Periode analisis 1983-2001 Perode analisis 2002-2008

Lampiran 6 Hasil Pengolahan EViews 6.0 untuk Hukum Kaldor I dengan Periode Analisis 1983-2001 dan 2002-2008

a. Periode analisis 1983-2001

a.1 Persamaan . . Dependent Variable: GPDB Method: Least Squares Date: 020110 Time: 00:41 Sample: 1983Q2 2001Q4 Included observations: 75 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 0.570051 0.493920 1.154135 0.2522 GMANUF 0.318461 0.074964 4.248173 0.0001 R-squared 0.198216 Mean dependent var 1.298188 Adjusted R-squared 0.187233 S.D. dependent var 4.449811 S.E. of regression 4.011665 Akaike info criterion 5.642595 Sum squared resid 1174.823 Schwarz criterion 5.704394 Log likelihood -209.5973 Hannan-Quinn criter. 5.667271 F-statistic 18.04698 Durbin-Watson stat 2.342552 ProbF-statistic 0.000063 Lanjutan Lampiran 6 a.2 Persamaan . . Dependent Variable: GPDB Method: Least Squares Date: 020110 Time: 00:44 Sample: 1983Q2 2001Q4 Included observations: 75 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 1.490283 0.505648 2.947273 0.0043 GM_GNM -0.161225 0.068881 -2.340631 0.0220 R-squared 0.069810 Mean dependent var 1.298188 Adjusted R-squared 0.057067 S.D. dependent var 4.449811 S.E. of regression 4.320977 Akaike info criterion 5.791145 Sum squared resid 1362.972 Schwarz criterion 5.852945 Log likelihood -215.1679 Hannan-Quinn criter. 5.815821 F-statistic 5.478556 Durbin-Watson stat 2.375092 ProbF-statistic 0.021986 Lanjutan Lampiran 6 a.3 Persamaan . . Dependent Variable: GNM Method: Least Squares Date: 020110 Time: 00:45 Sample: 1983Q2 2001Q4 Included observations: 75 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 0.803851 0.603546 1.331880 0.1870 GMANUF 0.127314 0.091603 1.389854 0.1688 R-squared 0.025779 Mean dependent var 1.094945 Adjusted R-squared 0.012434 S.D. dependent var 4.932818 S.E. of regression 4.902055 Akaike info criterion 6.043491 Sum squared resid 1754.201 Schwarz criterion 6.105291 Log likelihood -224.6309 Hannan-Quinn criter. 6.068167 F-statistic 1.931694 Durbin-Watson stat 2.409999 ProbF-statistic 0.168797 Lanjutan Lampiran 6

b. Perode analisis 2002-2008

b.1 Persamaan . . Dependent Variable: GPDB Method: Least Squares Date: 020110 Time: 00:40 Sample: 2002Q1 2008Q4 Included observations: 28 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 0.232308 0.459962 0.505058 0.6178 GMANUF 1.046073 0.244506 4.278310 0.0002 R-squared 0.413145 Mean dependent var 1.383515 Adjusted R-squared 0.390573 S.D. dependent var 2.528582 S.E. of regression 1.973957 Akaike info criterion 4.266707 Sum squared resid 101.3092 Schwarz criterion 4.361864 Log likelihood -57.73390 Hannan-Quinn criter. 4.295798 F-statistic 18.30394 Durbin-Watson stat 2.413272 ProbF-statistic 0.000226 Lanjutan Lampiran 6 b.2 Persamaan . . Dependent Variable: GPDB Method: Least Squares Date: 020110 Time: 00:47 Sample: 2002Q1 2008Q4 Included observations: 28 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 1.086220 0.303955 3.573621 0.0014 GM_GNM -0.738843 0.113630 -6.502161 0.0000 R-squared 0.619204 Mean dependent var 1.383515 Adjusted R-squared 0.604558 S.D. dependent var 2.528582 S.E. of regression 1.590077 Akaike info criterion 3.834192 Sum squared resid 65.73700 Schwarz criterion 3.929349 Log likelihood -51.67868 Hannan-Quinn criter. 3.863282 F-statistic 42.27809 Durbin-Watson stat 2.306742 ProbF-statistic 0.000001 Lanjutan Lampiran 6 b.3 Persamaan . . Dependent Variable: GNM Method: Least Squares Date: 020110 Time: 00:46 Sample: 2002Q1 2008Q4 Included observations: 28 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 0.339272 0.639122 0.530842 0.6000 GMANUF 1.057344 0.339744 3.112182 0.0045 R-squared 0.271416 Mean dependent var 1.502885 Adjusted R-squared 0.243394 S.D. dependent var 3.153295 S.E. of regression 2.742834 Akaike info criterion 4.924610 Sum squared resid 195.6016 Schwarz criterion 5.019767 Log likelihood -66.94454 Hannan-Quinn criter. 4.953700 F-statistic 9.685679 Durbin-Watson stat 2.414518 ProbF-statistic 0.004475 Lampiran 7 Hasil Pengujian Lag Optimal

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