954833.3
378509166.7 1224626933
1212376933 1230126933
1202126933 1224626933
1225626933 NET BENEFIT
-452408533.3 -89809833.33
-149954833 239490833.3
-106626933 -97376933.3
-112126933 168873066.7
149373066.7 151373066.7
DISCOUNT FACTOR 7,5 0.930232558
0.865332612 0.80496057
0.74880053 0.696558632
0.647961518 0.602754901
0.560702233 0.521583473
0.485193928 PVTAHUN
-420845147.3 -77715377.68
-120707728 179330862.9
-74271910.9 -63096505.6
-67585058.6 94687505.64
77910522.87 73445292.86
PV BENEFITTAHUN 41860465.12
38939967.55 41052989.04
462758727.4 778752551
722477093.1 673879979.2
768722762 716655691.8
668112039.3 PV COSTTAHUN
462705612.4 116655345.2
161760717.1 283427864.5
853024461.8 785573598.7
741465037.8 674035256.3
638745168.9 594666746.4
NPV Rp189,157,041.05
IRR 10
PV POSITIF 703366342
PV NEGATIF -514209301
NET BC 1.367860015
GROSS BC 1.023012374
Rata-rata penerimaan bersih 73270001.65
Payback Periode 9.43769598