49
4. Provinsi Sumatera Selatan
Hasil Estimasi ECM
Dependent Variable: DTFP Method: Least Squares
Date: 070213 Time: 15:55 Sample adjusted: 1989 2010
Included observations: 22 after adjustments Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
DLNPDRBI 0.485292
0.666534 0.728083
0.4833 DLNPMA
-0.001670 0.010481
-0.159346 0.8766
DLNPMDN 0.003479
0.011188 0.310978
0.7622 DLNX
0.046575 0.009306
5.005011 0.0005
DLNM 0.052486
0.076489 0.686183
0.5082 DTFP-1
-0.591787 0.312545
-1.893446 0.0876
DLNPDRBI-1 -0.739970
0.626208 -1.181669
0.2647 DLNPMA-1
0.002015 0.009226
0.218374 0.8315
DLNPMDN-2 -0.004198
0.010259 -0.409230
0.6910 DLNX-1
-0.035768 0.014579
-2.453373 0.0341
DLNM-1 0.100602
0.083184 1.209395
0.2543 C
0.003458 0.049049
0.070506 0.9452
R-squared 0.910736 Mean dependent var
0.019533 Adjusted R-squared
0.812546 S.D. dependent var 0.398029
S.E. of regression 0.172331 Akaike info criterion
-0.376353 Sum squared resid
0.296978 Schwarz criterion 0.218761
Log likelihood 16.13989 Hannan-Quinn criter.
-0.236162 F-statistic
9.275220 Durbin-Watson stat 2.029309
ProbF-statistic 0.000723
50
5. Provinsi DKI Jakarta
Hasil Estimasi ECM
Dependent Variable: DTFP Method: Least Squares
Date: 070213 Time: 21:00 Sample adjusted: 1989 2010
Included observations: 22 after adjustments Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
DLNPDRBI -0.090090
0.408349 -0.220620
0.8298 DLNPMA
0.070791 0.020732
3.414527 0.0066
DLNPMDN -0.063606
0.020014 -3.178150
0.0099 DLNX
-0.007693 0.004006
-1.920469 0.0837
DLNM -0.075475
0.069589 -1.084572
0.3036 DTFP-2
-0.316234 0.221527
-1.427518 0.1839
DLNPDRBI-1 0.647349
0.255387 2.534778
0.0296 DLNPMA-2
0.007121 0.019655
0.362298 0.7247
DLNPMDN-2 0.002660
0.020125 0.132199
0.8974 DLNX-2
-0.318928 0.169093
-1.886102 0.0886
DLNM-1 -0.116189
0.069660 -1.667934
0.1263 C
0.010603 0.027942
0.379447 0.7123
R-squared 0.758268 Mean dependent var
0.003865 Adjusted R-squared
0.492364 S.D. dependent var 0.112122
S.E. of regression 0.079885 Akaike info criterion
-1.914002 Sum squared resid
0.063816 Schwarz criterion -1.318888
Log likelihood 33.05402 Hannan-Quinn criter.
-1.773811 F-statistic
2.851654 Durbin-Watson stat 2.197012
ProbF-statistic 0.054927
51
6. Provinsi Jawa Barat
Hasil Estimasi ECM
Dependent Variable: DTFP Method: Least Squares
Date: 070213 Time: 16:33 Sample adjusted: 1991 2010
Included observations: 20 after adjustments Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
DLNPDRBI 0.361138
0.146852 2.459197
0.0394 DLNPMA
0.005122 0.010578
0.484235 0.6412
DLNPMDN 0.029342
0.015712 1.867503
0.0988 DLNX
-0.007368 0.002607
-2.825945 0.0223
DLNM -0.024519
0.006562 -3.736454
0.0057 DTFP-1
-0.406794 0.153781
-2.645276 0.0295
DLNPDRBI-1 -0.359237
0.133860 -2.683665
0.0278 DLNPMA-1
-0.010968 0.004210
-2.605039 0.0314
DLNPMDN-2 0.015674
0.005066 3.093827
0.0148 DLNX-2
-0.028994 0.037580
-0.771526 0.4626
DLNM-4 -0.009607
0.008091 -1.187483
0.2691 C
-0.016340 0.016245
-1.005858 0.3439
R-squared 0.889944 Mean dependent var
0.000852 Adjusted R-squared
0.738616 S.D. dependent var 0.089024
S.E. of regression 0.045514 Akaike info criterion
-3.057878 Sum squared resid
0.016572 Schwarz criterion -2.460438
Log likelihood 42.57878 Hannan-Quinn criter.
-2.941251 F-statistic
5.880909 Durbin-Watson stat 1.400733
ProbF-statistic 0.009231