1. Panjang lag maksimum 2. Lag length criteria

Lanjutan Lampiran 7 b. , ,

b. 1. Panjang lag maksimum

Roots of Characteristic Polynomial Endogenous variables: DEMPSHARE DPDBCAP DPDBCAP2 INV TB Exogenous variables: C Lag specification: 1 6 Date: 022210 Time: 10:17 Root Modulus 0.994608 0.994608 0.050229 + 0.969142i 0.970442 0.050229 - 0.969142i 0.970442 -0.924709 0.924709 -0.909373 + 0.044865i 0.910479 -0.909373 - 0.044865i 0.910479 0.897846 - 0.123402i 0.906287 0.897846 + 0.123402i 0.906287 0.011360 - 0.881321i 0.881394 0.011360 + 0.881321i 0.881394 0.601379 - 0.621128i 0.864555 0.601379 + 0.621128i 0.864555 0.733360 + 0.433238i 0.851770 0.733360 - 0.433238i 0.851770 0.356233 - 0.727544i 0.810076 0.356233 + 0.727544i 0.810076 -0.230445 - 0.758125i 0.792375 -0.230445 + 0.758125i 0.792375 0.263171 - 0.712494i 0.759544 0.263171 + 0.712494i 0.759544 -0.442700 + 0.586419i 0.734759 -0.442700 - 0.586419i 0.734759 -0.268184 - 0.651332i 0.704384 -0.268184 + 0.651332i 0.704384 -0.581186 - 0.376091i 0.692259 -0.581186 + 0.376091i 0.692259 0.606966 0.606966 -0.461110 0.461110 0.392315 - 0.099646i 0.404772 0.392315 + 0.099646i 0.404772 No root lies outside the unit circle. VAR satisfies the stability condition. Panjang lag maksimum yang memenuhi kondisi kestabilan VAR adalah 6. Lanjutan Lampiran 7

b. 2. Lag length criteria

VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria Endogenous variables: DEMPSHARE DPDBCAP DPDBCAP2 INV TB Exogenous variables: C Date: 032010 Time: 02:39 Sample: 1988Q1 2008Q4 Included observations: 77 Lag LogL LR FPE AIC SC HQ -211.6330 NA 0.000191 5.626831 5.779026 5.687708 1 -99.70241 206.4175 2.00e-05 3.368894 4.282065 3.734154 2 -37.14869 107.2350 7.61e-06 2.393472 4.067619 3.063116 3 -4.276117 52.08381 6.33e-06 2.188990 4.624113 3.163018 4 49.71640 78.53457 3.10e-06 1.435938 4.632036 2.714349 5 65.25575 20.58459 4.24e-06 1.681669 5.638743 3.264464 6 79.75216 17.32039 6.18e-06 1.954489 6.672539 3.841668 indicates lag order selected by the criterion LR: sequential modified LR test statistic each test at 5 level FPE: Final prediction error AIC: Akaike information criterion SC: Schwarz information criterion HQ: Hannan-Quinn information criterion Lanjutan Lampiran 7

b. 3. Lag optimal