LAMPIRAN
1. Periode 1975-2010
Lampiran 1.1 Hasil estimasi regresi, uji signifikansi t F, R
2
Periode 1975-2010
Dependent Variable: LPDB Method: Least Squares
Date: 022111 Time: 23:13 Sample: 1975 2010
Included observations: 36
Variable Coefficient
Std. Error t-Statistic
Prob. C
1.799948 0.127922
14.07068 0.0000
LPMAL 0.089458
0.018003 4.968946
0.0000 LPP
0.936651 0.040423
23.17143 0.0000
R-squared 0.982007 Mean dependent var
4.908818 Adjusted R-squared
0.980917 S.D. dependent var 0.749731
S.E. of regression 0.103569 Akaike info criterion
-1.617494 Sum squared resid
0.353979 Schwarz criterion -1.485534
Log likelihood 32.11490 Hannan-Quinn criter.
-1.571437 F-statistic
900.5343 Durbin-Watson stat 1.246557
ProbF-statistic 0.000000
Lampiran 1.2 Hasil pengujian normalitas Periode 1975-2010
1 2
3 4
5 6
7
-0.2 -0.1
-0.0 0.1
Series: Residuals Sample 1975 2010
Observations 36
Mean 7.21e-17
Median -0.006735
Maximum 0.167229
Minimum -0.217491
Std. Dev. 0.100567
Skewness 0.163637
Kurtosis 2.129655
Jarque-Bera 1.296912
Probability 0.522852
Lampiran 1.3 Hasil pengujian kolinearitas ganda Periode 1975-2010
1. Variabel PMAL
Dependent Variable: LPP Method: Least Squares
Date: 022111 Time: 23:14 Sample: 1975 2010
Included observations: 36 Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
C 3.133326
0.076122 41.16186
0.0000
LPMAL 0.342095
0.048910 6.994435
0.0000
R-squared 0.589977 Mean dependent var
3.278580 Adjusted R-squared
0.577917 S.D. dependent var 0.676345
S.E. of regression 0.439407 Akaike info criterion
1.247172 Sum squared resid
6.564675 Schwarz criterion 1.335146
Log likelihood -20.44910 Hannan-Quinn criter.
1.277877 F-statistic
48.92213 Durbin-Watson stat 0.382588
ProbF-statistic 0.000000
2. Variabel PP
Dependent Variable: LPMAL Method: Least Squares
Date: 022111 Time: 23:14 Sample: 1975 2010
Included observations: 36 Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
C -5.229629
0.824944 -6.339377
0.0000
LPP
1.724597 0.246567
6.994435 0.0000
R-squared 0.589977 Mean dependent var
0.424602 Adjusted R-squared
0.577917 S.D. dependent var 1.518583
S.E. of regression 0.986592 Akaike info criterion
2.864832 Sum squared resid
33.09434 Schwarz criterion 2.952805
Log likelihood -49.56697 Hannan-Quinn criter.
2.895537 F-statistic
48.92213 Durbin-Watson stat 0.362836
ProbF-statistic 0.000000
Lampiran 1.4 Hasil pengujian heteroskedastisitas Periode 1975-2010
Heteroskedasticity Test: White
F-statistic 0.286695 Prob. F5,30
0.9167 ObsR-squared
1.641724 Prob. Chi-Square5 0.8962
Scaled explained SS 0.779182 Prob. Chi-Square5 0.9783
Lampiran 1.5 Hasil pengujian otokorelasi Periode 1975-2010
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic 2.787109 Prob. F32,1
0.4466 ObsR-squared
35.60083 Prob. Chi-Square32 0.3026
2. Periode 1975-1998 Orde Baru