Dampak The impact of Trade Facilitation on Trade Flows in ASEAN+3.

Lampiran 2 Hasil estimasi fixed effect model FEM sektor pertanian barang mentahbaku menggunakan program Eviews 6 Dependent Variable: LNIM Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 082912 Time: 08:22 Sample: 2007 2010 Periods included: 4 Cross-sections included: 72 Total panel balanced observations: 288 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. TARIF -0.014733 0.013208 -1.115412 0.2660 LNSEAPORT -0.084057 0.461207 -0.182254 0.8556 LNKURS 0.111915 0.290664 0.385030 0.7006 LNGDPPERCAP_IMPR 4.829405 0.958173 5.040224 0.0000 LNGDPPERCAP_EKSP 0.586720 0.476365 1.231659 0.2195 LNECODIST -4.564692 1.163109 -3.924563 0.0001 LNCOSTIMPORT -0.083614 0.429312 -0.194763 0.8458 LNCUSTOM_EF 0.205529 0.534249 0.384707 0.7008 C -17.79924 4.356792 -4.085400 0.0001 Effects Specification Cross-section fixed dummy variables R-squared 0.978824 Mean dependent var 6.569069 Adjusted R-squared 0.970781 S.D. dependent var 1.793950 S.E. of regression 0.306650 Akaike info criterion 0.703916 Sum squared resid 19.55917 Schwarz criterion 1.721405 Log likelihood -21.36394 Hannan-Quinn criter. 1.111664 F-statistic 121.7007 Durbin-Watson stat 2.375365 ProbF-statistic 0.000000 Lampiran 3 Hasil estimasi random effect model REM sektor pertanian barang mentahbaku menggunakan program Eviews 6 Dependent Variable: LNIM Method: Panel EGLS Cross-section random effects Date: 082912 Time: 08:23 Sample: 2007 2010 Periods included: 4 Cross-sections included: 72 Total panel balanced observations: 288 Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. TARIF -0.006414 0.012674 -0.506092 0.6132 LNSEAPORT 0.676805 0.408630 1.656281 0.0988 LNKURS -0.012017 0.046136 -0.260468 0.7947 LNGDPPERCAP_IMPR 0.106438 0.170132 0.625621 0.5321 LNGDPPERCAP_EKSP 0.286501 0.136018 2.106340 0.0361 LNECODIST 0.385113 0.129021 2.984887 0.0031 LNCOSTIMPORT -0.233432 0.340526 -0.685504 0.4936 LNCUSTOM_EF -0.264113 0.428190 -0.616813 0.5379 C 2.458192 2.607589 0.942707 0.3466 Effects Specification S.D. Rho Cross-section random 1.637156 0.9661 Idiosyncratic random 0.306650 0.0339 Weighted Statistics R-squared 0.078303 Mean dependent var 0.612535 Adjusted R-squared 0.051875 S.D. dependent var 0.336383 S.E. of regression 0.327542 Sum squared resid 29.93209 F-statistic 2.962830 Durbin-Watson stat 2.091697 ProbF-statistic 0.003375 Unweighted Statistics R-squared 0.147706 Mean dependent var 6.569069 Sum squared resid 787.2127 Durbin-Watson stat 0.079532 Lampiran 4 Hasil uji Chow sektor pertanian barang mentahbaku Redundant Fixed Effects Tests Equation: AGOUTREV4 Test cross-section fixed effects Effects Test Statistic d.f. Prob. Cross-section F 103.923553 71,208 0.0000 Cross-section Chi-square 1035.819958 71 0.0000 Cross-section fixed effects test equation: Dependent Variable: LNIM Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 082912 Time: 08:22 Sample: 2007 2010 Periods included: 4 Cross-sections included: 72 Total panel balanced observations: 288 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. TARIF -0.014045 0.029369 -0.478234 0.6329 LNSEAPORT 2.494042 1.243762 2.005240 0.0459 LNKURS 0.022555 0.025854 0.872390 0.3837 LNGDPPERCAP_IMPR -0.528253 0.170142 -3.104766 0.0021 LNGDPPERCAP_EKSP 0.044489 0.072001 0.617892 0.5372 LNECODIST 0.532587 0.069398 7.674382 0.0000 LNCOSTIMPORT -0.335452 0.586990 -0.571477 0.5681 LNCUSTOM_EF 0.503997 1.582546 0.318472 0.7504 C 6.014074 4.262152 1.411041 0.1593 R-squared 0.227622 Mean dependent var 6.569069 Adjusted R-squared 0.205475 S.D. dependent var 1.793950 S.E. of regression 1.599058 Akaike info criterion 3.807458 Sum squared resid 713.3992 Schwarz criterion 3.921925 Log likelihood -539.2739 Hannan-Quinn criter. 3.853329 F-statistic 10.27774 Durbin-Watson stat 0.103464 ProbF-statistic 0.000000 Lampiran 5 Hasil uji Hausman sektor pertanian barang mentahbaku Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test Equation: AGOUTREV4 Test cross-section random effects Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob. Cross-section random 47.309787 8 0.0000 Cross-section random effects test comparisons: Variable Fixed Random VarDiff. Prob. TARIF -0.014733 -0.006414 0.000014 0.0252 LNSEAPORT -0.084057 0.676805 0.045734 0.0004 LNKURS 0.111915 -0.012017 0.082357 0.6659 LNGDPPERCAP_IMPR 4.829405 0.106438 0.889150 0.0000 LNGDPPERCAP_EKSP 0.586720 0.286501 0.208423 0.5108 LNECODIST -4.564692 0.385113 1.336175 0.0000 LNCOSTIMPORT -0.083614 -0.233432 0.068351 0.5666 LNCUSTOM_EF 0.205529 -0.264113 0.102075 0.1416 Cross-section random effects test equation: Dependent Variable: LNIM Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 082912 Time: 08:24 Sample: 2007 2010 Periods included: 4 Cross-sections included: 72 Total panel balanced observations: 288 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C -17.79924 4.356792 -4.085400 0.0001 TARIF -0.014733 0.013208 -1.115412 0.2660 LNSEAPORT -0.084057 0.461207 -0.182254 0.8556 LNKURS 0.111915 0.290664 0.385030 0.7006 LNGDPPERCAP_IMPR 4.829405 0.958173 5.040224 0.0000 LNGDPPERCAP_EKSP 0.586720 0.476365 1.231659 0.2195 LNECODIST -4.564692 1.163109 -3.924563 0.0001 LNCOSTIMPORT -0.083614 0.429312 -0.194763 0.8458 LNCUSTOM_EF 0.205529 0.534249 0.384707 0.7008 Effects Specification Cross-section fixed dummy variables R-squared 0.978824 Mean dependent var 6.569069 Adjusted R-squared 0.970781 S.D. dependent var 1.793950 S.E. of regression 0.306650 Akaike info criterion 0.703916 Sum squared resid 19.55917 Schwarz criterion 1.721405 Log likelihood -21.36394 Hannan-Quinn criter. 1.111664 F-statistic 121.7007 Durbin-Watson stat 2.375365 ProbF-statistic 0.000000