Methodology Afghanistan - National Risk and Vulnerability Survey 2011-2012, Living Conditions Survey NRVA 2011 12 report

ALITY ESTIMA TION Table VI.2 Estimation of probability of dying and associated reference date, by sex a. Both sexes Womans age Index i Number of women Children ever born CEBi Parity Pi Children deceased CDi Proportion deceased Di Multiplier ki Age of children x Probability of dying before x qx Time of estimate ti Reference date Ti 15-19 1 1,460,995 218,977 0.1499 8,959 0.0409 1.1644 1 0.0476 0.9 2011.0 20-24 2 1,104,892 1,487,378 1.3462 124,592 0.0838 1.0843 2 0.0908 2.1 2009.9 25-29 3 994,606 3,151,085 3.1682 243,129 0.0772 1.0147 3 0.0783 3.9 2008.0 30-34 4 717,773 3,330,199 4.6396 297,055 0.0892 1.0165 5 0.0907 6.2 2005.8 35-39 5 638,012 3,767,540 5.9051 389,761 0.1035 1.0316 10 0.1067 8.7 2003.2 40-44 6 479,266 2,990,814 6.2404 342,509 0.1145 1.0172 15 0.1165 11.5 2000.5 45-49 7 361,014 2,258,664 6.2564 288,637 0.1278 1.0110 20 0.1292 14.4 1997.5 Total 5,756,558 17,204,657 1,694,642

b. Boys

Womans age Index i Number of women Boys ever born CEBi Parity Pi Boys deceased CDi Proportion deceased Di Multiplier ki Age of boys x Probability of dying before x qx 15-19 1 1,460,995 114,550 0.0784 4,701 0.0410 1.2014 1 0.0493 20-24 2 1,104,892 831,131 0.7522 73,807 0.0888 1.0821 2 0.0961 25-29 3 994,606 1,669,676 1.6787 120,492 0.0722 1.0045 3 0.0725 30-34 4 717,773 1,736,824 2.4197 154,463 0.0889 1.0050 5 0.0894 35-39 5 638,012 1,962,847 3.0765 198,577 0.1012 1.0191 10 0.1031 40-44 6 479,266 1,574,643 3.2855 171,955 0.1092 1.0042 15 0.1097 45-49 7 361,014 1,249,179 3.4602 148,293 0.1187 0.9984 20 0.1185 Total 5,756,558 9,138,850 872,288

c. Girls

Womans age Index i Number of women Girls ever born CEBi Parity Pi Girls deceased CDi Proportion deceased Di Multiplier ki Age of girls x Probability of dying before x qx 15-19 1 1,460,995 104,427 0.0715 4,258 0.0408 1.1201 1 0.0457 20-24 2 1,104,892 656,247 0.5939 50,785 0.0774 1.0864 2 0.0841 25-29 3 994,606 1,481,409 1.4894 122,637 0.0828 1.0262 3 0.0849 30-34 4 717,773 1,593,375 2.2199 142,592 0.0895 1.0298 5 0.0922 35-39 5 638,012 1,804,693 2.8286 191,184 0.1059 1.0460 10 0.1108 40-44 6 479,266 1,416,171 2.9549 170,554 0.1204 1.0321 15 0.1243 45-49 7 361,014 1,009,485 2.7962 140,344 0.1390 1.0254 20 0.1426 Total 5,756,558 8,065,807 822,354