Produk Roti, Kue, Biskuit, dan Produk Lainnya yang Sejenis Hasil Output Hasil Chow Test dan Hausman Test Produk Kembang Gula

Lampiran 4. Hasil Output Model Permintaan Ekspor Produk Makanan dan Minuman Olahan Indonesia Di Pasar Non-Tradisional Asia, 2003- 2010

4.1. Produk Roti, Kue, Biskuit, dan Produk Lainnya yang Sejenis

a. Hasil Output

Dependent Variable: HS1905 Method: Panel EGLS Cross-section weights Date: 053012 Time: 20:09 Sample: 2003 2010 Periods included: 8 Cross-sections included: 10 Total panel balanced observations: 80 Linear estimation after one-step weighting matrix Cross-section SUR PCSE standard errors covariance d.f. corrected Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. GDPC 0.931126 0.191885 4.852515 0.0000 POP 1.532024 0.474168 3.230976 0.0019 JE 0.675282 0.433979 1.556024 0.1246 ER 1.236414 0.675412 1.830608 0.0718 HR 1.452666 0.187346 7.753938 0.0000 Xt-1 0.173441 0.061021 2.842295 0.0060 C -36.90317 8.869936 -4.160478 0.0001 Effects Specification Cross-section fixed dummy variables Weighted Statistics R-squared 0.995536 Mean dependent var 56.99104 Adjusted R-squared 0.994490 S.D. dependent var 83.84253 S.E. of regression 1.193658 Sum squared resid 91.18838 F-statistic 951.5223 Durbin-Watson stat 2.073514 ProbF-statistic 0.000000 Unweighted Statistics R-squared 0.936536 Mean dependent var 11.28587 Sum squared resid 101.4261 Durbin-Watson stat 2.012828

b. Hasil Chow Test dan Hausman Test

Redundant Fixed Effects Tests Equation: EQ01 Test cross-section fixed effects Effects Test Statistic d.f. Prob. Cross-section F 29.845253 9,64 0.0000 Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test Equation: EQ01 Test cross-section random effects Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob. Cross-section random 0.000000 6 1.0000 Negara Fixed Effect Cross Bahrain 7.587946 India -2.154138 Camboja -5.431627 Lebanon -5.376883 Sri Lanka -0.673235 Macao 4.987036 Malaysia 6.551787 Pakistan -1.813776 Thailand 2.946797 Turki -6.623907

4.2. Produk Kembang Gula

a. Hasil Output Dependent Variable: HS1704 Method: Panel EGLS Cross-section weights Date: 051512 Time: 12:25 Sample: 2003 2010 Periods included: 8 Cross-sections included: 10 Total panel balanced observations: 80 Linear estimation after one-step weighting matrix White cross-section standard errors covariance d.f. corrected Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. GDPC 0.186754 0.101606 1.838017 0.0707 POP 0.872768 0.486336 1.794580 0.0774 JE -0.473356 0.311311 -1.520526 0.1333 ER 0.857332 0.617227 1.389006 0.1696 HR 0.548338 0.201784 2.717446 0.0085 Xt-1 0.125093 0.025241 4.955881 0.0000 C -2.852326 7.766046 -0.367282 0.7146 Effects Specification Cross-section fixed dummy variables Weighted Statistics R-squared 0.964852 Mean dependent var 48.82484 Adjusted R-squared 0.956614 S.D. dependent var 50.07692 S.E. of regression 1.436871 Sum squared resid 132.1343 F-statistic 117.1245 Durbin-Watson stat 1.673466 ProbF-statistic 0.000000 Unweighted Statistics R-squared 0.606548 Mean dependent var 12.74722 Sum squared resid 228.4247 Durbin-Watson stat 1.974255 b. Hasil Chow Test dan Hausman Test Redundant Fixed Effects Tests Equation: EQ01 Test cross-section fixed effects Effects Test Statistic d.f. Prob. Cross-section F 10.033543 9,64 0.0000 Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test Equation: EQ01 Test cross-section random effects Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob. Cross-section random 0.000000 6 1.0000 Negara Fixed Effect Cross Bahrain 6.875883 India -4.747961 Camboja -5.667345 Lebanon -0.768602 Sri Lanka -1.100597 Macao 4.130353 Malaysia 3.307893 Pakistan -1.623884 Thailand 0.545884 Turki -0.951624

4.3. Produk Jus Buah dan Jus Sayuran