Main results Previous results for the 2-point function

The investigation of the contact-process survival probability is deferred to the sequel [18] to this paper, in which we also discuss the implications of our results for the convergence of the critical spread-out contact process towards super-Brownian motion, in the sense of convergence of finite- dimensional distributions [23]. See also [12] and [28] for more expository discussions of the var- ious results for oriented percolation and the contact process for d 4, and [29] for a detailed discussion of the applications of the lace expansion. For a summary of all the notation used in this paper, we refer the reader to the glossary in Appendix A at the end of the paper.

1.2 Main results

We define the spread-out contact process as follows. Let C t ⊆ Z d be the set of infected individuals at time t ∈ R + ≡ [0, ∞, and let C = {o}. An infected site x recovers in a small time interval [t, t + ǫ] with probability ǫ + oǫ independently of t, where oǫ is a function that satisfies lim ǫ↓0 o ǫǫ = 0. In other words, x ∈ C t recovers at rate 1. A healthy site x gets infected, depending on the status of its neighboring sites, at rate λ P y ∈C t Dx − y, where λ ≥ 0 is the infection rate. We denote the associated probability measure by P λ . We assume that the function D : Z d → [0, 1] is a probability distribution which is symmetric with respect to the lattice symmetries. Further assumptions on D involve a parameter L ≥ 1 which serves to spread out the infections, and will be taken to be large. In particular, we require that Do = 0 and kDk ∞ ≡ sup x ∈Z d Dx ≤ C L −d . Moreover, with σ defined as σ 2 = X x |x| 2 Dx, 1.1 where | · | denotes the Euclidean norm on R d , we require that C 1 L ≤ σ ≤ C 2 L and that there exists a ∆ 0 such that X x |x| 2+2∆ Dx ≤ C L 2+2∆ . 1.2 See [16, Section 5] for the precise assumptions on D. A simple example of D is Dx = 1 {0kxk ∞ ≤L} 2L + 1 d − 1 , 1.3 which is the uniform distribution on the cube of radius L. For r ≥ 2, ~t = t 1 , . . . , t r −1 ∈ R r −1 + and ~x = x 1 , . . . , x r −1 ∈ Z r−1d , we define the r-point function as τ λ ~t ~x = P λ x i ∈ C t i ∀i = 1, . . . , r − 1. 1.4 For a summable function f : Z d → R, we define its Fourier transform for k ∈ [−π, π] d by ˆ f k = X x ∈Z d e ik ·x f x. 1.5 By the results in [8] and the extension of [2] to the spread-out model, there exists a unique critical point λ c ∈ 0, ∞ such that Z ∞ dt ˆ τ λ t ∞, if λ λ c , = ∞, otherwise, lim t ↑∞ P λ C t 6= ∅ = 0, if λ ≤ λ c , 0, otherwise. 1.6 We will next investigate the sufficiently spread-out contact process at the critical value λ c for d 4, as well as a local mean-field limit when d ≤ 4. 804

1.3 Previous results for the 2-point function

We first state the results for the 2-point function proved in [16]. Those results will be crucial for the current paper. In the statements, σ is defined in 1.1 and ∆ in 1.2. Besides the high-dimensional setting for d 4, we also consider a low-dimensional setting, i.e., d ≤ 4. In this case, the contact process is not believed to be in the mean-field regime, and Gaussian asymptotics are thus not expected to hold as long as L remains finite. However, inspired by the mean-field limit in [5] of Durrett and Perkins, we have proved Gaussian asymptotics when range and time grow simultaneously [16]. We suppose that the infection range grows as L T = L 1 T b , 1.7 where L 1 ≥ 1 is the initial infection range and T ≥ 1. We denote by σ 2 T the variance of D = D T in this situation. We will assume that α = bd + d − 4 2 0. 1.8 Theorem 1.1 Gaussian asymptotics for the two-point function. i Let d 4, δ ∈ 0, 1 ∧ ∆ ∧ d −4 2 and L ≫ 1. There exist positive finite constants A = Ad, L, v = vd, L and C i = C i d i = 1, 2 such that ˆ τ λ c t k p v σ 2 t = A e − |k|2 2d 1 + O |k| 2 1 + t −δ + O 1 + t −d−42 , 1.9 1 ˆ τ λ c t X x |x| 2 τ λ c t x = v σ 2 t 1 + O 1 + t −δ , 1.10 C 1 L −d 1 + t −d2 ≤ kτ λ c t k ∞ ≤ e −t + C 2 L −d 1 + t −d2 , 1.11 with the error estimate in 1.9 uniform in k ∈ R d with |k| 2 log2 + t sufficiently small. More- over, λ c = 1 + OL −d , A = 1 + OL −d , v = 1 + OL −d . 1.12 ii Let d ≤ 4, δ ∈ 0, 1 ∧ ∆ ∧ α and L 1 ≫ 1. There exist λ T = 1 + OT −µ for some µ ∈ 0, α − δ and C i = C i d i = 1, 2 such that, for every 0 t ≤ log T , ˆ τ λ T T t k p σ 2 T T t = e − |k|2 2d 1 + OT −µ + O |k| 2 1 + T t −δ , 1.13 1 ˆ τ λ T T t X x |x| 2 τ λ T T t x = σ 2 T T t 1 + OT −µ + O 1 + T t −δ , 1.14 C 1 L −d T 1 + T t −d2 ≤ kτ λ T T t k ∞ ≤ e −T t + C 2 L −d T 1 + T t −d2 , 1.15 with the error estimate in 1.13 uniform in k ∈ R d with |k| 2 log2 + T t sufficiently small. In the rest of the paper, we will always work at the critical value, i.e., we take λ = λ c for d 4 and λ = λ T as in Theorem 1.1ii for d ≤ 4. We will often omit the λ-dependence and write τ r ~t ~x = τ λ ~t ~x to emphasize the number of arguments of τ λ ~t ~x. 805 While τ λ c t x tells us what paths in a critical cluster look like, τ λ c ~t ~x gives us information about the branching structure of critical clusters. The goal of this paper is to prove that the suitably scaled critical r-point functions converge to those of the canonical measure of super-Brownian motion SBM. In [5], Durrett and Perkins proved convergence to SBM of the rescaled contact process with L T defined in 1.7. We now compare the ranges needed in our results and in [5]. We need that α ≡ bd + d −4 2 0, i.e., bd 4 −d 2 . In [5], bd = 1 for all d ≥ 3, and L 2 T ∝ T log T for d = 2, which is the critical case in [5]. In comparison, we are allowed to use ranges that grow to infinity slower than the ranges in [5] when d ≥ 3, but the range for d = 2 in our results needs to be slightly larger than the range in [5]. It would be of interest to investigate whether a range L 2 T ∝ T log T or even smaller is possible by adapting our proofs.

1.4 The r-point function for r

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