46
Hasil Estimasi ECM
Dependent Variable: DTFP Method: Least Squares
Date: 070213 Time: 20:45 Sample adjusted: 1991 2010
Included observations: 20 after adjustments Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
DLNPDRBI 0.687432
0.721365 0.952960
0.3685 DLNPMA
-0.051497 0.028653
-1.797262 0.1100
DLNPMDN -0.014755
0.021380 -0.690120
0.5096 DLNX
0.008848 0.010668
0.829385 0.4309
DLNM -0.167632
0.088994 -1.883646
0.0964 DTFP-3
-0.872057 0.480657
-1.814302 0.1072
DLNPDRBI-1 -0.502186
0.668171 -0.751582
0.4738 DLNPMA-4
-0.029569 0.011271
-2.623446 0.0305
DLNPMDN-2 0.040556
0.024704 1.641719
0.1393 DLNX-2
0.280971 0.264363
1.062822 0.3189
DLNM-2 0.196734
0.124495 1.580252
0.1527 C
0.001497 0.046338
0.032310 0.9750
R-squared 0.664137 Mean dependent var
0.003178 Adjusted R-squared
0.202325 S.D. dependent var 0.150944
S.E. of regression 0.134812 Akaike info criterion
-0.886161 Sum squared resid
0.145394 Schwarz criterion -0.288722
Log likelihood 20.86161 Hannan-Quinn criter.
-0.769535 F-statistic
1.438113 Durbin-Watson stat 1.778805
ProbF-statistic 0.309599
47
2. Provinsi Riau
Hasil Estimasi ECM
Dependent Variable: DTFP Method: Least Squares
Date: 070213 Time: 15:28 Sample adjusted: 1989 2010
Included observations: 22 after adjustments Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
DLNPDRBI 0.888094
0.319511 2.779544
0.0195 DLNPMA
-0.040683 0.015680
-2.594660 0.0267
DLNPMDN 0.011313
0.015270 0.740908
0.4758 DLNX
-0.067611 0.019309
-3.501504 0.0057
DLNM 0.828055
0.184022 4.499761
0.0011 DTFP-1
-1.838152 0.205062
-8.963870 0.0000
DLNPDRBI-1 0.332336
0.224121 1.482838
0.1689 DLNPMA-2
-0.034358 0.013662
-2.514850 0.0307
DLNPMDN-1 0.051215
0.018519 2.765545
0.0199 DLNX-2
-2.062240 0.421878
-4.888237 0.0006
DLNM-2 -0.352019
0.158570 -2.219961
0.0507 C
0.143082 0.063108
2.267247 0.0468
R-squared 0.948862 Mean dependent var
0.073516 Adjusted R-squared
0.892611 S.D. dependent var 0.745116
S.E. of regression 0.244177 Akaike info criterion
0.320602 Sum squared resid
0.596222 Schwarz criterion 0.915716
Log likelihood 8.473378 Hannan-Quinn criter.
0.460793 F-statistic
16.86822 Durbin-Watson stat 2.116270
ProbF-statistic 0.000052
48
3. Provinsi Jambi
Hasil Estimasi ECM
Dependent Variable: DTFP Method: Least Squares
Date: 070213 Time: 15:41 Sample adjusted: 1990 2010
Included observations: 21 after adjustments Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
DLNPDRBI 4.384525
1.507905 2.907693
0.0174 DLNPMA
0.055945 0.022134
2.527543 0.0324
DLNPMDN -0.003607
0.025711 -0.140292
0.8915 DLNX
-0.005451 0.012911
-0.422212 0.6828
DLNM 0.197036
0.055232 3.567446
0.0060 DTFP-1
-1.063115 0.203464
-5.225073 0.0005
DLNPDRBI-3 2.863207
0.962736 2.974031
0.0156 DLNPMA-2
0.149573 0.048515
3.083028 0.0131
DLNPMDN-1 -0.090179
0.027390 -3.292463
0.0093 DLNX-2
-0.405151 0.340881
-1.188541 0.2650
DLNM-1 0.057753
0.079520 0.726266
0.4861 C
-0.428115 0.133243
-3.213046 0.0106
R-squared 0.903537 Mean dependent var
0.010535 Adjusted R-squared
0.785639 S.D. dependent var 0.484459
S.E. of regression 0.224300 Akaike info criterion
0.143898 Sum squared resid
0.452796 Schwarz criterion 0.740768
Log likelihood 10.48907 Hannan-Quinn criter.
0.273434 F-statistic
7.663674 Durbin-Watson stat 1.700488
ProbF-statistic 0.002465
