Lampiran 3. Nilai Prediksi Variabel Endogen dalam Full-CAFTA Nilai Prediksi Variabel Endogen dalam Full-CAFTA
YEAR 2005
2006 2007
2008 2009
2010 2011
_TYPE_ PREDICT
PREDICT PREDICT
PREDICT PREDICT
PREDICT PREDICT
_MODE_ SIMULATE
SIMULATE SIMULATE
SIMULATE SIMULATE
SIMULATE SIMULATE
1 YI 207,643.6
223,224.4 242,468.7
259,256.6 271,587.7
286,637.1 299,558.0
255,768.0 2 CI
123,036.5 127,786.8
135,787.9 146,722.6
151,436.8 156,861.9
163,938.6 143,653.0
3 CFI 66,698.2
65,953.5 71,169.0
72,527.1 75,621.1
78,558.4 82,732.9
73,322.9 4 CNFI
56,338.7 61,833.7
64,619.4 74,196.1
75,816.2 78,304.0
81,206.2 70,330.6
5 YDI 191,881.3
206,819.5 224,092.9
240,176.7 250,937.1
264,954.8 276,686.8
236,507.0 6 TAXI
24,604.9 26,054.8
28,017.0 29,534.2
30,357.7 31,808.9
33,213.4 29,084.4
7 TAXCAFTA 0.0
0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0
0.0 8 TAXNCAFTA
2,024.7 2,212.7
2,621.3 2,777.5
2,593.0 2,826.9
3,190.7 2,606.7
9 NCII -261.9
1,334.2 2,017.1
515.0 3,227.9
6,996.3 3,103.0
2,418.8 10 EXRI
9,543.8 8,910.3
8,348.0 10,156.5
10,164.6 9,336.5
11,455.0 9,702.1
11 GEI 38,942.1
42,694.4 44,662.4
48,310.2 46,233.6
52,275.0 52,100.2
46,459.7 12 GRI
34,904.6 40,191.5
40,134.1 45,459.7
40,566.4 43,314.1
44,725.6 41,328.0
13 GEII 6,646.2
6,537.5 8,778.0
9,399.9 6,093.1
10,383.9 8,343.4
8,026.0 14 GERI
15,831.1 17,274.4
18,679.7 19,839.9
21,093.3 24,262.9
24,465.7 20,206.7
15 GESI 8,842.8
9,650.2 9,641.4
10,454.6 9,707.4
10,127.0 10,342.5
9,823.7 16 RLI
-0.8 -1.0
-1.3 -1.4
-0.6 -0.6
-1.1 -1.0
17 RDI -1.2
-1.4 -1.7
-1.8 -1.0
-1.0 -1.5
-1.4 18 ISI
36,155.5 41,871.8
46,247.0 48,063.1
58,824.4 58,656.6
61,503.8 50,188.9
19 YNAGI 177,352.4
192,380.5 210,469.4
226,137.0 237,235.4
250,962.5 263,228.8
222,538.0 20 NXI
21,995.2 26,306.8
33,004.6 34,972.8
34,384.7 35,160.3
38,710.5 32,076.4
21 XI 107,329.3
119,727.1 136,955.4
147,423.9 144,400.3
153,057.5 167,872.5
139,538.0 22 MI
85,333.7 93,419.8
103,950.2 112,450.5
110,015.0 117,896.6
129,161.2 107,461.0
23 MAIA 190.7
188.3 217.9
224.4 221.7
278.0 362.5
240.5 24 MAIC
140.5 190.8
245.5 262.5
270.1 288.7
375.0
253.3 25 MAIR
1,149.1 1,292.2
1,375.9 1,441.2
1,366.3 1,351.7
1,417.6 1,342.0
26 MAAI 336.4
378.6 488.5
543.3 532.7
516.8 677.2
496.2 27 MACI
1,076.0 1,138.3
1,487.8 1,563.9
1,712.0 1,738.9
2,162.5 1,554.2
28 MARI 2,867.8
3,177.8 6,206.3
6,121.0 9,322.5
5,072.3 8,025.5
5,827.6 29 MAIW
1,480.2 1,671.3
1,839.2 1,928.0
1,857.9 1,918.4
2,154.9 1,835.7
30 XAIW 4,338.9
4,752.7 8,152.5
8,221.4 11,416.6
7,396.4 10,867.5
7,878.0 31 MFIA
1,261.2 1,227.5
1,433.5 1,510.9
1,429.0 1,898.9
2,607.0 1,624.0
32 MFIC 328.5
422.9 655.5
854.8 1,048.8
1,177.3 1,304.7
827.5 33 MFIR
1,817.0 2,376.8
2,661.6 2,977.8
3,222.4 3,604.8
3,842.6 2,929.0
34 MFAI 2,853.4
3,487.0 3,896.7
4,323.4 4,352.2
5,287.9 6,220.6
4,345.9 35 MFCI
1,236.8 1,640.9
1,962.8 2,152.9
2,375.4 2,641.8
2,920.3 2,133.0
36 MFRI 6,915.0
7,952.1 10,425.8
12,660.5 10,663.4
11,202.0 14,432.2
10,607.3 37 MFIW
3,409.3 4,014.0
4,745.2 5,338.5
5,691.7 6,683.1
7,781.0 5,380.4
38 XFIW 11,005.2
13,080.0 16,285.3
19,136.8 17,391.1
19,131.7 23,573.2
17,086.2 39 MOIA
20,485.0 25,241.4
28,419.7 31,055.7
33,440.1 35,703.0
36,537.1 30,126.0
40 MOIC 18,292.8
18,421.3 19,420.7
22,208.9 22,099.4
23,223.4 26,032.0
21,385.5 41 MOIR
25,324.9 27,321.6
32,158.9 34,161.0
31,542.8 34,895.1
39,733.3 32,162.5
42 MOAI 16,401.3
19,453.2 21,546.3
22,915.5 23,550.8
25,063.7 26,320.1
22,178.7 43 MOCI
5,200.4 5,853.1
7,003.3 7,946.0
8,646.9 9,796.4
11,089.1 7,933.6
44 MORI 49,449.8
53,628.5 57,209.3
58,660.1 56,043.1
58,259.9 60,625.9
56,268.1 45 MOIW
64,102.7 70,984.4
79,999.3 87,425.5
87,082.3 93,821.4
102,302.4 83,674.0
46 XOIW 71,051.5
78,934.8 85,758.9
89,521.6 88,240.8
93,120.1 98,035.1
86,380.4 47 MPLIA
44.6 56.5
66.4 57.3
55.9 63.5
51.0
56.5 2005-2011
AVERAGE
Nilai Prediksi Variabel Endogen dalam Full-CAFTA YEAR
2005 2006
2007 2008
2009 2010
2011
_TYPE_ PREDICT
PREDICT PREDICT
PREDICT PREDICT
PREDICT PREDICT
_MODE_ SIMULATE
SIMULATE SIMULATE
SIMULATE SIMULATE
SIMULATE SIMULATE
2005-2011 AVERAGE
48 MPLIC 0.9
0.7 0.9
0.9 1.2
0.9 1.2
1.0 49 MPLIR
35.4 24.9
32.2 34.7
31.4 30.2
36.6
32.2 50 MPLAI
1,300.7 1,911.2
2,573.4 3,127.5
3,142.2 3,688.4
4,052.7 2,828.0
51 MPLCI 700.9
895.5 1,270.9
1,592.1 1,720.7
2,023.9 2,102.1
1,472.3 52 MPLRI
3,602.3 4,741.0
7,030.9 8,336.7
7,657.6 8,797.1
8,236.0 6,914.5
53 MPLIW 80.9
82.1 99.5
92.9 88.5
94.6 88.8
89.6 54 XPLIW
