pengembangan industri hilir kehutanan seperti industri kertas dan lain-lain, harus diarahkan pada pengembangan usaha yang banyak melibatkan masyarakat dan
badan-badan usaha kecil ataupun menengah di sekitar lokasi atau pabrik. Secara ringkas kerangka pemikiran dampak implementasi kebijakan
prioritas pemerintah dalam revitalisasi sektor berbasis kehutanan, untuk mengembalikan peran dan kontribusi sektor kehutanan dalam perekonomian,
menciptakan lapangan kerja dan kesempatan berusaha bagi masyarakat, meningkatkan pendapatan masyarakat dan negara serta menjadi benteng
pengamanan hutan, dapat dilihat pada Gambar 8.
3.2. Hipotesis
1. Sektor berbasis kehutanan mempunyai peranan yang besar terhadap peningkatan nilai tambah regional, penyerapan tenaga kerja dan pendapatan
masyarakat di provinsi Jambi. 2. Pembangunan ekonomi berbasis kehutanan mampu memperbaiki distribusi
pendapatan rumahtangga baik itu antar kelompok maupun antar wilayah desa dan kota di provinsi Jambi.
3. Implementasi kebijakan revitalisasi industri kehutanan mempunyai pengaruh yang besar terhadap perekonomian wilayah provinsi Jambi.
Kerusakan hutan dan perkembangan industri
kehutanan Nasional Kerusakan hutan dan perkembangan
industri kehutanan Prop. Jambi Peran sektor kehutanan
dlm perekonomian Nas .
yg terus merosot 5
kebijaka n prioritas sektor kehutanan Nas
. Th .
2004 - 2009
Peran sektor kehutanan dlm perekonomian Jambi yg terus
merosot Implementasi kebijakan sektor
kehutanan di Propinsi Jambi Revitalisasi sektor berbasis
kehutanan khususnya industri kehutanan
• Ciptakan industri kehutan
. yang
tangguh , efisien ,
berkualitas dan berdaya saing global
• Penyerapan TK
. •
Income masy .
meningkat •
Mewujudkan peng .
hutan lestari
Peningkatan kinerja industri
kehutanan Mendorong
pelaksanaan Pengelolaan
Hutan Lestari u
. HPH
HTI Pembangunan
HTR baru target nas
. 2
jt .
ha Peningkatan
prod . HH Non
kayu Peningkatan
income pemerintah dari
PNBP PSDH +
DR
perluasan industri hasil hutan kayu
Hutan tanaman Peningkatan
produksi kayu hutan tanaman
untuk bahan baku industri hasil hutan
Penerimaan Negara PSDH
, DR ,
PBB dan Pajak lainnya
bertambah •
Lapangan usaha bagi
UKM •
Lapangan kerja bagi masyarakat
• Pendapatan
. Pembangun an
HTI baru target
nas . 5 jt
. ha
KERANGKA PEMIKIRAN DAMPAK IMPLEMENTASI KEBIJAKAN REVITALISASI SEKTOR KEHUTANAN
Rumahtangga •
Pertumb.ekonomi Restrukturisasi +
perluasan industri hasil hutan kayu
Alam pengolahan
pengolahan
Gambar 8. Kerangka Pemikiran 71
LAMPIRAN
DAFTAR PUSTAKA
Lampiran 1. Struktur Sistem Neraca Sosial Ekonomi Provinsi Jambi Tahun 2005
Uraian Kode
Faktor Produksi
Tenaga Kerja
Pertanian 1
Buruh Kasar, Operator Angkutan, dan Manual 2
Tata Usaha, Tata usaha penjualan dan Jasa-Jasa 3
Kepemimpinan, Ketatalaksanaan, Profesional, dan Militer 4
Bukan Tenaga Kerja modal 5
Institusi Rumah
Tangga Desa
Kehutanan Buruh
6 Pengusaha
7 Pertanian Selain
Kehutanan Buruh
8 Pengusaha
9 Industri Kehutanan
Buruh 10
Pengusaha 11
Rumahtangga Lainnya
Buruh 12
Pengusaha 13
Rumah Tangga
Kota Kehutanan
Buruh 14
Pengusaha 15
Pertanian Selain Kehutanan
Buruh 16
Pengusaha 17
Industri Kehutanan Buruh
18 Pengusaha
19 Rumahtangga
Lainnya Buruh
20 Pengusaha
21 Perusahaan Pengolahan hasil Hutan
22 Perusahaan Lainnya
23 Pemerintah
24
Sektor Produksi
Kayu HTI 25
Kayu Rimba 26
Hasil Hutan Lainnya 27
Jasa lingkungan 28
Padi 29
Tanaman Pangan Lainnya 30
Perkebunan 31
Lampiran 1. Lanjutan
Uraian Kode
Peternakan 32
Perikanan 33
Pertambangan 34
Industri Makanan 35
Industri Penggergajian dan pengolahan kayu 36
Industri kayu lapis dan sejenisnya 37
Industri kayu lainnya 38
Industri pulp 39
Kertas 40
industri percetakan 41
kimia 42
Industri pengolahan lainnya 43
Listrik dan air minum 44
Bangunan 45
Perdagangan, restoran dan hotel 46
Angkutan Jalan raya 47
Angkutan air 48
Angkutan lainnya dan komunikasi 49
Bank, Lembaga Keuangan non bank dan usaha bangunan 50
Jasa perusahaan 51
Pemerintahan Umum dan Pertahanan 52
Jasa sosial kemasyarakatan 53
Jasa lainnya 54
Impor Domestik
Pertambangan batu bara, biji logam dan penggalian lainnya 55
Pengilangan minyak bumi 56
kertas 57
Industri petrokimia 58
Industri mesin listrik dan peralatan listrik 59
Industri alat angkutan dan perbaikiannya 60
Komoditi Impor 61
Neraca Kapital 62
Pajak Tak Langsung Minus Subsidi 63
Luar Negeri 64
Lampiran 2. Matrik Koefisien Input Sistem Neraca Sosial Ekonomi Provinsi Jambi Tahun 2005
248
Lampiran 3. Matrik Angka Pengganda Sistem Neraca Sosial Ekonomi Provinsi Jambi Tahun 2005
249
250 Lampiran 4. Simulasi Kebijakan Pembangunan Berbasis Kehutanan
Lampiran 5. Analisis Jalur Struktural Sektor Kayu Rimba ke Rumahtanga Path
Global Effect
Direct Effect
Path Mult
Total Effect
Global Cum
26, 1, 8 0.084
0.031 1.135
0.036 42.4
42.4 26, 2, 8
0.001 1.142
0.001 1.6
44.1 26, 5, 8
0.003 1.262
0.004 5.2
49.3 26, 47, 3, 8
0.002 1.328
0.003 3.0
52.3 26, 47, 5, 8
0.002 1.416
0.003 3.8
56.1 26, 1, 9
0.163 0.015
1.390 0.021
13.0 13.0
26, 5, 9 0.015
1.508 0.023
14.2 27.1
26, 1, 10, 9 0.001
1.603 0.002
1.0 28.2
26, 5, 19, 9 0.002
1.664 0.003
1.9 30.1
26, 5, 21, 9 0.003
1.764 0.004
2.7 32.8
26, 46, 5, 9 0.002
1.615 0.003
2.0 34.8
26, 47, 3, 9 0.002
1.611 0.003
1.6 36.4
26, 47, 5, 9 0.010
1.691 0.017
10.3 46.8
26, 1, 10 0.103
0.018 1.314
0.024 23.4
23.4 26, 2, 10
0.001 1.319
0.001 1.3
24.7 26, 5, 10
0.003 1.451
0.005 4.7
29.3 26, 1, 9, 10
0.001 1.603
0.002 1.8
31.1 26, 5, 9, 10
0.001 1.721
0.002 1.9
33.0 26, 5, 21, 10
0.001 1.702
0.002 1.7
34.7 26, 47, 5, 10
0.002 1.627
0.004 3.4
38.1 26, 1, 11
0.116 0.004
1.247 0.005
4.4 4.4
26, 2, 11 0.004
1.248 0.005
4.1 8.5
26, 3, 11 0.001
1.270 0.002
1.5 10.0
26, 5, 11 0.005
1.371 0.007
6.2 16.2
26, 1, 10, 11 0.002
1.446 0.003
2.5 18.7
26, 5, 21, 11 0.002
1.607 0.003
2.4 21.1
26, 47, 3, 11 0.003
1.446 0.005
4.3 25.4
26, 47, 5, 11 0.003
1.536 0.005
4.5 29.9
26, 1, 12 0.117
0.008 1.329
0.010 8.7
8.7 26, 2, 12
0.001 1.333
0.002 1.6
10.2 26, 3, 12
0.002 1.353
0.002 2.0
12.3 26, 5, 12
0.004 1.459
0.006 5.5
17.7 26, 1, 9, 12
0.001 1.622
0.002 1.4
19.1 26, 1, 10, 12
0.001 1.532
0.002 1.6
20.7 26, 5, 9, 12
0.001 1.732
0.002 1.5
22.2 26, 5, 13, 12
0.001 1.742
0.002 1.9
24.1 26, 5, 21, 12
0.003 1.705
0.005 4.1
28.2 26, 47, 3, 12
0.004 1.540
0.007 5.9
34.0
26, 47, 5, 12 0.003
1.634 0.005
4.0 38.0
26, 1, 13 0.155
0.006 1.372
0.008 5.5
5.50 26, 2, 13
0.003 1.374
0.004 2.3
7.8 26, 3, 13
0.002 1.400
0.002 1.4
9.2 26, 5, 13
0.021 1.502
0.031 19.9
29.1 26, 5, 21, 13
0.003 1.729
0.005 3.4
32.5 26, 46, 5, 13
0.003 1.609
0.004 2.8
35.2 26, 47, 3, 13
0.004 1.592
0.006 4.0
39.2 26, 47, 5, 13
0.013 1.684
0.023 14.5
53.8 26, 51, 5, 13
0.001 1.735
0.002 1.4
55.1 26, 1, 16
0.015 0.003
1.114 0.003
22.9 22.9
26, 5, 16 0.001
1.248 0.001
8.7 31.7
26, 1, 17 0.027
0.003 1.116
0.003 10.5
10.5 26, 2, 18
0.081 0.002
1.246 0.002
2.7 2.7
26, 5, 18 0.006
1.373 0.008
9.3 12.1
26, 1, 10, 18 0.001
1.447 0.002
1.9 13.9
26, 47, 3, 18 0.002
1.447 0.003
3.9 17.8
26, 47, 5, 18 0.004
1.540 0.006
6.8 24.6
26, 2, 19 0.155
0.002 1.318
0.002 1.5
1.5 26, 5, 19
0.013 1.427
0.018 11.6
13.2 26, 1, 9, 19
0.001 1.569
0.002 1.3
14.5 26, 1, 10, 19
0.003 1.512
0.004 2.7
17.1 26, 1, 12, 19
0.001 1.528
0.002 1.0
18.1 26, 5, 9, 19
0.001 1.664
0.002 1.4
19.5 26, 5, 13, 19
0.001 1.704
0.002 1.2
20.8 26, 5, 21, 19
0.002 1.668
0.004 2.5
23.3 26, 46, 5, 19
0.002 1.528
0.002 1.6
24.9 26, 47, 3, 19
0.002 1.519
0.004 2.4
27.3 26, 47, 5, 19
0.008 1.599
0.013 8.5
35.8 26, 1, 20
0.107 0.001
1.291 0.002
1.5 1.5
26, 2, 20 0.003
1.293 0.004
3.3 4.8
26, 3, 20 0.002
1.315 0.002
2.1 6.9
26, 5, 20 0.003
1.423 0.004
3.5 10.3
26, 1, 9, 20 0.001
1.584 0.002
1.7 12.0
26, 1, 10, 20 0.001
1.495 0.002
1.9 13.9
26, 5, 9, 20 0.001
1.697 0.002
1.8 15.7
26, 5, 21, 20 0.003
1.665 0.005
4.9 20.6
26, 47, 3, 20 0.004
1.498 0.006
6.0 26.6
26, 47, 5, 20 0.002
1.595 0.003
2.5 29.1
26, 2, 21 0.357
0.009 1.373
0.012 3.4
3.4 26, 3, 21
0.006 1.393
0.008 2.3
5.7 Lampiran 5. Lanjutan
26, 5, 21 0.058
1.474 0.085
23.8 29.6
26, 1, 13, 21 0.001
1.636 0.002
0.6 30.2
26, 5, 13, 21 0.004
1.729 0.007
2.1 32.3
26, 46, 2, 21 0.001
1.488 0.002
0.4 32.7
26, 46, 5, 21 0.007
1.578 0.012
3.3 36.0
26, 47, 2, 21 0.001
1.568 0.002
0.5 36.5
26, 47, 3, 21 0.015
1.576 0.024
6.7 43.2
26, 47, 5, 21 0.037
1.650 0.062
17.3 60.5
26, 49, 5, 21 0.001
1.577 0.002
0.6 61.1
26, 50, 5, 21 0.001
1.510 0.002
0.5 61.7
26, 51, 5, 21 0.003
1.703 0.006
1.6 63.3
Lampiran 5. Lanjutan
Lampiran 6. Analisis Jalur Struktural Sektor Hasil Hutan Lainnya ke Rumahtangga Path
Global Effect
Direct Effect
Path Mult
Total Effect
Global Cum
27, 1, 8 0.068
0.016 1.035
0.016 23.7
23.7 27, 5, 8
0.012 1.149
0.014 19.9
43.6 27, 5, 19, 8
0.002 1.314
0.002 3.3
46.9 27, 5, 21, 8
0.002 1.357
0.002 3.2
50.1 27, 1, 9
0.180 0.008
1.267 0.010
5.3 5.3
27, 5, 9 0.052
1.373 0.071
39.5 44.8
27, 5, 13, 9 0.003
1.641 0.005
2.8 47.7
27, 5, 19, 9 0.006
1.515 0.010
5.4 53.1
27, 5, 21, 9 0.009
1.606 0.014
7.7 60.8
27, 47, 5, 9 0.003
1.539 0.004
2.2 63.0
27, 1, 10 0.099
0.009 1.198
0.011 11.0
11.0 27, 5, 10
0.011 1.321
0.015 15.0
26.1 27, 5, 9, 10
0.004 1.567
0.006 6.1
32.2 27, 5, 12, 10
0.001 1.513
0.002 2.0
34.2 27, 5, 13, 10
0.001 1.583
0.002 1.8
36.0 27, 5, 18, 10
0.001 1.436
0.002 1.6
37.7 27, 5, 19, 10
0.001 1.477
0.002 2.2
39.9 27, 5, 21, 10
0.004 1.550
0.006 5.6
45.5 27, 5, 24, 10
0.001 1.537
0.002 1.6
47.1 27, 1, 11
0.116 0.002
1.137 0.002
2.0 2.0
27, 2, 11 0.002
1.138 0.002
1.8 3.8
27, 5, 11 0.018
1.248 0.022
19.0 22.8
27, 1, 10, 11 0.001
1.318 0.001
1.1 24.0
27, 5, 9, 11 0.003
1.490 0.005
4.2 28.1
27, 5, 10, 11 0.001
1.429 0.002
1.5 29.7
27, 5, 12, 11 0.001
1.438 0.002
1.8 31.5
27, 5, 13, 11 0.003
1.494 0.005
3.9 35.4
27, 5, 18, 11 0.002
1.360 0.002
1.9 37.3
27, 5, 19, 11 0.001
1.413 0.002
1.6 38.9
27, 5, 21, 11 0.006
1.463 0.009
7.4 46.3
27, 1, 12 0.118
0.004 1.212
0.005 3.9
3.9 27, 5, 12
0.015 1.328
0.020 16.8
20.7 27, 5, 9, 12
0.003 1.577
0.005 4.6
25.3 27, 5, 13, 12
0.004 1.586
0.007 5.8
31.1 27, 5, 19, 12
0.001 1.486
0.002 1.7
32.8 27, 5, 21, 12
0.010 1.552
0.015 12.6
45.4 27, 47, 3, 12
0.001 1.404
0.002 1.4
46.8
27, 1, 13 0.179
0.003 1.250
0.004 2.1
2.1 27, 2, 13
0.001 1.253
0.002 0.9
3.0 27, 5, 13
0.070 1.367
0.095 53.2
56.3 27, 5, 9, 13
0.001 1.641
0.002 1.1
57.3 27, 5, 21, 13
0.010 1.574
0.016 9.1
66.4 27, 5, 24, 13
0.002 1.571
0.004 2.0
68.4 27, 47, 3, 13
0.001 1.452
0.001 0.8
69.3 27, 47, 5, 13
0.003 1.534
0.005 3.0
72.2 27, 54, 5, 13
0.001 1.401
0.002 0.9
73.1 27, 1, 16
0.015 0.001
1.016 0.002
10.5 10.5
27, 5, 16 0.003
1.136 0.004
27.3 37.7
27, 1, 17 0.028
0.001 1.018
0.001 4.6
4.6 27, 5, 17
0.003 1.139
0.004 12.9
17.6 27, 5, 9, 17
0.001 1.377
0.002 6.5
24.0 27, 5, 13, 17
0.001 1.372
0.002 5.5
29.6 27, 5, 21, 17
0.001 1.347
0.002 6.6
36.1 27, 5, 18
0.087 0.019
1.250 0.023
26.8 26.8
27, 5, 9, 18 0.003
1.493 0.004
4.9 31.8
27, 5, 13, 18 0.002
1.499 0.003
3.8 35.6
27, 5, 19, 18 0.001
1.409 0.002
1.8 37.3
27, 5, 21, 18 0.003
1.470 0.004
4.5 41.8
27, 5, 19 0.172
0.043 1.299
0.056 32.3
32.3 27, 1, 10, 19
0.001 1.378
0.002 1.1
33.4 27, 5, 9, 19
0.004 1.515
0.007 3.9
37.2 27, 5, 10, 19
0.002 1.477
0.002 1.4
38.7 27, 5, 12, 19
0.002 1.486
0.003 1.7
40.4 27, 5, 13, 19
0.004 1.551
0.006 3.4
43.8 27, 5, 18, 19
0.002 1.409
0.003 1.8
45.6 27, 5, 21, 19
0.008 1.518
0.012 7.0
52.6 27, 47, 5, 19
0.002 1.456
0.003 1.8
54.4 27, 2, 20
0.108 0.001
1.179 0.002
1.5 1.5
27, 5, 20 0.009
1.296 0.011
10.6 12.1
27, 5, 9, 20 0.004
1.545 0.006
5.5 17.6
27, 5, 12, 20 0.001
1.489 0.002
1.7 19.3
27, 5, 13, 20 0.002
1.552 0.003
2.3 21.6
27, 5, 18, 20 0.001
1.410 0.002
1.4 23.1
27, 5, 19, 20 0.002
1.456 0.002
2.1 25.1
27, 5, 21, 20 0.011
1.516 0.016
15.0 40.2
Lampiran 6. Lanjutan
27, 47, 3, 20 0.001
1.366 0.002
1.4 41.6
27, 2, 21 0.416
0.004 1.252
0.005 1.3
1.3 27, 3, 21
0.003 1.269
0.004 0.9
2.2 27, 5, 21
0.196 1.342
0.262 63.1
65.3 27, 5, 9, 21
0.002 1.606
0.003 0.8
66.1 27, 5, 13, 21
0.015 1.574
0.023 5.6
71.6 27, 5, 24, 21
0.003 1.532
0.005 1.1
72.7 27, 45, 5, 21
0.003 1.353
0.004 0.9
73.6 27, 46, 5, 21
0.001 1.437
0.002 0.4
74.0 27, 47, 3, 21
0.004 1.436
0.006 1.4
75.3 27, 47, 5, 21
0.010 1.502
0.015 3.5
78.8 27, 51, 5, 21
0.001 1.551
0.002 0.6
79.4 27, 54, 5, 21
0.003 1.375
0.004 1.0
80.4 Lampiran 6. Lanjutan
Lampiran 7. Analisis Jalur Struktural Sektor Industri Penggergajian dan Pengolahan Kayu ke Rumahtangga
Path Global
Effect Direct
Effect Path
Mult Total
Effect Global
Cum 36, 2, 8
0.053 0.002
1.051 0.002
3.3 3.3
36, 5, 8 0.013
1.161 0.015
29.1 32.4
36, 5, 9, 8 0.001
1.402 0.002
2.8 35.2
36, 5, 19, 8 0.002
1.327 0.003
4.8 40.0
36, 5, 21, 8 0.002
1.371 0.002
4.6 44.7
36, 5, 9 0.172
0.058 1.387
0.081 47.0
47.0 36, 5, 13, 9
0.004 1.658
0.006 3.4
50.4 36, 5, 19, 9
0.007 1.530
0.011 6.4
56.8 36, 5, 21, 9
0.010 1.622
0.016 9.1
66.0 36, 2, 10
0.089 0.001
1.214 0.002
1.9 1.9
36, 5, 10 0.013
1.334 0.017
18.9 20.8
36, 5, 9, 10 0.004
1.583 0.007
7.7 28.5
36, 5, 12, 10 0.001
1.528 0.002
2.6 31.1
36, 5, 13, 10 0.001
1.599 0.002
2.3 33.4
36, 5, 18, 10 0.001
1.450 0.002
2.1 35.5
36, 5, 19, 10 0.002
1.492 0.002
2.8 38.2
36, 5, 21, 10 0.004
1.565 0.006
7.0 45.3
36, 5, 24, 10 0.001
1.552 0.002
2.1 47.3
36, 2, 11 0.115
0.005 1.149
0.006 5.3
5.3 36, 3, 11
0.001 1.169
0.001 1.0
6.3 36, 5, 11
0.020 1.261
0.025 21.8
28.1 36, 5, 9, 11
0.004 1.505
0.006 4.8
32.9 36, 5, 10, 11
0.001 1.444
0.002 1.8
34.6 36, 5, 12, 11
0.002 1.452
0.002 2.1
36.7 36, 5, 13, 11
0.003 1.509
0.005 4.5
41.2 36, 5, 18, 11
0.002 1.374
0.003 2.2
43.4 36, 5, 19, 11
0.002 1.427
0.002 1.9
45.3 36, 5, 21, 11
0.007 1.478
0.010 8.4
53.8 36, 2, 12
0.113 0.002
1.227 0.002
2.1 2.1
36, 3, 12 0.001
1.245 0.002
1.5 3.5
36, 5, 12 0.017
1.342 0.022
19.8 23.4
36, 5, 9, 12 0.004
1.593 0.006
5.4 28.8
36, 5, 13, 12 0.005
1.602 0.008
6.8 35.6
36, 5, 18, 12 0.001
1.457 0.002
1.4 37.1
36, 5, 19, 12 0.002
1.501 0.002
2.0 39.1
36, 5, 21, 12 0.011
1.568 0.017
14.9 54.0
36, 5, 24, 12 0.001
1.555 0.002
1.4 55.4
36, 2, 13 0.179
0.004 1.265
0.005 2.5
2.5 36, 3, 13
0.001 1.288
0.001 0.8
3.4 36, 5, 13
0.079 1.381
0.108 60.5
63.9 36, 5, 9, 13
0.001 1.658
0.002 1.2
65.1 36, 5, 21, 13
0.012 1.590
0.019 10.3
75.4 36, 5, 24, 13
0.003 1.587
0.004 2.3
77.7 36, 5, 16
0.013 0.004
1.148 0.005
34.4 34.4
36, 5, 17 0.026
0.004 1.151
0.004 15.6
15.6 36, 5, 9, 17
0.001 1.391
0.002 7.8
23.4 36, 5, 13, 17
0.001 1.386
0.002 6.7
30.1 36, 5, 21, 17
0.002 1.360
0.002 7.9
38.1 36, 2, 18
0.087 0.002
1.147 0.003
3.2 3.2
36, 5, 18 0.021
1.262 0.027
30.5 33.7
36, 5, 9, 18 0.003
1.508 0.005
5.6 39.3
36, 5, 12, 18 0.001
1.457 0.002
1.9 41.2
36, 5, 13, 18 0.002
1.514 0.004
4.3 45.5
36, 5, 19, 18 0.001
1.424 0.002
2.0 47.5
36, 5, 21, 18 0.003
1.485 0.004
5.1 52.7
36, 2, 19 0.171
0.002 1.213
0.003 1.7
1.7 36, 5, 19
0.048 1.312
0.063 36.8
38.6 36, 5, 9, 19
0.005 1.530
0.008 4.4
43.0 36, 5, 10, 19
0.002 1.492
0.003 1.6
44.6 36, 5, 12, 19
0.002 1.501
0.003 2.0
46.6 36, 5, 13, 19
0.004 1.567
0.007 3.9
50.5 36, 5, 18, 19
0.003 1.424
0.004 2.1
52.6 36, 5, 21, 19
0.009 1.534
0.014 7.9
60.5 36, 2, 20
0.107 0.004
1.190 0.005
4.2 4.2
36, 3, 20 0.001
1.210 0.002
1.4 5.7
36, 5, 20 0.010
1.309 0.013
12.1 17.8
36, 5, 9, 20 0.004
1.560 0.007
6.3 24.1
36, 5, 12, 20 0.001
1.504 0.002
1.9 26.0
36, 5, 13, 20 0.002
1.568 0.003
2.7 28.7
36, 5, 18, 20 0.001
1.425 0.002
1.6 30.3
36, 5, 19, 20 0.002
1.470 0.003
2.4 32.7
36, 5, 21, 20 0.012
1.531 0.018
17.2 49.8
36, 5, 24, 20 0.001
1.517 0.002
1.6 51.4
Lampiran 7. Lanjutan
36, 2, 21 0.424
0.012 1.264
0.015 3.6
3.6 36, 3, 21
0.004 1.282
0.006 1.4
5.0 36, 5, 21
0.220 1.356
0.298 70.3
75.3 36, 5, 9, 21
0.002 1.622
0.004 0.9
76.2 36, 5, 13, 21
0.016 1.590
0.026 6.2
82.4 36, 5, 19, 21
0.001 1.534
0.002 0.4
82.7 36, 5, 24, 21
0.003 1.548
0.005 1.2
84.0 36, 26, 5, 21
0.001 1.491
0.002 0.5
84.5 36, 46, 5, 21
0.001 1.451
0.001 0.4
84.8 36, 47, 5, 21
0.002 1.517
0.003 0.7
85.5 Lampiran 7. Lanjutan
Lampiran 8. Analisis Jalur Struktural Sektor Industri Industri Kayu Lapis dan Sejenisnya ke Rumahtangga
Path Global
Effect Direct
Effect Path
Mult Total
Effect Global
Cum 37, 26, 1, 8
0.047 0.004
1.199 0.004
9.4 9.4
37, 27, 1, 8 0.002
1.093 0.002
3.7 13.1
37, 27, 5, 8 0.001
1.213 0.001
3.1 16.3
37, 47, 3, 8 0.002
1.275 0.002
4.9 21.2
37, 47, 5, 8 0.002
1.360 0.003
6.2 27.3
37, 5, 9 0.127
0.002 1.448
0.004 2.8
2.8 37, 26, 1, 9
0.002 1.468
0.003 2.1
4.8 37, 26, 5, 9
0.002 1.592
0.003 2.2
7.1 37, 27, 5, 9
0.005 1.450
0.008 6.1
13.2 37, 36, 5, 9
0.002 1.464
0.003 2.5
15.7 37, 38, 5, 9
0.001 1.450
0.002 1.4
17.1 37, 46, 5, 9
0.002 1.551
0.003 2.4
19.6 37, 47, 3, 9
0.002 1.546
0.002 1.9
21.5 37, 47, 5, 9
0.009 1.623
0.015 11.9
33.4 37, 26, 1, 10
0.070 0.002
1.388 0.003
4.2 4.2
37, 27, 5, 10 0.001
1.394 0.002
2.3 6.5
37, 47, 5, 10 0.002
1.562 0.003
4.5 11.0
37, 27, 5, 11 0.089
0.002 1.318
0.002 2.7
2.7 37, 47, 3, 11
0.003 1.388
0.004 5.0
7.7 37, 47, 5, 11
0.003 1.475
0.005 5.2
12.9 37, 27, 5, 12
0.090 0.002
1.403 0.002
2.4 2.4
37, 47, 3, 12 0.004
1.478 0.006
6.8 9.2
37, 47, 5, 12 0.003
1.569 0.004
4.6 13.8
37, 5, 13 0.129
0.003 1.442
0.005 3.7
3.7 37, 26, 5, 13
0.002 1.586
0.004 2.9
6.6 37, 27, 5, 13
0.007 1.444
0.010 8.0
14.6 37, 36, 5, 13
0.003 1.458
0.004 3.3
17.9 37, 38, 5, 13
0.002 1.444
0.002 1.9
19.7 37, 46, 5, 13
0.003 1.545
0.004 3.2
22.9 37, 47, 3, 13
0.004 1.529
0.006 4.3
27.2 37, 47, 5, 13
0.013 1.617
0.020 15.7
42.9 37, 27, 5, 18
0.066 0.002
1.320 0.003
3.9 3.9
37, 47, 3, 18 0.002
1.390 0.003
4.3 8.2
37, 47, 5, 18 0.003
1.479 0.005
7.5 15.7
37, 5, 19 0.126
0.002 1.370
0.003 2.2
2.2 37, 26, 5, 19
0.001 1.507
0.002 1.7
3.9 37, 27, 5, 19
0.004 1.372
0.006 4.8
8.7 37, 36, 5, 19
0.002 1.386
0.002 1.9
10.6 37, 38, 5, 19
0.001 1.373
0.001 1.1
11.7 37, 46, 5, 19
0.002 1.467
0.002 1.9
13.6 37, 47, 3, 19
0.002 1.458
0.003 2.6
16.3 37, 47, 5, 19
0.008 1.535
0.012 9.3
25.6 37, 47, 3, 20
0.085 0.004
1.439 0.006
6.8 6.8
37, 47, 5, 20 0.002
1.531 0.002
2.9 9.6
37, 5, 21 0.308
0.009 1.415
0.013 4.2
4.2 37, 26, 2, 21
0.001 1.450
0.001 0.5
4.7 37, 26, 5, 21
0.007 1.557
0.010 3.4
8.1 37, 27, 5, 21
0.020 1.417
0.028 9.2
17.3 37, 36, 5, 21
0.008 1.431
0.012 3.8
21.1 37, 38, 5, 21
0.005 1.418
0.007 2.2
23.3 37, 46, 2, 21
0.001 1.429
0.002 0.5
23.8 37, 46, 5, 21
0.008 1.515
0.011 3.7
27.5 37, 47, 2, 21
0.001 1.505
0.002 0.6
28.0 37, 47, 3, 21
0.014 1.513
0.021 6.9
34.9 37, 47, 5, 21
0.035 1.584
0.055 18.0
53.0 37, 48, 5, 21
0.003 1.424
0.004 1.2
54.1 Lampiran 8. Lanjutan
Lampiran 9. Analisis Jalur Struktural Sektor Industri-Industri Kayu Lainnya ke Rumahtangga
Path Global
Effect Direct
Effect Path
Mult Total
Effect Global
Cum 38, 5, 8
0.049 0.011
1.150 0.013
26.3 26.3
38, 5, 19, 8 0.002
1.315 0.002
4.4 30.6
38, 5, 21, 8 0.002
1.359 0.002
4.2 34.8
38, 36, 5, 8 0.001
1.163 0.002
3.2 38.0
38, 5, 9 0.165
0.050 1.374
0.068 41.3
41.3 38, 5, 13, 9
0.003 1.643
0.005 3.0
44.3 38, 5, 19, 9
0.006 1.516
0.009 5.7
50.0 38, 5, 21, 9
0.008 1.608
0.013 8.0
58.0 38, 36, 5, 9
0.006 1.390
0.008 5.0
63.0 38, 5, 10
0.084 0.011
1.322 0.014
17.0 17.0
38, 5, 9, 10 0.004
1.568 0.006
6.9 23.9
38, 5, 12, 10 0.001
1.515 0.002
2.3 26.1
38, 5, 13, 10 0.001
1.584 0.002
2.1 28.2
38, 5, 18, 10 0.001
1.437 0.002
1.8 30.1
38, 5, 19, 10 0.001
1.479 0.002
2.5 32.5
38, 5, 21, 10 0.003
1.551 0.005
6.3 38.9
38, 5, 24, 10 0.001
1.538 0.002
1.8 40.7
38, 36, 5, 10 0.001
1.337 0.002
2.0 42.7
38, 2, 11 0.106
0.002 1.140
0.002 2.0
2.0 38, 5, 11
0.017 1.250
0.021 19.9
21.8 38, 5, 9, 11
0.003 1.492
0.005 4.4
26.2 38, 5, 10, 11
0.001 1.431
0.002 1.6
27.8 38, 5, 12, 11
0.001 1.439
0.002 1.9
29.7 38, 5, 13, 11
0.003 1.495
0.004 4.1
33.8 38, 5, 18, 11
0.002 1.362
0.002 2.0
35.8 38, 5, 19, 11
0.001 1.414
0.002 1.7
37.5 38, 5, 21, 11
0.006 1.465
0.008 7.7
45.2 38, 36, 5, 11
0.002 1.264
0.003 2.4
47.6 38, 5, 12
0.106 0.014
1.330 0.019
17.8 17.8
38, 5, 9, 12 0.003
1.578 0.005
4.9 22.7
38, 5, 13, 12 0.004
1.588 0.006
6.1 28.8
38, 5, 19, 12 0.001
1.488 0.002
1.8 30.7
38, 5, 21, 12 0.009
1.554 0.014
13.4 44.0
38, 36, 5, 12 0.002
1.345 0.002
2.1 46.2
38, 2, 13 0.170
0.001 1.254
0.002 0.9
0.9
38, 5, 13 0.067
1.368 0.091
53.5 54.4
38, 5, 9, 13 0.001
1.643 0.002
1.1 55.5
38, 5, 21, 13 0.010
1.576 0.016
9.1 64.7
38, 5, 24, 13 0.002
1.573 0.003
2.0 66.7
38, 36, 5, 13 0.008
1.384 0.011
6.4 73.1
38, 5, 16 0.012
0.003 1.137
0.004 30.5
30.5 38, 5, 17
0.025 0.003
1.140 0.003
13.9 13.9
38, 5, 9, 17 0.001
1.379 0.002
6.9 20.8
38, 5, 13, 17 0.001
1.373 0.001
5.9 26.8
38, 5, 21, 17 0.001
1.348 0.002
7.1 33.8
38, 5, 18 0.082
0.018 1.251
0.022 27.4
27.4 38, 5, 9, 18
0.003 1.495
0.004 5.1
32.4 38, 5, 13, 18
0.002 1.500
0.003 3.9
36.3 38, 5, 19, 18
0.001 1.411
0.001 1.8
38.1 38, 5, 21, 18
0.003 1.472
0.004 4.6
42.7 38, 36, 5, 18
0.002 1.265
0.003 3.3
46.0 38, 5, 19
0.162 0.041
1.301 0.053
32.8 32.8
38, 5, 9, 19 0.004
1.516 0.006
3.9 36.7
38, 5, 10, 19 0.002
1.479 0.002
1.5 38.2
38, 5, 12, 19 0.002
1.488 0.003
1.8 39.9
38, 5, 13, 19 0.004
1.553 0.006
3.5 43.4
38, 5, 18, 19 0.002
1.411 0.003
1.9 45.3
38, 5, 21, 19 0.008
1.520 0.011
7.1 52.4
38, 36, 5, 19 0.005
1.315 0.006
3.9 56.3
38, 2, 20 0.099
0.001 1.180
0.002 1.6
1.6 38, 5, 20
0.008 1.297
0.011 11.0
12.6 38, 5, 9, 20
0.004 1.546
0.006 5.7
18.3 38, 5, 12, 20
0.001 1.491
0.002 1.8
20.1 38, 5, 13, 20
0.002 1.554
0.002 2.4
22.5 38, 5, 18, 20
0.001 1.412
0.001 1.5
24.0 38, 5, 19, 20
0.001 1.457
0.002 2.1
26.1 38, 5, 21, 20
0.010 1.518
0.015 15.6
41.7 38, 2, 21
0.401 0.004
1.253 0.005
1.3 1.3
38, 5, 21 0.186
1.344 0.250
62.4 63.8
38, 5, 9, 21 0.002
1.608 0.003
0.8 64.5
38, 5, 13, 21 0.014
1.576 0.022
5.5 70.0
38, 5, 24, 21 0.003
1.534 0.004
1.1 71.1
38, 27, 5, 21 0.001
1.345 0.002
0.4 71.5
Lampiran 9. Lanjutan
38, 36, 2, 21 0.001
1.268 0.002
0.4 71.9
38, 36, 5, 21 0.022
1.359 0.030
7.5 79.4
38, 46, 5, 21 0.003
1.438 0.004
0.9 80.3
38, 47, 5, 21 0.002
1.504 0.004
0.9 81.2
Lampiran 9. Lanjutan
Lampiran 10. Analisis Jalur Struktural Sektor Industri-Industri Pulp ke Rumahtangga
Path Global
Effect Direct
Effect Path
Mult Total
Effect Global
Cum 39, 5, 8
0.080 0.003
1.172 0.004
4.5 4.5
39, 25, 1, 8 0.030
1.060 0.032
39.4 43.9
39, 25, 2, 8 0.001
1.066 0.001
1.5 45.4
39, 5, 9 0.158
0.014 1.400
0.019 12.0
12.0 39, 5, 19, 9
0.002 1.544
0.003 1.6
13.7 39, 5, 21, 9
0.002 1.638
0.004 2.3
16.0 39, 25, 1, 9
0.014 1.297
0.019 11.9
27.8 39, 25, 5, 9
0.003 1.406
0.004 2.5
30.3 39, 47, 5, 9
0.001 1.569
0.002 1.4
31.7 39, 5, 10
0.099 0.003
1.347 0.004
4.0 4.0
39, 5, 9, 10 0.001
1.598 0.002
1.6 5.6
39, 25, 1, 10 0.017
1.226 0.021
21.5 27.1
39, 5, 11 0.112
0.005 1.273
0.006 5.3
5.3 39, 5, 21, 11
0.002 1.492
0.002 2.0
7.3 39, 25, 1, 11
0.004 1.164
0.005 4.1
11.4 39, 25, 2, 11
0.004 1.165
0.004 3.7
15.1 39, 25, 3, 11
0.001 1.185
0.002 1.4
16.5 39, 5, 12
0.113 0.004
1.355 0.005
4.7 4.7
39, 5, 13, 12 0.001
1.617 0.002
1.6 6.3
39, 5, 21, 12 0.002
1.583 0.004
3.5 9.8
39, 25, 1, 12 0.007
1.240 0.009
8.0 17.8
39, 25, 2, 12 0.001
1.244 0.002
1.4 19.2
39, 25, 3, 12 0.002
1.263 0.002
1.9 21.1
39, 5, 13 0.151
0.018 1.394
0.025 16.8
16.8 39, 5, 21, 13
0.003 1.606
0.004 2.9
19.7 39, 25, 1, 13
0.006 1.280
0.008 5.0
24.7 39, 25, 2, 13
0.002 1.283
0.003 2.1
26.8 39, 25, 3, 13
0.001 1.306
0.002 1.3
28.0 39, 25, 5, 13
0.004 1.400
0.005 3.5
31.5 39, 46, 5, 13
0.001 1.494
0.002 1.2
32.7 39, 47, 5, 13
0.002 1.563
0.003 2.0
34.6
39, 25, 1, 16 0.014
0.003 1.040
0.003 21.1
21.1 39, 25, 1, 17
0.026 0.002
1.042 0.003
9.6 9.6
39, 5, 18 0.079
0.005 1.275
0.006 7.9
7.9 39, 25, 2, 18
0.002 1.163
0.002 2.5
10.4 39, 5, 19
0.150 0.011
1.325 0.015
9.9 9.9
39, 5, 9, 19 0.001
1.544 0.002
1.2 11.0
39, 5, 21, 19 0.002
1.548 0.003
2.1 13.2
39, 25, 2, 19 0.002
1.230 0.002
1.4 14.5
39, 25, 5, 19 0.002
1.331 0.003
2.0 16.6
39, 47, 5, 19 0.001
1.484 0.002
1.2 17.7
39, 5, 20 0.103
0.002 1.321
0.003 3.0
3.0 39, 5, 9, 20
0.001 1.575
0.002 1.5
4.5 39, 5, 21, 20
0.003 1.546
0.004 4.2
8.7 39, 25, 1, 20
0.001 1.205
0.001 1.3
10.0 39, 25, 2, 20
0.003 1.207
0.003 3.0
13.1 39, 25, 3, 20
0.002 1.227
0.002 1.9
15.0 39, 5, 21
0.347 0.051
1.369 0.070
20.2 20.2
39, 5, 13, 21 0.004
1.606 0.006
1.8 21.9
39, 25, 2, 21 0.008
1.281 0.011
3.1 25.0
39, 25, 3, 21 0.006
1.299 0.007
2.1 27.1
39, 25, 5, 21 0.010
1.374 0.014
4.1 31.3
39, 28, 5, 21 0.002
1.369 0.003
0.9 32.2
39, 40, 5, 21 0.002
1.449 0.003
0.8 32.9
39, 41, 5, 21 0.003
1.450 0.004
1.1 34.0
39, 46, 5, 21 0.003
1.465 0.005
1.4 35.5
39, 47, 3, 21 0.002
1.463 0.003
0.9 36.4
39, 47, 5, 21 0.005
1.531 0.008
2.4 38.7
Lampiran 10. Lanjutan
V. METODE PENELITIAN
