28
3. Provinsi Provinsi Jambi Hasil Estimasi dalam Perhitungan TFP
Dependent Variable: LNQ Method: Least Squares
Date: 041713 Time: 11:26 Sample: 1986 2010
Included observations: 25 Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
LNTK 0.086235
0.107541 0.801877
0.4320 LNB
0.793749 0.051851
15.30837 0.0000
LNE 0.154242
0.063124 2.443461
0.0239 LNSM
0.027037 0.014293
1.891608 0.0731
C 0.404427
1.068655 0.378445
0.7091 R-squared
0.995861 Mean dependent var 7.929684
Adjusted R-squared 0.995033 S.D. dependent var
1.491847 S.E. of regression
0.105137 Akaike info criterion -1.490258
Sum squared resid 0.221074 Schwarz criterion
-1.246483 Log likelihood
23.62822 Hannan-Quinn criter. -1.422645
F-statistic 1203.071 Durbin-Watson stat
1.398393 ProbF-statistic
0.000000
Uji Kenormalan
Uji Heteroskedastisitas
Heteroskedasticity Test: Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey F-statistic
0.703981 Prob. F4,20 0.5985
ObsR-squared 3.085483 Prob. Chi-Square4
0.5436 Scaled explained SS
2.286341 Prob. Chi-Square4 0.6833
Uji Autokorelasi
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic
0.886013 Prob. F2,18 0.4295
ObsR-squared 2.240571 Prob. Chi-Square2
0.3262
1 2
3 4
5 6
7
-0.2 -0.1
-0.0 0.1
0.2 0.3
Series: Residuals Sample 1986 2010
Observations 25 Mean
-1.25e-15 Median
-0.010771 Maximum
0.260186 Minimum
-0.153328 Std. Dev.
0.095976 Skewness
0.665616 Kurtosis
3.315623 Jarque-Bera
1.949790 Probability
0.377232
29
Uji Multikolinearitas
LNQ LNL
LNB LNE
LNM LNQ
1.000000 0.517806
0.996130 0.965550
0.859643 LNL
0.517806 1.000000
0.491210 0.607032
0.356964 LNB
0.996130 0.491210
1.000000 0.953197
0.846205 LNE
0.965550 0.607032
0.953197 1.000000
0.825640 LNM
0.859643 0.456964
0.846205 0.825640
1.000000
Hasil Perhitungan TFP Provinsi Jambi Tahun
∆QQ a∆LL b∆BB c∆EE c∆MM
∆AA 1986
-0.204831 -0.01957 -0.15504 -0.05000 -0.00901
0.028816 1987
0.733381 0.09688
0.52267 0.04136
0.64888 -0.576433
1988 0.531790 -0.02296
0.45144 0.07015 -0.02271
0.055869 1989
0.139951 0.01361
-0.00725 -0.02839 0.41907
-0.257086 1990
0.069563 0.00302
0.13002 0.07498
0.01413 -0.152602
1991 0.153139 -0.00281
0.04720 0.01886 -0.02286
0.112747 1992
0.262509 0.01540
0.30177 0.09289
0.14652 -0.294086
1993 0.152033
0.00513 0.17620
0.04495 0.01929
-0.093547 1994
0.478439 0.01793
0.22670 0.07506 -0.00150
0.160239 1995
0.169052 0.00853
0.22183 0.02909
0.02460 -0.115005
1996 0.127394 -0.00841
0.12375 0.00131 -0.00694
0.017690 1997
0.215882 0.01087
0.13589 0.03370 -0.00094
0.036360 1998
0.745207 0.00459
0.71349 0.16328 -0.01232
-0.123850 1999
0.484367 -0.00050 0.42469
0.09848 -0.00664 -0.031656
2000 -0.270022 -0.00225
-0.29096 -0.07400 0.00209
0.095108 2001
0.222012 -0.01084 0.31555 -0.02565 -0.00734
-0.049693 2002
0.068338 0.00705
0.03422 0.00677
0.00038 0.019908
2003 1.120076
0.00493 0.44882
0.17481 0.21667
0.274839 2004
0.052073 -0.01361 0.13392
0.14532 1.09408
-1.307640 2005
0.619957 -0.01275 0.61111
0.07002 0.04868
-0.097107 2006
-0.440817 0.02759
-0.37643 -0.10826 -0.02223 0.038528
2007 0.722285 -0.00964
0.65076 0.05555
0.03315 -0.007558
2008 0.046779 -0.02087
0.06687 0.03750 -0.00945
-0.027269 2009
-0.074899 0.00347
0.28351 -0.06843 -0.01739 -0.276046
2010 -0.030749 -0.00104
-0.00619 0.01054
0.00179 -0.035861
Rata-rata Total -0.104213
Rata-rata Sebelum Krisis -0.101218
Rata-rata Setelah Krisis -0.117037
30
4. Provinsi Sumatera Selatan Hasil Estimasi dalam Perhitungan TFP
Dependent Variable: LNQ Method: Least Squares
Date: 050713 Time: 00:19 Sample adjusted: 1988 2010
Included observations: 23 after adjustments Convergence achieved after 63 iterations
Variable Coefficient
Std. Error t-Statistic
Prob. LNTK
-0.252285 0.151916
-1.660686 0.1162
LNB 0.730401
0.055688 13.11604
0.0000 LNE
-0.029522 0.056242
-0.524904 0.6068
LNSM -0.075475
0.057539 -1.311719
0.2081 LNQ-1
0.356428 0.095831
3.719339 0.0019
C 2.923117
1.938403 1.508003
0.1510 AR1
0.806965 0.209751
3.847257 0.0014
R-squared 0.993371 Mean dependent var
8.627851 Adjusted R-squared
0.990885 S.D. dependent var 1.139031
S.E. of regression 0.108748 Akaike info criterion
-1.353772 Sum squared resid
0.189219 Schwarz criterion -1.008187
Log likelihood 22.56838 Hannan-Quinn criter.
-1.266859 F-statistic
399.5851 Durbin-Watson stat 1.821296
ProbF-statistic 0.000000
Inverted AR Roots .81
Uji Kenormalan
Uji Heteroskedastisitas
Heteroskedasticity Test: Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey F-statistic
0.466583 Prob. F5,17 0.7958
ObsR-squared 2.775422 Prob. Chi-Square5
0.7346 Scaled explained SS
1.160118 Prob. Chi-Square5 0.9486
Uji Autokorelasi
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic
1.715593 Prob. F2,14 0.2156
ObsR-squared 4.527361 Prob. Chi-Square2
0.1040
1 2
3 4
5 6
7 8
9
-0.2 -0.1
-0.0 0.1
0.2
Series: Residuals Sample 1988 2010
Observations 23 Mean
2.20e-10 Median
0.006828 Maximum
0.179688 Minimum
-0.190857 Std. Dev.
0.092741 Skewness
-0.006607 Kurtosis
2.727503 Jarque-Bera
0.071328 Probability
0.964964
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