40
9. Provinsi Kalimantan Timur Hasil Estimasi dalam Perhitungan TFP
Dependent Variable: LNQ Method: Least Squares
Date: 050913 Time: 22:26 Sample: 1986 2010
Included observations: 25 Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
LNTK -0.006222
0.127910 -0.048641
0.9617 LNB
0.833545 0.068859
12.10511 0.0000
LNE 0.168958
0.072188 2.340545
0.0297 LNSM
0.013535 0.037229
0.363554 0.7200
C 1.242682
1.475610 0.842148
0.4097 R-squared
0.988298 Mean dependent var 8.706449
Adjusted R-squared 0.985958 S.D. dependent var
1.116031 S.E. of regression
0.132248 Akaike info criterion -1.031412
Sum squared resid 0.349793 Schwarz criterion
-0.787637 Log likelihood
17.89266 Hannan-Quinn criter. -0.963800
F-statistic 422.2896 Durbin-Watson stat
1.572901 ProbF-statistic
0.000000
Uji Kenormalan
Uji Heteroskedastisitas
Heteroskedasticity Test: Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey F-statistic
2.178284 Prob. F4,20 0.1085
ObsR-squared 7.586368 Prob. Chi-Square4
0.1080 Scaled explained SS
6.216958 Prob. Chi-Square4 0.1835
Uji Autokorelasi
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic
0.490025 Prob. F2,18 0.6205
ObsR-squared 1.290895 Prob. Chi-Square2
0.5244
1 2
3 4
5 6
7
-0.3 -0.2
-0.1 -0.0
0.1 0.2
0.3
Series: Residuals Sample 1986 2010
Observations 25 Mean
1.02e-15 Median
-0.013523 Maximum
0.300593 Minimum
-0.258126 Std. Dev.
0.120726 Skewness
0.379884 Kurtosis
3.560908 Jarque-Bera
0.929026 Probability
0.628441
41
Uji Multikolinearitas
LNQ LNL
LNB LNE
LNM LNQ
1.000000 0.050124
0.990726 0.924049
0.913351 LNL
0.050124 1.000000
0.008930 0.241414
0.100317 LNB
0.990726 0.008930
1.000000 0.896081
0.899507 LNE
0.924049 0.241414
0.896081 1.000000
0.908520 LNM
0.913351 0.100317
0.899507 0.908520
1.000000
Hasil Perhitungan TFP Provinsi Kalimantan Timur Tahun
∆QQ a∆LL b∆BB c∆EE c∆MM
∆AA 1986 0.581627 -0.001028 0.492732 0.019977 0.002768 0.067178
1987 0.631813 0.000069 0.523870 0.017865 0.002298 0.087711 1988 0.347982 -0.001640 0.239991 -0.008766 -0.000675 0.119072
1989 0.097098 -0.000319 0.112347 -0.012448 0.001324 -0.003807 1990 0.224551 -0.000820 0.173082 0.100722 0.004031 -0.052464
1991 0.086712 0.000137 0.107098 0.030857 -0.007686 -0.043695 1992 0.194499 -0.000496 0.077208 0.174868 0.012486 -0.069566
1993 0.162829 -0.000459 0.070662 0.085931 0.006495 0.000200 1994 0.138043 -0.000229 0.194959 -0.080027 -0.007745 0.031084
1995 -0.082940 0.000438 -0.082851 -0.044678 0.029096 0.015055 1996 -0.000711 -0.000461 0.066678 0.046346 -0.008458 -0.104817
1997 0.704002 -0.000076 0.474093 0.098956 0.045129 0.085900 1998 0.490162 0.000242 0.577165 0.213565 0.034208 -0.335017
1999 -0.034921 0.000162 -0.046250 0.155815 0.016924 -0.161572 2000 0.492173 -0.000128 0.346966 -0.062974 0.023850 0.184459
2001 0.184797 -0.000125 -0.167945 0.079677 -0.005045 0.278236 2002 -0.019989 -0.000486 0.163637 0.009245 0.000656 -0.193040
2003 0.168912 0.000388 -0.094709 -0.007553 0.000040 0.270744 2004 -0.050125 -0.000119 0.474643 -0.060680 0.023428 -0.487397
2005 0.575750 0.000428 0.313863 0.183508 -0.008563 0.086514 2006 -0.087246 0.000907 -0.165148 0.030814 0.004311 0.041870
2007 -0.112384 0.000420 0.119763 -0.019517 -0.002858 -0.210193 2008 0.380550 0.000713 0.619266 -0.089639 0.001328 -0.151117
2009 -0.092833 0.001236 -0.181816 -0.018881 -0.004942 0.111569 2010 -0.102333 0.001543 -0.232538 -0.021256 -0.007784 0.157703
Rata-rata Total -0.011016
Rata-rata Sebelum Krisis 0.004177
Rata-rata Setelah Krisis -0.006019
42
10. Provinsi Sulawesi Tenggara Hasil Estimasi dalam Perhitungan TFP
Dependent Variable: LNQ Method: Least Squares
Date: 070413 Time: 18:58 Sample: 1986 2010
Included observations: 25 Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
LNTK 0.214720
0.198877 1.079663
0.2931 LNB
0.803307 0.067120
11.96814 0.0000
LNE -0.001103
0.106551 -0.010354
0.9918 LNSM
0.028720 0.043581
0.659012 0.5174
C -0.146817
1.612780 -0.091033
0.9284 R-squared
0.986830 Mean dependent var 5.369967
Adjusted R-squared 0.984196 S.D. dependent var
2.073513 S.E. of regression
0.260670 Akaike info criterion 0.325733
Sum squared resid 1.358976 Schwarz criterion
0.569508 Log likelihood
0.928343 Hannan-Quinn criter. 0.393345
F-statistic 374.6497 Durbin-Watson stat
1.706848 ProbF-statistic
0.000000
Uji Kenormalan
Uji Heteroskedastisitas
Heteroskedasticity Test: Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey F-statistic
0.284399 Prob. F4,20 0.8846
ObsR-squared 1.345465 Prob. Chi-Square4
0.8536 Scaled explained SS
1.450364 Prob. Chi-Square4 0.8354
Uji Autokorelasi
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic
0.573827 Prob. F2,18 0.5733
ObsR-squared 1.498426 Prob. Chi-Square2
0.4727
1 2
3 4
5 6
-0.4 -0.2
-0.0 0.2
0.4 0.6
0.8
Series: Residuals Sample 1986 2010
Observations 25 Mean
2.06e-15 Median
-0.043084 Maximum
0.705640 Minimum
-0.336911 Std. Dev.
0.237958 Skewness
1.174004 Kurtosis
4.368640 Jarque-Bera
7.694075 Probability
0.021343
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