Hasil Estimasi Persamaan Harga Riil Kertas Indonesia
TIK = tarif impor kertas tahun
TIP = tarif impor pulp tahun
POP = jumlah populasi Indonesia jiwa
IHK = indeks harga konsumen ;
RUN ;
PROC SIMNLIN
DATA=VALIDASI SIMULATE STAT OUTPREDICT THEIL OUT=A; ENDOGENOUS
DPI SPI
QPI HRPI
HRIMPI HRXPI
MPI XPI
DKI SKI
QKI HRKI
HRMKI HRXKI
MKI XKI;
INSTRUMENTS HRLI
SBKRI URPT
HRKWR URKT
T TIK
NTR IHK
HRPWR HRIKBI
TIP HRKNI
CPII; LHRPI
= LAGHRPI; LHRLI
= LAGHRLI; LHRKI
= LAGHRKI; LURPT
= LAGURPT; LURKT
= LAGURKT; LHRIMPI = LAGHRIMPI;
LHRXPI = LAGHRXPI;
LHRMKI = LAGHRMKI;
LHRXKI = LAGHRXKI;
LHRIKBI = LAGHRIKBI; LHRKNI
= LAGHRKNI; LHRPWR
= LAGHRPWR; LHRKWR
= LAGHRKWR; LQPI
= LAGQPI; LDPI
= LAGDPI; LSPI
= LAGSPI; LQKI
= LAGQKI; LDKI
= LAGDKI; LSKI
= LAGSKI; LNTR
= LAGNTR; LMPI
= LAGMPI; LXPI
= LAGXPI; LMKI
= LAGMKI; LXKI
= LAGXKI; LSBKRI
= LAGSBKRI; LT
= LAGT; LTIK
= LAGTIK; LTIP
= LAGTIP; PARM
A0
0.133636
A1 -
0.00002
A2
0.000434
A3
0.481113
B0
1.452550
B1
0.000100
B2 -
5.98E-6
B3 -
0.04543
B4
0.078065
B5
0.540267
C0
323.4093
C1 -
160.943
C2
512.6162
C3
1.020325
C4
0.335160
D0 -
0.21174
D1
0.000080
D2
0.306349
D3
0.000017
D4
0.440266
E0
650.8518
E1 -
223.329
E2
0.201949
E3
0.643474
F0
0.446445
F1 -
0.00005
F2
0.063788
F3 -
0.00001
F4
0.614330
G0
11.49634
G1
234.6284
G2
54.78477
G3
0.699400
H0
0.481256
H1 -
0.00010
H2
0.000136
H3
0.195955
H4
0.347645
I0
1.490791
I1
0.000024
I2 -
0.00060
I3 -
0.02769
I4 -
1.73E-7
I5
0.901972
J0
4686.763
J1 -
358.207
J2
0.098947
J3
0.346529
K0 -
0.87711
K1
0.000040
K2
0.472091
K3
0.000015
L0
567.6558
L1 -
335.079
L2
37.95082
L3
0.695747
M0
0.170058
M1 -
3.77E-6
M2
0.034616
M3 -
9.19E-6
M4
0.129374
N0 -
291.506
N1
837.8657
N2
62.25048
N3
0.667254
; STRUCTURAL EQUATIONS
DPI = A0+A1HRPI-LHRPI+A2HRKI-LHRKILHRKI+A3QKI; QPI = B0+B1HRPI+B2LHRLI+B3LSBKRI+B4T+B5LQPI;
HRPI = C0+C1LSPI+C2LDPI+C3HRXPI+C4LHRPI; XPI = D0+D1HRXPI-LHRXPI+D2LQPI+D3NTR+D4LXPI;
HRXPI = E0+E1XPI+E2HRPWR-LHRPWR+E3LHRXPI; MPI = F0+F1HRIMPI+F2DPI-LDPI+F3NTR+F4LMPI;
HRIMPI= G0+G1LMPI+G2TIP+G3LHRIMPI; DKI = H0+H1HRKI-LHRKI+H2HRKNI-LHRKNI+H3T+H4LDKI;
QKI = I0+I1HRKI+I2HRIKBI+I3SBKRI+I4URKT+I5LQKI; HRKI = J0+J1LSKI+J2HRKWR+J3LHRKI;
XKI = K0+K1LHRXKI+K2QKI+K3NTR; HRXKI = L0+L1XKI+L2T+L3LHRXKI;
MKI = M0+M1HRMKI+M2DKI+M3NTR+M4LMKI; HRMKI = N0+N1LMKI+N2TIK+N3LHRMKI;
IDENTITY EQUATIONS SPI
= QPI+MPI-XPI; SKI
= QKI+MKI-XKI; RANGE TAHUN=
2001
to
2011
; RUN
;