No Aspek dan
Fokus Indikator
kelompok binaan lembaga pembersayaan masyarakat LPM, rata-rata jumlah kelompok binaan PKK, jumlah
LSM, jumlah
perpustakaan, jumlah
pengunjung perpustakaan per tahun, rasio polisi pamong praja per
10.000 penduduk, jumlah linmas per 10.000 penduduk, rsioa pos siskamling per jumlah desakelurahan, jumlah
organisasi pemuda, jumlah organisasi olahraga, jumlah kegiatan kepemudaan, jumlah kegiatan olah raga
3. Aspek Daya Saing Daerah a
Fokus Kemampuan Ekonomi Daerah
pengeluaran konsumsi rumah tangga per
kapita, nilai tukar petani, pengeluaran konsumsi non
pangan perkapita,
produktivitas total daerah Angka konsumsi RT per kapita, perbandingan faktor
produksi dengan produk, persentase konsumsi RT untuk non pangan, produktivitas daerah setiap sektor pada 9
sektor
b Fokus
Fasiitas WilayahInfrastruktur
aksesibilitas daerah,
penataan wilayah, fasilitas bank
dan non
bank, ketersediaan
air bersih,
fasilitas listrik dan telepon, ketersediaan
restoran, ketersediaan penginapan
Rasio panjang jalan per jumlah kendaraan, jumlah orangbarang yang terangkut angkutan umum, jumlah
orangbarang melalui dermagabandaraterminal per tahun, ketaatan terhadap RTRW, luas wilayah produktif,
luas wilayah industri, luas wilayah kebanjiran, luas wilayah kekeringan, luas wilayah perkotaan, jenis dan
jumlah bank dan cabang-cabangnya, jenis dan jumlah perusahaan asuransi dan cabang-cabangnya, persentase
rumah tangga RT yang menggunakan air bersih, rasio ketersediaan daya litrik, persentase rumah tangg yang
menggunakan
listrik, persentase
penduduk yang
menggunakan HPtelepon, jeniskelas dan jumlah restoran, jenis kelas dan jumlah penginapanhotel,
angka
c
Iklim Berinvestasi
Keamanan dan ketertiban, kemudahan
perijinan, pengenaan
pajak daerah,
Perda,status desa Angka kriminalitas, jumlah demo, lama perijinan, jumlah
dan macam pajak dan retribusi daerah, jumlah perda yang mendukung iklim usaha, persentase desa berstatus
swasembada terhadap total desa
d
Fokus Sumber Daya Manusia kualitas tenaga kerja, tingkat
ketergantungan Rasio lulusan S1S2S3, rasio ketergantungan
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 4.1. Tabel Waktu Penelitian
Waktu Langkah Penelitian
Sumber Data April s.d. Mei
2014 Pengumpulan
data Indeks
Pembangunan Manusia
IPM tahun 2009-2012
BPS, http:sumut.bps.go.id
Mei s.d. Juni 2014
Pengumpulan data variabel DAU, DAK, PAD, DBH dan BKP tahun
2009-2012 LHA BPK RI,
http:www.djpk.kemenkeu.go.id
Juli s.d.
Agustus 2014 Pengumpulan data variabel Belanja
Pelayanan Dasar BPD tahun 2009- 2012
Hasil Evaluasi Kinerja Penyelenggaraan Pemerintah
Daerah EKPPD Inspektorat Proivinsi Sumatera Utara dan
Perwakilan BPKP Sumatera Utara
Agustus s.d.
November 2014
Analisis penelitian
pengujian asumsi
klasik dan
pengujian hipotesis
Aplikasi Eviews
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 4.2 Sampel Penelitian
Sumber :
www.depkeu.djpk.go.id. 2014.
NO NAMA KABUPATEN KOTA
KRITERIA SAMPEL
1 2
1. N i a s
√ √
Sampel 1 2.
Mandailing Natal √
√ Sampel 2
3. Tapanuli Selatan
√ √
Sampel 3 4.
Tapanuli Tengah √
√ Sampel 4
5. Tapanuli Utara
√ √
Sampel 5 6.
Toba Samosir √
√ Sampel 6
7. Labuhanbatu
√ √
Sampel 7 8.
A s a h a n √
√ Sampel 8
9. Simalungun
√ √
Sampel 9 10. D a i r i
√ √
Sampel 10 11. K a r o
√ √
Sampel 11 12. Deli Serdang
√ √
Sampel 12 13. L a n g k a t
√ √
Sampel 13 14. Nias Selatan
√ √
Sampel 14 15. Humbang Hasundutan
√ √
Sampel 15 16. Pakpak Bharat
√ √
Sampel 16 17. Samosir
√ √
Sampel 17 18. Serdang Bedagai
√ √
Sampel 18 19. Batu Bara
√ √
Sampel 19 20. Padang Lawas Utara
√ √
Sampel 20 21. Padang Lawas
√ √
Sampel 21 22. Labuhanbatu Selatan
√ √
Sampel 22 23. Labuhanbatu Utara
√ √
Sampel 23 24. Nias Utara
x x
- 25. Nias Barat
x x
- 26. S i b o l g a
√ √
Sampel 24 27. Tanjungbalai
√ √
Sampel 25 28. Pematangsiantar
√ √
Sampel 26 29. Tebing Tinggi
√ √
Sampel 27 30. M e d a n
√ √
Sampel 28 31. B i n j a i
√ √
Sampel 29 32. Padangsidimpuan
√ √
Sampel 30 33. Gunungsitoli
x x
-
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 5.1. DATA OBSEVASI
obs IPM
DAU DAK
PAD DBH
BKP BPD
_mes-2009 76.99000
900.2060 50.64500
368.5640 1787.457 36.20717 41.87911
_mes-2010 77.36000
846.5415 67.20100
588.9415 534.8778 31.82216 61.70421
_mes-2011 77.81000
1066.354 81.59460
995.0726 398.3763 33.55927 58.17198
_mes-2012 78.25000
1153.789 66.29827
1147.901 1571.285 27.62010 64.94502
_binj-2009 76.09000
283.6362 28.39900
17.27261 64.10600 13.92932 49.60803
_binj-2010 76.41000
293.5367 24.83150
18.83288 53.96046 29.80774 20.35310
_binj-2011 76.88000
336.7795 25.26620
26.47012 55.68657 43.62891 67.71154
_binj-2012 77.36000
416.9652 23.77797
48.17808 492.6636 88.17381 81.37546
_ttinggi-2009 76.10000
221.4051 33.28500
17.33906 18.91200 6.680124 21.18123
_ttinggi-2010 76.49000
228.0578 17.80740
26.27247 34.63293 5.899360 66.52903
_ttinggi-2011 76.91000
261.9487 22.08620
32.73879 29.43414 0.000000 69.00486
_ttinggi-2012 77.34000
307.6357 25.32348
47.33098 400.5586 36.64844 74.29106
_psian-2009 77.18000
307.5287 39.22800
20.45843 28.09300 18.07861 55.40026
_psian-2010 77.51000
313.9417 23.10740
25.91094 44.76865 36.24487 61.03680
_psian-2011 77.93000
352.5256 24.78320
44.79275 47.50050 15.65313 63.16580
_psian-2012 78.27000
429.6322 28.44708
49.91537 508.1728 48.97298 68.46790
_tjbalai-2009 73.64000
197.6420 16.24350
11.69802 20.37400 31.00773 34.15391
_tjbalai-2010 74.14000
241.9215 19.50840
24.12601 18.61769 35.52738 52.85486
_tjbalai-2011 74.72000
275.5255 20.19800
27.08906 26.68226 40.72729 62.19943
_tjbalai-2012 75.06000
313.7297 17.95574
27.70237 16.45241 18.83593 70.42654
_psidem-2009 74.77000
256.5388 38.75100
11.83601 26.82900 31.12816 68.35510
_psidem-2010 75.21000
270.1291 20.66160
14.60238 33.45957 46.55560 19.97689
_psidem-2011 75.58000
308.0145 25.56850
21.46527 32.64379 11.39738 70.40183
_psidem-2012 76.04000
364.9233 23.98660
23.62231 427.1093 40.76432 76.00494
_sibol-2009 74.82000
211.2067 37.46100
12.82015 22.18600 6.659839 45.15502
_sibol-2010 75.08000
227.2162 18.13590
15.11841 27.02165 3.827670 66.26133
_sibol-2011 75.50000
248.4055 22.75390
21.66339 25.17651 43.19881 62.91704
_sibol-2012 75.73000
292.8731 19.29026
26.69835 337.2045 28.03746 62.86654
_lang-2009 72.82000
597.4730 63.97200
33.98712 132.8390 46.58619 64.68498
_lang-2010 73.18000
633.7014 65.86570
31.35701 173.0621 14.13307 72.23612
_lang-2011 73.62000
736.8878 53.87270
34.54064 168.6657 18.27697 74.59015
_lang-2012 73.98000
847.5030 56.05673
129.2430 1082.904 49.64280 75.77722
_dser-2009 74.67000
784.0170 91.18800
103.6863 123.9560 32.91278 66.28530
_dser-2010 75.28000
793.1417 85.58990
120.5372 211.3022 27.36646 75.86497
_dser-2011 75.78000
888.5572 67.17820
213.7915 213.2176 26.32552 68.85205
_dser-2012 76.17000
1100.014 65.47816
290.4959 227.2002 0.000000 71.57254
_sergai-2009 72.94000
396.3522 75.21400
19.01870 46.26600 16.42739 65.49825
_sergai-2010 73.25000
420.2587 61.30880
22.09319 71.79072 15.94316 62.64864
_sergai-2011 73.64000
458.1603 65.75040
35.89440 69.14369 26.14837 70.58510
_sergai-2012 74.07000
554.2455 64.70490
39.27457 684.9332 75.97871 69.05682
_kar-2009 74.84000
393.3900 49.37000
27.18684 19.70500 69.34845 71.18630
_kar-2010 75.34000
401.7103 47.51800
27.68556 47.35878 56.96904 71.69262
_kar-2011 75.79000
441.5666 42.43900
35.36333 50.23534 17.84383 71.86789
Universitas Sumatera Utara
obs IPM
DAU DAK
PAD DBH
BKP BPD
_kar-2012 76.22000
546.2948 38.42659
41.24297 625.6941 20.01534 71.57254
_dairi-2009 72.38000
327.8350 48.02600
14.24449 26.34600 3.321876 25.88116
_dairi-2010 72.86000
336.8647 44.11380
19.83572 46.90678 6.269380 74.65791
_dairi-2011 73.49000
372.3734 44.14470
17.67347 38.51420 9.044245 65.82067
_dairi-2012 73.86000
451.1761 43.35720
20.91151 529.4342 12.89419 69.65418
_pakb-2009 70.36000
162.4065 42.34100
5.282211 24.15991 9.649061 55.69484
_pakb-2010 70.80000
167.7803 24.61070
4.533365 27.26558 3.856609 59.18102
_pakb-2011 71.20000
198.2392 28.83140
6.306029 25.78491 4.697353 50.26418
_pakb-2012 72.00000
232.9903 25.46090
6.353112 284.3789 10.24810 58.51754
_asah-2009 72.16000
446.5607 77.53200
21.07622 38.14100 10.59661 53.35047
_asah-2010 72.54000
479.2993 48.28830
25.98219 93.62971 6.782555 73.63338
_asah-2011 73.25000
523.5618 50.62640
31.84433 96.53301 1.801946 66.70696
_asah-2012 73.80000
628.9750 65.20666
37.89459 918.2259 0.481469 68.75107
_lab-2009 73.61000
247.3088 57.28000
39.01370 47.60085 25.57242 0.141590
_lab-2010 74.03000
315.3093 45.05490
38.53221 80.78103 26.64436 67.48377
_lab-2011 74.65000
367.7376 45.50880
50.95856 83.99698 5.081875 69.21017
_lab-2012 75.29000
461.6443 75.49669
59.43917 619.0479 37.47078 74.19365
_simal-2009 73.13000
634.4281 77.47600
35.49435 73.56500 30.27048 66.95426
_simal-2010 73.50000
644.6109 62.05305
45.25560 90.76748 14.78274 81.39866
_simal-2011 73.94000
696.2253 73.94540
42.54335 95.18573 16.55831 69.68629
_simal-2012 74.35000
865.4059 90.86863
61.24650 1041.102 169.4399 76.36926
_tobas-2009 76.22000
279.8990 50.05600
9.661372 28.57800 15.35549 59.65028
_tobas-2010 76.55000
280.4499 46.94920
11.98855 38.16294 25.45521 65.56114
_tobas-2011 76.93000
310.2524 51.43470
14.11773 28.79772 19.26498 66.13315
_tobas-2012 77.21000
387.6232 52.11977
16.54268 470.9563 120.3425 65.48446
_samos-2009 73.42000
234.9450 55.79700
14.83244 27.07565 23.09455 45.76538
_samos-2010 73.70000
243.0416 38.96970
11.81322 24.50711 57.09110 63.34219
_samos-2011 74.27000
282.9883 35.62380
14.20158 22.31068 60.79551 61.03580
_samos-2012 74.72000
331.4126 27.84460
17.45963 385.6596 44.61318 69.94943
_taput-2009 73.85000
360.5469 60.75600
12.61665 27.10600 46.05769 59.33686
_taput-2010 74.31000
369.2751 48.01850
15.43301 38.76321 14.83039 71.57640
_taput-2011 74.86000
405.8225 56.79160
36.06316 40.57912 6.714712 69.22107
_taput-2012 75.33000
487.3455 50.22062
34.02312 578.2537 45.25144 71.45115
_humha-2009 71.64000
260.0555 49.25700
8.039936 30.02300 10.11337 52.66047
_humha-2010 71.94000
279.8930 29.21050
10.00722 43.70970 0.000000 61.82855
_humha-2011 72.43000
313.4312 31.60680
12.87003 37.51063 17.35760 64.81279
_humha-2012 72.96000
376.8472 28.96814
17.90193 445.2097 38.68033 69.08718
_tapte-2009 70.91000
292.5882 58.62000
13.31393 23.25142 0.000000 30.03132
_tapte-2010 71.21000
313.9577 51.29990
13.37178 44.02384 0.000000 66.55831
_tapte-2011 71.63000
343.7315 52.30010
18.20968 39.84984 6.985854 69.95530
_tapte-2012 72.04000
422.6117 48.64424
21.13680 523.6936 109.3341 68.93136
_tapse-2009 73.64000
274.9236 54.19000
23.00640 45.63200 0.000000 31.94014
_tapse-2010 74.02000
334.7378 41.49540
30.49679 53.84230 0.135564 72.69322
_tapse-2011 74.45000
375.8938 44.49190
57.46381 51.63728 0.121458 63.58076
_tapse-2012 74.78000
454.3223 53.36697
56.16014 628.2025 0.000000 63.62940
_madin-2009 70.27000
385.2207 52.78100
10.08565 30.75900 0.000000 47.21686
Universitas Sumatera Utara
obs IPM
DAU DAK
PAD DBH
BKP BPD
_madin-2010 70.60000
398.4823 58.13140
11.82586 57.40631 0.000000 62.13809
_madin-2011 71.04000
455.3934 48.45160
27.52585 54.83042 0.000000 65.27137
_madin-2012 71.44000
541.1066 41.55583
21.27411 691.6986 0.000000 71.86346
_nias-2009 68.26000
400.2434 78.07400
23.16953 8.620850 18.59068 56.65295
_nias-2010 68.66000
151.1473 53.79090
17.62958 20.18191 51.35852 52.01563
_nias-2011 69.09000
265.2176 54.94310
18.94390 20.05213 2.869000 59.28984
_nias-2012 69.55000
289.6081 48.13726
29.82167 373.7411 3.557916 58.07043
_nisel-2009 66.27000
267.9810 26.79810
14.54422 24.39871 0.000000 58.36424
_nisel-2010 67.15000
277.8873 57.17648
10.27624 39.69996 11.97700 46.40254
_nisel-2011 67.72000
318.9209 54.19310
23.03072 31.20341 4.142317 60.35260
_nisel-2012 68.23000
378.6056 64.67917
12.14686 506.3569 0.000000 62.28729
_bbara-2009 71.25000
315.3162 54.80100
13.68227 32.79423 17.09230 66.84363
_bbara-2010 71.62000
337.6632 42.83200
20.61674 13.89410 11.67060 67.60941
_bbara-2011 72.08000
385.8830 29.20163
13.24086 40.96908 18.71746 66.81029
_bbara-2012 72.80000
452.2275 44.14864
16.55818 532.7816 55.71324 68.50603
_palas-2009 71.68000
150.5775 16.92300
4.335375 38.68059 19.93393 57.57247
_palas-2010 71.98000
241.1067 42.76760
12.52814 45.31152 25.97258 61.50918
_palas-2011 72.55000
249.4968 40.01670
7.628252 40.03634 18.66948 60.00960
_palas-2012 72.96000
331.7544 42.52085
9.881177 417.5634 36.80726 69.86734
_paluta-2009 72.11000
393.3900 16.92300
27.18684 44.73923 26.36528 63.85659
_paluta-2010 72.52000
243.9695 30.44325
5.332770 40.94380 9.062160 66.38777
_paluta-2011 73.25000
262.5394 44.75920
8.728414 43.19212 32.25365 67.59287
_paluta-2012 73.59000
348.0563 36.73324
12.79814 423.9143 121.5364 77.29961
_labura-2009 73.10000
0.000000 49.37000
224.0708 38.14698 4.000000 23.81533
_labura-2010 73.45000
296.8097 29.56550
10.65725 44.55654 5.705280 3.200801
_labura-2011 74.14000
346.6847 33.34463
10.51825 52.79926 4.697440 67.70080
_labura-2012 74.92000
400.6020 42.49514
18.97112 490.3406 124.9261 48.68708
_labusel-2009 73.52000
0.000000 1.106700
223.9971 53.63878 4.000000 34.50584
_labusel-2010 73.84000
249.0910 29.99300
8.371926 63.15069 3.717760 47.81402
_labusel-2011 74.38000
266.9227 35.43320
17.08127 61.94736 12.59651 66.04235
_labusel-2012 74.90000
334.5123 25.66350
18.97664 421.8966 40.76848 66.34388
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Estimasi Model Regresi Data Panel Pooled EGLS Kabupaten dan Kota No KabupatenKota
Kode Persamaan Estimasi
1 Medan
_mes
8.4186+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
2 Binjai
_binj
8.616647+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
3 Tebing Tinggi
_ttinggi
8.637784+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
4 Pematangsiantar
_psian
8.670019+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
5 Tanjungbalai
_tjbalai
8.509393+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
6 Padangsidimpuan
_psidem
8.559588+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
7 Sibolga
_sibol
8.565701+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
8 Langkat
_lang
8.355006+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
9 Deli Serdang
_dser
8.420579+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
10 Serdang Bedagai _sergai
8.420755+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
11 K a r o _kar
8.533656+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
12 Dairi _dairi
8.420926+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
13 Pakpak Bharat _pakb
8.352551+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
14 Asahan _asah
8.374934+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
15 Labuhanbatu _lab
8.484163+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
16 Simalungun _simal
8.38328+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
17 Toba Samosir _tobas
8.645255+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
18 Samosir _samos
8.49524+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
19 Tapanuli Utara _taput
8.496213+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
20 Humbang Hasundutan
_humha
8.382985+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
21 Tapanuli Tengah _tapte
8.331722+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
22 Tapanuli Selatan _tapse
8.474134+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
23 Mandailing Natal _madin
8.27264+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
24 Nias _nias
8.197069+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
25 Nias Selatan _nisel
8.094651+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
26 Batubara _bbara
8.350376+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
Universitas Sumatera Utara
No KabupatenKota Kode
Persamaan Estimasi 27 Padanglawas
_palas
8.405552+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
28 Padanglawas Utara _paluta
8.415761+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
29 Labuhanbatu Utara _labura
8.489407+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
30 Labuhanbatu Selatan
_labusel
8.505274+ 0.008213DAU - 0.005401DAK + 0.006189PAD + 0.001087DBH + 0.000391 BKP
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 5.2.
Hasil Pengolahan Data dengan Eviews 1. Regresi auxiliary beserta nilai koefisien determinasi Rj
2
Data Awal Sebelum Transformasi
2. DAU = b + b
1
DAK + b
2
PAD + b
3
DBH + b
4
BKP 3. DAK = b
+ b
1
DAU + b
2
PAD + b
3
DBH + b
4
BKP 4. PAD = b
+ b
1
DAU + b
2
DAK + b
3
DBH + b
4
BKP 5. DBH = b
+ b
1
DAU + b
2
DAK + b
3
PAD + b
4
BKP 6. BKP = b
+ b
1
DAU + b
2
DAK + b
3
DBH + b
4
PAD
Dependent Variable: DAK? Method: Pooled Least Squares
Sample: 2009 2012 Included observations: 4
Cross-sections included: 30 Total pool balanced observations: 120
Variable Coefficient
Std. Error t-Statistic
Prob. C
18.85642 3.195522
5.900888 0.0000
DAU? 0.073897
0.008808 8.389306
0.0000 PAD?
-0.016177 0.011006
-1.469920 0.1443
Dependent Variable: DAU? Method: Pooled Least Squares
Sample: 2009 2012 Included observations: 4
Cross-sections included: 30 Total pool balanced observations: 120
Variable Coefficient
Std. Error t-Statistic
Prob. C
90.92346 29.20635
3.113140 0.0023
DAK? 5.137628
0.612402 8.389306
0.0000 PAD?
0.450495 0.082551
5.457184 0.0000
DBH? 0.220620
0.043920 5.023172
0.0000 BKP?
0.118647 0.405299
0.292741 0.7702
R-squared 0.694420 Mean dependent var
393.6302 Adjusted R-squared
0.683791 S.D. dependent var 204.0470
S.E. of regression 114.7406 Akaike info criterion
12.36400 Sum squared resid
1514021. Schwarz criterion 12.48014
Log likelihood -736.8399 F-statistic
65.33347 Durbin-Watson stat
0.752262 ProbF-statistic 0.000000
Universitas Sumatera Utara
145
DBH? -0.012524
0.005698 -2.197898
0.0300 BKP?
0.009358 0.048618
0.192471 0.8477
R-squared 0.437808 Mean dependent var
44.77115 Adjusted R-squared
0.418253 S.D. dependent var 18.04186
S.E. of regression 13.76095 Akaike info criterion
8.122321 Sum squared resid
21776.83 Schwarz criterion 8.238466
Log likelihood -482.3392 F-statistic
22.38908 Durbin-Watson stat
0.830147 ProbF-statistic 0.000000
Dependent Variable: PAD? Method: Pooled Least Squares
Sample: 2009 2012 Included observations: 4
Cross-sections included: 30 Total pool balanced observations: 120
Variable Coefficient
Std. Error t-Statistic
Prob. C
-69.94253 29.91477
-2.338060 0.0211
DAU? 0.456600
0.083670 5.457184
0.0000 DAK?
-1.139972 0.775533
-1.469920 0.1443
DBH? 0.103748
0.047860 2.167769
0.0322 BKP?
-0.850492 0.400409
-2.124059 0.0358
R-squared 0.440325 Mean dependent var
57.50350 Adjusted R-squared
0.420858 S.D. dependent var 151.7914
S.E. of regression 115.5154 Akaike info criterion
12.37746 Sum squared resid
1534538. Schwarz criterion 12.49360
Log likelihood -737.6475 F-statistic
22.61906 Durbin-Watson stat
0.559714 ProbF-statistic 0.000000
Dependent Variable: DBH? Method: Pooled Least Squares
Sample: 2009 2012 Included observations: 4
Cross-sections included: 30 Total pool balanced observations: 120
Variable Coefficient
Std. Error t-Statistic
Prob. C
-79.47552 58.00153
-1.370232 0.1733
DAU? 0.815573
0.162362 5.023172
0.0000 DAK?
-3.218851 1.464514
-2.197898 0.0300
Universitas Sumatera Utara
146
PAD? 0.378402
0.174558 2.167769
0.0322 BKP?
3.081818 0.724648
4.252846 0.0000
R-squared 0.489447 Mean dependent var
198.2622 Adjusted R-squared
0.471689 S.D. dependent var 303.5156
S.E. of regression 220.6104 Akaike info criterion
13.67145 Sum squared resid
5596929. Schwarz criterion 13.78759
Log likelihood -815.2868 F-statistic
27.56150 Durbin-Watson stat
1.632925 ProbF-statistic 0.000000
Dependent Variable: BKP? Method: Pooled Least Squares
Sample: 2009 2012 Included observations: 4
Cross-sections included: 30 Total pool balanced observations: 120
Variable Coefficient
Std. Error t-Statistic
Prob. C
15.45054 6.844579
2.257340 0.0259
DAU? 0.006276
0.021439 0.292741
0.7702 DAK?
0.034413 0.178799
0.192471 0.8477
PAD? -0.044387
0.020897 -2.124059
0.0358 DBH?
0.044098 0.010369
4.252846 0.0000
R-squared 0.183949 Mean dependent var
25.65227 Adjusted R-squared
0.155565 S.D. dependent var 28.71760
S.E. of regression 26.38951 Akaike info criterion
9.424584 Sum squared resid
80086.71 Schwarz criterion 9.540729
Log likelihood -560.4750 F-statistic
6.480655 Durbin-Watson stat
1.216693 ProbF-statistic 0.000097
Universitas Sumatera Utara
147
2. Regresi auxiliary beserta nilai koefisien determinasi Rj
