Rekomendasi SIMPULAN DAN SARAN

217 Lampiran 1. Inventarisasi Luasan Lahan Berhimpitan Langsung Dengan Konsesi Kontrak Karya PT Gorontalo Mineral Tingkat Desa Kecamatan Desa Luas ha Areal Pertanian Hutan Semak Belukar Perkebunan Permukiman PETI Sungai Grand Total BONE total 348.58 1,594.26 334.87

48.57 27.55

2,353.83 BILOLANTUNGA 256.65 1,382.73 214.71 29.82 17.86 1,901.78 WALUHU 91.93 211.53 120.16 18.75 9.69 452.06 BONE PANTAI total 171.54 171.54 OMBULO HIJAU - 171.54 - 171.54 BONE RAYA total 811.03 3,446.38 277.83 1,662.42 133.18

0.24 6,331.08

ALO 13.69 646.38 48.52 262.86 21.51 992.96 INOMATA 20.19 278.33 27.15 146.69 17.46 489.82 LAUT BIRU 45.69 184.89 11.83 142.89 9.16 394.45 MOOPIYA 2.05 2.69 26.19 8.36 39.28 MOOTAYU 500.33 1,627.39 80.49 429.40 22.68 0.24 2,660.53 MOOTINELO 56.45 214.42 22.05 141.01 10.52 444.45 PELITA JAYA 160.97 494.97 85.03 496.89 18.45 1,256.30 TOMBULILATO 11.65 0.08 16.50 25.04 53.28 BULAWA total 924.56 4,160.62 17.96 1,597.26 42.62 0.67 6,743.67 221 218 Kecamatan Desa Luas ha Areal Pertanian Hutan Semak Belukar Perkebunan Permukiman PETI Sungai Grand Total BUKIT HIJAU - 259.88 259.88 BUNGA HIJAU 239.44 582.44 208.54 12.60 0.08 1,043.10 KAIDUNDU 193.87 583.38 10.75 170.54 2.25 960.79 KAIDUNDU BARAT 123.19 625.30 3.48 13.73 765.70 MAMUNGAA 177.66 480.52 354.12 5.55 0.33 1,018.19 MAMUNGAA TIMUR 38.43 587.57 3.72 604.91 11.01 0.25 1,245.89 MOPUYA 5.85 10.27 7.43 23.55 NYIUR HIJAU - 475.30 - 475.30 PATOA 146.12 566.23 235.15 3.77 951.27 SUWAWA TIMUR total 139.46 6,676.42 - 0.44 29.49

1.44 6,847.24

BANGIO - 5,638.11 - 17.80 1.44 5,657.34 TULABULO TIMUR 139.46 1,038.31 - 0.44 11.69 1,189.90 Grand Total 2,223.63 16,049.21 630.66 3,308.25 203.78 30.39

1.44 22,447.36

Sumber: Olahan Peta Desa BPS Gorontalo, Peta Rupa Bumi Indonesia 1:50.000 Bakosurtanal, Peta Citra Spot Resolulusi Sedang, peta Tutupan Lahan BPKH Wilayah XV Gorontalo, Peta Konsesi Kontrak Karya PT Gorontalo Minerals dan Peta Geogle Earth. 222 219 Lampiran 2. Inventaritarisasi Luasan Lahan Berhimpitan Langsung dengan Konsesi Kontrak karya PT Gorontalo Mineral di Tingkat Kecamatan Kecamatan Luas ha Areal Pertanian Hutan Semak Belukar Perkebunan Permukiman PETI Sungai Grand Total BONE 348.58 1,594.26 334.87 48.57 27.55 2,353.83 BONE PANTAI - 171.54 - 171.54 BONE RAYA 811.03 3,446.38 277.83 1,662.42 133.18 0.24 6,331.08 BULAWA 924.56 4,160.62 17.96 1,597.26 42.62 0.67 6,743.67 SUWAWA TIMUR 139.46 6,676.42 - 0.44 29.49 1.44 6,847.24 Grand Total 2,223.63 16,049.21 630.66 3,308.25 203.78 30.39

1.44 22,447.36

Sumber: Olahan Peta Desa BPS Gorontalo, Peta Rupa Bumi Indonesia 1:50.000 Bakosurtanal, Peta Citra Spot Resolulusi Sedang, Peta Tutupan Lahan BPKH Wilayah XV Gorontalo, Peta Konsesi Kontrak Karya PT Gorontalo Minerals dan Peta Geogle Earth 223 220 Lampiran 3 Proyeksi Aliran Kas PT.GM Berdasarkan Analisis Dollar Konstan Year Unit -2 -1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Gross Revenue USm - - - 35.66 107.88 145.05 146.16 149.01 158.02 231.23 300.63 -Royalties USm - - - 1.37 4.10 5.46 5.45 5.50 5.77 8.33 10.69 Net Revenue USm - - - 34.29 103.78 139.59 140.71 143.51 152.25 222.91 289.94 -Operating Cost USm - - - 19.71 60.94 63.83 65.42 66.77 71.15 94.43 116.99 -Sales fee USm - - - 0.13 0.38 0.50 0.50 0.51 0.53 0.74 0.93 -TreatmentRefining Charges USm - - - 0.78 2.33 3.10 3.09 3.12 3.28 4.41 5.45 -VAT USm - - - 0.08 0.24 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.34 0.46 0.57 Operating Income USm - - - 13.60 39.89 71.84 71.38 72.79 76.95 122.88 166.00 - Depreciation USm - 3.09 6.19 9.38 9.38 9.38 9.38 12.00 17.25 22.50 22.50 Income Before Tax USm - 3.09 6.19 4.22 30.52 62.46 62.00 60.79 59.70 100.38 143.50 - Corporate Tax USm - - - 1.27 9.16 18.74 18.60 18.24 17.91 30.11 43.05 Net Income USm - 3.09 6.19 2.96 21.36 43.72 43.40 42.55 41.79 70.26 100.45 + Depreciation USm - 3.09 6.19 9.38 9.38 9.38 9.38 12.00 17.25 22.50 22.50 - Capital Expenditure USm 61.88 61.88 63.75 - - - 52.50 105.00 105.00 - - Free Cash Flow USm 61.88 61.88 63.75 12.33 30.74 53.10 0.28 50.45 45.96 92.76 122.95 Cumm Cash Flow USm 61.88 123.75 187.50 175.17 144.43 91.33 91.06 141.51 187.46 94.70 28.25 221 Year Unit 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 Gross Revenue USm 372.72 376.45 380.21 384.02 387.86 391.74 395.65 399.61 403.61 407.64 411.72 -Royalties USm 13.11 13.11 13.11 13.11 13.11 13.11 13.11 13.11 13.11 13.11 13.11 Net Revenue USm 359.62 363.34 367.11 370.91 374.75 378.63 382.55 386.50 390.50 394.54 398.61 -Operating Cost USm 140.83 143.65 146.52 149.45 152.44 155.49 158.60 161.77 165.01 168.31 171.67 -Sales fee USm 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 -TreatmentRefining Charges USm 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 -VAT USm 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 Operating Income USm 210.46 211.37 212.26 213.13 213.98 214.81 215.62 216.41 217.17 217.90 218.61 - Depreciation USm 22.50 22.50 22.50 22.50 22.50 22.50 22.50 22.50 22.50 22.50 19.41 Income Before Tax USm 187.96 188.87 189.76 190.63 191.48 192.31 193.12 193.91 194.67 195.40 199.21 - Corporate Tax USm 56.39 56.66 56.93 57.19 57.45 57.69 57.94 58.17 58.40 58.62 59.76 Net Income USm 131.57 132.21 132.83 133.44 134.04 134.62 135.19 135.73 136.27 136.78 139.44 + Depreciation USm 22.50 22.50 22.50 22.50 22.50 22.50 22.50 22.50 22.50 22.50 19.41 - Capital Expenditure USm - - - - - - - - - - - Free Cash Flow USm 154.07 154.71 155.33 155.94 156.54 157.12 157.69 158.23 158.77 159.28 158.85 Cumm Cash Flow USm 182.32 337.03 492.36 648.30 804.84 961.96 1,119.65 1,277.88 1,436.65 1,595.93 1,754.78 225 222 Year Unit 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 Gross Revenue USm 415.83 419.99 424.19 428.43 432.72 437.05 441.42 445.83 450.29 454.79 459.34 -Royalties USm 13.11 13.11 13.11 13.11 13.11 13.11 13.11 13.11 13.11 13.11 13.11 Net Revenue USm 402.73 406.89 411.09 415.33 419.61 423.94 428.31 432.73 437.18 441.69 446.23 -Operating Cost USm 175.11 178.61 182.18 185.82 189.54 193.33 197.20 201.14 205.17 209.27 213.45 -Sales fee USm 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 -TreatmentRefining Charges USm 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 -VAT USm 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 Operating Income USm 219.30 219.95 220.58 221.18 221.75 222.28 222.79 223.26 223.69 224.09 224.46 - Depreciation USm 16.31 13.13 13.13 13.13 13.13 10.50 5.25 - - - - Income Before Tax USm 202.98 206.83 207.46 208.05 208.62 211.78 217.54 223.26 223.69 224.09 224.46 - Corporate Tax USm 60.90 62.05 62.24 62.42 62.59 63.54 65.26 66.98 67.11 67.23 67.34 Net Income USm 142.09 144.78 145.22 145.64 146.04 148.25 152.28 156.28 156.59 156.86 157.12 + Depreciation USm 16.31 13.13 13.13 13.13 13.13 10.50 5.25 - - - - - Capital Expenditure USm - - - - - - - - - - - Free Cash Flow USm 158.40 157.90 158.34 158.76 159.16 158.75 157.53 156.28 156.59 156.86 157.12 Cumm Cash Flow USm 1,913.19 2,071.09 2,229.43 2,388.20 2,547.36 2,706.11 2,863.63 3,019.91 3,176.50 3,333.36 3,490.48 226 Lampiran 4. Binary Logistic Regression: Partisipasi versus Jenis Kelamin, Umur dan Pekerjaan Responden Response Information Variable Value Count Partisipasi 1 35 Event 0 60 Total 95 Logistic Regression Table Odds 95 CI Predictor Coef SE Coef Z P Ratio Lower Upper Constant -0.0655902 1.50240 -0.04 0.965 Jenis Kelamin 1 2.46861 0.937560 2.63 0.008 11.81 1.88 74.16 Umur -0.0584543 0.0281529 -2.08 0.038 0.94 0.89 1.00 Pendidikan 2 0.939097 0.535034 1.76 0.079 2.56 0.90 7.30 3 2.72090 1.11632 2.44 0.015 15.19 1.70 135.49 Pekerjaan Utama 2 -0.0550395 1.12800 -0.05 0.961 0.95 0.10 8.64 3 -0.919813 0.648979 -1.42 0.156 0.40 0.11 1.42 Log-Likelihood = -51.292 Test that all slopes are zero: G = 22.457, DF = 6, P-Value = 0.001 Goodness-of-Fit Tests Method Chi-Square DF P Pearson 64.3850 71 0.697 Deviance 74.4906 71 0.365 Hosmer-Lemeshow 5.4191 8 0.712 Measures of Association: Between the Response Variable and Predicted Probabilities Pairs Number Percent Summary Measures Concordant 1614 76.9 Somers D 0.55 Discordant 463 22.0 Goodman-Kruskal Gamma 0.55 Ties 23 1.1 Kendalls Tau-a 0.26 Total 2100 100.0 228 Lampiran 5. Binary Logistic Regression: Partisipasi Versus Model Advokasi Pemanfaatan Sumberdaya Tambang Response Information Variable Value Count Partisipasi 1 35 Event 0 60 Total 95 Logistic Regression Table Odds 95 CI Predictor Coef SE Coef Z P Ratio Lower Upper Constant -8.29274 2.23030 -3.72 0.000 Mengikuti 1 2.54791 1.20630 2.11 0.035 12.78 1.20 135.95 Mengerti 1 -0.113311 1.17887 -0.10 0.923 0.89 0.09 9.00 Sifat Dukungan 1.67289 0.637716 2.62 0.009 5.33 1.53 18.59 Bentuk Dukungan 1 0.684465 0.867037 0.79 0.430 1.98 0.36 10.85 Keanggotaan 1 0.750894 0.795767 0.94 0.345 2.12 0.45 10.08 Kedudukan 1 0.263787 0.883526 0.30 0.765 1.30 0.23 7.36 Frekuensi -0.166494 0.439570 -0.38 0.705 0.85 0.36 2.00 Komponen 0.355922 0.512545 0.69 0.487 1.43 0.52 3.90 Kemampuan 1 -0.0693427 0.690551 -0.10 0.920 0.93 0.24 3.61 Tokoh 1 0.977799 0.792052 1.23 0.217 2.66 0.56 12.56 Log-Likelihood = -37.511 Test that all slopes are zero: G = 50.019, DF = 10, P-Value = 0.000 Goodness-of-Fit Tests Method Chi-Square DF P Pearson 60.4063 59 0.425 Deviance 63.7930 59 0.312 Hosmer-Lemeshow 8.8865 8 0.352 Measures of Association: Between the Response Variable and Predicted Probabilities Pairs Number Percent Summary Measures Concordant 1871 89.1 Somers D 0.79 Discordant 212 10.1 Goodman-Kruskal Gamma 0.80 Ties 17 0.8 Kendalls Tau-a 0.37 Total 2100 100.0