QXBID SIMPULAN DAN IMPLIKASI KEBIJAKAN
LPXBTA = LagPXBTA; LPXBTU = LagPXBTU;
LQMBAD = LagQMBAD; LQMBUD = LagQMBUD;
LPUBD = LagPUBD ; LQXOIJ = LagQXOIJ;
LQXOIA = LagQXOIA; LQXOIU = LagQXOIU;
LQXOTJ = LagQXOTJ; LQXOTA = LagQXOTA;
LQXOTU = LagQXOTU; LPXOIJ = LagPXOIJ;
LPXOIA = LagPXOIA; LPXOIU = LagPXOIU;
LPXOTJ = LagPXOTJ; LPXOTA = LagPXOTA;
LPXOTU = LagPXOTU; LQMOJD = LagQMOJD;
LQMOAD = LagQMOAD; LQMOUD = LagQMOUD;
LPUOD = LagPUOD ; LPrUBI = LAGPrUBI;
SPrUBI = PrUBI-LPrUBI; LPrUOI = LAGPrUOI;
SPrUOI = PrUOI-LPrUOI; LQPKAN = LAGQPAKN;
GDPKPU = GDPUPOPU; LEXCI = LAGEXCI;
SEXCI = EXCI-LEXCI; LEXCT = LAGEXCT;
SEXCT = EXCT-LEXCT; LINTRE = LAGINTRE;
SINTRE = INTRE-LINTRE;
LBBM = LAGBBM; SPUSDOM = PUSDOM-LPUSDOM;
SPUBD = PUBD-LPUBD; SPUOD = PUOD-LPUOD;
PPXSTU = PXSTU-LPXSTULPXSTU; SPXSIU = PXSIU-LPXSIU;
SPXOIJ = PXOIJ-LPXOIJ; SPXOIU = PXOIU-LPXOIU;
SPXOTJ = PXOTJ-LPXOTJ; SPXOTA = PXOTA-LPXOTA;
SPXOTU = PXOTU-LPXOTU; RPXSTIU = PXSTUPXSIU;
SPXBIJ = PXBIJ-LPXBIJ; SPXBIA = PXBIA-LPXBIA;
SPXBTA = PXBTA-LPXBTA; SPXSTJ = PXSTJ-LPXSTJ;
RQPKNBNR= QPAKNQBENR; RPUSPKN = PUSDOMPPAKN;
RPUSBD = PUSDPUBD; RPUBOD = PUBDPUOD;
LPBENR = LAGPBENR; PPBENR = PBENR-LAGPBENRPBENR;
LQXOID = LAGQXOID; LQPAKN = LAGQPAKN;
LTFPIN = LAGTFPIN; PAREA = AREA-LAREALAREA;
SQBENR = QBENR-LQBENR; SBBM = BBM-LBBM;
SPBENR = PBENR-LPBENR; PPBENR = PBENR-LPBENRLPBENR;
RPUBSDOM= PUBDOMPUSDOM; UNTUK PERSAMAAN IDENTITAS
QXSID = QXSIJ + QXSIA + QXSIU + QXSIL; TXUSD = QXSID + QXSTJ + QXSTA + QXSTU + QXSTL + QXSLL;
TMUSD = QMSJD + QMSAD + QMSUD + QMSLL; QXBID = QXBIJ + QXBIA + QXBIU + QXBIL;
TXUBD = QXBID + QXBTJ + QXBTA + QXBTU
+ QXBTL + QXBLL; TMUBD = QMBAD + QMBUD + QMBJD + QMBLL;
QXOID = QXOIJ + QXOIA + QXOIU + QXOIL; TXUOD = QXOID + QXOTJ + QXOTA + QXOTU + QXOTL + QXOLL;
TMUOD = QMOAD + QMOUD + QMOJD + QMOLL; LTXUOD = LAGTXUOD;
LTMUOD = LAGTMUOD; STXUOD = TXUOD-LTXUOD;
PTXUOD = TXUOD-LTXUODLTXUOD; STMUOD = TMUOD-LTMUOD;
PTMUOD = TMUOD-LTMUODLTMUOD; RTXMUOD= TXUODTMUOD;
RTMXUOD= TMUODTXUOD; STXMUOD= TXUOD-TMUOD;
STMXUOD= TMUOD-TXUOD; RPUOBD = PUODPUBD;
LQXSID = LAGQXSID; RPUBSD = PUBDPUSD;
LTXUBD = LAGTXUBD;
LTMUBD = LAGTMUBD; LTFPIN =LAGTFPIN;
RUN ;
PROC SYSLIN
2 SLS
DATA =ESTIMASI
OUTEST =HASIL_1
SIMPLE ;
ENDOGENOUS ENDOGENOUS
QPAKN QBENR
TFPIN QTAMB QTNKP PrUSI PUSDOM
DUSDOM QXSIJ QXSIA QXSIU QXSTJ
QXSTA QXSTU
PXSIJ PXSIA PXSIU
PXSTJ PXSTA PXSTU
QMSJD QMSAD
QMSUD QDUSB PrUBI PUBDOM DUBDOM QXBIJ QXBIA QXBIU
QXBID QXBTJ QXBTA QXBTU
PXBIJ PXBIA
PXBIU PXBTJ PXBTA PXBTU
QMBJD QMBAD
QMBUD TXUBD TMUBD
PUBD QDUBO PrUOI QXOIJ
QXOIA QXOIU QXOID QXOTJ QXOTA
QXOTU PXOIJ
PXOIA PXOIU PXOTJ PXOTA
PXOTU QMOJD
QMOAD QMOUD
TXUOD TMUOD PUOD ;
INSTRUMENTS IRIG
EDUC RPUSPKN PBENR
PPAKN PPBENR RQPKNBNR
INTRE BBM
POPJ POPA POPU
GDPJ GDPA
GDPU D_LAW D_HACCP D_MRL EXCI
EXCT PRODTK
VANAME DPENY DUSDOM LDUSDOM TRFOU
LTRFOA LTRFOJ
GDPKPU LBBM RPUSBD RPXSTIU SPXSIU RPUBOD
SPUBDOM SPXOIU SPXOTA SPXOTU GDPKPU ; PERSAMAAN STRUKTURAL
ON FARM
Model QPAKN =
PPAKN SPUSDOM TREND
DW ;
Model QBENR = PBENR PPAKN PUSDOM TREND LQBENR
DW ;
Model TFPIN = EDUC
IRIG DW
; Model
QTAMB = PUSDOM SBBM QPAKN SQBENR
INTRE DPENY TFPIN
DW ;
Model QTNKP = PUSDOM ATPU LBBM
DW ;
UDANG SEGAR Model
PUSDOM = LDUSDOM QXSIA TREND LPUSDOM DW
; Model
QXSIJ = PXSIJ SPXSTJ D_LAW PrUSI TREND LQXSIJ DW
; Model
QXSIA = LPXSIA PXSTA D_HACCP LPrUSI TREND DW
; Model
QXSIU = SPXSIU D_MRL TREND PrUSI DW
; Model
QXSTJ = LPXSTJ PXBTJ D_LAW TREND DW
; Model
QXSTA = PXSTA SPXBTA D_HACCP TREND DW
; Model
QXSTU = RPXSTIU D_MRL TREND LQXSTU DW
; Model
PXSIJ = RPUSBD EXCI DUSDOM TREND LPXSIJ DW
; Model
PXSIA = PUSD EXCI DUSDOM TREND
DW ;
Model PXSIU = LPUSD LEXCI LDUSDOM LPXSIU
DW ;
Model PXSTJ = RPUSBD SEXCT TREND
DW ;
Model PXSTA = RPUSBD SEXCT
TREND DW
; Model
PXSTU = RPUSBD SEXCT TREND DW
; Model
QMSJD = RPUBSD GDPJ TREND LQMSJD DW
; Model
QMSAD = LPUSD PUBD TREND DW
; Model
QMSUD = RPUSBD LQMSUD DW
; UDANG BEKU
Model QDUSB = SPUSDOM PUBDOM TREND
DW ;
Model PUBDOM = PUBD
DUBDOM TREND LPUBDOM DW
; Model
QXBIJ = SPXBIJ SPXOIJ SPrUBI D_Law TREND LQXBIJ
DW ;
Model QXBIA = SPXBIA PXBTA
PrUBI D_HACCP
DW ;
Model QXBIU = SPUBD PUOD SPrUBI D_MRL LQXBIU
DW ;
Model QXBTJ = SPUBD LPUOD D_LAW
TREND LQXBTJ DW
; Model
QXBTA = PXBTA TREND
D_HACCP LQXBTA DW
; Model
QXBTU = PXBTU PXBTJ SEXCT D_MRL TREND
DW ;
Model PXBIJ = PUBD SEXCI TREND
DW ;
Model PXBIA = PUBD
EXCI TREND
LPXBIA DW
; Model
PXBIU = PUBD TREND
LPXBIU DW
; Model
PXBTJ = PUBD EXCT TREND
DW ;
Model PXBTA = PUBD
EXCT TREND LPXBTA DW
; Model
PXBTU = PUBD EXCT TREND LPXBTU
DW ;
Model QMBJD = LPUBD
LPUOD GDPJ POPJ TREND
DW ;
Model QMBAD = RPUBOD POPA
TREND LQMBAD DW
; Model
QMBUD = LPUBD PUOD
POPU TREND
DW ;
Model PUBD = LTXUBD
TMUBD LPUBD DW
; UDANG OLAHAN
Model PrUOI = LPUBDOM SPUOD LINTRE LQXOID
DW ;
Model QDUBO = SPUBDOM PrUOI
PUOD DW
; Model
QXOIJ = PXOIJ PXOTJ PrUOI D_Law DW
; Model
QXOIA = PXOIA LPrUOI D_HACCP LQXOIA DW
; Model
QXOIU = LPXOIU SPXOTU PrUOI D_MRL LQXOIU DW
;
Model QXOTJ = SPXOTJ PXOIJ D_Law
DW ;
Model QXOTA = SPXOTA D_HACCP
DW ;
Model QXOTU = SPXOTU SPXOIU D_MRL TREND LQXOTU
DW ;
Model PXOIJ = PUOD
PUBD TREND LPXOIJ
DW ;
Model PXOIA = SPUOD
PUBD SEXCI TREND LPXOIA DW
; Model
PXOIU = LPUOD PUBD SEXCI TREND LPXOIU
DW ;
Model PXOTJ = RPUOBD EXCT
TREND LPXOTJ DW
; Model
PXOTA = RPUOBD EXCT TREND
DW ;
Model PXOTU = RPUOBD EXCT
TREND DW
; Model
QMOJD = PUOD GDPJ POPJ LTRFOJ TREND LQMOJD
DW ;
Model QMOAD = SPUOD GDPA
POPA LTRFOA LQMOAD
DW ;
Model QMOUD = SPUOD GDPKPU TRFOU
DW ;
Model PUOD = STXUOD TMUOD TREND LPUOD
DW ;
Model PrUBI = RPUBSDOM INTRE LPRUBI dw;
PERSAMAAN IDENTITAS IDENTITY
PrUSI = QTAMB+QTNKP; IDENTITY
PrUBI = 0.6
PrUSI+ 0.6
QMUSID- 0.6
QDUSL- 0.6
QXSID; IDENTITY
DUSDOM = QDUSL+QDUSB; IDENTITY
DUBDOM = QDUBO+QDUBL; IDENTITY
QXBID = QXBIJ+QXBIA+QXBIU+QXBIL; IDENTITY
TXUBD = QXBID+QXBTJ+QXBTA+QXBTU+QXBTL+QXBLL; IDENTITY
TMUBD = QMBAD+QMBUD+QMBJD+QMBLL; IDENTITY
QXOID = QXOIJ+QXOIA+QXOIU+QXOIL; IDENTITY
TXUOD = QXOID+QXOTJ+QXOTA+QXOTU+QXOTL+QXOLL; IDENTITY
TMUOD = QMOAD+QMOUD+QMOJD+QMOLL; PROC
PRINT DATA
=ESTIMASI; RUN
;
Lampiran 4. Hasil Estimasi Parameter Model Daya Saing Udang Indonesia Menggunakan Metode 2SLS, Prosedur Syslin, dan Program
SASETS 9.1 untuk Persamaan Permintaan Pakan
The SAS System The SYSLIN Procedure
Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model QPAKN
Dependent Variable QPAKN Label QPAKN
Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Value Pr F Model 3 126362.0 42120.66 37.67 .0001
Error 15 16772.44 1118.163 Corrected Total 18 143134.4
Root MSE 33.43894 R-Square 0.88282 Dependent Mean 195.06870 Adj R-Sq 0.85938
Coeff Var 17.14213 Parameter Estimates
Parameter Standard Variable Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr |t| Label
Intercept 1 454.8623 82.85901 5.49 .0001 Intercept PPAKN 1 -75.7553 15.15767 -5.00 0.0002 PPAKN
SPUSDOM 1 2.782065 1.007731 2.76 0.0146 TREND 1 15.76608 1.510158 10.44 .0001 TREND
Durbin-Watson 0.739925 Number of Observations 19
First-Order Autocorrelation 0.586833
Lampiran 5. Program Validasi Model Daya Saing Udang Indonesia Menggunakan Metode Newton, Prosedur SIMNLIN, dan Program
SASETS 9.1
OPTION NODATE NONUMBER;
DATA VALIDASI;
SET SASUSER.TERBUKA_3;
CREATING VARIABEL PrUSI = QTAMB+ QTNKP;
LPrUSI = LAGPrUSI; QXSID = QXSIJ + QXSIA + QXSIU + QXSIL;
QXBID = QXBIJ + QXBIA + QXBIU + QXBIL; QXOID = QXOIJ + QXOIA + QXOIU + QXOIL;
QDUSB =