Hasil Estimasi Persamaan Ekspor Kertas Indonesia
G0
11.49634
G1
234.6284
G2
54.78477
G3
0.699400
H0
0.481256
H1 -
0.00010
H2
0.000136
H3
0.195955
H4
0.347645
I0
1.490791
I1
0.000024
I2 -
0.00060
I3 -
0.02769
I4 -
1.73E-7
I5
0.901972
J0
4686.763
J1 -
358.207
J2
0.098947
J3
0.346529
K0 -
0.87711
K1
0.000040
K2
0.472091
K3
0.000015
L0
567.6558
L1 -
335.079
L2
37.95082
L3
0.695747
M0
0.170058
M1 -
3.77E-6
M2
0.034616
M3 -
9.19E-6
M4
0.129374
N0 -
291.506
N1
837.8657
N2
62.25048
N3
0.667254
; STRUCTURAL EQUATIONS
DPI = A0+A1HRPI-LHRPI+A2HRKI-LHRKILHRKI+A3QKI; QPI = B0+B1HRPI+B2LHRLI+B3LSBKRI+B4T+B5LQPI;
HRPI = C0+C1LSPI+C2LDPI+C3HRXPI+C4LHRPI; XPI = D0+D1HRXPI-LHRXPI+D2LQPI+D3NTR+D4LXPI;
HRXPI = E0+E1XPI+E2HRPWR-LHRPWR+E3LHRXPI; MPI = F0+F1HRIMPI+F2DPI-LDPI+F3NTR+F4LMPI;
HRIMPI= G0+G1LMPI+G2TIP+G3LHRIMPI; DKI = H0+H1HRKI-LHRKI+H2HRKNI-LHRKNI+H3T+H4LDKI;
QKI = I0+I1HRKI+I2HRIKBI+I3SBKRI+I4URKT+I5LQKI; HRKI = J0+J1LSKI+J2HRKWR+J3LHRKI;
XKI = K0+K1LHRXKI+K2QKI+K3NTR; HRXKI = L0+L1XKI+L2T+L3LHRXKI;
MKI = M0+M1HRMKI+M2DKI+M3NTR+M4LMKI; HRMKI = N0+N1LMKI+N2TIK+N3LHRMKI;
IDENTITY EQUATIONS SPI
= QPI+MPI-XPI; SKI
= QKI+MKI-XKI; RANGE TAHUN=
2001
to
2011
; RUN
;
Lampiran 7. Hasil Validasi Model Permintaan dan Pernawaran Pulp dan Kertas Indonesia
The SAS System The SIMNLIN Procedure
Model Summary Model Variables 16
Endogenous 16 Parameters 65
Range Variable Tahun Equations 16
Number of Statements 44 Program Lag Length 1
The SAS System The SIMNLIN Procedure
Dynamic Simultaneous Simulation Data Set Options
DATA= VALIDASI OUT= A
Solution Summary Variables Solved 16
Simulation Lag Length 1 Solution Range Tahun
First 2001 Last 2011
Solution Method NEWTON CONVERGE= 1E-8
Maximum CC 2.56E-15 Maximum Iterations 1
Total Iterations 11 Average Iterations 1
Observations Processed Read 12
Lagged 1 Solved 11
First 13 Last 23
Variables Solved For DPI SPI QPI HRPI HRIMPI HRXPI MPI XPI DKI SKI QKI HRKI HRMKI HRXKI MKI XKI