Lampiran 4. Hasil Output Model Permintaan Ekspor Produk Makanan dan Minuman Olahan Indonesia Di Pasar Non-Tradisional Asia, 2003-
2010
4.1. Produk Roti, Kue, Biskuit, dan Produk Lainnya yang Sejenis
a. Hasil Output
Dependent Variable: HS1905 Method: Panel EGLS Cross-section weights
Date: 053012 Time: 20:09 Sample: 2003 2010
Periods included: 8 Cross-sections included: 10
Total panel balanced observations: 80 Linear estimation after one-step weighting matrix
Cross-section SUR PCSE standard errors covariance d.f. corrected Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
GDPC 0.931126 0.191885
4.852515 0.0000
POP 1.532024 0.474168
3.230976 0.0019
JE 0.675282 0.433979
1.556024 0.1246
ER 1.236414 0.675412
1.830608 0.0718
HR 1.452666 0.187346
7.753938 0.0000
Xt-1 0.173441 0.061021
2.842295 0.0060
C -36.90317 8.869936
-4.160478 0.0001
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed dummy variables Weighted
Statistics R-squared
0.995536 Mean dependent var 56.99104
Adjusted R-squared 0.994490 S.D. dependent var
83.84253 S.E. of regression
1.193658 Sum squared resid 91.18838
F-statistic 951.5223 Durbin-Watson stat
2.073514 ProbF-statistic 0.000000
Unweighted Statistics
R-squared 0.936536 Mean dependent var
11.28587 Sum squared resid
101.4261 Durbin-Watson stat 2.012828
b. Hasil Chow Test dan Hausman Test
Redundant Fixed Effects Tests Equation: EQ01
Test cross-section fixed effects Effects Test
Statistic d.f.
Prob. Cross-section F
29.845253 9,64
0.0000
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test Equation: EQ01
Test cross-section random effects Test Summary
Chi-Sq. Statistic
Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.000000
6 1.0000
Negara Fixed Effect Cross
Bahrain 7.587946
India -2.154138
Camboja -5.431627
Lebanon -5.376883
Sri Lanka -0.673235
Macao 4.987036
Malaysia 6.551787
Pakistan -1.813776
Thailand 2.946797
Turki -6.623907
4.2. Produk Kembang Gula
a.
Hasil Output
Dependent Variable: HS1704 Method: Panel EGLS Cross-section weights
Date: 051512 Time: 12:25 Sample: 2003 2010
Periods included: 8 Cross-sections included: 10
Total panel balanced observations: 80 Linear estimation after one-step weighting matrix
White cross-section standard errors covariance d.f. corrected Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
GDPC 0.186754 0.101606
1.838017 0.0707
POP 0.872768 0.486336
1.794580 0.0774
JE -0.473356 0.311311
-1.520526 0.1333
ER 0.857332 0.617227
1.389006 0.1696
HR 0.548338 0.201784
2.717446 0.0085
Xt-1 0.125093 0.025241
4.955881 0.0000
C -2.852326 7.766046
-0.367282 0.7146
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed dummy variables Weighted
Statistics R-squared
0.964852 Mean dependent var 48.82484
Adjusted R-squared 0.956614 S.D. dependent var
50.07692 S.E. of regression
1.436871 Sum squared resid 132.1343
F-statistic 117.1245 Durbin-Watson stat
1.673466 ProbF-statistic 0.000000
Unweighted Statistics
R-squared 0.606548 Mean dependent var
12.74722 Sum squared resid
228.4247 Durbin-Watson stat 1.974255
b.
Hasil Chow Test dan Hausman Test
Redundant Fixed Effects Tests Equation: EQ01
Test cross-section fixed effects Effects Test
Statistic d.f.
Prob. Cross-section F
10.033543 9,64
0.0000
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test Equation: EQ01
Test cross-section random effects Test Summary
Chi-Sq. Statistic
Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.000000
6 1.0000
Negara Fixed Effect Cross
Bahrain 6.875883
India -4.747961
Camboja -5.667345
Lebanon -0.768602
Sri Lanka -1.100597
Macao 4.130353
Malaysia 3.307893
Pakistan -1.623884
Thailand 0.545884
Turki -0.951624
4.3. Produk Jus Buah dan Jus Sayuran