Lanjutan Lampiran 7
b.
, ,
b. 1. Panjang lag maksimum
Roots of Characteristic Polynomial Endogenous variables: DEMPSHARE DPDBCAP DPDBCAP2 INV TB
Exogenous variables: C Lag specification: 1 6
Date: 022210 Time: 10:17 Root
Modulus 0.994608
0.994608 0.050229 + 0.969142i
0.970442 0.050229 - 0.969142i
0.970442 -0.924709
0.924709 -0.909373 + 0.044865i
0.910479 -0.909373 - 0.044865i
0.910479 0.897846 - 0.123402i
0.906287 0.897846 + 0.123402i
0.906287 0.011360 - 0.881321i
0.881394 0.011360 + 0.881321i
0.881394 0.601379 - 0.621128i
0.864555 0.601379 + 0.621128i
0.864555 0.733360 + 0.433238i
0.851770 0.733360 - 0.433238i
0.851770 0.356233 - 0.727544i
0.810076 0.356233 + 0.727544i
0.810076 -0.230445 - 0.758125i
0.792375 -0.230445 + 0.758125i
0.792375 0.263171 - 0.712494i
0.759544 0.263171 + 0.712494i
0.759544 -0.442700 + 0.586419i
0.734759 -0.442700 - 0.586419i
0.734759 -0.268184 - 0.651332i
0.704384 -0.268184 + 0.651332i
0.704384 -0.581186 - 0.376091i
0.692259 -0.581186 + 0.376091i
0.692259 0.606966
0.606966 -0.461110
0.461110 0.392315 - 0.099646i
0.404772 0.392315 + 0.099646i
0.404772 No root lies outside the unit circle.
VAR satisfies the stability condition.
Panjang lag maksimum yang memenuhi kondisi kestabilan VAR adalah 6.
Lanjutan Lampiran 7
b. 2. Lag length criteria
VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria Endogenous variables: DEMPSHARE DPDBCAP DPDBCAP2 INV TB
Exogenous variables: C Date: 032010 Time: 02:39
Sample: 1988Q1 2008Q4 Included observations: 77
Lag LogL
LR FPE
AIC SC
HQ -211.6330
NA 0.000191
5.626831 5.779026
5.687708 1
-99.70241 206.4175
2.00e-05 3.368894
4.282065 3.734154
2 -37.14869
107.2350 7.61e-06
2.393472 4.067619
3.063116 3
-4.276117 52.08381
6.33e-06 2.188990
4.624113 3.163018
4 49.71640
78.53457 3.10e-06
1.435938
4.632036
2.714349
5 65.25575
20.58459 4.24e-06
1.681669 5.638743
3.264464 6
79.75216 17.32039
6.18e-06 1.954489
6.672539 3.841668
indicates lag order selected by the criterion LR: sequential modified LR test statistic each test at 5 level
FPE: Final prediction error AIC: Akaike information criterion
SC: Schwarz information criterion HQ: Hannan-Quinn information criterion
Lanjutan Lampiran 7
b. 3. Lag optimal