Saran KESIMPULAN DAN SARAN

Adapun faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi permintaan ekspor produk makanan dan minuman olahan Indonesia di pasar non-tradisional Asia adalah sebagai berikut: 1. GDP per kapita riil negara non-tradisional Asia, populasi negara non- tradisional Asia, nilai tukar riil, harga ekspor relatif, dan nilai ekspor tahun sebelumnya mempengaruhi permintaan ekspor produk roti, kue, biskuit, dan produk lainnya yang sejenis. 2. GDP per kapita riil negara non-tradisional Asia, populasi negara non- tradisional Asia, harga ekspor relatif, dan nilai ekspor tahun sebelumnya mempengaruhi permintaan ekspor produk kembang gula. 3. GDP per kapita riil negara non-tradisional Asia, populasi negara non- tradisional Asia, jarak ekonomi, harga ekspor relatif, dan nilai ekspor tahun sebelumnya mempengaruhi permintaan ekspor produk jus buah dan jus sayuran. 4. Sedangkan, GDP per kapita riil negara non-tradisional Asia, jarak ekonomi, nilai tukar riil, harga ekspor relatif, dan nilai ekspor tahun sebelumnya mempengaruhi permintaan ekspor produk teh.

6.2. Saran

1. Posisi pasar “Rising Star” dengan daya saing produk yang kuat pada produk roti, kue, biskuit, dan produk lainnya yang sejenis di Bahrain, India, Macao, dan Thailand, pada produk kembang gula di Bahrain dan India, pada produk jus buah dan jus sayuran di Bahrain, India, Malaysia, dan Thailand, serta pada produk teh di Camboja dan Thailand, sebaiknya pemerintah mendorong industri makanan dan minuman dalam negeri untuk maintained pada posisi pasar yang sudah ideal dengan daya saing yang kuat tersebut. 2. Posisi pasar “Lost Opportunity” pada produk roti, kue, biskuit, dan produk lainnya yang sejenis di Malaysia, pada produk kembang gula di Macao, Malaysia, Thailand, dan Turki, pada produk jus buah dan jus sayuran di Camboja dan Macao, serta produk teh di Bahrain, India, Macao, Malaysia, dan Turki, sebaiknya pemerintah mendorong industri makanan dan minuman untuk lebih produktif dalam memproduksi makanan dan minuman olahan dengan cara meningkatkan kualitas Sumber Daya Manusia SDM melalui pelatihan keterampilan, kecekatan bekerja dan memberikan insentif bagi karyawan yang memiliki produktivitas tinggi, melakukan inovasi teknologi yang mampu menghasilkan produk dalam jumlah yang lebih banyak dengan tidak mengurangi mutu kualitas produk dan menjalin hubungan bilateral yang lebih kuat sehingga Indonesia dapat memperoleh informasi yang baik mengenai kebutuhan impor negara tersebut dan mengenai strategi kebijakan ekonomi yang dilakukan negara importir lainnya sebagai bahan pembanding dan pembelajaran untuk dapat menerapkan strategi kebijakan yang lebih baik. 3. Produk yang memiliki daya saing yang lemah, seperti produk roti, kue, biskuit, dan produk lainnya yang sejenis serta produk kembang gula di Camboja, produk jus buah dan jus sayuran di Bahrain, India, Camboja, Macao, Malaysia, dan Thailand, serta produk teh di Bahrain dan Macao, sebaiknya dilakukan perbaikan iklim usaha dengan melakukan inovasi produk serta menambah daya tarik produk seperti memberikan identitas fisik pada produk yang dipasarkan agar produk memiliki ciri khas tersendiri sehingga mampu menarik perhatian pasar, melakukan efisiensi produk dan biaya produksi dengan tidak mengurangi kualitas produk yang baik dan bagus. Selanjutnya, melakukan kebijakan promosi ekspor dengan mensosialisasikan produk makanan dan minuman olahan Indonesia di pasar non-tradisional Asia. 4. Sementara itu, untuk meningkatkan ekspor produk teh terkait nilai tukar dan harga ekspor relatif, sebaiknya pemerintah melakukan kebijakan terhadap tarif ekspor yang menimbulkan biaya ekonomi tinggi, seperti tarif pungutan dan tarif pelabuhan yang harus dipangkas agar harga perdagangan pada produk teh yang mahal seperti teh hijau dan teh hitam menjadi tidak sangat mahal. 5. Untuk penelitian selanjutnya mengenai ekspor produk makanan dan minuman olahan, sebaiknya dilakukan penelitian terhadap produk dengan kode Harmonized System HS enam digit atau agar lebih spesifik dapat pula dilakukan penelitian dengan kode HS sepuluh digit. DAFTAR PUSTAKA Agri, M. W. 2011. Posisi Daya Saing Hortikultura Indonesia Di Sepuluh Negara Tujuan Utama Dan Dunia [Skripsi]. Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor. Andelisa, N. 2011. Analisis Daya Saing Dan Aliran Ekspor Produk Crude Coconut Oil CCO Indonesia [Skripsi]. Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor. Badan Pusat Statistik. Berbagai Terbitan. www.bps.go.id [Februari 2012] Bappenas, 2009. Perdagangan Dan Investasi Di Indonesia: Sebuah Catatan Tentang Daya Saing Dan Tantangan Ke Depan . Jakarta: KemitraanPartnership. Cahyadi, W. 2005. Analisis dan Aspek Kesehatan Bahan Tambahan Pangan. Cetakan Pertama. Bumi Aksara, Jakarta. Cahyono, H. 2010. Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Permintaan Impor Indonesia dari Amerika Serikat Tahun 1985-2009 [Skripsi]. Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Sebelas Maret, Surakarta. CEPII database. Berbagai Terbitan. www.cepii.fr [Februari 2012] Dumairy, 1997. Perekonomian Indonesia. Jakarta: Erlangga. Firdaus, A. H. 2007. Analisis Daya Saing Dan Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Ekspor Tekstil Dan Produk Tekstil Indonesia Di Pasar Amerika Serikat [Skripsi]. Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor. Firdaus, A. H. 2011. ASEAN Plus Three: Kinerja Perdagangan Dan Dampak Free Trade Area FTA Terhadap Perekonomian Indonesia [Tesis]. Sekolah Program Pascasarjana, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor. Firdaus, M. 2004. Ekonometrika Suatu Pendekatan Aplikatif. Jakarta: Bumi Aksara. Firdaus, M. 2011. Aplikasi Ekonometrika untuk Data Panel dan Time Series. Bogor: IPB PRESS. Gabungan Pengusaha Makanan dan Minuman Indonesia GAPMMI. Berbagai Terbitan. www.gapmmi.or.id [Februari 2012] Gumilar, N. A. 2010. Dayasaing Komoditi Sayuran Utama Indonesia di Pasar Internasional [Skripsi]. Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor. Hady, H. 2001. Ekonomi Internasional: Teori dan Kebijakan Perdagangan Internasiona. Buku Kesatu. Ghalia Indonesia, Jakarta. Hafni, N. 2011. Analisis Daya Saing dan Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Aliran Ekspor Pisang Indonesia [Skripsi]. Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor. Indonesia Eximbank. Berbagai Terbitan. www.indonesiaeximbank.go.id [Februari 2012] Juanda, B. 2009. Ekonometrika: Pemodelan dan Pendugaan. Bogor: IPB PRESS. Kementerian Perdagangan Republik Indonesia. Berbagai Terbitan. www.kemendag.go.id [Februari 2012] Oktaviani, R.H. 2000. The Indonesian Import Demand and Trade Flow of Cotton. Departemen Ilmu-ilmu Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian. Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor. Oktaviani, R dan Tanti, N. 2009. Teori Perdagangan Internasional dan Aplikasinya di Indonesia . Departemen Ilmu Ekonomi. Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor. Ramadhan, A. K. 2011. Daya Saing Produk Perikanan Indonesia Di Beberapa Negara Importir Utama Dan Dunia [Skripsi]. Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor. Salvatore, D. 1997. Ekonomi Internasional. Haris Munandar [Penerjemah]. Erlangga, Jakarta. Saparinto, C dan Hidayati, D. 2006. Bahan Tambahan Pangan. Cetakan Pertama. Kanisius, Yogyakarta. Saptanto, S dan Widyono, S. 2010. Analisis Model Ekspor Komoditas Perikanan Indonesia dengan Pendekatan Gravity Model. Jurnal Bijak dan Riset Sosek, 5:169-181. Saptanto, S. 2011. Daya Saing Ekspor Produk Perikanan Indonesia Di Lingkup ASEAN dan ASEAN-China. Jurnal Bijak dan Riset Sosek, 6:51-60. Setyo, A. F. 2009. Analisis Aliran Perdagangan Manggis Indonesia [Skripsi]. Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor. Siregar, T. 2010. Dayasaing Buah-Buahan Tropis Indonesia di Pasar Dunia [Skripsi]. Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor. Tambunan, T. H. 2001. Industrialisasi Di Negara sedang Berkembang: kasus Indonesia . Jakarta: Ghalia Indonesia. United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics Database. Berbagai Terbitan. www.un.comtrade.org [Februari 2012] World Bank. 2010. World Bank Economic Database. www.worldbank.org [Februari 2012] LAMPIRAN Lampiran 1. Hasil Olahan Metode EPD Produk Makanan dan Minuman Olahan Indonesia Di Pasar Non-tradisional Asia, 2003-2010 Tabel 1. Hasil Olahan Metode EPD Produk Roti, Kue, Biskuit, dan Produk Lainnya yang Sejenis Average Average Growth Growth XijWij XtWt X Y Positioning Bahrain 2002 0.00459 0.00649 na na 2003 0.00351 0.00533 -23.62 -17.81 2004 0.00347 0.00418 -1.02 -21.53 2005 0.00260 0.00380 -24.93 -9.24 2006 0.00369 0.00338 41.60 -10.92 2007 0.01240 0.00377 236.15 11.37 2008 0.01085 0.00501 -12.50 33.00 2009 0.01812 0.00277 67.04 -44.74 2010 0.00922 0.00521 -49.10 88.24 29.20 3.55 Rising Star India 2002 0.00000 0.00000 na na 2003 0.03664 0.02595 0.00 0.00 2004 0.01197 0.02453 -67.33 -5.50 2005 0.05751 0.02143 380.46 -12.62 2006 0.03792 0.02026 -34.05 -5.47 2007 0.05152 0.02214 35.86 9.27 2008 0.07470 0.02037 44.99 -7.98 2009 0.11653 0.02853 55.99 40.04 2010 0.13121 0.02770 12.60 -2.90 53.56 1.86 Rising Star Kamboja 2002 0.00000 0.00000 na na 2003 0.00000 0.00000 0.00 0.00 2004 0.01880 0.03810 0.00 0.00 2005 0.03574 0.03243 90.16 -14.88 2006 0.02643 0.02859 -26.06 -11.85 2007 0.02156 0.02522 -18.42 -11.80 2008 0.01897 0.02183 -12.00 -13.44 2009 0.02846 0.03732 49.98 70.96 2010 0.07194 0.03576 152.78 -4.18 29.56 1.85 Rising Star Lebanon 2002 0.00312 0.00830 na na 2003 0.00077 0.00562 -75.38 -32.38 2004 0.00081 0.00557 4.97 -0.83 2005 0.00042 0.00511 -48.37 -8.23 2006 0.00084 0.00432 102.04 -15.45 2007 0.00286 0.00449 240.15 3.86 2008 0.00261 0.00491 -9.03 9.48 2009 0.00116 0.00508 -55.61 3.33 2010 0.00116 0.00418 -0.07 -17.75 19.84 -7.24 Falling Star Share Share Market Negara Tahun Sumber: UN Comtrade diolah, 2012 Sri Lanka 2002 0.14884 0.02444 na na 2003 0.13791 0.02510 -7.34 2.68 2004 0.07226 0.02222 -47.61 -11.46 2005 0.05161 0.02630 -28.57 18.39 2006 0.13592 0.02300 163.33 -12.55 2007 0.09591 0.02165 -29.44 -5.88 2008 0.14315 0.02098 49.26 -3.10 2009 0.10036 0.02081 -29.90 -0.83 2010 0.13102 0.01693 30.56 -18.64 12.54 -3.92 Falling Star Macao 2002 0.00999 0.00545 na na 2003 0.00646 0.00454 -35.31 -16.69 2004 0.00673 0.00417 4.21 -8.19 2005 0.00775 0.00441 15.06 5.65 2006 0.00602 0.00418 -22.28 -5.06 2007 0.01510 0.00471 150.83 12.66 2008 0.00908 0.00524 -39.88 11.16 2009 0.01117 0.00644 23.06 22.96 2010 0.00714 0.00802 -36.08 24.45 7.45 5.87 Rising Star Malaysia 2002 0.35626 0.03239 na na 2003 0.25598 0.03567 -28.15 10.13 2004 0.26961 0.04030 5.32 12.98 2005 0.26157 0.03858 -2.98 -4.26 2006 0.19447 0.03779 -25.65 -2.06 2007 0.18485 0.04316 -4.95 14.20 2008 0.18482 0.04657 -0.01 7.91 2009 0.19254 0.05299 4.18 13.79 2010 0.19269 0.05564 0.08 5.00 -6.52 7.21 Lost Opportunity Pakistan 2002 0.00000 0.00000 na na 2003 0.01777 0.02039 0.00 0.00 2004 0.03641 0.02624 104.87 28.71 2005 0.02842 0.02731 -21.92 4.05 2006 0.01072 0.02713 -62.28 -0.65 2007 0.03697 0.02691 244.83 -0.81 2008 0.06930 0.02817 87.45 4.69 2009 0.00146 0.02069 -97.90 -26.55 2010 0.43376 0.01801 29680.57 -12.97 3741.95 -0.44 Falling Star Thailand 2002 0.25601 0.02447 na na 2003 0.28094 0.02378 9.74 -2.80 2004 0.27974 0.02490 -0.43 4.71 2005 0.29548 0.02678 5.63 7.55 2006 0.24372 0.02724 -17.52 1.71 2007 0.25399 0.02810 4.21 3.16 2008 0.31894 0.03062 25.57 8.94 2009 0.36371 0.02885 14.04 -5.76 2010 0.38337 0.03151 5.41 9.22 5.83 3.34 Rising Star Tabel 2. Hasil Olahan Metode EPD Produk Kembang Gula Average Average Growth Growth XijWij XtWt X Y Positioning Bahrain 2002 0.03749 0.00649 na na 2003 0.04880 0.00533 30.16 -17.81 2004 0.04126 0.00418 -15.45 -21.53 2005 0.03447 0.00380 -16.46 -9.24 2006 0.03840 0.00338 11.39 -10.92 2007 0.05086 0.00377 32.46 11.37 2008 0.03074 0.00501 -39.56 33.00 2009 0.04951 0.00277 61.03 -44.74 2010 0.09065 0.00521 83.11 88.24 18.34 3.55 Rising Star India 2002 0.00000 0.00000 na na 2003 0.04499 0.02595 0.00 0.00 2004 0.02767 0.02453 -38.51 -5.50 2005 0.02473 0.02143 -10.60 -12.62 2006 0.02664 0.02026 7.70 -5.47 2007 0.01566 0.02214 -41.21 9.27 2008 0.05134 0.02037 227.78 -7.98 2009 0.10019 0.02853 95.14 40.04 2010 0.13618 0.02770 35.92 -2.90 34.53 1.86 Rising Star Kamboja 2002 0.00000 0.00000 na na 2003 0.00000 0.00000 0.00 0.00 2004 0.01551 0.03810 0.00 0.00 2005 0.00094 0.03243 -93.92 -14.88 2006 0.00170 0.02859 79.91 -11.85 2007 0.00970 0.02522 471.12 -11.80 2008 0.00761 0.02183 -21.56 -13.44 2009 0.12058 0.03732 1485.56 70.96 2010 0.07382 0.03576 -38.78 -4.18 235.29 1.85 Rising Star Lebanon 2002 0.04006 0.00830 na na 2003 0.05025 0.00562 25.43 -32.38 2004 0.04898 0.00557 -2.52 -0.83 2005 0.04364 0.00511 -10.91 -8.23 2006 0.03977 0.00432 -8.87 -15.45 2007 0.04012 0.00449 0.90 3.86 2008 0.03996 0.00491 -0.42 9.48 2009 0.06097 0.00508 52.59 3.33 2010 0.08232 0.00418 35.02 -17.75 11.40 -7.24 Falling Star Sri Lanka 2002 0.25948 0.02444 na na 2003 0.16587 0.02510 -36.08 2.68 2004 0.12615 0.02222 -23.95 -11.46 2005 0.00889 0.02630 -92.95 18.39 2006 0.07711 0.02300 767.14 -12.55 2007 0.03600 0.02165 -53.31 -5.88 2008 0.05668 0.02098 57.43 -3.10 Negara Tahun Share Share Market Sumber: UN Comtrade diolah, 2012 2009 0.06554 0.02081 15.63 -0.83 2010 0.06268 0.01693 -4.36 -18.64 78.69 -3.92 Falling Star Macao 2002 0.04717 0.00545 na na 2003 0.04237 0.00454 -10.18 -16.69 2004 0.05685 0.00417 34.17 -8.19 2005 0.04334 0.00441 -23.77 5.65 2006 0.03834 0.00418 -11.53 -5.06 2007 0.03157 0.00471 -17.66 12.66 2008 0.02692 0.00524 -14.71 11.16 2009 0.03462 0.00644 28.59 22.96 2010 0.03742 0.00802 8.10 24.45 -0.87 5.87 Lost Opportunity Malaysia 2002 0.29945 0.03239 na na 2003 0.30911 0.03567 3.23 10.13 2004 0.34793 0.04030 12.56 12.98 2005 0.33528 0.03858 -3.64 -4.26 2006 0.32129 0.03779 -4.17 -2.06 2007 0.27048 0.04316 -15.81 14.20 2008 0.22839 0.04657 -15.56 7.91 2009 0.20683 0.05299 -9.44 13.79 2010 0.18091 0.05564 -12.53 5.00 -5.67 7.21 Lost Opportunity Pakistan 2002 0.00000 0.00000 na na 2003 0.17016 0.02039 0.00 0.00 2004 0.24255 0.02624 42.54 28.71 2005 0.19269 0.02731 -20.55 4.05 2006 0.24485 0.02713 27.07 -0.65 2007 0.20843 0.02691 -14.87 -0.81 2008 0.22448 0.02817 7.70 4.69 2009 0.23701 0.02069 5.59 -26.55 2010 0.18608 0.01801 -21.49 -12.97 3.25 -0.44 Falling Star Thailand 2002 0.33155 0.02447 na na 2003 0.31991 0.02378 -3.51 -2.80 2004 0.35995 0.02490 12.51 4.71 2005 0.34246 0.02678 -4.86 7.55 2006 0.33700 0.02724 -1.59 1.71 2007 0.22892 0.02810 -32.07 3.16 2008 0.21558 0.03062 -5.83 8.94 2009 0.16318 0.02885 -24.31 -5.76 2010 0.18051 0.03151 10.62 9.22 -6.13 3.34 Lost Opportunity Turki 2002 0.11512 0.00637 na na 2003 0.07444 0.00649 -35.34 2.00 2004 0.07389 0.00639 -0.74 -1.59 2005 0.11592 0.00642 56.89 0.52 2006 0.07972 0.00739 -31.23 15.01 2007 0.01143 0.00800 -85.67 8.23 2008 0.00000 0.00698 -100.00 -12.76 2009 0.00417 0.00722 0.00 3.46 2010 0.01182 0.00796 183.66 10.27 -1.55 3.14 Lost Opportunity Tabel 3. Hasil Olahan Metode EPD Produk Jus Buah dan Jus Sayuran Average Average Growth Growth XijWij XtWt X Y Positioning Bahrain 2002 0.00000 0.00649 na na 2003 0.00035 0.00533 0.00 -17.81 2004 0.00000 0.00418 -100.00 -21.53 2005 0.00000 0.00380 0.00 -9.24 2006 0.00150 0.00338 0.00 -10.92 2007 0.00598 0.00377 297.63 11.37 2008 0.00105 0.00501 -82.40 33.00 2009 0.00000 0.00277 -100.00 -44.74 2010 0.01206 0.00521 0.00 88.24 1.90 3.55 Rising Star India 2002 0.00000 0.00000 na na 2003 0.00229 0.02595 0.00 0.00 2004 0.00172 0.02453 -24.81 -5.50 2005 0.00505 0.02143 192.75 -12.62 2006 0.00703 0.02026 39.20 -5.47 2007 0.00090 0.02214 -87.23 9.27 2008 0.00569 0.02037 533.62 -7.98 2009 0.00335 0.02853 -41.14 40.04 2010 0.00850 0.02770 153.94 -2.90 95.79 1.86 Rising Star Kamboja 2002 0.00000 0.00000 na na 2003 0.00000 0.00000 0.00 0.00 2004 0.00000 0.03810 0.00 0.00 2005 0.00000 0.03243 0.00 -14.88 2006 0.00000 0.02859 0.00 -11.85 2007 0.00581 0.02522 0.00 -11.80 2008 0.00149 0.02183 -74.41 -13.44 2009 0.00000 0.03732 -100.00 70.96 2010 0.00233 0.03576 0.00 -4.18 -21.80 1.85 Lost Opportunity Lebanon 2002 0.00382 0.00830 na na 2003 0.00989 0.00562 158.82 -32.38 2004 0.03343 0.00557 237.85 -0.83 2005 0.00000 0.00511 -100.00 -8.23 2006 0.00000 0.00432 0.00 -15.45 2007 0.00000 0.00449 0.00 3.86 2008 0.00000 0.00491 0.00 9.48 2009 0.02111 0.00508 0.00 3.33 2010 0.00000 0.00418 -100.00 -17.75 24.58 -7.24 Falling Star Sri Lanka 2002 0.00000 0.02444 na na 2003 0.00005 0.02510 0.00 2.68 2004 0.00279 0.02222 5461.57 -11.46 2005 0.00000 0.02630 -100.00 18.39 2006 0.00974 0.02300 0.00 -12.55 2007 0.00000 0.02165 -100.00 -5.88 2008 0.00006 0.02098 0.00 -3.10 2009 0.00000 0.02081 -100.00 -0.83 2010 0.00000 0.01693 0.00 -18.64 645.20 -3.92 Falling Star Negara Tahun Share Share Market Sumber: UN Comtrade diolah, 2012 Macao 2002 0.00000 0.00545 na na 2003 0.00000 0.00454 0.00 -16.69 2004 0.00192 0.00417 0.00 -8.19 2005 0.00010 0.00441 -95.03 5.65 2006 0.00026 0.00418 175.02 -5.06 2007 0.00000 0.00471 -100.00 12.66 2008 0.00019 0.00524 0.00 11.16 2009 0.00000 0.00644 -100.00 22.96 2010 0.00060 0.00802 0.00 24.45 -15.00 5.87 Lost Opportunity Malaysia 2002 0.00924 0.03239 na na 2003 0.02695 0.03567 191.69 10.13 2004 0.01113 0.04030 -58.71 12.98 2005 0.00737 0.03858 -33.75 -4.26 2006 0.02125 0.03779 188.24 -2.06 2007 0.02422 0.04316 13.99 14.20 2008 0.03403 0.04657 40.52 7.91 2009 0.02682 0.05299 -21.20 13.79 2010 0.01934 0.05564 -27.88 5.00 36.61 7.21 Rising Star Pakistan 2002 0.00000 0.00000 na na 2003 0.00391 0.02039 0.00 0.00 2004 0.00133 0.02624 -65.91 28.71 2005 0.00000 0.02731 -100.00 4.05 2006 0.00056 0.02713 0.00 -0.65 2007 0.00082 0.02691 46.24 -0.81 2008 0.00460 0.02817 457.41 4.69 2009 0.01625 0.02069 253.33 -26.55 2010 0.00911 0.01801 -43.95 -12.97 68.39 -0.44 Falling Star Thailand 2002 0.02939 0.02447 na na 2003 0.00947 0.02378 -67.79 -2.80 2004 0.03140 0.02490 231.62 4.71 2005 0.05154 0.02678 64.17 7.55 2006 0.00610 0.02724 -88.17 1.71 2007 0.00001 0.02810 -99.90 3.16 2008 0.00001 0.03062 37.65 8.94 2009 0.00014 0.02885 1615.89 -5.76 2010 0.00062 0.03151 335.35 9.22 253.60 3.34 Rising Star Turki 2002 0.00000 0.00637 na na 2003 0.00464 0.00649 0.00 2.00 2004 0.00753 0.00639 62.29 -1.59 2005 0.01347 0.00642 78.95 0.52 2006 0.00582 0.00739 -56.81 15.01 2007 0.00709 0.00800 21.92 8.23 2008 0.01128 0.00698 59.06 -12.76 2009 0.03376 0.00722 199.33 3.46 2010 0.02271 0.00796 -32.75 10.27 41.50 3.14 Rising Star Tabel 4. Hasil Olahan Metode EPD Produk Teh Average Average Growth Growth XijWij XtWt X Y Positioning Bahrain 2002 0.00000 0.00649 na na 2003 0.00000 0.00533 0.00 -17.81 2004 0.00000 0.00418 0.00 -21.53 2005 0.00030 0.00380 0.00 -9.24 2006 0.00000 0.00338 -100.00 -10.92 2007 0.00263 0.00377 0.00 11.37 2008 0.00000 0.00501 -100.00 33.00 2009 0.00000 0.00277 0.00 -44.74 2010 0.00004 0.00521 0.00 88.24 -25.00 3.55 Lost Opportunity India 2002 0.00000 0.00000 na na 2003 0.19705 0.02595 0.00 0.00 2004 0.08562 0.02453 -56.55 -5.50 2005 0.11746 0.02143 37.19 -12.62 2006 0.08629 0.02026 -26.54 -5.47 2007 0.11889 0.02214 37.78 9.27 2008 0.12319 0.02037 3.62 -7.98 2009 0.09794 0.02853 -20.50 40.04 2010 0.08607 0.02770 -12.12 -2.90 -4.64 1.86 Lost Opportunity Kamboja 2002 0.00000 0.00000 na na 2003 0.00000 0.00000 0.00 0.00 2004 0.01023 0.03810 0.00 0.00 2005 0.00000 0.03243 -100.00 -14.88 2006 0.04950 0.02859 0.00 -11.85 2007 0.11588 0.02522 134.08 -11.80 2008 0.15203 0.02183 31.20 -13.44 2009 0.04517 0.03732 -70.29 70.96 2010 0.05421 0.03576 20.02 -4.18 1.88 1.85 Rising star Sri Lanka 2002 0.01619 0.02444 na na 2003 0.02077 0.02510 28.29 2.68 2004 0.02377 0.02222 14.42 -11.46 2005 0.02969 0.02630 24.94 18.39 2006 0.02500 0.02300 -15.81 -12.55 2007 0.04486 0.02165 79.44 -5.88 2008 0.02182 0.02098 -51.35 -3.10 2009 0.01731 0.02081 -20.67 -0.83 2010 0.01238 0.01693 -28.49 -18.64 3.85 -3.92 Falling Star Macao 2002 0.0000000 0.005453058 na na 2003 0.0000000 0.004543047 0.00 -16.69 2004 0.0004656 0.004171007 0.00 -8.19 2005 0.0003917 0.004406588 -15.87 5.65 2006 0.0000000 0.004183621 -100.00 -5.06 Negara Tahun Share Share Market Sumber: UN Comtrade diolah, 2012 2007 0.0000000 0.004713216 0.00 12.66 2008 0.0000000 0.00523917 0.00 11.16 2009 0.0010313 0.006441918 0.00 22.96 2010 0.0001813 0.008017231 -82.42 24.45 -24.79 5.87 Lost Opportunity Malaysia 2002 0.47050 0.03239 na na 2003 0.54461 0.03567 15.75 10.13 2004 0.54282 0.04030 -0.33 12.98 2005 0.54272 0.03858 -0.02 -4.26 2006 0.52879 0.03779 -2.57 -2.06 2007 0.50045 0.04316 -5.36 14.20 2008 0.50100 0.04657 0.11 7.91 2009 0.44383 0.05299 -11.41 13.79 2010 0.44161 0.05564 -0.50 5.00 -0.54 7.21 Lost Opportunity Pakistan 2002 0.00000 0.00000 na na 2003 0.04527 0.02039 0.00 0.00 2004 0.06145 0.02624 35.75 28.71 2005 0.05543 0.02731 -9.79 4.05 2006 0.06700 0.02713 20.87 -0.65 2007 0.04421 0.02691 -34.01 -0.81 2008 0.04690 0.02817 6.08 4.69 2009 0.03393 0.02069 -27.65 -26.55 2010 0.02901 0.01801 -14.49 -12.97 -2.91 -0.44 Retreat Thailand 2002 0.01817 0.02447 na na 2003 0.14818 0.02378 715.37 -2.80 2004 0.09042 0.02490 -38.98 4.71 2005 0.12026 0.02678 32.99 7.55 2006 0.10590 0.02724 -11.94 1.71 2007 0.09592 0.02810 -9.42 3.16 2008 0.11587 0.03062 20.80 8.94 2009 0.06438 0.02885 -44.44 -5.76 2010 0.08296 0.03151 28.85 9.22 86.65 3.34 Rising Star Turki 2002 0.21486 0.00637 na na 2003 0.15301 0.00649 -28.79 2.00 2004 0.11934 0.00639 -22.00 -1.59 2005 0.07563 0.00642 -36.63 0.52 2006 0.04766 0.00739 -36.98 15.01 2007 0.05852 0.00800 22.79 8.23 2008 0.06285 0.00698 7.41 -12.76 2009 0.05192 0.00722 -17.39 3.46 2010 0.06348 0.00796 22.26 10.27 -11.17 3.14 Lost Opportunity Lampiran 2. Hasil Olahan Metode RCA Produk Makanan dan Minuman Olahan Indonesia Di Pasar Non-Tradisional Asia, 2003-2010 Tabel 5. Hasil Olahan Metode RCA Produk Roti, Kue, Biskuit, dan Produk Lainnya yang Sejenis RCA XijXit WjWt Bahrain 2003 78,340 30,161,128 22,350,872 5,657,241,320 0.657 2004 80,343 27,544,161 23,158,998 6,583,640,187 0.829 2005 67,316 35,463,850 25,847,087 9,339,254,009 0.686 2006 93,322 30,297,332 25,304,569 8,956,853,532 1.090 2007 334,938 43,380,794 27,017,476 11,515,148,862 3.291 2008 433,749 92,265,664 39,987,983 18,414,553,284 2.165 2009 654,632 33,206,090 36,130,453 11,993,377,020 6.544 2010 362,922 52,862,919 39,354,631 10,142,867,719 1.769 2.129 India 2003 130,632 1,879,765,717 3,565,177 72,430,524,382 1.412 2004 39,850 2,427,664,875 3,329,409 98,981,129,472 0.488 2005 284,378 3,018,949,039 4,945,157 140,861,666,918 2.683 2006 248,374 3,610,442,609 6,549,157 178,212,440,308 1.872 2007 476,180 4,840,346,028 9,241,985 218,645,293,931 2.327 2008 886,002 6,431,337,165 11,860,201 315,712,105,614 3.667 2009 1,326,879 7,599,637,766 11,386,311 266,401,552,908 4.085 2010 1,990,017 9,695,329,240 15,166,133 350,029,386,927 4.737 2.659 Kamboja 2003 0.000 2004 47,344 78,592,340 2,518,849 2,062,692,658 0.493 2005 94,675 82,761,003 2,648,807 2,551,744,004 1.102 2006 62,391 85,459,301 2,360,634 2,989,221,796 0.924 2007 67,485 89,630,197 3,129,719 3,554,558,966 0.855 2008 67,820 96,402,190 3,574,261 4,416,653,317 0.869 2009 89,750 145,726,876 3,153,727 3,905,244,198 0.763 2010 320,832 175,302,580 4,459,817 4,902,523,729 2.012 0.877 Lebanon 2003 22,114 40,245,484 28,752,174 7,167,452,160 0.137 2004 26,000 52,261,000 32,205,000 9,385,039,000 0.145 2005 14,000 47,661,000 33,589,000 9,326,988,000 0.082 2006 31,690 40,589,902 37,631,454 9,395,085,285 0.195 2007 120,809 53,011,261 42,175,693 11,813,914,118 0.638 2008 145,981 79,274,377 56,019,650 16,136,466,067 0.530 2009 75,537 82,399,420 65,294,310 16,231,585,205 0.228 2010 83,715 75,027,564 72,412,983 17,967,843,415 0.277 0.279 Sri Lanka 2003 206,429 163,477,938 1,496,878 6,514,295,591 5.495 2004 130,868 174,458,827 1,811,173 7,852,070,730 3.252 2005 89,626 218,509,423 1,736,434 8,307,067,738 1.962 2006 225,507 224,818,983 1,659,141 9,773,149,992 5.909 2007 164,207 246,511,428 1,712,107 11,385,744,139 4.430 2008 173,993 285,947,226 1,215,432 13,629,062,682 6.823 2009 115,569 196,235,364 1,151,600 9,431,850,987 4.823 2010 166,910 209,111,402 1,273,923 12,353,707,838 7.740 5.054 Wj Wt Negara Tahun Xij Xit Rataan Rataan Rataan Rataan Rataan Sumber: UN Comtrade diolah, 2012 Macao 2003 42,820 12,514,119 6,626,724 2,754,565,181 1.422 2004 64,319 14,506,126 9,551,923 3,477,847,343 1.614 2005 113,712 17,238,190 14,677,201 3,911,913,246 1.758 2006 103,570 19,099,654 17,199,298 4,565,340,419 1.439 2007 342,459 25,287,288 22,672,521 5,365,187,969 3.205 2008 202,149 28,110,807 22,262,618 5,365,508,003 1.733 2009 211,431 29,761,772 18,921,378 4,620,016,863 1.735 2010 192,142 44,201,158 26,902,418 5,513,269,732 0.891 1.725 Malaysia 2003 4,683,600 2,940,859,398 18,296,399 82,443,541,384 7.176 2004 5,188,126 4,201,190,856 19,242,800 104,247,460,245 6.690 2005 5,291,364 4,371,637,567 20,229,078 113,299,071,777 6.779 2006 4,469,058 4,955,439,943 22,980,498 131,127,047,764 5.146 2007 5,379,419 6,252,413,786 29,102,219 144,869,776,519 4.283 2008 7,259,334 7,249,570,802 39,278,031 155,660,819,369 3.968 2009 7,725,089 6,548,656,141 40,120,961 123,575,279,300 3.633 2010 10,520,577 9,151,197,412 54,597,796 164,465,853,289 3.463 5.142 Pakistan 2003 11,351 265,851,630 638,776 13,037,524,997 0.871 2004 48,960 471,057,338 1,344,844 17,948,583,563 1.387 2005 61,025 683,870,689 2,146,934 25,043,392,979 1.041 2006 42,886 808,935,055 4,000,084 29,817,322,329 0.395 2007 118,460 876,973,582 3,204,161 32,588,896,291 1.374 2008 147,242 1,191,685,943 2,124,605 42,298,217,961 2.460 2009 22,763 653,588,884 15,628,487 31,582,641,375 0.070 2010 9,967,279 675,655,481 22,978,996 37,512,555,263 24.082 3.960 Thailand 2003 5,641,986 1,777,244,465 20,082,381 74,728,030,186 11.813 2004 6,525,159 2,323,942,658 23,326,158 93,316,601,912 11.233 2005 11,390,482 3,128,370,148 38,549,507 116,795,783,760 11.031 2006 10,684,375 3,463,287,667 43,838,586 127,131,219,076 8.947 2007 11,852,011 3,986,010,295 46,662,650 141,833,145,784 9.038 2008 20,076,715 5,402,115,664 62,948,148 176,444,984,772 10.417 2009 23,735,361 3,800,128,304 65,259,123 131,708,790,732 12.606 2010 30,244,711 5,675,790,547 78,891,021 180,113,337,475 12.166 10.906 Rataan Rataan Rataan Rataan Tabel 6. Hasil Olahan Metode RCA Produk Kembang Gula RCA XijXit WjWt Bahrain 2003 320,156 30,161,128 6,560,119 5,657,241,320 9.154 2004 230,686 27,544,161 5,590,523 6,583,640,187 9.863 2005 203,593 35,463,850 5,906,410 9,339,254,009 9.077 2006 174,739 30,297,332 4,550,772 8,956,853,532 11.352 2007 331,986 43,380,794 6,527,093 11,515,148,862 13.501 2008 285,478 92,265,664 9,285,846 18,414,553,284 6.136 2009 378,207 33,206,090 7,639,516 11,993,377,020 17.881 2010 780,239 52,862,919 8,606,902 10,142,867,719 17.394 11.795 India 2003 137,797 1,879,765,717 3,062,566 72,430,524,382 1.734 2004 122,688 2,427,664,875 4,434,509 98,981,129,472 1.128 2005 127,680 3,018,949,039 5,161,974 140,861,666,918 1.154 2006 137,938 3,610,442,609 5,177,790 178,212,440,308 1.315 2007 167,388 4,840,346,028 10,686,857 218,645,293,931 0.708 2008 506,892 6,431,337,165 9,873,101 315,712,105,614 2.520 2009 1,006,615 7,599,637,766 10,047,242 266,401,552,908 3.512 2010 1,904,753 9,695,329,240 13,987,531 350,029,386,927 4.916 2.123 Kamboja 2003 0.000 2004 24,870 78,592,340 1,603,506 2,062,692,658 0.407 2005 2,197 82,761,003 2,328,385 2,551,744,004 0.029 2006 5,189 85,459,301 3,056,764 2,989,221,796 0.059 2007 37,200 89,630,197 3,837,002 3,554,558,966 0.384 2008 34,531 96,402,190 4,540,563 4,416,653,317 0.348 2009 444,552 145,726,876 3,686,717 3,905,244,198 3.231 2010 255,411 175,302,580 3,459,770 4,902,523,729 2.065 0.816 Lebanon 2003 469,716 40,245,484 9,348,082 7,167,452,160 8.949 2004 468,000 52,261,000 9,555,000 9,385,039,000 8.796 2005 446,000 47,661,000 10,221,000 9,326,988,000 8.539 2006 377,093 40,589,902 9,482,720 9,395,085,285 9.204 2007 529,659 53,011,261 13,200,337 11,813,914,118 8.942 2008 589,463 79,274,377 14,752,695 16,136,466,067 8.133 2009 1,024,100 82,399,420 16,797,377 16,231,585,205 12.010 2010 1,560,734 75,027,564 18,959,937 17,967,843,415 19.714 10.536 Sri Lanka 2003 377,792 163,477,938 2,277,696 6,514,295,591 6.609 2004 215,553 174,458,827 1,708,721 7,852,070,730 5.678 2005 17,019 218,509,423 1,913,840 8,307,067,738 0.338 2006 202,599 224,818,983 2,627,349 9,773,149,992 3.352 2007 98,955 246,511,428 2,748,578 11,385,744,139 1.663 2008 176,719 285,947,226 3,117,939 13,629,062,682 2.701 2009 101,007 196,235,364 1,541,173 9,431,850,987 3.150 2010 94,160 209,111,402 1,502,259 12,353,707,838 3.703 3.399 Rataan Rataan Rataan Rataan Negara Tahun Xij Xit Wj Wt Rataan Sumber: UN Comtrade diolah, 2012 Macao 2003 205,099 12,514,119 4,840,860 2,754,565,181 9.326 2004 326,193 14,506,126 5,738,033 3,477,847,343 13.629 2005 327,055 17,238,190 7,546,954 3,911,913,246 9.834 2006 341,585 19,099,654 8,909,981 4,565,340,419 9.164 2007 329,143 25,287,288 10,427,157 5,365,187,969 6.697 2008 264,777 28,110,807 9,835,327 5,365,508,003 5.138 2009 312,453 29,761,772 9,025,917 4,620,016,863 5.374 2010 385,559 44,201,158 10,303,520 5,513,269,732 4.667 7.979 Malaysia 2003 6,421,929 2,940,859,398 20,775,790 82,443,541,384 8.665 2004 9,060,550 4,201,190,856 26,041,353 104,247,460,245 8.633 2005 8,923,063 4,371,637,567 26,613,912 113,299,071,777 8.689 2006 9,645,189 4,955,439,943 30,020,504 131,127,047,764 8.502 2007 9,747,024 6,252,413,786 36,035,577 144,869,776,519 6.267 2008 9,809,571 7,249,570,802 42,950,952 155,660,819,369 4.904 2009 8,832,384 6,548,656,141 42,703,789 123,575,279,300 3.903 2010 8,444,040 9,151,197,412 46,676,393 164,465,853,289 3.251 6.602 Pakistan 2003 151,800 265,851,630 892,110 13,037,524,997 8.345 2004 394,529 471,057,338 1,626,619 17,948,583,563 9.242 2005 398,241 683,870,689 2,066,723 25,043,392,979 7.056 2006 745,756 808,935,055 3,045,827 29,817,322,329 9.025 2007 849,406 876,973,582 4,075,278 32,588,896,291 7.745 2008 838,656 1,191,685,943 3,736,055 42,298,217,961 7.968 2009 579,785 653,588,884 2,446,205 31,582,641,375 11.453 2010 588,788 675,655,481 3,164,184 37,512,555,263 10.331 8.896 Thailand 2003 5,571,136 1,777,244,465 17,414,479 74,728,030,186 13.451 2004 6,316,203 2,323,942,658 17,547,426 93,316,601,912 14.454 2005 6,250,491 3,128,370,148 18,251,844 116,795,783,760 12.785 2006 7,648,960 3,463,287,667 22,697,094 127,131,219,076 12.371 2007 6,147,202 3,986,010,295 26,853,401 141,833,145,784 8.145 2008 8,088,048 5,402,115,664 37,518,025 176,444,984,772 7.041 2009 6,895,852 3,800,128,304 42,259,480 131,708,790,732 5.656 2010 8,359,409 5,675,790,547 46,309,353 180,113,337,475 5.728 9.954 Turki 2003 239,062 450,353,860 3,211,640 69,339,692,057 11.461 2004 307,791 623,420,300 4,165,651 97,539,765,968 11.560 2005 553,063 750,237,615 4,770,990 116,774,150,907 18.043 2006 399,804 1,031,302,884 5,015,265 139,576,174,148 10.789 2007 84,492 1,359,927,601 7,394,190 170,062,714,501 1.429 2008 1,408,894,820 16,627,461 201,960,779,436 0.000 2009 63,079 1,016,684,433 15,139,070 140,869,013,434 0.577 2010 119,062 1,476,658,613 10,073,596 185,541,036,697 1.485 6.918 Rataan Rataan Rataan Rataan Rataan Tabel 7. Hasil Olahan Metode RCA Produk Jus Buah dan Jus Sayuran RCA XijXit WjWt Bahrain 2003 8,548 30,161,128 24,106,558 5,657,241,320 0.067 2004 27,544,161 22,864,228 6,583,640,187 0.000 2005 35,463,850 17,214,756 9,339,254,009 0.000 2006 25,040 30,297,332 16,662,839 8,956,853,532 0.444 2007 107,763 43,380,794 18,034,478 11,515,148,862 1.586 2008 26,577 92,265,664 25,278,027 18,414,553,284 0.210 2009 33,206,090 20,058,565 11,993,377,020 0.000 2010 211,487 52,862,919 17,529,706 10,142,867,719 2.315 0.578 India 2003 18,191 1,879,765,717 7,931,287 72,430,524,382 0.088 2004 16,056 2,427,664,875 9,309,924 98,981,129,472 0.070 2005 40,748 3,018,949,039 8,070,852 140,861,666,918 0.236 2006 92,890 3,610,442,609 13,217,668 178,212,440,308 0.347 2007 16,175 4,840,346,028 18,018,648 218,645,293,931 0.041 2008 88,552 6,431,337,165 15,568,580 315,712,105,614 0.279 2009 72,740 7,599,637,766 21,725,555 266,401,552,908 0.117 2010 230,650 9,695,329,240 27,128,560 350,029,386,927 0.307 0.186 Kamboja 2003 0.000 2004 78,592,340 510,606 2,062,692,658 0.000 2005 82,761,003 646,757 2,551,744,004 0.000 2006 85,459,301 825,830 2,989,221,796 0.000 2007 5,928 89,630,197 1,020,145 3,554,558,966 0.230 2008 1,553 96,402,190 1,044,455 4,416,653,317 0.068 2009 145,726,876 980,216 3,905,244,198 0.000 2010 3,719 175,302,580 1,598,375 4,902,523,729 0.065 0.045 Lebanon 2003 55,171 40,245,484 5,576,295 7,167,452,160 1.762 2004 215,000 52,261,000 6,432,000 9,385,039,000 6.003 2005 47,661,000 7,467,000 9,326,988,000 0.000 2006 40,589,902 5,298,200 9,395,085,285 0.000 2007 53,011,261 6,598,408 11,813,914,118 0.000 2008 79,274,377 7,827,243 16,136,466,067 0.000 2009 169,098 82,399,420 8,009,376 16,231,585,205 4.159 2010 75,027,564 8,704,413 17,967,843,415 0.000 1.490 Sri Lanka 2003 67 163,477,938 1,333,956 6,514,295,591 0.002 2004 5,046 174,458,827 1,806,410 7,852,070,730 0.126 2005 218,509,423 1,240,298 8,307,067,738 0.000 2006 21,680 224,818,983 2,225,047 9,773,149,992 0.424 2007 246,511,428 3,925,980 11,385,744,139 0.000 2008 200 285,947,226 3,456,225 13,629,062,682 0.003 2009 196,235,364 3,530,825 9,431,850,987 0.000 2010 209,111,402 4,235,820 12,353,707,838 0.000 0.069 Rataan Rataan Rataan Rataan Rataan Negara Tahun Xij Xit Wj Wt Sumber: UN Comtrade diolah, 2012 Macao 2003 12,514,119 2,174,821 2,754,565,181 0.000 2004 4,882 14,506,126 2,547,256 3,477,847,343 0.459 2005 250 17,238,190 2,623,412 3,911,913,246 0.022 2006 751 19,099,654 2,865,461 4,565,340,419 0.063 2007 25,287,288 4,505,087 5,365,187,969 0.000 2008 1,028 28,110,807 5,329,658 5,365,508,003 0.037 2009 29,761,772 4,748,335 4,620,016,863 0.000 2010 2,681 44,201,158 4,487,178 5,513,269,732 0.075 0.082 Malaysia 2003 371,545 2,940,859,398 13,786,747 82,443,541,384 0.755 2004 195,163 4,201,190,856 17,541,014 104,247,460,245 0.276 2005 144,578 4,371,637,567 19,613,224 113,299,071,777 0.191 2006 523,569 4,955,439,943 24,641,802 131,127,047,764 0.562 2007 924,792 6,252,413,786 38,182,110 144,869,776,519 0.561 2008 1,492,456 7,249,570,802 43,851,508 155,660,819,369 0.731 2009 1,158,497 6,548,656,141 43,194,932 123,575,279,300 0.506 2010 1,065,603 9,151,197,412 55,092,057 164,465,853,289 0.348 0.491 Pakistan 2003 4,599 265,851,630 1,175,372 13,037,524,997 0.192 2004 1,778 471,057,338 1,333,038 17,948,583,563 0.051 2005 683,870,689 2,824,600 25,043,392,979 0.000 2006 2,292 808,935,055 4,062,996 29,817,322,329 0.021 2007 4,256 876,973,582 5,159,087 32,588,896,291 0.031 2008 44,979 1,191,685,943 9,781,527 42,298,217,961 0.163 2009 154,827 653,588,884 9,529,405 31,582,641,375 0.785 2010 106,219 675,655,481 11,664,944 37,512,555,263 0.506 0.219 Thailand 2003 119,864 1,777,244,465 12,661,001 74,728,030,186 0.398 2004 477,670 2,323,942,658 15,214,683 93,316,601,912 1.261 2005 951,307 3,128,370,148 18,456,929 116,795,783,760 1.924 2006 148,882 3,463,287,667 24,414,913 127,131,219,076 0.224 2007 180 3,986,010,295 29,751,124 141,833,145,784 0.000 2008 334 5,402,115,664 40,105,086 176,444,984,772 0.000 2009 6,497 3,800,128,304 45,464,858 131,708,790,732 0.005 2010 38,591 5,675,790,547 62,031,879 180,113,337,475 0.020 0.479 Turki 2003 29,554 450,353,860 6,373,232 69,339,692,057 0.714 2004 68,117 623,420,300 9,051,198 97,539,765,968 1.177 2005 157,423 750,237,615 11,689,202 116,774,150,907 2.096 2006 136,952 1,031,302,884 23,547,220 139,576,174,148 0.787 2007 244,799 1,359,927,601 34,522,092 170,062,714,501 0.887 2008 402,094 1,408,894,820 35,650,343 201,960,779,436 1.617 2009 575,182 1,016,684,433 17,036,793 140,869,013,434 4.678 2010 539,282 1,476,658,613 23,751,659 185,541,036,697 2.853 1.851 Rataan Rataan Rataan Rataan Rataan Tabel 8. Hasil Olahan Metode RCA Produk Teh RCA XijXit WjWt Bahrain 2003 30,161,128 7,369,054 5,657,241,320 0.000 2004 27,544,161 6,635,726 6,583,640,187 0.000 2005 2,032 35,463,850 6,708,444 9,339,254,009 0.080 2006 30,297,332 7,078,121 8,956,853,532 0.000 2007 22,027 43,380,794 8,383,808 11,515,148,862 0.697 2008 92,265,664 10,435,985 18,414,553,284 0.000 2009 33,206,090 8,421,494 11,993,377,020 0.000 2010 436 52,862,919 10,358,538 10,142,867,719 0.008 0.098 India 2003 2,632,010 1,879,765,717 13,356,758 72,430,524,382 7.593 2004 2,680,820 2,427,664,875 31,310,510 98,981,129,472 3.491 2005 2,838,644 3,018,949,039 24,166,885 140,861,666,918 5.481 2006 2,482,857 3,610,442,609 28,773,939 178,212,440,308 4.259 2007 3,481,633 4,840,346,028 29,285,260 218,645,293,931 5.370 2008 4,964,650 6,431,337,165 40,300,911 315,712,105,614 6.047 2009 5,080,002 7,599,637,766 51,871,105 266,401,552,908 3.433 2010 4,212,253 9,695,329,240 48,940,371 350,029,386,927 3.107 4.848 Kamboja 2003 0.000 2004 466 78,592,340 45,537 2,062,692,658 0.269 2005 82,761,003 72,158 2,551,744,004 0.000 2006 6,390 85,459,301 129,081 2,989,221,796 1.732 2007 13,728 89,630,197 118,468 3,554,558,966 4.596 2008 23,269 96,402,190 153,055 4,416,653,317 6.965 2009 7,008 145,726,876 155,154 3,905,244,198 1.210 2010 8,591 175,302,580 158,478 4,902,523,729 1.516 2.036 Sri Lanka 2003 228,324 163,477,938 10,992,717 6,514,295,591 0.828 2004 351,336 174,458,827 14,783,400 7,852,070,730 1.070 2005 409,023 218,509,423 13,774,763 8,307,067,738 1.129 2006 522,596 224,818,983 20,905,597 9,773,149,992 1.087 2007 1,050,813 246,511,428 23,426,106 11,385,744,139 2.072 2008 761,153 285,947,226 34,876,207 13,629,062,682 1.040 2009 420,325 196,235,364 24,277,767 9,431,850,987 0.832 2010 371,054 209,111,402 29,970,789 12,353,707,838 0.731 1.099 Macao 2003 12,514,119 1,385,950 2,754,565,181 0.000 2004 822 14,506,126 1,765,461 3,477,847,343 0.112 2005 798 17,238,190 2,037,215 3,911,913,246 0.089 2006 19,099,654 2,675,580 4,565,340,419 0.000 2007 25,287,288 3,113,012 5,365,187,969 0.000 2008 28,110,807 2,634,742 5,365,508,003 0.000 2009 3,537 29,761,772 3,429,569 4,620,016,863 0.160 2010 671 44,201,158 3,700,807 5,513,269,732 0.023 0.048 Rataan Rataan Rataan Wt Negara Tahun Xij Xit Wj Rataan Rataan Sumber: UN Comtrade diolah, 2012 Malaysia 2003 7,330,641 2,940,859,398 13,460,233 82,443,541,384 15.268 2004 9,218,287 4,201,190,856 16,982,110 104,247,460,245 13.470 2005 10,394,614 4,371,637,567 19,152,906 113,299,071,777 14.066 2006 10,749,327 4,955,439,943 20,328,122 131,127,047,764 13.992 2007 12,177,424 6,252,413,786 24,333,101 144,869,776,519 11.595 2008 12,411,214 7,249,570,802 24,773,030 155,660,819,369 10.757 2009 12,940,722 6,548,656,141 29,157,011 123,575,279,300 8.375 2010 16,437,930 9,151,197,412 37,222,539 164,465,853,289 7.937 11.932 Pakistan 2003 8,611,924 265,851,630 190,240,814 13,037,524,997 2.220 2004 12,429,406 471,057,338 202,265,191 17,948,583,563 2.341 2005 12,732,596 683,870,689 229,687,454 25,043,392,979 2.030 2006 14,911,018 808,935,055 222,537,248 29,817,322,329 2.470 2007 8,766,102 876,973,582 198,268,831 32,588,896,291 1.643 2008 10,879,451 1,191,685,943 231,963,452 42,298,217,961 1.665 2009 7,598,007 653,588,884 223,914,987 31,582,641,375 1.640 2010 8,792,872 675,655,481 303,049,807 37,512,555,263 1.611 1.952 Thailand 2003 349,850 1,777,244,465 2,361,007 74,728,030,186 6.230 2004 296,456 2,323,942,658 3,278,548 93,316,601,912 3.631 2005 344,314 3,128,370,148 2,863,170 116,795,783,760 4.490 2006 341,586 3,463,287,667 3,225,451 127,131,219,076 3.888 2007 332,439 3,986,010,295 3,465,720 141,833,145,784 3.413 2008 501,719 5,402,115,664 4,329,898 176,444,984,772 3.785 2009 303,561 3,800,128,304 4,714,865 131,708,790,732 2.231 2010 477,896 5,675,790,547 5,760,448 180,113,337,475 2.633 3.788 Turki 2003 603,043 450,353,860 3,941,245 69,339,692,057 23.558 2004 621,116 623,420,300 5,204,529 97,539,765,968 18.672 2005 486,896 750,237,615 6,438,221 116,774,150,907 11.771 2006 368,616 1,031,302,884 7,734,911 139,576,174,148 6.450 2007 477,400 1,359,927,601 8,158,293 170,062,714,501 7.318 2008 711,650 1,408,894,820 11,322,234 201,960,779,436 9.010 2009 702,948 1,016,684,433 13,538,208 140,869,013,434 7.194 2010 1,366,795 1,476,658,613 21,530,453 185,541,036,697 7.976 11.494 Rataan Rataan Rataan Rataan Lampiran 3. Variabel-Variabel yang Mempengaruhi Permintaan Ekspor Produk Makanan dan Minuman Olahan Indonesia Di Pasar Non-Tradisional Asia, 2003-2010 Tabel 9. Variabel yang Mempengaruhi Permintaan Ekspor Produk Roti, Kue, Biskuit, dan Produk Lainnya yang Sejenis Negara Tahun Nilai Ekspor GDP Populasi Nilai Tukar Jarak Ekonomi Harga Nilai Ekspor t-1 Bahrain 2003 11.26881361 9.61993 13.38035502 -0.978166136 13.75218493 0.6059231 11.38494436 2004 11.29406025 9.72472 13.41765641 -0.978166136 13.79708335 0.7749007 11.26881361 2005 11.11715323 9.829357 13.49366069 -0.978166136 13.76535844 0.4543563 11.29406025 2006 11.44381116 9.880219 13.60652875 -0.978166136 13.72707197 0.6513219 11.11715323 2007 12.72170072 9.901235 13.73834114 -0.978166136 13.79419973 0.9381834 11.44381116 2008 12.9802213 9.943333 13.86654487 -0.978166136 13.68440335 1.0326539 12.72170072 2009 13.39182852 9.776165 13.97215356 -0.978166136 13.74965581 1.0157937 12.9802213 2010 12.80194321 9.97315 14.04807757 -0.978166136 13.72369738 0.9528813 13.39182852 India 2003 11.78013949 6.33328 20.78567579 3.841241768 9.290789115 0.5989316 2004 10.59287768 6.504288 20.79996869 3.813670469 9.292357778 0.0651644 11.78013949 2005 12.55805962 6.635947 20.81363931 3.786459216 9.296433859 0.2530968 10.59287768 2006 12.42269095 6.753438 20.8274557 3.81346173 9.29029713 0.4782623 12.55805962 2007 13.07355121 7.007601 20.84085952 3.722036951 9.24330852 0.8040532 12.42269095 2008 13.69447449 6.972606 20.85426334 3.772880088 9.325320606 0.8368556 13.07355121 2009 14.09834013 7.083388 20.86766716 3.879608623 9.204459249 0.5145271 13.69447449 2010 14.50365374 7.296413 20.88107097 3.822662955 9.178829472 0.5836832 14.09834013 Kamboja 2003 0 5.880533 16.3823175 8.287360652 13.22334152 2004 10.76519537 6.003887 16.39526978 8.29810391 13.27413187 0.0005493 2005 11.45820525 6.154858 16.40759412 8.316911309 13.25842496 0.5847535 10.76519537 2006 11.04117631 6.287859 16.41937614 8.319534622 13.23896328 0.5658339 11.45820525 2007 11.11966063 6.448889 16.43070375 8.307993636 13.28698401 0.2405197 11.04117631 2008 11.12461242 6.618739 16.44181867 8.307500438 13.16663354 0.2524694 11.11966063 2009 11.40478331 6.612041 16.45298828 8.328290023 13.16548209 0.583606 11.12461242 2010 12.6786729 6.678342 16.4643948 8.33924207 13.28851443 0.8216472 11.40478331 Lebanon 2003 10.00396617 8.537584 15.18552842 7.318207929 13.24060013 0.2412361 11.45595292 2004 10.16585182 8.603371 15.2013153 7.318207929 13.34603299 0.7731899 10.00396617 2005 9.546812609 8.593043 15.21482479 7.318207929 13.49166893 1.0296194 10.16585182 2006 10.36375645 8.60813 15.2258771 7.318207929 13.59103997 1.5402557 9.546812609 2007 11.70196607 8.709465 15.23496693 7.318207929 13.7006371 1.1852407 10.36375645 2008 11.89123176 8.884472 15.24268651 7.318207929 13.57843858 1.2546314 11.70196607 2009 11.23237788 9.026538 15.24987816 7.318207929 13.43276846 1.2047718 11.89123176 2010 11.33517345 9.129889 15.2571443 7.318207929 13.52296276 1.2838695 11.23237788 Sri Lanka 2003 12.23771181 6.882437 16.77922845 4.569760092 12.33952955 0.0686922 12.40717507 2004 11.78194446 6.960348 16.791581 4.617043988 12.43637549 0.9190492 12.23771181 2005 11.40340074 7.114769 16.80333847 4.610138341 12.41879528 0.3704323 11.78194446 2006 12.32610648 7.250636 16.81434153 4.643567924 12.39736393 0.7388159 11.40340074 2007 12.00888311 7.375256 16.82476445 4.706130133 12.48238483 0.4510894 12.32610648 2008 12.06677035 7.595387 16.83465653 4.685216857 12.31293958 0.5527954 12.00888311 2009 11.65762303 7.618251 16.84415242 4.744451868 12.28393296 0.3646836 12.06677035 2010 12.02521002 7.772753 16.85334156 4.727958279 12.3209228 0.5641464 11.65762303 Macao 2003 10.66476056 9.75185 13.03779846 2.082093169 13.18912927 0.4678574 10.83708761 2004 11.07161036 9.987093 13.06075815 2.082093169 13.11792498 0.5074988 10.66476056 2005 11.64142422 10.10258 13.08443303 2.080823659 13.12765913 0.3745016 11.07161036 2006 11.54800299 10.29021 13.10880589 2.079619797 13.04112708 0.7383154 11.64142422 2007 12.74390722 10.48114 13.13371668 2.083913268 13.04526507 0.6428452 11.54800299 2008 12.21676033 10.59473 13.15862394 2.081952127 12.96725701 0.1428486 12.74390722 2009 12.26165398 10.59926 13.18288446 2.077475026 12.94215127 0.1670326 12.21676033 2010 12.16598996 10.84798 13.20607197 2.079718587 12.87097139 0.205543 12.26165398 Malaysia 2003 15.3595776 8.388905 17.03679085 1.335001067 9.536002303 0.780166 15.78476398 2004 15.46188311 8.491875 17.05772991 1.335001067 9.598984167 0.5017747 15.3595776 2005 15.48158662 8.572817 17.07745511 1.331598354 9.647297657 0.5008926 15.46188311 2006 15.31268821 8.681011 17.09590611 1.299694797 9.64596411 0.3992322 15.48158662 2007 15.49809093 8.840001 17.11323978 1.234764647 9.689713137 0.4453395 15.31268821 2008 15.79779865 8.999496 17.12976958 1.204722523 9.574112626 0.6801474 15.49809093 2009 15.8599839 8.839567 17.14590611 1.259739408 9.721581766 0.612856 15.79779865 2010 16.16884361 9.032768 17.16193551 1.169718854 9.713117876 0.7922802 15.8599839 Pakistan 2003 9.337061125 6.298949 18.84686241 4.056157923 11.39141909 -0.144222 2004 10.79875892 6.444131 18.86446915 4.064879076 11.41543519 0.2822231 9.337061125 2005 11.0190389 6.53814 18.88218248 4.08621956 11.4522569 0.2891634 10.79875892 2006 10.66630071 6.670766 18.9000982 4.098856618 11.4264357 0.2882885 11.0190389 2007 11.68233063 6.769642 18.91809035 4.106578025 11.53047302 0.3424856 10.66630071 2008 11.89983277 6.886532 18.93614912 4.254307367 11.45581505 0.4836936 11.68233063 2009 10.03289169 6.855409 18.95421282 4.403211782 11.47221944 0.2605954 11.89983277 2010 16.11481819 6.926577 18.97222624 4.444928853 11.5840064 0.5060656 10.03289169 Thailand 2003 15.54574669 7.687997 17.99557823 3.725322676 9.957455254 0.5694653 15.1935028 2004 15.69117588 7.800573 18.00607978 3.694424425 10.02123813 0.5849808 15.54574669 2005 16.24828865 7.880048 18.01569277 3.694367622 10.08118833 0.7465405 15.69117588 2006 16.18429295 8.032035 18.02431981 3.634475622 10.0459788 0.6633167 16.24828865 2007 16.28800812 8.200563 18.03202041 3.541486159 10.08979377 0.7433682 16.18429295 2008 16.81507124 8.292298 18.03895143 3.505956736 10.05167172 0.9569039 16.28800812 2009 16.98247652 8.251925 18.04534887 3.53473052 10.08920062 1.0118638 16.81507124 2010 17.22483188 8.435549 18.051387 3.455865633 10.1003016 1.1193293 16.98247652 Turki 2003 0 8.426612 18.01029504 0.406055073 10.57256802 2004 0 8.671287 18.02371829 0.35454876 10.50160339 2005 0 8.866158 18.03712173 0.295340007 10.44223291 2006 0 8.947286 18.05053748 0.35659233 10.47309176 2007 0 9.131946 18.06390228 0.264616269 10.49504153 2008 0 9.239705 18.07711563 0.263534121 10.43462765 2009 0 9.054154 18.09003845 0.438228979 10.61091494 2010 0 9.219696 18.10257142 0.40735971 10.63352706 Tabel 10. Variabel yang Mempengaruhi Permintaan Ekspor Produk Kembang Gula Negara Tahun Nilai Ekspor GDP Populasi Nilai Tukar Jarak Ekonomi Harga Nilai Ekspor t-1 Bahrain 2003 12.67656366 9.61993 13.38035502 -0.978166136 13.75218493 0.9433307 12.18825485 2004 12.34881276 9.72472 13.41765641 -0.978166136 13.79708335 1.0887815 12.67656366 2005 12.22387818 9.829357 13.49366069 -0.978166136 13.76535844 1.1234727 12.34881276 2006 12.07104871 9.880219 13.60652875 -0.978166136 13.72707197 1.1824909 12.22387818 2007 12.71284808 9.901235 13.73834114 -0.978166136 13.79419973 0.9943241 12.07104871 2008 12.56192025 9.943333 13.86654487 -0.978166136 13.68440335 1.160597 12.71284808 2009 12.84319694 9.776165 13.97215356 -0.978166136 13.74965581 1.1683227 12.56192025 2010 13.56735556 9.97315 14.04807757 -0.978166136 13.72369738 1.1895842 12.84319694 India 2003 11.83353687 6.33328 20.78567579 3.841241768 9.290789115 0.9536047 2004 11.71739983 6.504288 20.79996869 3.813670469 9.292357778 1.2731299 11.83353687 2005 11.75728241 6.635947 20.81363931 3.786459216 9.296433859 1.3217852 11.71739983 2006 11.83455959 6.753438 20.8274557 3.81346173 9.29029713 0.809704 11.75728241 2007 12.02806975 7.007601 20.84085952 3.722036951 9.24330852 0.9304779 11.83455959 2008 13.13605324 6.972606 20.85426334 3.772880088 9.325320606 0.7920029 12.02806975 2009 13.82210377 7.083388 20.86766716 3.879608623 9.204459249 0.6184941 13.13605324 2010 14.4598629 7.296413 20.88107097 3.822662955 9.178829472 0.4795492 13.82210377 Kamboja 2003 0 5.880533 16.3823175 8.287360652 13.22334152 2004 10.12141754 6.003887 16.39526978 8.29810391 13.27413187 0.1835286 2005 7.694848072 6.154858 16.40759412 8.316911309 13.25842496 0.1773272 10.12141754 2006 8.554296279 6.287859 16.41937614 8.319534622 13.23896328 -0.0021176 7.694848072 2007 10.52406404 6.448889 16.43070375 8.307993636 13.28698401 2.2377946 8.554296279 2008 10.44961275 6.618739 16.44181867 8.307500438 13.16663354 0.8185246 10.52406404 2009 13.00482231 6.612041 16.45298828 8.328290023 13.16548209 0.4964697 10.44961275 2010 12.45062929 6.678342 16.4643948 8.33924207 13.28851443 0.4252276 13.00482231 Lebanon 2003 13.05988354 8.537584 15.18552842 7.318207929 13.24060013 0.1356663 12.87174842 2004 13.05622357 8.603371 15.2013153 7.318207929 13.34603299 0.7731899 13.05988354 2005 13.00807423 8.593043 15.21482479 7.318207929 13.49166893 0.8273194 13.05622357 2006 12.84024712 8.60813 15.2258771 7.318207929 13.59103997 0.894981 13.00807423 2007 13.17998868 8.709465 15.23496693 7.318207929 13.7006371 1.010497 12.84024712 2008 13.28696723 8.884472 15.24268651 7.318207929 13.57843858 1.133552 13.17998868 2009 13.83932474 9.026538 15.24987816 7.318207929 13.43276846 1.0870719 13.28696723 2010 14.26066678 9.129889 15.2571443 7.318207929 13.52296276 1.1157125 13.83932474 Sri Lanka 2003 12.84209906 6.882437 16.77922845 4.569760092 12.33952955 0.0356033 13.0084755 2004 12.2809621 6.960348 16.791581 4.617043988 12.43637549 -0.0805704 12.84209906 2005 9.742085646 7.114769 16.80333847 4.610138341 12.41879528 -1.4608849 12.2809621 2006 12.21898393 7.250636 16.81434153 4.643567924 12.39736393 0.22522 9.742085646 2007 11.50242048 7.375256 16.82476445 4.706130133 12.48238483 -0.1747305 12.21898393 2008 12.08231618 7.595387 16.83465653 4.685216857 12.31293958 0.4670688 11.50242048 2009 11.5229451 7.618251 16.84415242 4.744451868 12.28393296 0.2750274 12.08231618 2010 11.45275074 7.772753 16.85334156 4.727958279 12.3209228 0.4768409 11.5229451 Macao 2003 12.23124807 9.75185 13.03779846 2.082093169 13.18912927 1.8275005 12.19566366 2004 12.69524451 9.987093 13.06075815 2.082093169 13.11792498 1.7344008 12.23124807 2005 12.69788363 10.10258 13.08443303 2.080823659 13.12765913 1.286548 12.69524451 2006 12.74135183 10.29021 13.10880589 2.079619797 13.04112708 1.4487863 12.69788363 2007 12.70424759 10.48114 13.13371668 2.083913268 13.04526507 1.2715132 12.74135183 2008 12.48664324 10.59473 13.15862394 2.081952127 12.96725701 1.3752855 12.70424759 2009 12.65220934 10.59926 13.18288446 2.077475026 12.94215127 1.3522667 12.48664324 2010 12.86244951 10.84798 13.20607197 2.079718587 12.87097139 1.25306 12.65220934 Malaysia 2003 15.6752291 8.388905 17.03679085 1.335001067 9.536002303 0.6201676 15.76975729 2004 16.01944038 8.491875 17.05772991 1.335001067 9.598984167 0.7686601 15.6752291 2005 16.00414983 8.572817 17.07745511 1.331598354 9.647297657 0.6715469 16.01944038 2006 16.0819698 8.681011 17.09590611 1.299694797 9.64596411 0.7276384 16.00414983 2007 16.09247257 8.840001 17.11323978 1.234764647 9.689713137 0.8930375 16.0819698 2008 16.0988691 8.999496 17.12976958 1.204722523 9.574112626 0.9971495 16.09247257 2009 15.99393552 8.839567 17.14590611 1.259739408 9.721581766 0.9595279 16.0988691 2010 15.94897143 9.032768 17.16193551 1.169718854 9.713117876 0.9742491 15.99393552 Pakistan 2003 11.93031914 6.298949 18.84686241 4.056157923 11.39141909 0.3937064 2004 12.88544793 6.444131 18.86446915 4.064879076 11.41543519 0.5365788 11.93031914 2005 12.89481263 6.53814 18.88218248 4.08621956 11.4522569 0.472013 12.88544793 2006 13.52215375 6.670766 18.9000982 4.098856618 11.4264357 0.4690397 12.89481263 2007 13.65229256 6.769642 18.91809035 4.106578025 11.53047302 0.5179334 13.52215375 2008 13.63955589 6.886532 18.93614912 4.254307367 11.45581505 0.4605684 13.65229256 2009 13.27041262 6.855409 18.95421282 4.403211782 11.47221944 0.4304944 13.63955589 2010 13.28582147 6.926577 18.97222624 4.444928853 11.5840064 0.5417128 13.27041262 Thailand 2003 15.53310954 7.687997 17.99557823 3.725322676 9.957455254 0.8097086 15.52621542 2004 15.65862879 7.800573 18.00607978 3.694424425 10.02123813 0.7989709 15.53310954 2005 15.64817058 7.880048 18.01569277 3.694367622 10.08118833 0.8630424 15.65862879 2006 15.85008025 8.032035 18.02431981 3.634475622 10.0459788 0.8798915 15.64817058 2007 15.63150758 8.200563 18.03202041 3.541486159 10.08979377 0.8768307 15.85008025 2008 15.90589797 8.292298 18.03895143 3.505956736 10.05167172 1.0071947 15.63150758 2009 15.74643063 8.251925 18.04534887 3.53473052 10.08920062 1.1949088 15.90589797 2010 15.93889829 8.435549 18.051387 3.455865633 10.1003016 1.1167584 15.74643063 Turki 2003 12.38447821 8.426612 18.01029504 0.406055073 10.57256802 0.3872395 12.57917639 2004 12.63717626 8.671287 18.02371829 0.35454876 10.50160339 0.5964265 12.38447821 2005 13.2232272 8.866158 18.03712173 0.295340007 10.44223291 0.5166429 12.63717626 2006 12.89872971 8.947286 18.05053748 0.35659233 10.47309176 0.448586 13.2232272 2007 11.34441213 9.131946 18.06390228 0.264616269 10.49504153 0.5524779 12.89872971 2008 0 9.239705 18.07711563 0.263534121 10.43462765 11.34441213 2009 11.05214319 9.054154 18.09003845 0.438228979 10.61091494 1.3330594 2010 11.68739964 9.219696 18.10257142 0.40735971 10.63352706 1.4492987 11.05214319 Tabel 11. Variabel yang Mempengaruhi Permintaan Ekspor Produk Jus Buah dan Jus Sayuran Negara Tahun Nilai Ekspor GDP Populasi Nilai Tukar Jarak Ekonomi Harga Nilai Ekspor t-1 Bahrain 2003 9.053452616 9.61993 13.38035502 -0.978166136 13.75218493 -0.1413679 2004 9.72472 13.41765641 -0.978166136 13.79708335 9.053452616 2005 0 9.829357 13.49366069 -0.978166136 13.76535844 2006 10.12822983 9.880219 13.60652875 -0.978166136 13.72707197 0.4668775 2007 11.58768965 9.901235 13.73834114 -0.978166136 13.79419973 0.0662406 10.12822983 2008 10.18780146 9.943333 13.86654487 -0.978166136 13.68440335 0.2714964 11.58768965 2009 0 9.776165 13.97215356 -0.978166136 13.74965581 10.18780146 2010 12.26191881 9.97315 14.04807757 -0.978166136 13.72369738 0.7010607 India 2003 9.808682245 6.33328 20.78567579 3.841241768 9.290789115 -0.2233304 2004 9.68383789 6.504288 20.79996869 3.813670469 9.292357778 0.4865828 9.808682245 2005 10.61516204 6.635947 20.81363931 3.786459216 9.296433859 -0.1130491 9.68383789 2006 11.43917128 6.753438 20.8274557 3.81346173 9.29029713 -0.0192558 10.61516204 2007 9.691222119 7.007601 20.84085952 3.722036951 9.24330852 0.7280619 11.43917128 2008 11.39134523 6.972606 20.85426334 3.772880088 9.325320606 0.2781663 9.691222119 2009 11.19464672 7.083388 20.86766716 3.879608623 9.204459249 0.5664164 11.39134523 2010 12.34865669 7.296413 20.88107097 3.822662955 9.178829472 0.6837142 11.19464672 Kamboja 2003 0 5.880533 16.3823175 8.287360652 13.22334152 2004 0 6.003887 16.39526978 8.29810391 13.27413187 2005 0 6.154858 16.40759412 8.316911309 13.25842496 2006 0 6.287859 16.41937614 8.319534622 13.23896328 2007 8.687442167 6.448889 16.43070375 8.307993636 13.28698401 -0.7068018 2008 7.347943823 6.618739 16.44181867 8.307500438 13.16663354 -0.7717524 8.687442167 2009 0 6.612041 16.45298828 8.328290023 13.16548209 7.347943823 2010 8.221210094 6.678342 16.4643948 8.33924207 13.28851443 -1.0994186 Lebanon 2003 10.91819273 8.537584 15.18552842 7.318207929 13.24060013 0.3495975 9.930956795 2004 12.27839331 8.603371 15.2013153 7.318207929 13.34603299 0.2407393 10.91819273 2005 0 8.593043 15.21482479 7.318207929 13.49166893 12.27839331 2006 8.60813 15.2258771 7.318207929 13.59103997 2007 0 8.709465 15.23496693 7.318207929 13.7006371 2008 0 8.884472 15.24268651 7.318207929 13.57843858 2009 12.03823371 9.026538 15.24987816 7.318207929 13.43276846 0.3476978 2010 0 9.129889 15.2571443 7.318207929 13.52296276 12.03823371 Sri Lanka 2003 4.204692619 6.882437 16.77922845 4.569760092 12.33952955 -0.7225611 2004 8.526351129 6.960348 16.791581 4.617043988 12.43637549 -0.7441432 4.204692619 2005 0 7.114769 16.80333847 4.610138341 12.41879528 8.526351129 2006 9.984145456 7.250636 16.81434153 4.643567924 12.39736393 -0.5135525 2007 0 7.375256 16.82476445 4.706130133 12.48238483 9.984145456 2008 5.298317367 7.595387 16.83465653 4.685216857 12.31293958 0.5108256 2009 0 7.618251 16.84415242 4.744451868 12.28393296 5.298317367 2010 0 7.772753 16.85334156 4.727958279 12.3209228 Macao 2003 9.75185 13.03779846 2.082093169 13.18912927 2004 8.493310251 9.987093 13.06075815 2.082093169 13.11792498 0.0307845 2005 5.521460918 10.10258 13.08443303 2.080823659 13.12765913 -0.4700036 8.493310251 2006 6.621405652 10.29021 13.10880589 2.079619797 13.04112708 0.6052485 5.521460918 2007 0 10.48114 13.13371668 2.083913268 13.04526507 6.621405652 2008 6.935370446 10.59473 13.15862394 2.081952127 12.96725701 0.9439059 2009 0 10.59926 13.18288446 2.077475026 12.94215127 6.935370446 2010 7.893945138 10.84798 13.20607197 2.079718587 12.87097139 1.4387466 Malaysia 2003 12.82542527 8.388905 17.03679085 1.335001067 9.536002303 0.0038967 11.62951668 2004 12.18159039 8.491875 17.05772991 1.335001067 9.598984167 -0.1984146 12.82542527 2005 11.88157443 8.572817 17.07745511 1.331598354 9.647297657 -0.213751 12.18159039 2006 13.16842411 8.681011 17.09590611 1.299694797 9.64596411 -0.2742153 11.88157443 2007 13.73732413 8.840001 17.11323978 1.234764647 9.689713137 -0.4443201 13.16842411 2008 14.21593364 8.999496 17.12976958 1.204722523 9.574112626 -0.157695 13.73732413 2009 13.96263403 8.839567 17.14590611 1.259739408 9.721581766 0.1474835 14.21593364 2010 13.87905139 9.032768 17.16193551 1.169718854 9.713117876 0.0024297 13.96263403 Pakistan 2003 8.433594168 6.298949 18.84686241 4.056157923 11.39141909 -0.1342921 2004 7.483244416 6.444131 18.86446915 4.064879076 11.41543519 0.5153352 8.433594168 2005 6.53814 18.88218248 4.08621956 11.4522569 7.483244416 2006 7.737180078 6.670766 18.9000982 4.098856618 11.4264357 0.006566 2007 8.356085031 6.769642 18.91809035 4.106578025 11.53047302 -0.3661692 7.737180078 2008 10.71395099 6.886532 18.93614912 4.254307367 11.45581505 0.0337797 8.356085031 2009 11.95006364 6.855409 18.95421282 4.403211782 11.47221944 -0.1013532 10.71395099 2010 11.57325828 6.926577 18.97222624 4.444928853 11.5840064 0.017992 11.95006364 Thailand 2003 11.69411305 7.687997 17.99557823 3.725322676 9.957455254 -0.227067 13.03745452 2004 13.0766754 7.800573 18.00607978 3.694424425 10.02123813 -0.2130211 11.69411305 2005 13.76559211 7.880048 18.01569277 3.694367622 10.08118833 -0.2542828 13.0766754 2006 11.91090932 8.032035 18.02431981 3.634475622 10.0459788 -0.3234495 13.76559211 2007 5.192956851 8.200563 18.03202041 3.541486159 10.08979377 0.3726753 11.91090932 2008 5.811140993 8.292298 18.03895143 3.505956736 10.05167172 1.0153504 5.192956851 2009 8.779095811 8.251925 18.04534887 3.53473052 10.08920062 2.4838298 5.811140993 2010 10.56077437 8.435549 18.051387 3.455865633 10.1003016 2.6822402 8.779095811 Turki 2003 10.29397438 8.426612 18.01029504 0.406055073 10.57256802 1.083634 2004 11.12898209 8.671287 18.02371829 0.35454876 10.50160339 1.2254945 10.29397438 2005 11.96669173 8.866158 18.03712173 0.295340007 10.44223291 0.3592746 11.12898209 2006 11.82738578 8.947286 18.05053748 0.35659233 10.47309176 0.2679776 11.96669173 2007 12.40819274 9.131946 18.06390228 0.264616269 10.49504153 0.2267305 11.82738578 2008 12.90444117 9.239705 18.07711563 0.263534121 10.43462765 0.3747608 12.40819274 2009 13.26244179 9.054154 18.09003845 0.438228979 10.61091494 0.6555615 12.90444117 2010 13.1979939 9.219696 18.10257142 0.40735971 10.63352706 0.6875591 13.26244179 Tabel 12. Variabel yang Mempengaruhi Permintaan Ekspor Produk Teh Negara Tahun Nilai Ekspor GDP Populasi Nilai Tukar Jarak Ekonomi Harga Nilai Ekspor t-1 Bahrain 2003 9.61993 13.38035502 -0.978166136 13.75218493 2004 9.72472 13.41765641 -0.978166136 13.79708335 2005 7.616775809 9.829357 13.49366069 -0.978166136 13.76535844 1.7196219 2006 0 9.880219 13.60652875 -0.978166136 13.72707197 7.616775809 2007 10.00002425 9.901235 13.73834114 -0.978166136 13.79419973 1.4928814 2008 0 9.943333 13.86654487 -0.978166136 13.68440335 10.00002425 2009 0 9.776165 13.97215356 -0.978166136 13.74965581 2010 6.077642243 9.97315 14.04807757 -0.978166136 13.72369738 1.2818517 India 2003 14.78325837 6.33328 20.78567579 3.841241768 9.290789115 0.1522896 2004 14.80163328 6.504288 20.79996869 3.813670469 9.292357778 0.1659976 14.78325837 2005 14.85883703 6.635947 20.81363931 3.786459216 9.296433859 0.2588132 14.80163328 2006 14.72492047 6.753438 20.8274557 3.81346173 9.29029713 0.412785 14.85883703 2007 15.06301199 7.007601 20.84085952 3.722036951 9.24330852 0.4287808 14.72492047 2008 15.41785336 6.972606 20.85426334 3.772880088 9.325320606 0.4011032 15.06301199 2009 15.44082221 7.083388 20.86766716 3.879608623 9.204459249 0.6380586 15.41785336 2010 15.25350822 7.296413 20.88107097 3.822662955 9.178829472 0.7565461 15.44082221 Kamboja 2003 0 5.880533 16.3823175 8.287360652 13.22334152 2004 6.144185634 6.003887 16.39526978 8.29810391 13.27413187 -1.6846489 2005 0 6.154858 16.40759412 8.316911309 13.25842496 6.144185634 2006 8.762489547 6.287859 16.41937614 8.319534622 13.23896328 1.7880106 2007 9.527192822 6.448889 16.43070375 8.307993636 13.28698401 1.6763102 8.762489547 2008 10.05487728 6.618739 16.44181867 8.307500438 13.16663354 1.7575829 9.527192822 2009 8.854807633 6.612041 16.45298828 8.328290023 13.16548209 1.6514021 10.05487728 2010 9.058470423 6.678342 16.4643948 8.33924207 13.28851443 1.8610351 8.854807633 Lebanon 2003 0 8.537584 15.18552842 7.318207929 13.24060013 2004 0 8.603371 15.2013153 7.318207929 13.34603299 2005 0 8.593043 15.21482479 7.318207929 13.49166893 2006 8.60813 15.2258771 7.318207929 13.59103997 2007 0 8.709465 15.23496693 7.318207929 13.7006371 2008 0 8.884472 15.24268651 7.318207929 13.57843858 2009 0 9.026538 15.24987816 7.318207929 13.43276846 2010 0 9.129889 15.2571443 7.318207929 13.52296276 Sri Lanka 2003 12.33852095 6.882437 16.77922845 4.569760092 12.33952955 0.2860658 11.59148708 2004 12.76949831 6.960348 16.791581 4.617043988 12.43637549 0.1928833 12.33852095 2005 12.92152667 7.114769 16.80333847 4.610138341 12.41879528 0.2510693 12.76949831 2006 13.16656398 7.250636 16.81434153 4.643567924 12.39736393 0.3338152 12.92152667 2007 13.86507471 7.375256 16.82476445 4.706130133 12.48238483 0.422884 13.16656398 2008 13.54258967 7.595387 16.83465653 4.685216857 12.31293958 0.6640625 13.86507471 2009 12.9487835 7.618251 16.84415242 4.744451868 12.28393296 0.8375711 13.54258967 2010 12.82410288 7.772753 16.85334156 4.727958279 12.3209228 0.919676 12.9487835 Macao 2003 9.75185 13.03779846 2.082093169 13.18912927 2004 6.711740395 9.987093 13.06075815 2.082093169 13.11792498 1.0079579 2005 6.682108597 10.10258 13.08443303 2.080823659 13.12765913 1.5346141 6.711740395 2006 0 10.29021 13.10880589 2.079619797 13.04112708 6.682108597 2007 0 10.48114 13.13371668 2.083913268 13.04526507 2008 0 10.59473 13.15862394 2.081952127 12.96725701 2009 8.171034189 10.59926 13.18288446 2.077475026 12.94215127 1.7741045 2010 6.508769137 10.84798 13.20607197 2.079718587 12.87097139 1.4848886 8.171034189 Malaysia 2003 15.80757352 8.388905 17.03679085 1.335001067 9.536002303 -0.1569896 15.57823849 2004 16.03669979 8.491875 17.05772991 1.335001067 9.598984167 -0.0180406 15.80757352 2005 16.15679835 8.572817 17.07745511 1.331598354 9.647297657 0.0829603 16.03669979 2006 16.19035371 8.681011 17.09590611 1.299694797 9.64596411 0.2709888 16.15679835 2007 16.3150943 8.840001 17.11323978 1.234764647 9.689713137 0.3545492 16.19035371 2008 16.33411098 8.999496 17.12976958 1.204722523 9.574112626 0.4815245 16.3150943 2009 16.37588964 8.839567 17.14590611 1.259739408 9.721581766 0.5340906 16.33411098 2010 16.61510203 9.032768 17.16193551 1.169718854 9.713117876 0.6736267 16.37588964 Pakistan 2003 15.96865831 6.298949 18.84686241 4.056157923 11.39141909 0.1597889 2004 16.33557567 6.444131 18.86446915 4.064879076 11.41543519 0.2627063 15.96865831 2005 16.35967588 6.53814 18.88218248 4.08621956 11.4522569 0.3148696 16.33557567 2006 16.51761096 6.670766 18.9000982 4.098856618 11.4264357 0.4919724 16.35967588 2007 15.9864028 6.769642 18.91809035 4.106578025 11.53047302 0.5187439 16.51761096 2008 16.20238634 6.886532 18.93614912 4.254307367 11.45581505 0.5752415 15.9864028 2009 15.84339653 6.855409 18.95421282 4.403211782 11.47221944 0.6169239 16.20238634 2010 15.98945195 6.926577 18.97222624 4.444928853 11.5840064 0.8751352 15.84339653 Thailand 2003 12.76525977 7.687997 17.99557823 3.725322676 9.957455254 0.9081987 10.6148675 2004 12.59965409 7.800573 18.00607978 3.694424425 10.02123813 0.619272 12.76525977 2005 12.74930931 7.880048 18.01569277 3.694367622 10.08118833 0.9620226 12.59965409 2006 12.74135476 8.032035 18.02431981 3.634475622 10.0459788 1.1131828 12.74930931 2007 12.71421166 8.200563 18.03202041 3.541486159 10.08979377 1.0426342 12.74135476 2008 13.12579548 8.292298 18.03895143 3.505956736 10.05167172 1.4527003 12.71421166 2009 12.62333786 8.251925 18.04534887 3.53473052 10.08920062 1.4616308 13.12579548 2010 13.07714841 8.435549 18.051387 3.455865633 10.1003016 1.2465841 12.62333786 Turki 2003 13.30974378 8.426612 18.01029504 0.406055073 10.57256802 0.4660367 13.2651399 2004 13.33927314 8.671287 18.02371829 0.35454876 10.50160339 0.4022278 13.30974378 2005 13.09580583 8.866158 18.03712173 0.295340007 10.44223291 0.3200539 13.33927314 2006 12.81751073 8.947286 18.05053748 0.35659233 10.47309176 0.5633148 13.09580583 2007 13.07610999 9.131946 18.06390228 0.264616269 10.49504153 0.5648126 12.81751073 2008 13.4753415 9.239705 18.07711563 0.263534121 10.43462765 0.6067871 13.07610999 2009 13.4630382 9.054154 18.09003845 0.438228979 10.61091494 0.6543998 13.4753415 2010 14.12797914 9.219696 18.10257142 0.40735971 10.63352706 0.8085862 13.4630382 Lampiran 4. Hasil Output Model Permintaan Ekspor Produk Makanan dan Minuman Olahan Indonesia Di Pasar Non-Tradisional Asia, 2003- 2010

4.1. Produk Roti, Kue, Biskuit, dan Produk Lainnya yang Sejenis