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Thailand Kamboja Laos KESIMPULAN DAN SARAN 6.1. Kesimpulan

5 161.4190 42.36521 9.17e-06 -3.107370 -1.601315 -2.507181 6 166.9191 8.137174 1.02e-05 -3.011483 -1.223042 -2.298759 7 172.5698 7.895452 1.15e-05 -2.919721 -0.848895 -2.094461 indicates lag order selected by the criterion LR: sequential modified LR test statistic each test at 5 level FPE: Final prediction error AIC: Akaike information criterion SC: Schwarz information criterion HQ: Hannan-Quinn information criterion Lag Adj-R square 3 0.945094 5 0.961713

f. Thailand

VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria Endogenous variables: BD_Y CA_Y ER_Y Exogenous variables: C Date: 061911 Time: 18:33 Sample: 1980 2010 Included observations: 29 Lag LogL LR FPE AIC SC HQ 216.8624 NA 7.89e-11 -14.74913 -14.60769 -14.70483 1 268.5697 89.15045 4.17e-12 -17.69446 -17.12868 -17.51727 2 279.4277 16.47427 3.76e-12 -17.82260 -16.83249 -17.51251 indicates lag order selected by the criterion LR: sequential modified LR test statistic each test at 5 level FPE: Final prediction error AIC: Akaike information criterion SC: Schwarz information criterion HQ: Hannan-Quinn information criterion Lag Adj-R square 1 0.677517 2 0.754100

g. Kamboja

VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria Endogenous variables: BD_Y CA_Y ER_Y Exogenous variables: C Date: 061911 Time: 19:21 Sample: 1994Q1 2010Q4 Included observations: 62 Lag LogL LR FPE AIC SC HQ 365.6702 NA 1.67e-09 -11.69904 -11.59611 -11.65863 1 532.2763 311.7147 1.03e-11 -16.78311 -16.37140 -16.62146 2 541.4330 16.24568 1.03e-11 -16.78816 -16.06768 -16.50528 3 546.8991 9.168970 1.16e-11 -16.67416 -15.64491 -16.27005 4 551.3471 7.030673 1.36e-11 -16.52732 -15.18929 -16.00198 5 567.8523 24.49166 1.08e-11 -16.76943 -15.12262 -16.12285 6 575.3956 10.46323 1.17e-11 -16.72244 -14.76685 -15.95462 indicates lag order selected by the criterion LR: sequential modified LR test statistic each test at 5 level FPE: Final prediction error AIC: Akaike information criterion SC: Schwarz information criterion HQ: Hannan-Quinn information criterion Lag Adj-R square 1 0.739295 2 0.749126 5 0.775168

h. Laos

VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria Endogenous variables: BD_Y CA_Y ER_Y Exogenous variables: C Date: 061911 Time: 20:36 Sample: 1 68 Included observations: 62 Lag LogL LR FPE AIC SC HQ 741.4044 NA 9.08e-15 -23.81950 -23.71657 -23.77908 1 907.7638 311.2531 5.67e-17 -28.89561 -28.48390 -28.73396 2 935.0950 48.49089 3.15e-17 -29.48694 -28.76646 -29.20406 3 969.7380 58.11072 1.38e-17 -30.31413 -29.28487 -29.91001 4 984.0801 22.66990 1.18e-17 -30.48646 -29.14842 -29.96111 5 994.1067 14.87809 1.16e-17 -30.51957 -28.87276 -29.87299 6 1006.458 17.13192 1.07e-17 -30.62766 -28.67207 -29.85985 indicates lag order selected by the criterion LR: sequential modified LR test statistic each test at 5 level FPE: Final prediction error AIC: Akaike information criterion SC: Schwarz information criterion HQ: Hannan-Quinn information criterion Lag Adj-R square 3 0.709164 4 0.706539 6 0.727959

i. Myanmar

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