Provinsi Jawa Barat Hasil Estimasi dalam Perhitungan TFP

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8. Provinsi Jawa Timur Hasil Estimasi dalam Perhitungan TFP

Dependent Variable: LNQ Method: Least Squares Date: 050913 Time: 22:00 Sample adjusted: 1993 2010 Included observations: 18 after adjustments Convergence achieved after 16 iterations Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. LNQ-1 0.200682 0.106492 1.884483 0.0862 LNTK 0.865705 0.307326 2.816898 0.0168 LNB 0.598660 0.131531 4.551487 0.0008 LNE 0.141056 0.092417 1.526300 0.1552 LNSM 0.004043 0.051841 0.077997 0.9392 C -10.21775 4.783073 -2.136231 0.0560 AR1 0.439438 0.299888 1.465342 0.1708 R-squared 0.994251 Mean dependent var 11.65876 Adjusted R-squared 0.991115 S.D. dependent var 0.864116 S.E. of regression 0.081454 Akaike info criterion -1.892263 Sum squared resid 0.072982 Schwarz criterion -1.546007 Log likelihood 24.03036 Hannan-Quinn criter. -1.844519 F-statistic 317.0411 Durbin-Watson stat 1.635487 ProbF-statistic 0.000000 Inverted AR Roots .44 Uji Kenormalan Uji Heteroskedastisitas Heteroskedasticity Test: Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey F-statistic 1.457227 Prob. F5,12 0.2739 ObsR-squared 6.800243 Prob. Chi-Square5 0.2359 Scaled explained SS 2.805157 Prob. Chi-Square5 0.7300 Uji Autokorelasi Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic 0.684537 Prob. F2,9 0.5288 ObsR-squared 2.376617 Prob. Chi-Square2 0.3047 1 2 3 4 5 -0.15 -0.10 -0.05 -0.00 0.05 0.10 Series: Residuals Sample 1993 2010 Observations 18 Mean -9.66e-11 Median 0.003284 Maximum 0.113477 Minimum -0.147172 Std. Dev. 0.065521 Skewness -0.259582 Kurtosis 3.209136 Jarque-Bera 0.234952 Probability 0.889162 39 Uji Multikolinearitas LNQ LNL LNB LNE LNM LNQ 1.000000 0.595548 0.993079 0.966715 0.930821 LNL 0.595548 1.000000 0.535888 0.487687 0.579611 LNB 0.993079 0.535888 1.000000 0.970440 0.912475 LNE 0.966715 0.487687 0.970440 1.000000 0.871383 LNM 0.930821 0.579611 0.912475 0.871383 1.000000 Hasil Perhitungan TFP Provinsi Jawa Timur Tahun ∆QQ a∆LL b∆BB c∆EE c∆MM ∆AA 1991 0.34810 0.105049 0.199459 0.032327 0.000265 0.011004 1992 0.25821 0.093683 0.149611 0.026297 0.000247 -0.011622 1993 0.20366 0.099858 0.084226 0.027744 -0.000566 -0.007602 1994 0.15128 0.049276 0.099213 0.029531 0.002842 -0.029582 1995 0.21848 0.180130 0.062741 0.006782 -0.000251 -0.030913 1996 0.17608 -0.072749 0.202183 0.023451 0.001934 0.021263 1997 0.14970 0.079424 0.151139 0.020108 0.001308 -0.102273 1998 0.46894 -0.045251 0.197110 0.032571 -0.000024 0.284534 1999 0.31923 -0.047747 0.148286 0.026461 -0.000024 0.192261 2000 0.72183 0.359527 0.119185 0.082859 0.084302 0.075966 2001 -0.23981 -0.246368 0.102307 -0.065237 -0.001326 -0.029189 2002 0.49309 -0.010423 0.463583 0.253863 -0.001569 -0.212360 2003 -0.20492 -0.029613 -0.225162 -0.000158 0.000845 0.049165 2004 0.11836 0.004090 0.129278 0.042767 -0.001627 -0.056142 2005 0.12672 0.010313 0.069444 0.022812 -0.000062 0.024219 2006 0.25022 0.049575 0.105357 0.030895 0.001237 0.063158 2007 0.26353 0.027645 0.237260 0.027642 0.000624 -0.029635 2008 0.10385 0.016781 0.097088 0.036842 0.007282 -0.054138 2009 -0.00715 -0.000027 -0.046176 -0.025000 -0.002062 0.066118 2010 -0.00720 -0.000027 -0.050035 -0.030385 -0.000802 0.074051 Rata-rata Total 0.014914 Rata-rata Sebelum Krisis -0.007908 Rata-rata Setelah Krisis 0.013623 40

9. Provinsi Kalimantan Timur Hasil Estimasi dalam Perhitungan TFP

Dependent Variable: LNQ Method: Least Squares Date: 050913 Time: 22:26 Sample: 1986 2010 Included observations: 25 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. LNTK -0.006222 0.127910 -0.048641 0.9617 LNB 0.833545 0.068859 12.10511 0.0000 LNE 0.168958 0.072188 2.340545 0.0297 LNSM 0.013535 0.037229 0.363554 0.7200 C 1.242682 1.475610 0.842148 0.4097 R-squared 0.988298 Mean dependent var 8.706449 Adjusted R-squared 0.985958 S.D. dependent var 1.116031 S.E. of regression 0.132248 Akaike info criterion -1.031412 Sum squared resid 0.349793 Schwarz criterion -0.787637 Log likelihood 17.89266 Hannan-Quinn criter. -0.963800 F-statistic 422.2896 Durbin-Watson stat 1.572901 ProbF-statistic 0.000000 Uji Kenormalan Uji Heteroskedastisitas Heteroskedasticity Test: Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey F-statistic 2.178284 Prob. F4,20 0.1085 ObsR-squared 7.586368 Prob. Chi-Square4 0.1080 Scaled explained SS 6.216958 Prob. Chi-Square4 0.1835 Uji Autokorelasi Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic 0.490025 Prob. F2,18 0.6205 ObsR-squared 1.290895 Prob. Chi-Square2 0.5244 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 Series: Residuals Sample 1986 2010 Observations 25 Mean 1.02e-15 Median -0.013523 Maximum 0.300593 Minimum -0.258126 Std. Dev. 0.120726 Skewness 0.379884 Kurtosis 3.560908 Jarque-Bera 0.929026 Probability 0.628441