Kesimpulan Saran 1. KESIMPULAN DAN SARAN
LAMPIRAN
Lampiran 1. Peta KabupatenKota Wilayah Pesisir Di Indonesia
87
Lampiran 2. Nama KabupatenKota Penerima PEMP Rutin
No Provinsi
KabupatenKota No
Provinsi KabupatenKota
1 Aceh
Aceh Besar 11 Kalimantan Barat Sambas
2 Aceh
Banda Aceh 12 Kalimantan Barat Pontianak
3 Sumatera Barat
Padang 13 Kalimantan Tengah Kotawaringin Barat 4
Jambi Tj Jabung Barat 14 Kalimantan Timur Nunukan
5 Bengkulu
Bengkulu 15 Sulawesi Utara Minahasa Utara
6 Jawa Barat
Tasikmalaya 16 Maluku Maluku Tengah
7 Jawa Barat
Ciamis 17 Maluku Buru
8 DI Yogyakarta
Kulon Progo 18 Maluku Seram Bagian Timur
9 DI Yogyakarta
Bantul 19 Papua Barat Fakfak
10 Bali Gianyar 20 Papua
Biak Numfor Sumber : Kementerian kelautan dan Perikanan 2009
Lampiran 3. Persentase Penduduk Miskin menurut KabupatenKota Pesisir Penerima PEMP Tahun 2005-2009
No KabupatenKota
Persentase Penduduk Miskin 2005
2006 2007
2008 2009
1 Aceh Besar
28,81 28,66
26,69 21,52
20,09
2 Banda Aceh
8,20 8,25
6,61 9,56
8,64
3 Padang
4,41 5,15
4,97 6,40
5,72
4 Tanjung Jabung Barat
13,28 12,48
12,79 13,43
11,65
5 Bengkulu
8,65 9,28
9,20 18,16
17,57
6 Tasikmalaya
18,23 20,27
18,15 14,70
13,5
7 Ciamis
15,07 16,13
13,94 12,32
11,23
8 Kulon Progo
26,80 28,39
28,61 26,85
24,65
9 Bantul
18,21 20,25
19,43 18,54
17,64
10 Gianyar
5,09 6,33
5,98 6,61
5,76
11 Sambas
15,10 16,77
14,00 11,51
9,96
12 Pontianak
9,82 10,95
8,26 7,03
5,46
13 Kotawaringin Barat
8,79 8,88
8,66 7,76
6,87
14 Nunukan
19,13 21,66
20,02 14,96
13,47
15 Minahasa Utara
7,61 10,29
10,14 8,35
7,98
16 Maluku Tengah
37,14 38,21
36,03 32,61
30,48
17 Buru
33,00 33,34
31,34 29,17
27,57
18 Seram Bagian Timur
39,98 40,18
39,83 36,98
34,67
19 Fakfak
39,88 41,64
39,57 37,55
35,29
20 Biak Numfor
47,36 47,54
46,98 37,06
36,51
Lampiran 4. PDRB menurut KabupatenKota Pesisir Penerima PEMP
Tahun 2005-2009 jutaan rupiah
No KabupatenKota
PDRB juta rupiah 2005
2006 2007
2008 2009
1 Aceh Besar
1.732 1.875
2.135 2.258
2.405
2 Banda Aceh
1.504 2.172
2.585 2.734
2.900
3 Padang
9.111 9.577
10.166 10.797
11.346
4 Tanjung Jabung Barat
1.618 1.746
1.885 1.998
2.126
5 Bengkulu
1.589 1.695
1.807 1.904
1.998
6 Tasikmalaya
4.337 4.511
4.884 5.081
5.291
7 Ciamis
5.890 6.116
6.422 6.740
7.071
8 Kulon Progo
1.465 1.525
1.588 1.662
1.728
9 Bantul
3.234 3.300
3.449 3.618
3.780
10 Gianyar
2.551 2.684
2.842 3.009
3.188
11 Sambas
2.274 2.364
2.491 2.629
2.771
12 Pontianak
4.788 5.035
5.294 5.569
5.842
13 Kotawaringin Barat
1.887 2.009
2.147 2.296
2.444
14 Nunukan
1.186 1.202
1.247 1.298
1.344
15 Minahasa Utara
1.006 1.037
1.095 1.163
1.242
16 Maluku Tengah
484 508
534 562
591
17 Buru
238 248
258 269
167
18 Seram Bagian Timur
119 125
128 133
139
19 Fakfak
456 486
519 551
585
20 Biak Numfor
631 682
734 776
836
Lampiran 5. Indeks Gini menurut KabupatenKota Pesisir Penerima PEMP Tahun 2005-2009
No KabupatenKota
Indeks Gini 2005
2006 2007
2008 2009
1 Aceh Besar
0,26 0,26
0,26 0,26
0,25
2 Banda Aceh
0,29 0,29
0,27 0,27
0,27
3 Padang
0,33 0,29
0,29 0,29
0,29
4 Tanjung Jabung Barat
0,31 0,31
0,30 0,30
0,29
5 Bengkulu
0,36 0,33
0,29 0,29
0,28
6 Tasikmalaya
0,27 0,27
0,26 0,27
0,26
7 Ciamis
0,32 0,26
0,26 0,25
0,25
8 Kulon Progo
0,31 0,31
0,30 0,29
0,27
9 Bantul
0,36 0,34
0,33 0,33
0,30
10 Gianyar
0,33 0,29
0,25 0,25
0,25
11 Sambas
0,31 0,31
0,31 0,31
0,28
12 Pontianak
0,30 0,30
0,30 0,30
0,30
13 Kotawaringin Barat
0,29 0,29
0,29 0,29
0,29
14 Nunukan
0,33 0,31
0,31 0,31
0,31
15 Minahasa Utara
0,35 0,35
0,34 0,30
0,30
16 Maluku Tengah
0,28 0,27
0,27 0,27
0,27
17 Buru
0,29 0,26
0,26 0,26
0,25
18 Seram Bagian Timur
0,30 0,30
0,30 0,30
0,28
19 Fakfak
0,31 0,31
0,31 0,31
0,28
20 Biak Numfor
0,35 0,33
0,33 0,33
0,33
Lampiran 6. TPTmenurut KabupatenKota Pesisir Penerima PEMP Tahun 2005-2009
No KabupatenKota
TPT 2005
2006 2007
2008 2009
1 Aceh Besar
35,88 15,12
12,99 12,05
13,54
2 Banda Aceh
20,92 30,70
7,91 11,43
9,78
3 Padang
19,23 19,33
17,63 14,61
15,86
4 Tanjung Jabung Barat
11,60 8,26
4,52 4,31
4,38
5 Bengkulu
17,98 10,72
9,47 8,87
11,97
6 Tasikmalaya
10,04 11,09
8,48 8,02
6,81
7 Ciamis
8,04 8,19
4,39 6,00
6,31
8 Kulon Progo
6,85 5,35
4,34 3,56
4,31
9 Bantul
7,64 6,47
5,17 5,06
5,85
10 Gianyar
4,06 6,47
2,80 2,84
2,91
11 Sambas
6,27 6,85
6,27 3,89
6,09
12 Pontianak
9,72 12,45
9,23 9,07
7,98
13 Kotawaringin Barat
8,54 6,31
7,25 5,43
4,74
14 Nunukan
23,56 41,27
14,34 13,17
9,43
15 Minahasa Utara
16,75 16,21
13,68 13,20
11,95
16 Maluku Tengah
19,14 12,94
12,80 12,24
12,41
17 Buru
7,72 10,71
10,69 10,17
6,65
18 Seram Bagian Timur
8,52 18,14
10,04 7,57
8,24
19 Fakfak
9,84 2,49
14,56 13,66
13,33
20 Biak Numfor
10,89 4,76
7,52 7,38
12,12
Lampiran 7. Alokasi Besaran PEMP menurut KabupatenKota Pesisir Penerima PEMP Tahun 2005-2009 ribuan rupiah
No KabupatenKota
Besaran PEMP 2005
2006 2007 2008 2009
1 Aceh Besar
853.125 1.000.000
850.000 865.000
926.300 2
Banda Aceh 853.125
1.000.000 1.250.000
865.000 926.300
3 Padang
150.000 525.000
400.000 865.000
926.300 4
Tanjung Jabung Barat 550.000
1.200.000 850.000
865.000 926.300
5 Bengkulu
1.120.000 1.475.000
400.000 865.000
926.300 6
Tasikmalaya 1.520.000
800.000 850.000
865.000 926.300
7 Ciamis
150.000 550.000
850.000 865.000
926.300 8
Kulon Progo 1.120.000
550.000 850.000
865.000 926.300
9 Bantul
550.000 550.000
850.000 865.000
926.300 10
Gianyar 550.000
550.000 850.000
856.000 926.300
11 Sambas
550.000 1.200.000
475.000 865.000
926.300 12
Pontianak 1.520.000
525.000 1.250.000
865.000 926.300
13 Kotawaringin Barat
970.000 550.000
850.000 865.000
926.300 14
Nunukan 150.000
1.000.000 850.000
900.000 926.300
15 Minahasa Utara
970.000 1.200.000
850.000 865.000
926.300 16
Maluku Tengah 852.500
525.000 700.000
865.000 926.300
17 Buru
852.500 1.000.000
700.000 865.000
926.300 18
Seram Bagian Timur 852.500
1.000.000 700.000
865.000 926.300
19 Fakfak
150.000 1.000.000
1.325.000 865.000
926.300 20
Biak Numfor 550.000
1.200.000 1.125.000
957.000 926.300
Lampiran 8. Data Pengeluaran Perkapita Menurut Persentil Tahun 2005 dan 2009
Per - sentil
Penge- luaran
2005 Penge-
luaran 2009
Growth 2005-2009
Mean Growth
Per - sentil
Penge- luaran
2005 Penge-
luaran 2009
Growth 2005-2009
Mean Growth
1 66.434
127.672 17,74
16,59 51
197.045 365.397
16,69 16,59
2 74.878
142.343 17,42
16,59 52
200.229 369.981
16,59 16,59
3 81.000
155.622 17,73
16,59 53
202.976 375.173
16,60 16,59
4 85.378
165.794 18,05
16,59 54
205.940 381.309
16,65 16,59
5 90.098
173.150 17,74
16,59 55
209.347 386.797
16,59 16,59
6 94.008
178.542 17,39
16,59 56
212.551 391.695
16,51 16,59
7 97.149
184.168 17,34
16,59 57
215.417 397.393
16,54 16,59
8 100.040
188.321 17,13
16,59 58
218.909 403.952
16,55 16,59
9 102.753
193.199 17,10
16,59 59
222.662 410.103
16,50 16,59
10 105.945
198.552 17,00
16,59 60
225.746 416.170
16,52 16,59
11 108.526
204.038 17,10
16,59 61
229.270 422.914
16,54 16,59
12 111.054
208.552 17,06
16,59 62
233.359 428.198
16,39 16,59
13 113.877
212.332 16,85
16,59 63
237.202 434.321
16,32 16,59
14 115.774
216.185 16,90
16,59 64
240.848 440.223
16,27 16,59
15 118.030
220.698 16,94
16,59 65
244.470 447.060
16,29 16,59
16 120.279
224.864 16,93
16,59 66
249.166 452.980
16,12 16,59
17 122.302
229.247 17,01
16,59 67
252.861 460.494
16,17 16,59
18 124.171
232.860 17,02
16,59 68
258.413 469.426
16,09 16,59
19 126.355
236.787 17,00
16,59 69
262.473 478.196
16,18 16,59
20 128.046
240.411 17,06
16,59 70
266.374 486.717
16,26 16,59
21 129.879
243.683 17,04
16,59 71
271.036 494.028
16,19 16,59
22 131.652
247.151 17,05
16,59 72
276.991 503.022
16,09 16,59
23 133.661
251.048 17,07
16,59 73
281.492 511.755
16,12 16,59
24 135.548
254.371 17,04
16,59 74
287.207 521.015
16,05 16,59
25 137.619
258.506 17,07
16,59 75
293.298 532.248
16,07 16,59
26 139.517
261.861 17,05
16,59 76
299.571 542.644
16,01 16,59
27 141.191
265.649 17,12
16,59 77
306.532 554.631
15,98 16,59
28 143.114
269.924 17,19
16,59 78
312.599 565.850
15,99 16,59
29 145.103
273.881 17,21
16,59 79
319.360 577.149
15,94 16,59
30 147.048
277.419 17,20
16,59 80
326.405 594.487
16,17 16,59
31 149.185
280.827 17,13
16,59 81
333.323 607.336
16,18 16,59
32 151.116
284.439 17,13
16,59 82
342.460 622.589
16,12 16,59
33 153.128
287.807 17,09
16,59 83
352.816 638.514
15,99 16,59
34 155.176
291.973 17,12
16,59 84
361.821 652.845
15,90 16,59
35 157.540
295.758 17,05
16,59 85
371.498 670.711
15,92 16,59
36 160.060
299.369 16,94
16,59 86
380.714 690.254
16,04 16,59
37 162.345
303.304 16,91
16,59 87
393.934 715.278
16,08 16,59
38 164.569
306.938 16,86
16,59 88
408.972 741.643
16,04 16,59
39 166.581
310.724 16,87
16,59 89
423.849 766.843
15,98 16,59
40 169.006
314.280 16,78
16,59 90
442.148 797.297
15,88 16,59
41 171.161
318.514 16,80
16,59 91
460.221 834.534
16,04 16,59
42 173.921
322.756 16,72
16,59 92
482.113 875.009
16,07 16,59
43 176.185
327.774 16,79
16,59 93
510.657 914.008
15,67 16,59
44 178.788
332.270 16,76
16,59 94
541.912 961.103
15,40 16,59
45 181.121
337.196 16,81
16,59 95
574.804 1.036.804
15,89 16,59
46 183.619
342.099 16,83
16,59 96
625.088 1.130.257
15,96 16,59
47 186.384
346.363 16,76
16,59 97
692.066 1.241.522
15,73 16,59
48 189.390
350.580 16,64
16,59 98
792.143 1.408.347
15,47 16,59
49 192.407
355.350 16,58
16,59 99
1.023.524 1.763.839 14,58
16,59 50
194.819 360.600
16,64 16,59
Lampiran 9. Hasil Analisis Kuadran menurut KabKota Pesisir Penerima PEMP
Analisis Kuadran Pertumbuhan dan Kemiskinan menurut KabKota Pesisir Penerima PEMP Tahun 2005
I III
II
IV
10000 8000
6000 4000
2000
pdrb2005
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
m is
k in
2 5
Biak Numfor
Fakfak Seram Bagian Timur
Buru Maluku Tengah
Minahasa Utara Nunukan
Kotawaringin Barat Pontianak
Sambas
Gianyar Bantul
Kulon Progo
Ciamis Tasikmalaya
Bengkulu Tanjung Jabung Barat
Padang Banda Aceh
Aceh Besar
III II
Analisis Kuadran Pertumbuhan dan Kemiskinan menurut KabKota Pesisir Penerima PEMP Tahun 2009
I II
III
IV
12000 10000
8000 6000
4000 2000
pdrb2009
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
m is
k in
2 9
Biak Numfor Fakfak
Seram Bagian Timur
Buru Maluku Tengah
Minahasa Utara Nunukan
Kotawaringin Barat Pontianak
Sambas
Gianyar Bantul
Kulon Progo
Ciamis Tasikmalaya
Bengkulu
Tanjung Jabung Barat
Padang Banda Aceh
Aceh Besar
III II
Analisis Kuadran Indeks Gini dan Kemiskinan menurut KabKota Pesisir Penerima PEMP Tahun 2005
0.36 0.34
0.32 0.30
0.28 0.26
gini2005
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
m is
k in
2 5
Biak Numfor
Fakfak Seram Bagian Timur
Buru Maluku Tengah
Minahasa Utara Nunukan
Kotawaringin Barat Pontianak
Sambas
Gianyar Bantul
Kulon Progo
Ciamis Tasikmalaya
Bengkulu Tanjung Jabung Barat
Padang Banda Aceh
Aceh Besar
II I
IV III
Analisis Kuadran Indeks Gini dan Kemiskinan menurut KabKota Pesisir Penerima PEMP Tahun 2009
0.34 0.32
0.30 0.28
0.26 0.24
gini2009
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
m is
k in
2 9
Biak Numfor Fakfak
Seram Bagian Timur
Buru Maluku Tengah
Minahasa Utara Nunukan
Kotawaringin Barat Pontianak
Sambas
Gianyar Bantul
Kulon Progo
Ciamis Tasikmalaya
Bengkulu
Tanjung Jabung Barat
Padang Banda Aceh
Aceh Besar
I IV
III
II
Analisis Kuadran Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka TPT dan Kemiskinan menurut KabKota Pesisir Penerima PEMP Tahun 2005
40.00 30.00
20.00 10.00
0.00
tpt2005
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
mis k
in2 5
Biak Numfor
Fakfak Seram Bagian Timur
Buru Maluku Tengah
Minahasa Utara Nunukan
Kotawaringin Barat Pontianak
Sambas
Gianyar Bantul
Kulon Progo
Ciamis Tasikmalaya
Bengkulu Tanjung Jabung Barat
Padang Banda Aceh
Aceh Besar
I IV
II III
Kondisi Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka TPT dan Kemiskinan menurut KabKota Pesisir Penerima PEMP Tahun 2009
16.00 14.00
12.00 10.00
8.00 6.00
4.00 2.00
tpt2009
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
m is
k in
2 9
Biak Numfor Fakfak
Seram Bagian Timur
Buru Maluku Tengah
Minahasa Utara Nunukan
Kotawaringin Barat Pontianak
Sambas
Gianyar Bantul
Kulon Progo
Ciamis Tasikmalaya
Bengkulu
Tanjung Jabung Barat
Padang Banda Aceh
Aceh Besar
I III
II IV
Lampiran 10. Output Hasil Pengolahan Data Panel
PENGARUH PEMP TERHADAP PDRB
FIXED
Dependent Variable: PDRB Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 082411 Time: 14:12 Sample: 2005 2009
Periods included: 5 Cross-sections included: 20
Total panel balanced observations: 100 Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
C 2337.714
118.7268 19.68987
0.0000 PEMP
0.000309 0.000135
2.294240 0.0244
Effects Specification Cross-section fixed dummy variables
R-squared 0.986879 Mean dependent var
2600.480 Adjusted R-squared
0.983557 S.D. dependent var 2439.185
S.E. of regression 312.7759 Akaike info criterion
14.51313 Sum squared resid
7728472. Schwarz criterion 15.06021
Log likelihood -704.6564 Hannan-Quinn criter.
14.73454 F-statistic
297.0926 Durbin-Watson stat 0.629569
ProbF-statistic 0.000000
RANDOM
Dependent Variable: PDRB Method: Panel EGLS Cross-section random effects
Date: 082411 Time: 14:13 Sample: 2005 2009
Periods included: 5 Cross-sections included: 20
Total panel balanced observations: 100 Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances
Variable Coefficient
Std. Error t-Statistic
Prob. C
2345.533 516.2781
4.543158 0.0000
PEMP 0.000300
0.000135 2.226966
0.0282 Effects Specification
S.D. Rho
Cross-section random 2247.037
0.9810 Idiosyncratic random
312.7759 0.0190
Weighted Statistics R-squared
0.046272 Mean dependent var 161.5667
Adjusted R-squared 0.036540 S.D. dependent var
325.4401 S.E. of regression
319.4390 Sum squared resid 10000043
F-statistic 4.754645 Durbin-Watson stat
0.481309 ProbF-statistic
0.031613
Unweighted Statistics R-squared
-0.012013 Mean dependent var 2600.480
Sum squared resid 5.96E+08 Durbin-Watson stat
0.008074
UJI HAUSMAN – PEMP terhadap PDRB
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test Equation: Untitled
Test cross-section random effects Test Summary
Chi-Sq. Statistic
Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 5.219871
1 0.0223
Cross-section random effects test comparisons: Variable
Fixed Random
VarDiff. Prob.
PEMP 0.000309
0.000300 0.000000
0.0223 Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: PDRB Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 082411 Time: 14:14 Sample: 2005 2009
Periods included: 5 Cross-sections included: 20
Total panel balanced observations: 100 Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
C 2337.714
118.7268 19.68987
0.0000 PEMP
0.000309 0.000135
2.294240 0.0244
Effects Specification Cross-section fixed dummy variables
R-squared 0.986879 Mean dependent var
2600.480 Adjusted R-squared
0.983557 S.D. dependent var 2439.185
S.E. of regression 312.7759 Akaike info criterion
14.51313 Sum squared resid
7728472. Schwarz criterion 15.06021
Log likelihood -704.6564 Hannan-Quinn criter.
14.73454 F-statistic
297.0926 Durbin-Watson stat 0.629569
ProbF-statistic 0.000000
PEMP Terhadap PDRB KEPUTUSAN UJI HAUSMAN
FIXED AUTOKORELASI : ADA DURBIN WATSON= 0,63
HO: HOMOSKEDASTIK H1: HETEROSKEDASTIK
HETEROSKEDASTIK: 1000.9868=98.68 CHI SQUARE TABEL 0,01=6.63 TOLAK HO HETEROSKEDASTIK
ADA AUTOKORELASI DAN ADA HETEROSKEDASTIK, ESTIMASI YANG DIGUNAKAN :
COVARIANCE METHOD
CROSSSECTION SURPCSE
Dependent Variable: PDRB Method: Panel EGLS Cross-section weights
Date: 082411 Time: 14:19 Sample: 2005 2009
Periods included: 5 Cross-sections included: 20
Total panel balanced observations: 100 Linear estimation after one-step weighting matrix
Cross-section SUR PCSE standard errors covariance d.f. corrected Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
C 2519.588
49.04720 51.37067
0.0000 PEMP
9.52E-05 5.33E-05
1.786154 0.0779
Effects Specification Cross-section fixed dummy variables
Weighted Statistics R-squared
0.991594 Mean dependent var 3165.360
Adjusted R-squared 0.989466 S.D. dependent var
1338.461 S.E. of regression
284.0324 Sum squared resid 6373277.
F-statistic 465.9577 Durbin-Watson stat
0.626862 ProbF-statistic
0.000000 Unweighted Statistics
R-squared 0.986460 Mean dependent var
2600.480 Sum squared resid
7975158. Durbin-Watson stat 0.524956
PENGARUH PEMP TERHADAP INDEKS GINI
FIXED
Dependent Variable: GINI Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 082411 Time: 14:20 Sample: 2005 2009
Periods included: 5 Cross-sections included: 20
Total panel balanced observations: 100 Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.309874
0.009586 32.32677
0.0000 PEMP
-2.26E-08 1.09E-08
-2.073536 0.0414
Effects Specification Cross-section fixed dummy variables
R-squared 0.478762 Mean dependent var
0.290700 Adjusted R-squared
0.346803 S.D. dependent var 0.031245
S.E. of regression 0.025253 Akaike info criterion
-4.335490 Sum squared resid
0.050378 Schwarz criterion -3.788404
Log likelihood 237.7745 Hannan-Quinn criter.
-4.114075 F-statistic
3.628111 Durbin-Watson stat 1.529747
ProbF-statistic 0.000021
RANDOM
Dependent Variable: GINI Method: Panel EGLS Cross-section random effects
Date: 082411 Time: 14:20 Sample: 2005 2009
Periods included: 5 Cross-sections included: 20
Total panel balanced observations: 100 Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances
Variable Coefficient
Std. Error t-Statistic
Prob. C
0.308726 0.010236
30.16138 0.0000
PEMP -2.12E-08
1.06E-08 -2.008030
0.0474 Effects Specification
S.D. Rho
Cross-section random 0.018871
0.3583 Idiosyncratic random
0.025253 0.6417
Weighted Statistics R-squared
0.039804 Mean dependent var 0.149278
Adjusted R-squared 0.030006 S.D. dependent var
0.025544 S.E. of regression
0.025158 Sum squared resid 0.062028
F-statistic 4.062537 Durbin-Watson stat
1.240519 ProbF-statistic
0.046583 Unweighted Statistics
R-squared 0.021962 Mean dependent var
0.290700 Sum squared resid
0.094528 Durbin-Watson stat 0.814003
UJI HAUSMAN - PEMP Terhadap INDEKS GINI
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test Equation: Untitled
Test cross-section random effects Test Summary
Chi-Sq. Statistic
Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.267796
1 0.6048
Cross-section random effects test comparisons: Variable
Fixed Random
VarDiff. Prob.
PEMP -0.000000
-0.000000 0.000000
0.6048
Cross-section random effects test equation: Dependent Variable: GINI
Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 082411 Time: 14:21
Sample: 2005 2009 Periods included: 5
Cross-sections included: 20 Total panel balanced observations: 100
Variable Coefficient
Std. Error t-Statistic
Prob. C
0.309874 0.009586
32.32677 0.0000
PEMP -2.26E-08
1.09E-08 -2.073536
0.0414 Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed dummy variables R-squared
0.478762 Mean dependent var 0.290700
Adjusted R-squared 0.346803 S.D. dependent var
0.031245 S.E. of regression
0.025253 Akaike info criterion -4.335490
Sum squared resid 0.050378 Schwarz criterion
-3.788404 Log likelihood
237.7745 Hannan-Quinn criter. -4.114075
F-statistic 3.628111 Durbin-Watson stat
1.529747 ProbF-statistic
0.000021
PEMP Terhadap INDEKS GINI
KEPUTUSAN UJI HAUSMAN : RANDOM EFFECT AUTOKORELASI : ADA DURBIN WATSON: 1,24
HO: HOMOSKEDASTIK
H1: HETEROSKEDASTIK HETEROSKEDASTIK: 0,0398100=3.98 CHI SQUARE TABEL=6.63
TERIMA HO HOMOSKEDASTIK ADA AUTOKORELASI DAN TIDAK ADA HETEROSKEDASTIK, ESTIMASI
YANG DIGUNAKAN :
COVARIANCE METHOD
CROSSSECTION WEIGHT PCSE
Dependent Variable: GINI Method: Panel EGLS Cross-section random effects
Date: 082511 Time: 12:44 Sample: 2005 2009
Periods included: 5 Cross-sections included: 20
Total panel balanced observations: 100 Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances
Cross-section weights PCSE standard errors covariance d.f. corrected Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.308726
0.010849 28.45676
0.0000 PEMP
-2.12E-08 1.19E-08
-1.781146 0.0780
Effects Specification S.D.
Rho Cross-section random
0.018871 0.3583
Idiosyncratic random 0.025253
0.6417 Weighted Statistics
R-squared 0.039804 Mean dependent var
0.149278 Adjusted R-squared
0.030006 S.D. dependent var 0.025544
S.E. of regression 0.025158 Sum squared resid
0.062028 F-statistic
4.062537 Durbin-Watson stat 1.240519
ProbF-statistic 0.046583
Unweighted Statistics R-squared
0.021962 Mean dependent var 0.290700
Sum squared resid 0.094528 Durbin-Watson stat
0.814003
PEMP TERHADAP PENGANGGURANTPT
FIXED
Dependent Variable: TPT Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 082511 Time: 12:50 Sample: 2005 2009
Periods included: 5 Cross-sections included: 20
Total panel balanced observations: 100 Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
C 11.46289
1.850322 6.195079
0.0000 PEMP
-1.15E-06 2.10E-06
-0.549029 0.5845
Effects Specification Cross-section fixed dummy variables
R-squared 0.535918 Mean dependent var
10.48290 Adjusted R-squared
0.418429 S.D. dependent var 6.391912
S.E. of regression 4.874522 Akaike info criterion
6.190199 Sum squared resid
1877.117 Schwarz criterion 6.737285
Log likelihood -288.5100 Hannan-Quinn criter.
6.411614 F-statistic
4.561433 Durbin-Watson stat 1.865527
ProbF-statistic 0.000001
RANDOM
Dependent Variable: TPT Method: Panel EGLS Cross-section random effects
Date: 082511 Time: 12:50 Sample: 2005 2009
Periods included: 5 Cross-sections included: 20
Total panel balanced observations: 100 Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances
Variable Coefficient
Std. Error t-Statistic
Prob. C
11.41156 2.060756
5.537562 0.0000
PEMP -1.09E-06
2.05E-06 -0.532061
0.5959
Effects Specification S.D.
Rho Cross-section random
4.387809 0.4476
Idiosyncratic random 4.874522
0.5524 Weighted Statistics
R-squared 0.002909 Mean dependent var
4.664199 Adjusted R-squared
-0.007265 S.D. dependent var 4.832538
S.E. of regression 4.850060 Sum squared resid
2305.262 F-statistic
0.285951 Durbin-Watson stat 1.518289
ProbF-statistic 0.594038
Unweighted Statistics R-squared
0.001246 Mean dependent var 10.48290
Sum squared resid 4039.758 Durbin-Watson stat
0.866402
UJI HAUSMAN- PEMP Terhadap PENGANGGURAN TPT
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test Equation: Untitled
Test cross-section random effects Test Summary
Chi-Sq. Statistic
Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.018871
1 0.8907
Cross-section random effects test comparisons: Variable
Fixed Random
VarDiff. Prob.
PEMP -0.000001
-0.000001 0.000000
0.8907 Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: TPT Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 082511 Time: 12:51 Sample: 2005 2009
Periods included: 5 Cross-sections included: 20
Total panel balanced observations: 100 Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
C 11.46289
1.850322 6.195079
0.0000 PEMP
-1.15E-06 2.10E-06
-0.549029 0.5845
Effects Specification Cross-section fixed dummy variables
R-squared 0.535918 Mean dependent var
10.48290 Adjusted R-squared
0.418429 S.D. dependent var 6.391912
S.E. of regression 4.874522 Akaike info criterion
6.190199 Sum squared resid
1877.117 Schwarz criterion 6.737285
Log likelihood -288.5100 Hannan-Quinn criter.
6.411614 F-statistic
4.561433 Durbin-Watson stat 1.865527
ProbF-statistic 0.000001
PEMP Terhadap PENGANGGURAN TPT
KEPUTUSAN UJI HAUSMAN : RANDOM AUTOKORELASI : ADA DURBIN WATSON: 1,52
HO: HOMOSKEDASTIK
H1: HETEROSKEDASTIK HETEROSKEDASTIK: 0,0029100=0.29 CHI SQUARE TABEL=6.63
TERIMA HO HOMOSKEDASTIK ADA AUTOKORELASI DAN TIDAK ADA HETEROSKEDASTIK , ESTIMASI
YANG DIGUNAKAN:
COVARIANCE METHOD
CROSSSECTION SUR PCSE
Dependent Variable: TPT Method: Panel EGLS Cross-section random effects
Date: 082511 Time: 12:53 Sample: 2005 2009
Periods included: 5 Cross-sections included: 20
Total panel balanced observations: 100 Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances
Cross-section SUR PCSE standard errors covariance d.f. corrected Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
C 11.41156
2.249113 5.073806
0.0000 PEMP
-1.09E-06 1.39E-06
-0.785504 0.4341
Effects Specification S.D.
Rho Cross-section random
4.387809 0.4476
Idiosyncratic random 4.874522
0.5524 Weighted Statistics
R-squared 0.002909 Mean dependent var
4.664199 Adjusted R-squared
-0.007265 S.D. dependent var 4.832538
S.E. of regression 4.850060 Sum squared resid
2305.262 F-statistic
0.285951 Durbin-Watson stat 1.518289
ProbF-statistic 0.594038
Unweighted Statistics R-squared
0.001246 Mean dependent var 10.48290
Sum squared resid 4039.758 Durbin-Watson stat
0.866402
PDRB, GINI, PENGANGGURAN TERHADAP MISKIN
FIXED
Dependent Variable: MISKIN Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 082511 Time: 12:55 Sample: 2005 2009
Periods included: 5 Cross-sections included: 20
Total panel balanced observations: 100 Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
C 21.45566
4.949510 4.334905
0.0000 PDRB
-0.001456 0.001013
-1.438002 0.1545
GINI 2.859503
11.87735 0.240753
0.8104 TPT
0.091824 0.065346
1.405186 0.1640
Effects Specification Cross-section fixed dummy variables
R-squared 0.962992 Mean dependent var
19.46190 Adjusted R-squared
0.952418 S.D. dependent var 12.11420
S.E. of regression 2.642497 Akaike info criterion
4.979961 Sum squared resid
537.6749 Schwarz criterion 5.579150
Log likelihood -225.9980 Hannan-Quinn criter.
5.222464 F-statistic
91.07429 Durbin-Watson stat 0.949977
ProbF-statistic 0.000000
RANDOM
Dependent Variable: MISKIN Method: Panel EGLS Cross-section random effects
Date: 082511 Time: 12:55 Sample: 2005 2009
Periods included: 5 Cross-sections included: 20
Total panel balanced observations: 100 Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances
Variable Coefficient
Std. Error t-Statistic
Prob. C
24.06846 4.839676
4.973155 0.0000
PDRB -0.002181
0.000709 -3.075884
0.0027 GINI
0.940267 11.68571
0.080463 0.9360
TPT 0.075529
0.062834 1.202046
0.2323 Effects Specification
S.D. Rho
Cross-section random 10.62755
0.9418 Idiosyncratic random
2.642497 0.0582
Weighted Statistics R-squared
0.131550 Mean dependent var 2.150865
Adjusted R-squared 0.104411 S.D. dependent var
2.763288 S.E. of regression
2.615054 Sum squared resid 656.4966
F-statistic 4.847249 Durbin-Watson stat
0.774707 ProbF-statistic
0.003488
Unweighted Statistics R-squared
0.313283 Mean dependent var 19.46190
Sum squared resid 9977.067 Durbin-Watson stat
0.050976
UJI HAUSMAN-PDRB,INDEKS GINI,TPT Terhadap KEMISKINAN
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test Equation: Untitled
Test cross-section random effects Test Summary
Chi-Sq. Statistic
Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 1.016361
3 0.7973
Cross-section random effects test comparisons: Variable
Fixed Random
VarDiff. Prob.
PDRB -0.001456
-0.002181 0.000001
0.3165 GINI
2.859503 0.940267
4.515418 0.3664
TPT 0.091824
0.075529 0.000322
0.3639 Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: MISKIN Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 082511 Time: 12:55 Sample: 2005 2009
Periods included: 5 Cross-sections included: 20
Total panel balanced observations: 100 Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
C 21.45566
4.949510 4.334905
0.0000 PDRB
-0.001456 0.001013
-1.438002 0.1545
GINI 2.859503
11.87735 0.240753
0.8104 TPT
0.091824 0.065346
1.405186 0.1640
Effects Specification Cross-section fixed dummy variables
R-squared 0.962992 Mean dependent var
19.46190 Adjusted R-squared
0.952418 S.D. dependent var 12.11420
S.E. of regression 2.642497 Akaike info criterion
4.979961 Sum squared resid
537.6749 Schwarz criterion 5.579150
Log likelihood -225.9980 Hannan-Quinn criter.
5.222464 F-statistic
91.07429 Durbin-Watson stat 0.949977
ProbF-statistic 0.000000
KEPUTUSAN UJI HAUSMAN : RANDOM AUTOKORELASI : ADA DURBIN WATSON: 0.77
HO: HOMOSKEDASTIK H1: HETEROSKEDASTIK
HETEROSKEDASTIK: 0,1315100=13.15 CHI SQUARE TABEL=6.63
TOLAK HO HETEROSKEDASTIK ADA AUTOKORELASI DAN ADA HETEROSKEDASTIK ,ESTIMASI YANG
DIGUNAKAN: GLS
KARENA SUDAH RANDOM TIDAK DIGUNAKAN WEIGHT GLS LAGI
COVARIANCE METHOD
CROSSSECTION SUR PCSE
Dependent Variable: MISKIN Method: Panel EGLS Cross-section random effects
Date: 082511 Time: 13:01 Sample: 2005 2009
Periods included: 5 Cross-sections included: 20
Total panel balanced observations: 100 Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances
Cross-section SUR PCSE standard errors covariance d.f. corrected Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
t-Statistic Prob.
C 24.06846
6.964162 3.456045
0.0008 PDRB
-0.002181 0.000835
-2.612007 0.0104
GINI 0.940267
8.143073 0.115468
0.9083 TPT
0.075529 0.051127
1.477275 0.1429
Effects Specification S.D.
Rho Cross-section random
10.62755 0.9418
Idiosyncratic random 2.642497
0.0582 Weighted Statistics
R-squared 0.131550 Mean dependent var
2.150865 Adjusted R-squared
0.104411 S.D. dependent var 2.763288
S.E. of regression 2.615054 Sum squared resid
656.4966 F-statistic
4.847249 Durbin-Watson stat 0.774707
ProbF-statistic 0.003488
Unweighted Statistics R-squared
0.313283 Mean dependent var 19.46190
Sum squared resid 9977.067 Durbin-Watson stat
0.050976
ABSTRACT
MEITY TRISNOWATI. The Impact of Economic Growth, Income Inequality, and Unemployment on the Poverty Rate in Districs of Coastal Communities Economic
Empowerment Recipient. Under direction of NUNUNG NURYARTONO and ARIEF DARYANTO.
Reducing poverty is one of the government objective in the coastal region. The government is implementing some programs to achieve this goal by raising up
the social welfare of the poorer. To accelerate the goal, the Ministry of Marine and Fisheries Affairs of the Republic of Indonesia is implementing PEMP, means an
economic empowerment program in the coastal region. The purpose of this study is to analyse whether this program has an impact on economy, inequality, and
unemployment as well as the indirect effect on the poverty reduction. Using static panel data model, the result shows that the PEMP has a significant and positive
impact on per capita GDRP as well as a significant impact on reducing the inequality. Thus, the PEMP program is one way to reduce the poverty on the coastal
region.
Keywords: PEMP, poverty reduction, inequality, static panel data model