Provinsi Riau Hasil Estimasi dalam Perhitungan TFP

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4. Provinsi Sumatera Selatan Hasil Estimasi dalam Perhitungan TFP

Dependent Variable: LNQ Method: Least Squares Date: 050713 Time: 00:19 Sample adjusted: 1988 2010 Included observations: 23 after adjustments Convergence achieved after 63 iterations Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. LNTK -0.252285 0.151916 -1.660686 0.1162 LNB 0.730401 0.055688 13.11604 0.0000 LNE -0.029522 0.056242 -0.524904 0.6068 LNSM -0.075475 0.057539 -1.311719 0.2081 LNQ-1 0.356428 0.095831 3.719339 0.0019 C 2.923117 1.938403 1.508003 0.1510 AR1 0.806965 0.209751 3.847257 0.0014 R-squared 0.993371 Mean dependent var 8.627851 Adjusted R-squared 0.990885 S.D. dependent var 1.139031 S.E. of regression 0.108748 Akaike info criterion -1.353772 Sum squared resid 0.189219 Schwarz criterion -1.008187 Log likelihood 22.56838 Hannan-Quinn criter. -1.266859 F-statistic 399.5851 Durbin-Watson stat 1.821296 ProbF-statistic 0.000000 Inverted AR Roots .81 Uji Kenormalan Uji Heteroskedastisitas Heteroskedasticity Test: Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey F-statistic 0.466583 Prob. F5,17 0.7958 ObsR-squared 2.775422 Prob. Chi-Square5 0.7346 Scaled explained SS 1.160118 Prob. Chi-Square5 0.9486 Uji Autokorelasi Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic 1.715593 Prob. F2,14 0.2156 ObsR-squared 4.527361 Prob. Chi-Square2 0.1040 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 -0.2 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 0.2 Series: Residuals Sample 1988 2010 Observations 23 Mean 2.20e-10 Median 0.006828 Maximum 0.179688 Minimum -0.190857 Std. Dev. 0.092741 Skewness -0.006607 Kurtosis 2.727503 Jarque-Bera 0.071328 Probability 0.964964 31 Uji Multikolinearitas LNQ LNL LNB LNE LNM LNQ 1.000000 -0.360496 0.983378 0.894306 0.442886 LNL -0.360496 1.000000 -0.261500 -0.327376 0.021905 LNB 0.983378 -0.261500 1.000000 0.867375 0.420986 LNE 0.894306 -0.327376 0.867375 1.000000 0.460910 LNM 0.442886 0.021905 0.420986 0.460910 1.000000 Hasil Perhitungan TFP Provinsi Sumatera Selatan Tahun ∆QQ a∆LL b∆BB c∆EE c∆MM ∆AA 1986 0.548757 -0.028708 0.259557 -0.009678 -0.024809 0.352396 1987 0.354321 -0.025775 0.191504 -0.007289 -0.018672 0.214553 1988 0.126325 -0.023386 0.100433 -0.011360 -0.010729 0.071367 1989 0.112156 -0.031981 0.088292 -0.008204 -0.013106 0.077154 1990 0.085184 -0.028383 0.054730 0.003968 -0.005610 0.060479 1991 0.136227 0.023663 0.108500 -0.017257 -0.078301 0.099623 1992 0.043682 0.056615 -0.074273 -0.093830 0.015040 0.140130 1993 0.175991 -0.126167 0.090697 -0.000277 0.000325 0.211414 1994 0.352266 -0.014240 0.435716 0.001837 -0.030697 -0.040350 1995 0.448560 0.006701 0.302478 0.009149 -0.000915 0.131146 1996 0.045837 -0.003610 0.151424 -0.011075 -0.001222 -0.089681 1997 -0.090431 0.032808 -0.170504 -0.008053 0.012112 0.043206 1998 1.052899 -0.014506 1.207199 -0.003483 0.027600 -0.163911 1999 0.027390 0.013045 -0.089574 -0.076835 0.013900 0.166854 2000 -0.042318 0.015200 -0.027290 0.017316 0.017989 -0.065534 2001 0.059181 0.017755 0.048606 0.001293 -0.000643 -0.007830 2002 0.028972 0.006585 -0.010771 -0.000439 0.003716 0.029882 2003 0.070880 0.117853 -0.010933 -0.000432 -0.138160 0.102552 2004 0.048463 -0.029585 -0.087472 -0.032422 0.047318 0.150623 2005 0.012053 -0.000134 0.064401 -0.006667 -0.159959 0.114412 2006 1.508870 0.003414 1.043644 0.017996 0.025382 0.418435 2007 -0.133466 -0.003116 -0.363871 -0.045288 -0.004008 0.282817 2008 0.002120 -0.000051 -0.031731 0.000793 0.001406 0.031704 2009 0.955614 -0.157049 2.000527 0.002984 -0.003215 -0.887633 2010 0.985255 -0.026049 0.635189 -0.032224 -0.092752 0.501091 Rata-rata Total 0.077796 Rata-rata Sebelum Krisis 0.111657 Rata-rata Setelah Krisis 0.069781 32

5. Provinsi DKI Jakarta Hasil Estimasi dalam Perhitungan TFP

Dependent Variable: LNQ Method: Least Squares Date: 050913 Time: 19:30 Sample adjusted: 1987 2010 Included observations: 24 after adjustments Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. LNTK 0.061827 0.075988 0.813651 0.4265 LNB 0.632909 0.088143 7.180497 0.0000 LNE 0.004360 0.057818 0.075416 0.9407 LNSM 0.054038 0.051208 1.055280 0.3053 LNQ-1 0.352998 0.068711 5.137442 0.0001 C -0.421987 0.888108 -0.475152 0.6404 R-squared 0.998131 Mean dependent var 10.83783 Adjusted R-squared 0.997611 S.D. dependent var 1.120292 S.E. of regression 0.054752 Akaike info criterion -2.759686 Sum squared resid 0.053960 Schwarz criterion -2.465172 Log likelihood 39.11623 Hannan-Quinn criter. -2.681551 F-statistic 1922.236 Durbin-Watson stat 1.757678 ProbF-statistic 0.000000 Uji Kenormalan Uji Heteroskedastisitas Heteroskedasticity Test: Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey F-statistic 1.802883 Prob. F5,18 0.1631 ObsR-squared 8.008536 Prob. Chi-Square5 0.1558 Scaled explained SS 4.142007 Prob. Chi-Square5 0.5292 Uji Autokorelasi Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic 0.523298 Prob. F2,16 0.6024 ObsR-squared 1.473509 Prob. Chi-Square2 0.4787 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 -0.2 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 0.2 Series: Residuals Sample 1986 2010 Observations 25 Mean 1.10e-15 Median -0.000591 Maximum 0.227503 Minimum -0.161072 Std. Dev. 0.076979 Skewness 0.750767 Kurtosis 4.582020 Jarque-Bera 4.955619 Probability 0.083927