Research proposal on Oil Palm Landscape dynamic

149 Sekretariat Perizinan Penelitian Asing Kementerian Riset dan Teknologi DIREKTORI PENELITIAN ASING DI INDONESIA 2013

91.1 Ms. Soytavanh Mienmany

Warga Negara : Laos Jabatan : Master Student Institusi : SupAgro-IRC Montpellier No. SIP : 199SIPFRPSMVI2013

92. Research proposal on Oil Palm Landscape dynamic

Tujuan Penelitian : Menganalisis dinamika-dinamika produksi minyak kelapa sawit dalam skala regional Bidang Penelitian : Pertanian Daerah Penelitian : Prov. Jambi dan Prov. Riau Lama Penelitian : 6 enam bulan mulai 5 Juni 2013 Mitra Kerja : Badan Penelitian dan Pengembangan Pertanian- Kementan Dr. Fahmudin Agus Abstract The objective of this PhD is to analyze palm oil production dynamics at a regional scale. In order to do so, I intend to identify factors involved in the spatial development of oil palm. Both biophysical such as soil types, slope and socio- economic such as oil incomes from oil palm factors will be taken into account. Then. I will develop a model based on stakeholders’ decisions that will represent the patterns of this development. The informatics development of this model will inally allow me to propose possible futures of the spatial development of oil palm. Modeling oil palm production dynamics implies understanding constraints and driving factors of various nature and scale. Models based on integrated analysis can give a better understanding of land system functioning and stakeholders decision making and thus allow for a better deinition of pathways for future land use1. In order to take into account the complexity of this process, a model will be developed based on the multi-agent methodology Cormas programming environment”. This model will be used to simulate scenarios of landscape dynamics. 150 Sekretariat Perizinan Penelitian Asing Kementerian Riset dan Teknologi DIREKTORI PENELITIAN ASING DI INDONESIA 2013 To develop this model, I will have to analyze all the processes involved in oil palm spatial dynamics through an extensive survey of the case study regions Riau and Jambi provinces. This survey will consist irst in mapping oil palm cropping systems based on remote sensing analysis, validated by ground checking, second in interviewing stakeholders. I plan to interview the various types of oil palm growers in order to elicit the main factors determining the location of their plantation and their agricultural practices. Data collection will take place in two provinces in order to compare oil palm dynamics and highlight the generic factors of oil palm development. Once the model is developed, scenarios will be simulated and maps showing several possible future landscapes will be produced. These maps will help the local governments kabnpaten level in their task of land use planning. Five steps are considered during the PhD work: 1 Characterization of the study area using remote sensing analysis 2 Field data collection in Riau and Jambi provinces two 6 months periods are planned in 2013 and 2014 3 Modeling oil palm cropping systems dynamics in the study area 4 Simulating narrative scenarios to produce spatial scenarios’ maps of oil palm future landscapes.

92.1 Ms. Morgot Marie Henriette Moulin