217 Lampiran 1. Inventarisasi Luasan Lahan Berhimpitan Langsung Dengan Konsesi Kontrak Karya PT Gorontalo Mineral Tingkat Desa
Kecamatan Desa Luas ha
Areal Pertanian Hutan
Semak Belukar Perkebunan
Permukiman PETI Sungai Grand Total
BONE total 348.58
1,594.26 334.87
48.57 27.55
2,353.83 BILOLANTUNGA
256.65 1,382.73
214.71 29.82
17.86 1,901.78
WALUHU 91.93
211.53 120.16
18.75 9.69
452.06
BONE PANTAI total 171.54
171.54
OMBULO HIJAU -
171.54 -
171.54
BONE RAYA total 811.03
3,446.38 277.83
1,662.42 133.18
0.24 6,331.08
ALO 13.69
646.38 48.52
262.86 21.51
992.96 INOMATA
20.19 278.33
27.15 146.69 17.46 489.82
LAUT BIRU 45.69
184.89 11.83 142.89
9.16 394.45
MOOPIYA 2.05
2.69 26.19 8.36
39.28 MOOTAYU
500.33 1,627.39
80.49 429.40 22.68 0.24 2,660.53
MOOTINELO 56.45
214.42 22.05
141.01 10.52
444.45 PELITA JAYA
160.97 494.97
85.03 496.89
18.45 1,256.30
TOMBULILATO 11.65
0.08 16.50
25.04 53.28
BULAWA total 924.56
4,160.62 17.96
1,597.26 42.62 0.67
6,743.67
221
218
Kecamatan Desa Luas ha
Areal Pertanian Hutan
Semak Belukar Perkebunan
Permukiman PETI Sungai Grand Total
BUKIT HIJAU - 259.88
259.88 BUNGA HIJAU
239.44 582.44
208.54 12.60
0.08 1,043.10
KAIDUNDU 193.87
583.38 10.75 170.54
2.25 960.79
KAIDUNDU BARAT 123.19
625.30 3.48 13.73 765.70
MAMUNGAA 177.66
480.52 354.12
5.55 0.33 1,018.19
MAMUNGAA TIMUR 38.43
587.57 3.72 604.91 11.01 0.25
1,245.89 MOPUYA
5.85 10.27
7.43 23.55
NYIUR HIJAU - 475.30
- 475.30
PATOA 146.12
566.23 235.15
3.77 951.27
SUWAWA TIMUR total 139.46
6,676.42 - 0.44 29.49
1.44 6,847.24
BANGIO - 5,638.11
- 17.80
1.44 5,657.34
TULABULO TIMUR 139.46
1,038.31 - 0.44 11.69
1,189.90
Grand Total 2,223.63
16,049.21 630.66 3,308.25 203.78 30.39
1.44 22,447.36
Sumber:
Olahan Peta Desa BPS Gorontalo, Peta Rupa Bumi Indonesia 1:50.000 Bakosurtanal, Peta Citra Spot Resolulusi Sedang, peta Tutupan Lahan BPKH Wilayah XV Gorontalo, Peta Konsesi Kontrak Karya PT Gorontalo Minerals dan Peta Geogle Earth.
222
219 Lampiran 2. Inventaritarisasi Luasan Lahan Berhimpitan Langsung dengan Konsesi Kontrak karya PT Gorontalo Mineral di Tingkat
Kecamatan
Kecamatan Luas ha
Areal Pertanian
Hutan Semak
Belukar Perkebunan Permukiman PETI
Sungai Grand Total
BONE
348.58 1,594.26
334.87 48.57
27.55 2,353.83
BONE PANTAI -
171.54 -
171.54 BONE RAYA
811.03 3,446.38
277.83 1,662.42
133.18 0.24
6,331.08 BULAWA
924.56 4,160.62
17.96 1,597.26
42.62 0.67
6,743.67 SUWAWA TIMUR
139.46 6,676.42
- 0.44
29.49 1.44
6,847.24 Grand Total
2,223.63 16,049.21
630.66 3,308.25
203.78 30.39
1.44 22,447.36
Sumber: Olahan Peta Desa BPS Gorontalo, Peta Rupa Bumi Indonesia 1:50.000 Bakosurtanal, Peta Citra Spot Resolulusi Sedang, Peta Tutupan Lahan BPKH Wilayah XV Gorontalo, Peta Konsesi Kontrak Karya PT Gorontalo Minerals dan Peta Geogle Earth
223
220
Lampiran 3 Proyeksi Aliran Kas PT.GM Berdasarkan Analisis Dollar Konstan
Year
Unit
-2 -1
1 2
3 4
5 6
7 8
2011 2012
2013 2014
2015 2016
2017 2018
2019 2020
2021
Gross Revenue USm
- -
- 35.66
107.88 145.05
146.16 149.01
158.02 231.23
300.63 -Royalties
USm -
- -
1.37 4.10
5.46 5.45
5.50 5.77
8.33 10.69
Net Revenue USm
- -
- 34.29
103.78 139.59
140.71 143.51
152.25 222.91
289.94 -Operating Cost
USm -
- -
19.71 60.94
63.83 65.42
66.77 71.15
94.43 116.99
-Sales fee USm
- -
- 0.13
0.38 0.50
0.50 0.51
0.53 0.74
0.93 -TreatmentRefining Charges
USm -
- -
0.78 2.33
3.10 3.09
3.12 3.28
4.41 5.45
-VAT USm
- -
- 0.08
0.24 0.32
0.32 0.32
0.34 0.46
0.57
Operating Income USm
- -
- 13.60
39.89 71.84
71.38 72.79
76.95 122.88
166.00 - Depreciation
USm -
3.09 6.19
9.38 9.38
9.38 9.38
12.00 17.25
22.50 22.50
Income Before Tax USm
- 3.09
6.19 4.22
30.52 62.46
62.00 60.79
59.70 100.38
143.50 - Corporate Tax
USm -
- -
1.27 9.16
18.74 18.60
18.24 17.91
30.11 43.05
Net Income USm
- 3.09
6.19 2.96
21.36 43.72
43.40 42.55
41.79 70.26
100.45 + Depreciation
USm -
3.09 6.19
9.38 9.38
9.38 9.38
12.00 17.25
22.50 22.50
- Capital Expenditure
USm
61.88 61.88
63.75 -
- -
52.50 105.00
105.00 -
-
Free Cash Flow USm
61.88 61.88
63.75 12.33
30.74 53.10
0.28 50.45
45.96 92.76
122.95 Cumm Cash Flow
USm
61.88 123.75
187.50 175.17
144.43 91.33
91.06 141.51
187.46 94.70
28.25
221
Year
Unit
9 10
11 12
13 14
15 16
17 18
19
2022 2023
2024 2025
2026 2027
2028 2029
2030 2031
2032
Gross Revenue USm
372.72 376.45
380.21 384.02
387.86 391.74
395.65 399.61
403.61 407.64
411.72 -Royalties
USm
13.11 13.11
13.11 13.11
13.11 13.11
13.11 13.11
13.11 13.11
13.11
Net Revenue USm
359.62 363.34
367.11 370.91
374.75 378.63
382.55 386.50
390.50 394.54
398.61 -Operating Cost
USm
140.83 143.65
146.52 149.45
152.44 155.49
158.60 161.77
165.01 168.31
171.67 -Sales fee
USm 1.12
1.12 1.12
1.12 1.12
1.12 1.12
1.12 1.12
1.12 1.12
-TreatmentRefining Charges USm
6.52 6.52
6.52 6.52
6.52 6.52
6.52 6.52
6.52 6.52
6.52 -VAT
USm 0.68
0.68 0.68
0.68 0.68
0.68 0.68
0.68 0.68
0.68 0.68
Operating Income USm
210.46 211.37
212.26 213.13
213.98 214.81
215.62 216.41
217.17 217.90
218.61 - Depreciation
USm 22.50
22.50 22.50
22.50 22.50
22.50 22.50
22.50 22.50
22.50 19.41
Income Before Tax USm
187.96 188.87
189.76 190.63
191.48 192.31
193.12 193.91
194.67 195.40
199.21 - Corporate Tax
USm 56.39
56.66 56.93
57.19 57.45
57.69 57.94
58.17 58.40
58.62 59.76
Net Income USm
131.57 132.21
132.83 133.44
134.04 134.62
135.19 135.73
136.27 136.78
139.44 + Depreciation
USm 22.50
22.50 22.50
22.50 22.50
22.50 22.50
22.50 22.50
22.50 19.41
- Capital Expenditure USm
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
-
Free Cash Flow USm
154.07 154.71
155.33 155.94
156.54 157.12
157.69 158.23
158.77 159.28
158.85 Cumm Cash Flow
USm 182.32
337.03 492.36
648.30 804.84
961.96 1,119.65
1,277.88 1,436.65
1,595.93 1,754.78
225
222
Year
Unit
20 21
22 23
24 25
26 27
28 29
30
2033 2034
2035 2036
2037 2038
2039 2040
2041 2042
2043 Gross Revenue
USm
415.83 419.99
424.19 428.43
432.72 437.05
441.42 445.83
450.29 454.79
459.34 -Royalties
USm 13.11
13.11 13.11
13.11 13.11
13.11 13.11
13.11 13.11
13.11 13.11
Net Revenue USm
402.73 406.89
411.09 415.33
419.61 423.94
428.31 432.73
437.18 441.69
446.23 -Operating Cost
USm 175.11
178.61 182.18
185.82 189.54
193.33 197.20
201.14 205.17
209.27 213.45
-Sales fee
USm
1.12 1.12
1.12 1.12
1.12 1.12
1.12 1.12
1.12 1.12
1.12 -TreatmentRefining Charges
USm 6.52
6.52 6.52
6.52 6.52
6.52 6.52
6.52 6.52
6.52 6.52
-VAT USm
0.68 0.68
0.68 0.68
0.68 0.68
0.68 0.68
0.68 0.68
0.68
Operating Income USm
219.30 219.95
220.58 221.18
221.75 222.28
222.79 223.26
223.69 224.09
224.46 - Depreciation
USm 16.31
13.13 13.13
13.13 13.13
10.50 5.25
- -
- -
Income Before Tax USm
202.98 206.83
207.46 208.05
208.62 211.78
217.54 223.26
223.69 224.09
224.46 - Corporate Tax
USm 60.90
62.05 62.24
62.42 62.59
63.54 65.26
66.98 67.11
67.23 67.34
Net Income USm
142.09 144.78
145.22 145.64
146.04 148.25
152.28 156.28
156.59 156.86
157.12 + Depreciation
USm 16.31
13.13 13.13
13.13 13.13
10.50 5.25
- -
- -
- Capital Expenditure USm
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
-
Free Cash Flow USm
158.40 157.90
158.34 158.76
159.16 158.75
157.53 156.28
156.59 156.86
157.12 Cumm Cash Flow
USm
1,913.19 2,071.09
2,229.43 2,388.20
2,547.36 2,706.11
2,863.63 3,019.91
3,176.50 3,333.36
3,490.48
226
Lampiran 4. Binary Logistic Regression: Partisipasi versus Jenis Kelamin, Umur dan Pekerjaan Responden
Response Information Variable Value Count
Partisipasi 1 35 Event 0 60
Total 95 Logistic Regression Table
Odds 95 CI Predictor Coef SE Coef Z P Ratio Lower Upper
Constant -0.0655902 1.50240 -0.04 0.965 Jenis Kelamin
1 2.46861 0.937560 2.63 0.008 11.81 1.88 74.16 Umur -0.0584543 0.0281529 -2.08 0.038 0.94 0.89 1.00
Pendidikan 2 0.939097 0.535034 1.76 0.079 2.56 0.90 7.30
3 2.72090 1.11632 2.44 0.015 15.19 1.70 135.49 Pekerjaan Utama
2 -0.0550395 1.12800 -0.05 0.961 0.95 0.10 8.64 3 -0.919813 0.648979 -1.42 0.156 0.40 0.11 1.42
Log-Likelihood = -51.292 Test that all slopes are zero: G = 22.457, DF = 6, P-Value = 0.001
Goodness-of-Fit Tests Method Chi-Square DF P
Pearson 64.3850 71 0.697 Deviance 74.4906 71 0.365
Hosmer-Lemeshow 5.4191 8 0.712 Measures of Association:
Between the Response Variable and Predicted Probabilities Pairs Number Percent Summary Measures
Concordant 1614 76.9 Somers D 0.55 Discordant 463 22.0 Goodman-Kruskal Gamma 0.55
Ties 23 1.1 Kendalls Tau-a 0.26 Total 2100 100.0
228
Lampiran 5. Binary Logistic Regression: Partisipasi Versus Model Advokasi Pemanfaatan Sumberdaya Tambang
Response Information Variable Value Count
Partisipasi 1 35 Event 0 60
Total 95 Logistic Regression Table
Odds 95 CI Predictor Coef SE Coef Z P Ratio Lower Upper
Constant -8.29274 2.23030 -3.72 0.000 Mengikuti
1 2.54791 1.20630 2.11 0.035 12.78 1.20 135.95 Mengerti
1 -0.113311 1.17887 -0.10 0.923 0.89 0.09 9.00 Sifat Dukungan 1.67289 0.637716 2.62 0.009 5.33 1.53 18.59
Bentuk Dukungan 1 0.684465 0.867037 0.79 0.430 1.98 0.36 10.85
Keanggotaan 1 0.750894 0.795767 0.94 0.345 2.12 0.45 10.08
Kedudukan 1 0.263787 0.883526 0.30 0.765 1.30 0.23 7.36
Frekuensi -0.166494 0.439570 -0.38 0.705 0.85 0.36 2.00 Komponen 0.355922 0.512545 0.69 0.487 1.43 0.52 3.90
Kemampuan 1 -0.0693427 0.690551 -0.10 0.920 0.93 0.24 3.61
Tokoh 1 0.977799 0.792052 1.23 0.217 2.66 0.56 12.56
Log-Likelihood = -37.511 Test that all slopes are zero: G = 50.019, DF = 10, P-Value = 0.000
Goodness-of-Fit Tests Method Chi-Square DF P
Pearson 60.4063 59 0.425 Deviance 63.7930 59 0.312
Hosmer-Lemeshow 8.8865 8 0.352 Measures of Association:
Between the Response Variable and Predicted Probabilities Pairs Number Percent Summary Measures
Concordant 1871 89.1 Somers D 0.79 Discordant 212 10.1 Goodman-Kruskal Gamma 0.80
Ties 17 0.8 Kendalls Tau-a 0.37 Total 2100 100.0