Uji Stasioner Tingkat Level

117 d. Laba Tahun Berjalan Null Hypothesis: LABA has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend Lag Length: 0 Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=4 t-Statistic Prob. Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -2.406072 0.3649 Test critical values: 1 level -4.532598 5 level -3.673616 10 level -3.277364 MacKinnon 1996 one-sided p-values. Warning: Probabilities and critical values calculated for 20 observations and may not be accurate for a sample size of 19 Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation Dependent Variable: DLABA Method: Least Squares Date: 062411 Time: 10:10 Sample adjusted: 2006Q2 2010Q4 Included observations: 19 after adjustments Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. LABA-1 -0.777123 0.322984 -2.406072 0.0286 C 79283.24 104154.8 0.761206 0.4576 TREND2006Q1 30999.91 12745.57 2.432210 0.0271 R-squared 0.294963 Mean dependent var 64162.74 Adjusted R-squared 0.206834 S.D. dependent var 226424.2 S.E. of regression 201653.1 Akaike info criterion 27.41042 Sum squared resid 6.51E+11 Schwarz criterion 27.55955 Log likelihood -257.3990 Hannan-Quinn criter. 27.43566 F-statistic 3.346928 Durbin-Watson stat 1.631742 ProbF-statistic 0.061051 118

2. Uji Stasioneritas Tingkat Differnsi Pertama

a. Aset

Null Hypothesis: DASET has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend Lag Length: 0 Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=4 t-Statistic Prob. Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -2.459061 0.3412 Test critical values: 1 level -4.571559 5 level -3.690814 10 level -3.286909 MacKinnon 1996 one-sided p-values. Warning: Probabilities and critical values calculated for 20 observations and may not be accurate for a sample size of 18 Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation Dependent Variable: DASET,2 Method: Least Squares Date: 062411 Time: 10:14 Sample adjusted: 2006Q3 2010Q4 Included observations: 18 after adjustments Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. DASET-1 -0.910849 0.370405 -2.459061 0.0266 C -446536.3 1335688. -0.334312 0.7428 TREND2006Q1 408717.1 151403.8 2.699516 0.0165 R-squared 0.349345 Mean dependent var 661676.4 Adjusted R-squared 0.262591 S.D. dependent var 2880033. S.E. of regression 2473157. Akaike info criterion 32.43090 Sum squared resid 9.17E+13 Schwarz criterion 32.57930 Log likelihood -288.8781 Hannan-Quinn criter. 32.45136 F-statistic 4.026844 Durbin-Watson stat 1.680688 ProbF-statistic 0.039823 119 b. Dana Pihak Ketiga Null Hypothesis: DDPK has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend Lag Length: 3 Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=4 t-Statistic Prob. Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -0.691402 0.9538 Test critical values: 1 level -4.728363 5 level -3.759743 10 level -3.324976 MacKinnon 1996 one-sided p-values. Warning: Probabilities and critical values calculated for 20 observations and may not be accurate for a sample size of 15 Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation Dependent Variable: DDPK,2 Method: Least Squares Date: 062411 Time: 10:15 Sample adjusted: 2007Q2 2010Q4 Included observations: 15 after adjustments Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. DDPK-1 -0.799369 1.156157 -0.691402 0.5068 DDPK-1,2 -0.173599 0.925560 -0.187561 0.8554 DDPK-2,2 -0.369178 0.707277 -0.521971 0.6143 DDPK-3,2 -0.936113 0.422209 -2.217179 0.0538 C -1146617. 1409165. -0.813686 0.4368 TREND2006Q1 353998.0 256452.4 1.380365 0.2008 R-squared 0.829222 Mean dependent var 727549.9 Adjusted R-squared 0.734345 S.D. dependent var 3467750. S.E. of regression 1787338. Akaike info criterion 31.91953 Sum squared resid 2.88E+13 Schwarz criterion 32.20275 Log likelihood -233.3965 Hannan-Quinn criter. 31.91651 F-statistic 8.739987 Durbin-Watson stat 1.860913 ProbF-statistic 0.002903 120 c. Pembiayaan Null Hypothesis: DPEMBIAYAAN has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend Lag Length: 1 Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=4 t-Statistic Prob. Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -0.942136 0.9260 Test critical values: 1 level -4.616209 5 level -3.710482 10 level -3.297799 MacKinnon 1996 one-sided p-values. Warning: Probabilities and critical values calculated for 20 observations and may not be accurate for a sample size of 17 Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation Dependent Variable: DPEMBIAYAAN,2 Method: Least Squares Date: 062411 Time: 10:16 Sample adjusted: 2006Q4 2010Q4 Included observations: 17 after adjustments Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. DPEMBIAYAAN-1 -0.394967 0.419225 -0.942136 0.3633 DPEMBIAYAAN-1,2 -0.538426 0.281892 -1.910043 0.0784 C -546246.0 706164.0 -0.773540 0.4530 TREND2006Q1 179260.9 95301.78 1.880982 0.0826 R-squared 0.572268 Mean dependent var 335916.7 Adjusted R-squared 0.473561 S.D. dependent var 1569101. S.E. of regression 1138479. Akaike info criterion 30.93061 Sum squared resid 1.68E+13 Schwarz criterion 31.12666 Log likelihood -258.9102 Hannan-Quinn criter. 30.95010 F-statistic 5.797632 Durbin-Watson stat 1.561435 ProbF-statistic 0.009649 121 d. Laba Tahun Berjalan Null Hypothesis: DLABA has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend Lag Length: 2 Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=4 t-Statistic Prob. Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -4.564662 0.0120 Test critical values: 1 level -4.667883 5 level -3.733200 10 level -3.310349 MacKinnon 1996 one-sided p-values. Warning: Probabilities and critical values calculated for 20 observations and may not be accurate for a sample size of 16 Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation Dependent Variable: DLABA,2 Method: Least Squares Date: 062411 Time: 10:16 Sample adjusted: 2007Q1 2010Q4 Included observations: 16 after adjustments Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. DLABA-1 -3.849070 0.843232 -4.564662 0.0008 DLABA-1,2 1.968866 0.632056 3.115018 0.0098 DLABA-2,2 0.928163 0.341152 2.720676 0.0199 C -20297.03 134808.5 -0.150562 0.8830 TREND2006Q1 14073.81 10653.29 1.321077 0.2133 R-squared 0.814854 Mean dependent var 14524.38 Adjusted R-squared 0.747528 S.D. dependent var 380518.0 S.E. of regression 191197.4 Akaike info criterion 27.41031 Sum squared resid 4.02E+11 Schwarz criterion 27.65174 Log likelihood -214.2825 Hannan-Quinn criter. 27.42267 F-statistic 12.10311 Durbin-Watson stat 1.862517 ProbF-statistic 0.000513