80.96 2.6.Rencana Penelitian Jadwal penelitian dilaksanakan sebagaimana disajikan pada Tabel 12.

Lampiran 9. Pendapatan Perkapita Negara Tahun 1980 – 2003 US Kapita Tahun ICRUS ICFRA ICDEU ICCHN ICGBR ICIND ICPAK ICTUR ICUSA ICITA ICIDN ICA US ICCA N 1980 3497.79 12531.23 11687.66 307.33 9654.82 266.12 393.50 1485.34 11990.88 7953.13 481.12 11348.8 10820.22 1981 3340.96 10896.22 9834.14 286.92 9145.9 277.94 443.08 1497.11 13313.43 7177.76 597.92 12988.3 11978.34 1982 3528.56 10256.8 9544.71 277.69 8695.11 277.82 401.71 1327.19 13704.03 7107.89 601.12 12193.5 12145.37 1983 3620.29 9730.62 9532.95 294.14 8229.18 296.72 403.19 1237.73 14735.63 7370.37 532.24 12041.6 13020.51 1984 3404.37 9178.42 8982.74 290.65 7721.34 287.7 408.42 1175.96 16221.03 7298.83 535.4 12815 13404.36 1985 3336.89 9494.72 9062.37 282.87 8132.85 293.32 378.69 1289.24 17228.57 7531.5 523.49 11079.4 13569.32 1986 4036.71 13184.44 12964.09 269.6 9956.33 314.68 389.12 1422.59 18035.03 10671.5 470.97 11445 13877.85 1987 4621.36 15935.66 16115.33 288.57 12183.98 341.04 424.18 1606.22 18963.96 13421.3 438.66 13470.6 15640.16 1988 5086.47 17233.56 17280.34 354.38 14763.42 369.56 451.74 1643.58 20222.19 14827.7 504.04 16767.7 18207.03 1989 5204.14 17189.76 17072.17 390.79 14865.01 358.45 426.53 1903.71 21514.28 15394.6 566.25 18292.4 20024.69 1990 3839.79 21149.29 21551.46 337.47 17433.88 381.73 467.39 2629.59 22529.64 19436.8 628.18 18403.5 20728.75 1991 3766.26 21104.17 22692.34 347.82 18152.6 331.7 492.69 2589.2 23029.17 20441.4 692.41 18524.9 20991.7 1992 3292.56 23152.12 25737.56 415.53 18763.5 326.62 501.98 2679.2 24086.88 21632.7 739.9 18071.7 20091.33 1993 3077.93 21826.23 24780.83 511.69 16798.24 312.73 512.69 2984.99 25031.57 17411.4 827.72 17326.9 19325.88 1994 2748.00 22943.11 26395.25 457.28 18116.95 351.53 550.62 2123.65 26311.24 17931.6 913.13 19392.2 19162.38 1995 2693.62 26261.26 30891.43 584.5 19658.13 391.59 590.14 2703.9 27233.77 19148.1 1028.67 20710.9 19850.61 1996 2650.21 26216.91 29768.66 675.09 20561.44 405.25 578.25 2846.88 28484.4 21478.5 1141.31 22750 20427.75 1997 2741.82 23645.7 26320.82 735.86 22841.83 432.23 545.5 2926.49 29956.03 20296.9 1068.64 22567.7 21019.24 1998 1838.24 24337.24 26578.07 768.38 24405.55 427.44 532.59 3033.76 31235.27 20789 466.63 19894.7 20145.78 1999 1332.44 23967.03 26055.73 798.21 24993.9 447.96 506.51 2752.96 32766.51 20480.7 678.07 21343.7 21420.2 2000 1772.09 21776.13 23076.48 863.41 24513.75 455.34 495.69 2920.29 34364.5 18622 718.04 20320 23280.41 2001 2100.34 21877.47 22945.41 932.52 24312.25 466.02 461.12 2101.36 35107.18 18890.9 675.03 19120.3 22752.21 2002 2374.45 23694.66 24510.69 1001.06 26488.15 481.83 495.33 2620.5 36004.3 20497.2 805.93 21110.7 23208.81 2003 2974.14 28957.91 29586.36 1108.94 30327.12 555.47 550.07 3364.1 37425.43 25332.1 958.39 26734 27074.92 Lampiran 9. Lanjutan US Kapita Tahun ICA RG ICUKR ICKAZ ICDZA ICM YS ICESP ICLBY ICKOR ICHKG ICA GO ICGOR ICIRN 1980 2687.17 0 2252.19 1779.22 6083.11 11738.71 431.79 5742.52 686.83 2321.46 1981 2738.54 0 2281.84 1771.63 5264.54 9811.42 468.46 6029.33 622.79 2426.48 1982 2770.98 0 2249.07 1850.58 5060.47 9196.55 615.52 6146.2 601.11 2866.59 1983 2953.65 0 2350.95 2026.01 4394.48 8506.82 642.63 5585.57 603.21 3372.9 1984 3078.98 0 2470.39 222.73 4406.93 7423.03 639.27 6176.61 620.44 3433.97 1985 2908.76 0 2624.61 1990.13 4610.79 7384.92 656.74 6488.96 738.65 1527.91 1986 3442.1 2771.9 1723.74 6381.62 5779.27 749.65 7382.9 676.76 1444.08 1987 3486.17 2756.1 1914.19 8057.43 5223.77 819.93 9016.68 759.59 1683.86 1988 4006.96 0 2446.44 2048.26 9466.48 5727.69 859.33 10581.38 802.08 1704.83 1989 2385.45 0 2249.27 2234.73 10394.34 5925.49 929.41 12086.72 909.72 1635.76 1990 4338.53 1797.6 1800.46 2447.18 2467 13394.34 6527.09 850.81 13311.26 977.47 1553.07 1594.54 1991 5742.1 1639.33 1660.1 1800.48 2681.45 14358.56 7078.07 778.32 15102.74 1120.55 1278.75 1640.95 1992 6830.26 1508.94 1616.96 1853.88 3143.48 15644.66 7160.55 676.11 17394.47 1246.8 731.83 1665.26 1993 6973.99 1327.16 1515.13 1876.46 3461.86 12980.97 6637.12 561.09 19731.76 87504 539.64 1796.99 1994 7492.1 1047.33 1367.46 1529.63 3754.3 13077.39 6070.42 445.32 21896.23 873.1 503.84 1766.79 1995 7409.14 943.28 1296.01 1487.98 4362.6 15106.44 5312.35 256.11 22906.56 406.67 537.18 1756.9 1996 7719.7 870.62 1341.38 1632.41 4827.16 15730.39 5686.65 517.05 24920.47 518.03 818.42 1804.8 1997 8210.05 988.55 1430.5 1649.92 4674.93 14445.01 6138.35 490.07 27241.72 593.13 718.42 1664.64 1998 8284.8 834.06 1445.11 1615.3 3286.6 15085.5 5341.88 475.79 25562.72 493.27 748.38 1608.35 1999 7770.66 635.85 1112.81 1619.59 3519.94 15381 5858.91 480.43 24520.22 455.74 586.49 1657.91 2000 7706.75 636.48 1216.77 1787.81 3927.43 14261.12 6400.27 486.47 24914.9 659.62 644.9 1550.98 2001 7212.23 782.51 1482.59 1777.01 3746 14795.76 5251.65 500.94 24226.76 628.65 687.28 1648.08 2002 2710.84 882.52 1655.08 1791.43 3969.99 16488.49 3466.25 540.35 23509.26 670.11 736.28 2004.67 2003 3409.95 1055.26 2075.58 2045.21 4245.1 20903.41 3421.27 580.66 22760.6 918.8 873.99 2017.46 Lampiran 9. Lanjutan Tahun ICSGP ICBRA ICEGY 1980 25091 2022.25 558.56 1981 29339 2013.08 413.78 1982 32670 2040.92 466.41 1983 36733 1379.26 510.72 1984 40048 1337.61 555.08 1985 38924 1459.88 585.00 1986 39264 1740.73 640.61 1987 42973 1884.13 668.63 1988 50714 2010.37 695.57 1989 58190 2649.00 722.98 1990 66885 2933.55 750.74 1991 74613 2685.13 763.94 1992 81224 2532.15 817.64 1993 94289 2798.59 884.67 1994 107851 3435.83 1002.70 1995 118963 4363.53 1104.55 1996 130035 4730.43 1256.87 1997 141641 4857.13 1334.29 1998 137085 4666.40 1401.65 1999 139616 3132.07 1517.35 2000 159662 3461.06 1535.41 2001 154078 2882.65 1390.53 2002 158064 2576.03 1327.14 2003 159135 2787.82 1137.71 Lampiran 10. Nilai Tukar Beberapa Negara Tahun 1980 - 2003 TAHUN ERUSA ERFRA ERCAN ERAUS ERA RG ERRUS ERDEU ERUKR ERGBR ERKAZ 1980 1.00000000 0.64418000 1.16921670 0.87824430 0.00000005 0.66000000 0.92935820 0.00001822 0.43029500 0.00000000 1981 1.00000000 0.82850000 1.19890830 0.87021460 0.00000028 0.72000000 1.15551970 0.00003500 0.49764130 0.00000000 1982 1.00000000 1.00190000 1.23373330 0.98586280 0.00000126 0.73000000 1.24069660 0.00064130 0.57244680 0.00000000 1983 1.00000000 1.16180000 1.23241670 1.11001500 0.00000860 0.73800000 1.30546030 0.00000000 0.65972460 0.00000000 1984 1.00000000 1.33000000 1.29506670 1.13951920 0.00000000 0.81400000 1.45510690 0.00000000 0.75180670 0.00000000 1985 1.00000000 1.36970000 1.36548330 1.43189500 0.00006018 0.85000000 1.50522630 0.00000000 0.77924600 0.00000000 1986 1.00000000 1.05580000 1.38950000 1.49597420 0.00009430 0.70900000 1.11026180 0.00000000 0.68219730 0.00000000 1987 1.00000000 0.91630000 1.32599170 1.42818000 0.00021440 0.63700000 0.91899180 0.00000000 0.61192650 0.00000000 1988 1.00000000 0.90812000 1.23070830 1.27990830 0.00087530 0.60700000 0.89794360 0.00000000 0.56217020 0.00000000 1989 1.00000000 0.97264000 1.18399170 1.26459670 0.04233400 0.62700000 0.96125000 0.00000000 0.61117280 0.00000000 1990 1.00000000 0.83012600 1.16677500 1.28105670 0.48758910 0.66600000 0.82611130 0.00001822 0.56317720 0.00322280 1991 1.00000000 0.86013000 1.14571670 1.28375580 0.95355440 0.00249660 0.84851020 0.00003500 0.56701530 0.00628020 1992 1.00000000 0.80703700 1.20872500 1.36164830 0.99064170 0.03879050 0.79845900 0.00064130 0.56977420 0.09198510 1993 1.00000000 0.86335380 1.29007420 1.47056000 0.99894580 0.37479980 0.84532950 0.02151740 0.66676660 1.19694410 1994 1.00000000 0.84640380 1.36563830 1.36675080 0.99900830 1.49724460 0.82972150 0.22199130 0.65342660 19.29652100 1995 1.00000000 0.76094660 1.37244080 1.34903250 0.99975000 3.57877110 0.73274900 1.12154260 0.62266810 49.35982800 1996 1.00000000 0.77985640 1.36346830 1.27786330 0.99966250 5.12083330 0.76937880 1.82946860 0.64095830 67.30333300 1997 1.00000000 0.88979790 1.38461670 1.34738000 0.99950000 5.78383330 0.88608700 1.86165830 0.61083610 75.43750000 1998 1.00000000 0.89937540 1.48346310 1.59182830 0.99950000 9.70508330 0.89970380 2.44954170 0.60382360 78.30333300 1999 1.00000000 0.93862730 1.48573170 1.54995000 0.99950000 24.61990000 0.93862730 4.13044170 0.61805680 119.52333000 2000 1.00000000 1.08540080 1.48511000 1.72482670 0.99950000 28.12916700 1.08540080 5.44023330 0.66093080 142.13333000 2001 1.00000000 1.11751000 1.54876080 1.93344250 0.99950000 29.16852500 1.11751000 5.37215830 0.69465500 146.73583000 2002 1.00000000 1.62551700 1.56931830 1.84056250 3.06325670 31.34848300 1.06255170 5.32662500 0.66722330 153.27917000 2003 1.00000000 0.88603420 1.40105170 1.54191420 2.90062920 30.69202500 0.88603420 5.33268830 0.61247250 149.57583000 Lampiran 10. Lanjutan TAHUN ERBRA ERDZA ERITA ERM YS EREGY ERESP ERM EX ERJPN ERCHN 1980 0.00000000 3.83745000 0.44238120 2.17688330 0.70000070 0.43093720 0.22951000 226.74083000 1.49840000 1981 0.00000000 4.31580830 0.58709010 2.30411250 1.08779060 0.55486540 0.02451460 220.53583000 1.70453330 1982 0.00000000 4.59219170 0.69851310 2.33539170 1.20000360 0.66026690 0.05640170 249.07667000 1.89254170 1983 0.00000000 4.78880000 0.78441970 2.32125000 1.29586600 0.86203120 0.12009360 237.51167000 1.97567500 1984 0.00000000 4.98337500 0.90739450 2.34364170 1.36281980 0.96619310 0.16782760 237.52250000 2.32004170 1985 0.00000000 5.02780000 0.98614300 2.48301700 1.40644520 1.02198550 0.25687160 238.53583000 2.93665830 1986 0.00000000 4.70231670 0.76993910 2.58144170 1.59523660 0.84170770 0.61177260 168.51983000 3.45279170 1987 0.00000001 4.84974170 0.66936430 2.51963830 1.75546410 0.74211970 1.37818250 144.63750000 3.72210000 1988 0.00000010 5.91476670 0.67223450 2.61878330 1.93663640 0.70010000 2.27310500 128.15167000 3.72210000 1989 0.00000103 7.60855830 0.70862710 2.70884170 2.22688620 0.71146410 2.46147250 137.96442000 3.76510830 1990 0.00002484 8.95750830 0.61876790 2.70487500 2.63522060 0.61263520 2.81259920 144.79250000 4.78320830 1991 0.00014790 18.47287500 0.64072330 2.75006670 3.13800830 0.62452120 3.01843000 134.70667000 5.32339170 1992 0.00164110 21.83607500 0.63648450 2.54738330 3.32174830 0.61531070 3.09489830 126.65133000 5.51459170 1993 0.32163100 23.34540700 0.81273060 2.57409500 3.35251750 0.76485050 3.11561670 111.19779000 5.76195830 1994 0.63931210 35.05850100 0.83275383 2.62425670 3.38513330 0.80510350 3.37511670 102.20781000 8.61874270 1995 0.91766670 47.66272700 0.84127380 2.50440420 3.39228300 0.74939600 6.41942500 94.05957900 8.35141670 1996 1.00510000 54.74893300 0.79686560 2.51594250 3.39148330 0.76125140 7.59944840 108.77906000 8.31417500 1997 1.07799170 57.70735000 0.87957610 2.81319170 3.38875000 0.87996360 7.91846000 120.99086000 8.28981670 1998 1.16051670 58.73895800 0.89667630 3.92437500 3.38800000 0.89788400 9.13604180 130.90530000 8.27895830 1999 1.81473330 66.57387500 0.93862730 3.80000000 3.39525000 0.93862730 9.56003975 113.90681000 8.27825000 2000 1.83014170 75.25979200 1.08540080 3.80000000 3.47205000 1.08540080 9.45555830 107.76550000 8.27850420 2001 2.35770830 77.21502100 1.11751000 3.80000000 3.97300000 1.11751000 9.34234170 121.52896000 8.27706830 2002 2.92082510 79.68190000 1.06255170 3.80000000 4.49966670 1.06255170 9.65595830 125.38802000 8.27695750 2003 3.07708680 77.39497500 0.88603420 3.80000000 5.85087500 0.88603420 10.78901900 115.93346000 8.27703670 Lampiran 10. Lanjutan TAHUN ERBEL ERTUR ERPA K ERNLD ERLBY ERKOR ERSGP ERIDN 1980 0.72000000 76.04000000 9.90000000 0.90000000 0.30000000 607.43000000 2.14000000 626.99400000 1981 0.92000000 111.22000000 9.90000000 1.13000000 0.30000000 681.03000000 2.11000000 631.75667000 1982 1.13000000 162.55000000 11.85000000 1.21000000 0.30000000 731.08000000 2.14000000 661.42075000 1983 1.27000000 225.46000000 13.12000000 1.30000000 0.30000000 775.75000000 2.11000000 909.26483000 1984 1.43000000 366.68000000 14.05000000 1.46000000 0.30000000 805.98000000 2.13000000 1025.94480000 1985 1.47000000 521.98000000 15.93000000 1.51000000 0.30000000 870.02000000 2.20000000 1110.58000000 1986 1.11000000 674.51000000 16.65000000 1.11000000 0.32000000 881.45000000 2.18000000 1282.56000000 1987 0.93000000 857.21000000 17.40000000 0.92000000 0.30000000 822.57000000 2.11000000 1643.84830000 1988 0.91000000 1422.35000000 18.00000000 0.90000000 0.29000000 731.47000000 2.01000000 1685.70420000 1989 0.98000000 2121.68000000 20.54000000 0.96000000 0.30000000 671.46000000 1.95000000 1770.05920000 1990 0.83000000 2608.64000000 21.71000000 0.83000000 0.28000000 707.76000000 1.81000000 1842.81330000 1991 0.85000000 4171.82000000 23.80000000 0.85000000 0.28000000 733.35000000 1.73000000 1950.31750000 1992 0.80000000 6872.42000000 25.08000000 0.80000000 0.28000000 780.65000000 1.63000000 2029.92080000 1993 0.86000000 10984.63000000 28.11000000 0.84000000 0.30000000 802.67000000 1.62000000 2087.10390000 1994 0.83000000 29608.68000000 30.57000000 0.83000000 0.35000000 803.45000000 1.53000000 2160.75370000 1995 0.73000000 45845.06000000 31.64000000 0.73000000 0.42000000 771.27000000 1.42000000 2248.60800000 1996 0.77000000 81404.89000000 36.08000000 0.77000000 0.44000000 804.45000000 1.41000000 2342.29630000 1997 0.89000000 151865.00000000 41.11000000 0.89000000 0.46000000 951.29000000 1.49000000 2909.38000000 1998 0.90000000 260724.25000000 45.05000000 0.90000000 0.47000000 1401.44000000 1.67000000 10013.62300000 1999 0.94000000 418782.92000000 49.50000000 0.94000000 0.46000000 1188.82000000 1.70000000 7855.15000000 2000 1.09000000 625218.50000000 53.65000000 1.90000000 0.51000000 1130.96000000 1.72000000 8421.77500000 2001 1.12000000 1225588.10000000 61.93000000 1.12000000 0.61000000 1290.99000000 1.79000000 10260.85000000 2002 1.06000000 1507226.40000000 59.72000000 1.06000000 1.27000000 1251.09000000 1.79000000 9311.19170000 2003 0.89000000 1500885.20000000 57.75000000 0.89000000 1.29000000 1191.61000000 1.74000000 8577.13330000 Lampiran 10. Lanjutan TAHUN ERHKG ERA GO ERGOR 1980 4.98000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1981 5.59000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1982 6.07000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1983 7.27000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1984 7.82000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1985 7.79000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1986 7.80000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1987 7.80000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1988 7.81000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1989 7.80000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1990 7.80000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1991 7.77000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1992 7.74000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1993 7.74000000 0.00000000 0.01000000 1994 7.73000000 0.00000000 1.10000000 1995 7.74000000 0.00000000 1.36000000 1996 7.73000000 0.13000000 1.26000000 1997 7.74000000 0.23000000 1.30000000 1998 7.75000000 0.39000000 1.39000000 1999 7.76000000 2.79000000 2.03000000 2000 7.79000000 10.04000000 1.98000000 2001 7.80000000 22.06000000 2.03000000 2002 7.80000000 43.53000000 2.20000000 2003 7.79000000 74.61000000 2.15000000 Lampiran 11. Program Estimasi Model Industri Tepung Terigu Indonesia dengan menggunakan Metode 2SLS, Prosedur SYSLIN, Software SASETS versi 6.12 options nodate nonumber; data purwoto; merge sasuser.data1yes sasuser.data2yes sasuser.data3yes sasuser.data4yes sasuser.data5yes sasuser.data6yes; if CPITUR 1 then CPITUR=1; if PXTTUR 0 then PXTTUR=1; if PXGTUR 0 then PXGTUR=1; if PLXGTUR 0 then PLXGTUR=1; if PMTTUR 0 then PMTTUR=1; if tahun = . then delete; run; data analisis; set purwoto; Membuat Variabel Dampak Kebijakan Perdagangan Thd Kinerja Industri Tepung Terigu Indo QTIDN = 0.74DGM; STIDN = QTIDN + MTIDN - XTIDN; MGIDN = MGIUSA + MGIAUS + MGICAN + MGRIDN; MTIDN = MTIJPN + MTISGP + MTIAUS + MTRIDN; DGIDN = MGIDN; DGM = MGIDN - DGT - DGS - DGPL - DGFM - DGL - DGB; ZGIDN = DGIDN - MGIDN; LSTIDN = LagSTIDN; ZTIDN = STIDN - DTIDN; PMTIDR = PMTIDN ERIDN1000; RPTIDN = PTIDN CPIIDN100; RPMTIDR = PMTIDR CPIIDN100; Lampiran 12. Lanjutan RPTPB = PTPB CPIIDN100; RPTPE = PTPE CPIIDN100; MARIN = RPTIDN - RPMTIDR; MARPB = RPTPB - RPTIDN; DTIDN = DTRT + DTKM + DTIM + DTRS; QGSOV = QGARM + QGAZR + QGBLS + QGGOR + QGKAZ + QGKYR + QGLAT + QGLIT + QGMOL + QGUKR + QGRUS; DGSOV = DGARM + DGAZR + DGBLS + DGGOR + DGKAZ + DGKYR + DGLAT + DGLIT + DGMOL + DGUKR + DGRUS; QTSOV = QTARM + QTAZR + QTBLS + QTGOR + QTKAZ + QTKYR + QTLAT + QTLIT + QTMOL + QTUKR + QTRUS; DTSOV = DTARM + DTAZR + DTBLS + DTGOR + DTKAZ + DTKYR + DTLAT + DTLIT + DTMOL + DTUKR + DTRUS; XGSOV = XGARM + XGAZR + XGBLS + XGGOR + XGKAZ + XGKYR + XGLAT + XGLIT + XGMOL + XGUKR + XGRUS; MGSOV = MGARM + MGAZR + MGBLS + MGGOR + MGKAZ + MGKYR + MGLAT + MGLIT + MGMOL + MGUKR + MGRUS; XTSOV = XTARM + XTAZR + XTBLS + XTGOR + XTKAZ + XTKYR + XTLAT + XTLIT + XTMOL + XTUKR + XTRUS; MTSOV = MTARM + MTAZR + MTBLS + MTGOR + MTKAZ + MTKYR + MTLAT + MTLIT + MTMOL + MTUKR + MTRUS; XGSD = XGRW - XGSOV + XGRUS + XGUKR + XGKAZ; MGSD = MGRW - MGSOV; XTSD = XTRW - XTSOV; MTSD = MTRW - MTSOV + MTGOR; XGW = XGUSA + XGFRA + XGSOV + XGCAN + XGAUS + XGSD + XGARG + XGDEU + XGGBR; MGW = MGSOV + MGITA + MGBRA + MGJPN + MGDZA + MGIDN + MGSD + MGMYS + MGEGY + MGESP + MGMEX + MGCHN; XTW = XTFRA+XTBEL +XTSOV+XTTUR+XTDEU + XTSD + XTITA + XTESP + XTPAK + XTJPN + XTNLD + XTCHN + XTIDN; MTW = MTNLD + MTLBY + MTSOV + MTAGO + MTUSA + MTIDN + MTSD + MTKOR + MTPAK + MTHKG + MTFRA; OMGW = MGSOV + MGITA + MGBRA + MGJPN + MGDZA + MGSD + MGMYS + MGEGY + MGESP + MGMEX + MGCHN; QGSD = QGRW - QGSOV + QGRUS; DGSD = DGRW - DGSOV + DGRUS; QTSD = QTRW - QTSOV + QTRUS; DTSD = DTRW - DTSOV + DTRUS; QGW = QGCHN + QGPAK + QGTUR + QGAUS + QGFRA + QGIND + QGUSA + QGCAN + QGDEU + QGSD; Lampiran 12. Lanjutan DGW = DGFRA + DGDEU + DGCHN + DGGBR + DGIND + DGPAK + DGTUR + DGUSA + DGITA + DGIDN + DGSD; QTW = QTCHN + QTIND + QTUSA + QTPAK + QTTUR + QTIRN + QTBRA + QTEGY + QTITA + QTIDN + QTSD; DTW = DTCHN + DTUSA + DTIND + DTBRA + DTEGY + DTPAK + DTTUR + DTITA + DTIDN + DTIRN + DTSD; Merilkan data Nominal RPMGTUR = PMGTUR CPITUR100; RPXGCHN = PXGCHN CPICHN100; RPLXGCHN= PLXGCHNCPICHN100; RPXGPAK = PXGPAK CPIPAK100; RPLXGPAK= PLXGPAKCPIPAK100; RPXGAUS = PXGAUS CPIAUS100; RPLXGAUS= PLXGAUSCPIAUS100; RPXGFRA = PXGFRA CPIFRA100; RPXGDEU = PXGDEU CPIDEU100; RPMGRUS = PMGRUS CPIRUS100; RPMGDEU = PMGDEU CPIDEU100; RPMGGBR = PMGGBR CPIGBR100; RPMGIDN = PMGIDN CPIIDN100; RPMGFRA = PMGFRA CPIFRA100; RPGW = PGW CPIW 100; RPXGGBR = PXGGBR CPIGBR100; RPXGKAZ = PXGKAZ CPIKAZ100; RPXGIDN = PXGIDN CPIIDN100; RPMGDZA = PMGDZA CPIDZA100; RPMGMYS = PMGMYS CPIMYS100; RPMGEGY = PMGEGY CPIEGY100; RPMGESP = PMGESP CPIESP100; RPMGMEX = PMGMEX CPIMEX100; RPMGJPN = PMGJPN CPIJPN100; RPMGCHN = PMGCHN CPICHN100; RPMGBRA = PMGBRA CPIBRA100; RPXTIND = PXTIND CPIIND100; RPXGW = PXGW CPIW 100; RPXTSOV = PXTRUS CPIRUS100; RPXTRUS = PXTRUS CPIRUS100; RPXTIRN = PXTIRN CPIIRN100; RPXTITA = PXTITA CPIITA100; RPXTIDN = PXTIDN CPIIDN100; RPMTUSA = PMTUSA CPIUSA100; RPMTIND = PMTIND CPIIND100; RPMTSOV = PMTRUS CPIRUS100; RPMTRUS = PMTRUS CPIRUS100; RPMTBRA = PMTBRA CPIBRA100; RPMTPAK = PMTPAK CPIPAK100; RPMTITA = PMTITA CPIITA100; RPMTIRN = PMTIRN CPIIRN100; RPXTFRA = PXTFRA CPIFRA100; RPXTPAK = PXTPAK CPIPAK100; RPXTCHN = PXTCHN CPICHN100; RPLMTLBY= PLMTLBYCPILBY100; RPLMTKOR= PLMTKORCPIKOR100; RPMTIDN = PMTIDN CPIIDN100; RPLMTHKG= PLMTHKGCPIHKG100; RPMTFRA = PMTFRA CPIFRA100; RPLMTFRA= PLMTFRACPIFRA100; RPMTAGO = PMTAGO CPIAGO100; RPLMTAGO= PLMTAGOCPIAGO100; RPXTW = PXTW CPIW 100; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan RPXTBEL = PXTBEL CPIBEL100; RPXTJPN = PXTJPN CPIJPN100; RPXTNLD = PXTNLD CPINLD100; RPMTW = PMTW CPIW 100; RPMTLBY = PMTLBY CPILBY100; RPMTGOR = PMTGOR CPIGOR100; RPMTNLD = PMTNLD CPINLD100; RPMTHKG = PMTHKG CPIHKG100; RPMTKOR = PMTKOR CPIKOR100; RPXGUSA = PXGUSA CPIUSA100; RPXGCAN = PXGCAN CPICAN100; RPXGARG = PXGARG CPIARG100; RPMGSOV = PMGRUS CPIRUS100; RPXGSOV = PXGRUS CPIRUS100; RPXGRUS = PXGRUS CPIRUS100; RPXGUKR = PXGUKR CPIUKR100; RPMGW = PMGW CPIW 100; RPMGITA = PMGITA CPIITA100; RPXTDEU = PXTDEU CPIDEU100; RPXTESP = PXTESP CPIESP100; RPXGIND = PXGIND CPIIND100; RPMGIND = PMGIND CPIIND100; RPMGUSA = PMGUSA CPIUSA100; RPXTUSA = PXTUSA CPIUSA100; RPXTBRA = PXTBRA CPIBRA100; RPMTCHN = PMTCHN CPICHN100; RPMTEGY = PMTEGY CPIEGY100; RPXTEGY = PXTEGY CPIEGY100; RPXTTUR = PXTTUR CPITUR100; RPXGTUR = PXGTUR CPITUR100; RPLXGTUR= PLXGTURCPITUR100; RPMTTUR = PMTTUR CPITUR100; RPXTCAN = PXTCAN CPICAN100; RPXTAUS = PXTAUS CPIAUS100; RPXTUKR = PXTUKR CPIUKR100; RPXTGBR = PXTGBR CPIGBR100; RPXTARG = PXTARG CPIARG100; RPMTDZA = PMTDZA CPIDZA100; RPMTCAN = PMTCAN CPICAN100; RPMTARG = PMTARG CPIARG100; RPMTDEU = PMTDEU CPIDEU100; RPMTMYS = PMTMYS CPIMYS100; RPMTESP = PMTESP CPIESP100; RPMTJPN = PMTJPN CPIJPN100; RPXGBEL = PXGBEL CPIBEL100; RPXGITA = PXGITA CPIITA100; RPXGESP = PXGESP CPIESP100; RPXGNLD = PXGNLD CPINLD100; RPMGLBY = PMGITA CPIITA100; RPXTKOR = PXTDEU CPIDEU100; RPXTNLD = PXTESP CPIESP100; RPXGAGO = PXGAGO CPIAGO100; RPXGJPN = PXGJPN CPIJPN100; RPMGHKG = PMGHKG CPIHKG100; RPMGGOR = PMGGOR CPIGOR100; RPMGNLD = PMGNLD CPINLD100; RPMGKOR = PMGKOR CPIKOR100; RPMGAGO = PMGAGO CPIAGO100; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan RPXTKAZ = PXTKAZ CPIKAZ100; RPMGPAK = PMGPAK CPIPAK100; RPMTBEL = PMTBEL CPIBEL100; RPMTMEX = PMTMEX CPIMEX100; RPHIDN = PHIDN CPIIDN100; RPSIDN = PSIDN CPIIDN100; ROPKM = OPKM CPIIND100; ROPRT = OPRT CPIIND100; RPMGIUSA = PMGIUSACPIUSA100; RPMGIAUS = PMGIAUSCPIAUS100; RPMGICAN = PMGICANCPICAN100; RPMTIJPN = PMTIJPNCPIJPN100; RPMTISGP = PMTISGPCPISGP100; RPMTIAUS = PMTIAUSCPIAUS100; Membuat Nilai Tukar Thd Indonesia ERIUSA = 1ERUSA; ERIAUS = ERAUSERIDN; ERICAN = ERCANERIDN; ERIJPN = ERJPNERIDN; ERISGP = ERSGPERIDN; GOOR = RPGW; TOOR = RPXTW; Membuat Variabel Lag LQTW = LagQTW; LQGW = LagQGW; LMTW = LagMTW; LXTW = LagXTW; LMGW = LagMGW; LXGW = LagXGW; LOMGW = LagOMGW; LIRCAN = LagIRCAN; LIRAUS = LagIRAUS; LIRTUR = LagIRTUR; LIRIDN = LagIRIDN; LIREGY = LagIREGY; LIRTUR = LagIRTUR; LIRPAK = LagIRPAK; LIRIND = LagIRIND; LCPIHKG = LagCPIHKG; LCPIPAK = LagCPIPAK; LCPIUSA = LagCPIUSA; LCPINLD = LagCPINLD; LCPIKOR = LagCPIKOR; LCPILBY = LagCPILBY; LCPIBRA = LagCPIBRA; LCPIIDN = LagCPIIDN; LCPIJPN = LagCPIJPN; LCPIESP = LagCPIESP; LCPIEGY = LagCPIEGY; LCPIMYS = LagCPIMYS; LCPIITA = LagCPIITA; LCPIDZA = LagCPIDZA; LCPIGOR = LagCPIGOR; LCPIAGO = LagCPIAGO; LTEGAUS = LagTEGAUS; LPENGBR = LagPENGBR; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan LPENIRN = LagPENIRN; LPENITA = LagPENITA; LPENTUR = LagPENTUR; LPENEGY = LagPENEGY; LPENRUS = LagPENRUS; LPENIND = LagPENIND; LPENCHN = LagPENCHN; LPENGOR = LagPENGOR; LPENFRA = LagPENFRA; LPENHKG = LagPENHKG; LPENIDN = LagPENIDN; LPENPAK = LagPENPAK; LPENNLD = LagPENNLD; LICRUS = LagICRUS; LICGBR = LagICGBR; LICIRN = LagICIRN; LICITA = LagICITA; LICTUR = LagICTUR; LICCHN = LagICCHN; LICBRA = LagICBRA; LICIDN = LagICIDN; LICJPN = LagICJPN; LICEGY = LagICEGY; LICMYS = LagICMYS; LICDZA = LagICDZA; LICGOR = LagICGOR; LICAGO = LagICAGO; LICFRA = LagICFRA; LICHKG = LagICHKG; LICIND = LagICIND; LICPAK = LagICPAK; LICUSA = LagICUSA; LICNLD = LagICNLD; LICKOR = LagICKOR; LICLBY = LagICLBY; LERICAN = LagERICAN; LERIAUS = LagERIAUS; LEREGY = LagEREGY; LERMEX = LagERMEX; LERBRA = LagERBRA; LERCHN = LagERCHN; LERMYS = LagERMYS; LERDZA = LagERDZA; LERKAZ = LagERKAZ; LERGBR = LagERGBR; LERUKR = LagERUKR; LERRUS = LagERRUS; LERARG = LagERARG; LERAUS = LagERAUS; LERCAN = LagERCAN; LERGOR = LagERGOR; LERAGO = LagERAGO; LERHKG = LagERHKG; LERIDN = LagERIDN; LERPAK = LagERPAK; LERNLD = LagERNLD; LERKOR = LagERKOR; LERLBY = LagERLBY; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan LERIDN = LagERIDN; LERCHN = LagERCHN; LERNLD = LagERNLD; LERJPN = LagERJPN; LERPAK = LagERPAK; LERFRA = LagERFRA; LERDEU = LagERDEU; LERESP = LagERESP; LERTUR = LagERTUR; LERITA = LagERITA; LERBEL = LagERBEL; LQGEGY = LagQGEGY; LQGTUR = LagQGTUR; LQGGBR = LagQGGBR; LQGUKR = LagQGUKR; LQGDEU = LagQGDEU; LQGRUS = LagQGRUS; LQGAUS = LagQGAUS; LQGCAN = LagQGCAN; LQGUSA = LagQGUSA; LQGGOR = LagQGGOR; LQGLBY = LagQGLBY; LQGFRA = LagQGFRA; LQGJPN = LagQGJPN; LQGESP = LagQGESP; LQGMEX = LagQGMEX; LQGEGY = LagQGEGY; LQGITA = LagQGITA; LQGDZA = LagQGDZA; LQGBRA = LagQGBRA; LQGARG = LagQGARG; LQGKAZ = LagQGKAZ; LQGCHN = LagQGCHN; LQGPAK = LagQGPAK; LQGSOV = LagQGSOV; LDGSOV = LagDGSOV; LDGBRA = LagDGBRA; LDGJPN = LagDGJPN; LDGMEX = LagDGMEX; LDGESP = LagDGESP; LDGEGY = LagDGEGY; LDGMYS = LagDGMYS; LDGDZA = LagDGDZA; LDGITA = LagDGITA; LDGKAZ = LagDGKAZ; LDGGBR = LagDGGBR; LDGUKR = LagDGUKR; LDGDEU = LagDGDEU; LDGRUS = LagDGRUS; LDGARG = LagDGARG; LDGAUS = LagDGAUS; LDGCAN = LagDGCAN; LDGUSA = LagDGUSA; LDGFRA = LagDGFRA; LDGCHN = LagDGCHN; LDGIDN = LagDGIDN; LDGIND = LagDGIND; LDGTUR = LagDGTUR; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan LXGSOV = LagXGSOV; LXGCHN = LagXGCHN; LXGJPN = LagXGJPN; LXGMEX = LagXGMEX; LXGDZA = LagXGDZA; LXGITA = LagXGITA; LXGBRA = LagXGBRA; LXGESP = LagXGESP; LXGUSA = LagXGUSA; LXGFRA = LagXGFRA; LXGCAN = LagXGCAN; LXGAUS = LagXGAUS; LXGARG = LagXGARG; LXGRUS = LagXGRUS; LXGDEU = LagXGDEU; LXGUKR = LagXGUKR; LXGGBR = LagXGGBR; LXGKAZ = LagXGKAZ; LXGIDN = LagXGIDN; LMGSOV = LagMGSOV; LMGCHN = LagMGCHN; LMGFRA = LagMGFRA; LMGCAN = LagMGCAN; LMGAUS = LagMGAUS; LMGDEU = LagMGDEU; LMGRUS = LagMGRUS; LMGARG = LagMGARG; LMGDZA = LagMGDZA; LMGITA = LagMGITA; LMGMYS = LagMGMYS; LMGEGY = LagMGEGY; LMGESP = LagMGESP; LMGMEX = LagMGMEX; LMGJPN = LagMGJPN; LMGCHN = LagMGCHN; LMGIDN = LagMGIDN; LMGBRA = LagMGBRA; LMGIUSA = LagMGIUSA; LMGIAUS = LagMGIAUS; LMGICAN = LagMGICAN; LRPGW = LagRPGW; LRPXGW = LagRPXGW; LRPMGW = LagRPMGW; LRPXGESP = LagRPXGESP; LRPXGBEL = LagRPXGBEL; LRPXGTUR = LagRPXGTUR; LRPXGPAK = LagRPXGPAK; LRPXGUSA = LagRPXGUSA; LRPXGFRA = LagRPXGFRA; LRPXGCAN = LagRPXGCAN; LRPXGAUS = LagRPXGAUS; LRPXGARG = LagRPXGARG; LRPXGSOV = LagRPXGSOV; LRPXGRUS = LagRPXGRUS; LRPXGDEU = LagRPXGDEU; LRPXGUKR = LagRPXGUKR; LRPXGGBR = LagRPXGGBR; LRPXGKAZ = LagRPXGKAZ; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan LRPXGCHN = LagRPXGCHN; LRPXGIDN = LagRPXGIDN; LRPXGITA = LagRPXGITA; LRPXGJPN = LagRPXGJPN; LRPXGNLD = LagRPXGNLD; LRPMGAGO = LagRPMGAGO; LRPMGGOR = LagRPMGGOR; LRPMGHKG = LagRPMGHKG; LRPMGNLD = LagRPMGNLD; LRPMGKOR = LagRPMGKOR; LRPMGLBY = LagRPMGLBY; LRPMGTUR = LagRPMGTUR; LRPMGUSA = LagRPMGUSA; LRPMGPAK = LagRPMGPAK; LRPMGIND = LagRPMGIND; LRPMGGBR = LagRPMGGBR; LRPMGFRA = LagRPMGFRA; LRPMGBRA = LagRPMGBRA; LRPMGDZA = LagRPMGDZA; LRPMGITA = LagRPMGITA; LRPMGCHN = LagRPMGCHN; LRPMGEGY = LagRPMGEGY; LRPMGESP = LagRPMGESP; LRPMGMEX = LagRPMGMEX; LRPMGJPN = LagRPMGJPN; LRPMGIDN = LagRPMGIDN; LRPMGMYS = LagRPMGMYS; LRPMGRUS = LagRPMGRUS; LRPMGSOV = LagRPMGSOV; LQTSOV = LagQTSOV; LQTKOR = LagQTKOR; LQTFRA = LagQTFRA; LQTDEU = LagQTDEU; LQTAGO = LagQTAGO; LQTUSA = LagQTUSA; LQTGOR = LagQTGOR; LQTLBY = LagQTLBY; LQTNLD = LagQTNLD; LQTDEU = LagQTDEU; LQTIDN = LagQTIDN; LQTCHN = LagQTCHN; LQTJPN = LagQTJPN; LQTPAK = LagQTPAK; LQTFRA = LagQTFRA; LQTESP = LagQTESP; LQTTUR = LagQTTUR; LQTBEL = LagQTBEL; LQTITA = LagQTITA; LQTIND = LagQTIND; LQTRUS = LagQTRUS; LQTIRN = LagQTIRN; LQTBRA = LagQTBRA; LQTEGY = LagQTEGY; LDTLBY = LagDTLBY; LDTSOV = LagDTSOV; LDTHKG = LagDTHKG; LDTGOR = LagDTGOR; LDTIDN = LagDTIDN; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan LDTNLD = LagDTNLD; LDTJPN = LagDTJPN; LDTESP = LagDTESP; LDTDEU = LagDTDEU; LDTBEL = LagDTBEL; LDTIRN = LagDTIRN; LDTBRA = LagDTBRA; LDTIND = LagDTIND; LDTCHN = LagDTCHN; LDTUSA = LagDTUSA; LDTRUS = LagDTRUS; LDTEGY = LagDTEGY; LDTPAK = LagDTPAK; LDTTUR = LagDTTUR; LDTITA = LagDTITA; LDTFRA = LagDTFRA; LXTSOV = LagXTSOV; LXTUKR = LagXTUKR; LXTKOR = LagXTKOR; LXTAGO = LagXTAGO; LXTUSA = LagXTUSA; LXTGOR = LagXTGOR; LXTLBY = LagXTLBY; LXTBEL = LagXTBEL; LXTDEU = LagXTDEU; LXTITA = LagXTITA; LXTTUR = LagXTTUR; LXTESP = LagXTESP; LXTFRA = LagXTFRA; LXTPAK = LagXTPAK; LXTJPN = LagXTJPN; LXTNLD = LagXTNLD; LXTCHN = LagXTCHN; LXTIDN = LagXTIDN; LMTSOV = LagMTSOV; LMTCHN = LagMTCHN; LMTJPN = LagMTJPN; LMTESP = LagMTESP; LMTITA = LagMTITA; LMTDEU = LagMTDEU; LMTBEL = LagMTBEL; LMTLBY = LagMTLBY; LMTKOR = LagMTKOR; LMTNLD = LagMTNLD; LMTUSA = LagMTUSA; LMTPAK = LagMTPAK; LMTIDN = LagMTIDN; LMTHKG = LagMTHKG; LMTFRA = LagMTFRA; LMTAGO = LagMTAGO; LMTGOR = LagMTGOR; LMTIJPN = LagMTIJPN; LMTISGP = LagMTISGP; LMTIAUS = LagMTIAUS; LRPXTSOV = LagRPXTSOV; LRPXTUKR = LagRPXTUKR; LRPXTAUS = LagRPXTAUS; LRPXTCAN = LagRPXTCAN; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan LRPXTKAZ = LagRPXTKAZ; LRPXTGBR = LagRPXTGBR; LRPXTRUS = LagRPXTRUS; LRPXTUSA = LagRPXTUSA; LRPXTEGY = LagRPXTEGY; LRPXTBRA = LagRPXTBRA; LRPXTBEL = LagRPXTBEL; LRPXTDEU = LagRPXTDEU; LRPXTITA = LagRPXTITA; LRPXTTUR = LagRPXTTUR; LRPXTESP = LagRPXTESP; LRPXTPAK = LagRPXTPAK; LRPXTFRA = LagRPXTFRA; LRPXTJPN = LagRPXTJPN; LRPXTNLD = LagRPXTNLD; LRPXTCHN = LagRPXTCHN; LRPXTIDN = LagRPXTIDN; LRPXTW = LagRPXTW; LRPMTW = LagRPMTW; LRPMTCAN = LagRPMTCAN; LRPMTDZA = LagRPMTDZA; LRPMTEGY = LagRPMTEGY; LRPMTIRN = LagRPMTIRN; LRPMTITA = LagRPMTITA; LRPMTTUR = LagRPMTTUR; LRPMTSOV = LagRPMTSOV; LRPMTRUS = LagRPMTRUS; LRPMTCHN = LagRPMTCHN; LRPMTBEL = LagRPMTBEL; LRPMTLBY = LagRPMTLBY; LRPMTGOR = LagRPMTGOR; LRPMTNLD = LagRPMTNLD; LRPMTUSA = LagRPMTUSA; LRPMTFRA = LagRPMTFRA; LRPMTIDN = LagRPMTIDN; LRPMTHKG = LagRPMTHKG; LRPMTPAK = LagRPMTPAK; LRPMTAGO = LagRPMTAGO; LRPMTKOR = LagRPMTKOR; LRPMTMYS = LagRPMTMYS; LRPMTMEX = LagRPMTMEX; LRPMTJPN = LagRPMTJPN; LRPMTBRA = LagRPMTBRA; LRPMTESP = LagRPMTESP; LERIUSA = LagERIUSA; LDGM = LagDGM; LULRT = LagULRT; LULKM = LagULKM; LULIM = LagULIM; LOPRT = LagOPRT; LOPKM = LagOPKM; LOPIM = LagOPIM; LDTRT = LagDTRT; LDTKM = LagDTKM; LDTIM = LagDTIM; LDTRS = LagDTRS; LPDBIM = LagPDBIM; LZTIDN = LagZTIDN; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan LSTIDN = LagSTIDN; LDLRT = LagDLRT; LDLKM = LagDLKM; LDLIM = LagDLIM; LROPKM = LagROPKM; LROPRT = LagROPRT; LRPTIDN = LagRPTIDN; LRPTPB = LagRPTPB; LRPTPE = LagRPTPE; LPMGIUSA = LagRPMGIUSA; LPMGIAUS = LagRPMGIAUS; LPMGICAN = LagRPMGICAN; LPMTIJPN = LagRPMTIJPN; LPMTISGP = LagRPMTISGP; LPMTIAUS = LagRPMTIAUS; LRPHIDN = LagRPHIDN; LRPSIDN = LagRPSIDN; LKPMGIDN = LagKRPMGIDN; membuat variabel ZQTW = QTW - LQTW; ZQGW = QGW - LQGW; ZMTW = MTW - LMTW; ZXTW = XTW - LXTW; ZMGW = MGW - LMGW; ZXGW = XGW - LXGW; ZRPGW = RPGW - LRPGW; ZRPXGKAZ = RPXGKAZ - LRPXGKAZ; ZRPXGJPN = RPXGJPN - LRPXGJPN; ZRPXGITA = RPXGITA - LRPXGITA; ZRPXGIDN = RPXGIDN - LRPXGIDN; ZRPXGBEL = RPXGBEL - LRPXGBEL; ZRPXGGBR = RPXGGBR - LRPXGGBR; ZRPXGUKR = RPXGUKR - LRPXGUKR; ZRPXGUSA = RPXGUSA - LRPXGUSA; ZRPXGCHN = RPXGCHN - LRPXGCHN; ZRPXGPAK = RPXGPAK - LRPXGPAK; ZRPXGTUR = RPXGTUR - LRPXGTUR; ZRPXGTUR = RPXGTUR - LRPXGTUR; ZRPXGAUS = RPXGAUS - LRPXGAUS; ZRPXGFRA = RPXGFRA - LRPXGFRA; ZRPXGCAN = RPXGCAN - LRPXGCAN; ZRPXGDEU = RPXGDEU - LRPXGDEU; ZRPXGRUS = RPXGRUS - LRPXGRUS; ZRPXGSOV = RPXGSOV - LRPXGSOV; ZXGSOV = XGAUS - LXGSOV; ZXGAUS = XGAUS - LXGAUS; ZXGIDN = XGIDN - LXGIDN; ZXGKAZ = XGKAZ - LXGKAZ; ZXGGBR = XGGBR - LXGGBR; ZXGARG = XGARG - LXGARG; ZXGRUS = XGRUS - LXGRUS; ZXGCHN = XGCHN - LXGCHN; ZXGJPN = XGJPN - LXGJPN; ZXGDZA = XGDZA - LXGDZA; ZXGFRA = XGFRA - LXGFRA; ZXGUSA = XGUSA - LXGUSA; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan ZXGCAN = XGCAN - LXGCAN; ZXGITA = XGITA - LXGITA; ZXGARG = XGARG - LXGARG; ZXGBRA = XGBRA - LXGBRA; ZXGUKR = XGUKR - LXGUKR; ZRPMGSOV = RPMGSOV - LRPMGSOV; ZRPMGBRA = RPMGBRA - LRPMGBRA; ZRPMGPAK = RPMGPAK - LRPMGPAK; ZRPMGKOR = RPMGKOR - LRPMGKOR; ZRPMGLBY = RPMGLBY - LRPMGLBY; ZRPMGGOR = RPMGGOR - LRPMGGOR; ZRPMGJPN = RPMGJPN - LRPMGJPN; ZRPMGDZA = RPMGDZA - LRPMGDZA; ZRPMGTUR = RPMGTUR - LRPMGTUR; ZRPMGRUS = RPMGRUS - LRPMGRUS; ZRPMGFRA = RPMGFRA - LRPMGFRA; ZRPMGCHN = RPMGCHN - LRPMGCHN; ZRPMGGBR = RPMGGBR - LRPMGGBR; ZRPMGIND = RPMGIND - LRPMGIND; ZRPMGUSA = RPMGUSA - LRPMGUSA; ZRPMGITA = RPMGITA - LRPMGITA; ZRPMGIDN = RPMGIDN - LRPMGIDN; ZQGSOV = QGDEU - LQGSOV; ZQGDEU = QGDEU - LQGDEU; ZQGFRA = QGFRA - LQGFRA; ZQGJPN = QGJPN - LQGJPN; ZQGESP = QGESP - LQGESP; ZQGMEX = QGMEX - LQGMEX; ZQGEGY = QGEGY - LQGEGY; ZQGCAN = QGCAN - LQGCAN; ZQGUSA = QGUSA - LQGUSA; ZQGBRA = QGBRA - LQGBRA; ZQGRUS = QGRUS - LQGRUS; ZQGAUS = QGAUS - LQGAUS; ZQGITA = QGITA - LQGITA; ZQGKAZ = QGKAZ - LQGKAZ; ZQGUKR = QGUKR - LQGUKR; ZQGARG = QGARG - LQGARG; ZQDGDZA = QGDZA - DGDZA; ZQDGFRA = QGFRA - DGFRA; ZQDGUSA = QGUSA - DGUSA; ZOMGW = OMGW - LOMGW; ZMGSOV = MGSOV - LMGSOV; ZMGDZA = MGDZA - LMGDZA; ZMGCHN = MGCHN - LMGCHN; ZMGIDN = MGIDN - LMGIDN; ZMGESP = MGESP - LMGESP; ZMGMYS = MGMYS - LMGMYS; ZMGITA = MGITA - LMGITA; ZMGBRA = MGBRA - LMGBRA; ZMGJPN = MGJPN - LMGJPN; ZMGMEX = MGMEX - LMGMEX; ZMGFRA = MGFRA - LMGFRA; ZMGEGY = MGEGY - LMGEGY; ZMGARG = MGARG - LMGARG; ZDGBRA = DGBRA - LDGBRA; ZDGDZA = DGDZA - LDGDZA; ZDGRUS = DGRUS - LDGRUS; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan ZDGEGY = DGEGY - LDGEGY; ZDGJPN = DGJPN - LDGJPN; ZDGDEU = DGDEU - LDGDEU; ZDGAUS = DGAUS - LDGAUS; ZDGGBR = DGGBR - LDGGBR; ZDGIDN = DGIDN - LDGIDN; ZDGMEX = DGMEX - LDGMEX; ZDGFRA = DGFRA - LDGFRA; ZDGKAZ = DGKAZ - LDGKAZ; ZDGUKR = DGUKR - LDGUKR; ZDGCAN = DGCAN - LDGCAN; ZDGMYS = DGMYS - LDGMYS; ZDGUSA = DGUSA - LDGUSA; ZDGSOV = DGSOV - LDGSOV; ZDQGFRA = DGFRA - QGFRA; ZDQGUSA = DGUSA - QGUSA; ZQDGUSA = QGUSA - DGUSA; ZRPGW = RPGW - LRPGW; ZRPMTW = RPMTW - LRPMTW; ZQTSOV = QTSOV - LQTSOV; ZQTLBY = QTLBY - LQTLBY; ZQTITA = QTITA - LQTITA; ZQTRUS = QTRUS - LQTRUS; ZQTGOR = QTGOR - LQTGOR; ZQTUSA = QTUSA - LQTUSA; ZQTIDN = QTIDN - LQTIDN; ZQTCHN = QTCHN - LQTCHN; ZQTNLD = QTNLD - LQTNLD; ZQTJPN = QTJPN - LQTJPN; ZQTPAK = QTPAK - LQTPAK; ZQTFRA = QTFRA - LQTFRA; ZQTESP = QTESP - LQTESP; ZQTTUR = QTTUR - LQTTUR; ZQTDEU = QTDEU - LQTDEU; ZQTBEL = QTBEL - LQTBEL; ZDTHKG = DTHKG - LDTHKG; ZDTGOR = DTGOR - LDTGOR; ZDTUSA = DTUSA - LDTUSA; ZDTIDN = DTIDN - LDTIDN; ZDTCHN = DTCHN - LDTCHN; ZDTNLD = DTNLD - LDTNLD; ZDTJPN = DTJPN - LDTJPN; ZDTPAK = DTPAK - LDTPAK; ZDTESP = DTESP - LDTESP; ZDTTUR = DTTUR - LDTTUR; ZDTITA = DTITA - LDTITA; ZDTDEU = DTDEU - LDTDEU; ZDTBEL = DTBEL - LDTBEL; ZDTSOV = DTSOV - LDTSOV; ZMTSOV = MTSOV - LMTSOV; ZMTPAK = MTPAK - LMTKOR; ZMTKOR = MTKOR - LMTKOR; ZMTGOR = MTGOR - LMTGOR; ZMTFRA = MTFRA - LMTFRA; ZMTKOR = MTKOR - LMTKOR; ZMTNLD = MTNLD - LMTNLD; ZMTAGO = MTAGO - LMTAGO; ZMTLBY = MTLBY - LMTLBY; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan ZMTESP = MTESP - LMTESP; ZMTBEL = MTBEL - LMTBEL; ZMTIDN = MTIDN - LMTIDN; ZMTUSA = MTUSA - LMTUSA; ZMTITA = MTITA - LMTITA; ZMTHKG = MTHKG - LMTHKG; SMTIDN = MTIDN - QTIDN; TMTIDN = LMTIDN - MTIDN; ZXTTUR = XTTUR - LXTTUR; ZXTDEU = XTDEU - LXTDEU; ZXTBEL = XTBEL - LXTBEL; ZXTIDN = XTIDN - LXTIDN; ZXTSOV = XTSOV - LXTSOV; ZXTNLD = XTNLD - LXTNLD; ZXTITA = XTITA - LXTITA; ZXTFRA = XTFRA - LXTFRA; ZXTESP = XTESP - LXTESP; ZXTCHN = XTCHN - LXTCHN; ZXTUSA = XTUSA - LXTUSA; ZXTAGO = XTAGO - LXTAGO; ZXTGOR = XTGOR - LXTGOR; ZXTPAK = XTPAK - LXTPAK; ZRPMTLBY = RPMTLBY - LRPMTLBY; ZRPMTESP = RPMTESP - LRPMTESP; ZRPMTBRA = RPMTBRA - LRPMTBRA; ZRPMTJPN = RPMTJPN - LRPMTJPN; ZRPMTMEX = RPMTMEX - LRPMTMEX; ZRPMTMYS = RPMTMYS - LRPMTMYS; ZRPMTDZA = RPMTDZA - LRPMTDZA; ZRPMTEGY = RPMTEGY - LRPMTEGY; ZRPMTGOR = RPMTGOR - LRPMTGOR; ZRPMTAGO = RPMTAGO - LRPMTAGO; ZRPMTHKG = RPMTHKG - LRPMTHKG; ZRPMTIDN = RPMTIDN - LRPMTIDN; ZRPMTPAK = RPMTPAK - LRPMTPAK; ZRPMTUSA = RPMTUSA - LRPMTUSA; ZRPMTNLD = RPMTNLD - LRPMTNLD; ZRPMTKOR = RPMTKOR - LRPMTKOR; ZRPMTIRN = RPMTIRN - LRPMTIRN; ZRPMTITA = RPMTITA - LRPMTITA; ZRPMTTUR = RPMTTUR - LRPMTTUR; ZRPMTRUS = RPMTRUS - LRPMTRUS; ZRPMTCHN = RPMTCHN - LRPMTCHN; ZRPMTSOV = RPMTSOV - LRPMTSOV; ZRPXTSOV = RPXTSOV - LRPXTSOV; ZRPXTAUS = RPXTAUS - LRPXTAUS; ZRPXTITA = RPXTITA - LRPXTITA; ZRPXTCAN = RPXTCAN - LRPXTCAN; ZRPXTKAZ = RPXTKAZ - LRPXTKAZ; ZRPXTGBR = RPXTGBR - LRPXTGBR; ZRPXTRUS = RPXTRUS - LRPXTRUS; ZRPXTUSA = RPXTUSA - LRPXTUSA; ZRPXTIDN = RPXTIDN - LRPXTIDN; ZRPXTCHN = RPXTCHN - LRPXTCHN; ZRPXTNLD = RPXTNLD - LRPXTNLD; ZRPXTJPN = RPXTJPN - LRPXTJPN; ZRPXTPAK = RPXTPAK - LRPXTPAK; ZRPXTFRA = RPXTFRA - LRPXTFRA; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan ZRPXTESP = RPXTESP - LRPXTESP; ZRPXTTUR = RPXTTUR - LRPXTTUR; ZRPXTDEU = RPXTDEU - LRPXTDEU; ZRPXTBEL = RPXTBEL - LRPXTBEL; ZICRUS = ICRUS - LICRUS; ZICIDN = ICIDN - LICIDN; ZICJPN = ICJPN - LICJPN; ZICDZA = ICDZA - LICDZA; ZICMYS = ICMYS - LICMYS; ZICGBR = ICGBR - LICGBR; ZICFRA = ICFRA - LICFRA; ZICGOR = ICGOR - LICGOR; ZICAGO = ICAGO - LICAGO; ZICHKG = ICHKG - LICHKG; ZICIDN = ICIDN - LICIDN; ZICPAK = ICPAK - LICPAK; ZICNLD = ICNLD - LICNLD; ZICKOR = ICKOR - LICKOR; ZICIRN = ICIRN - LICIRN; ZICITA = ICITA - LICITA; ZICTUR = ICTUR - LICTUR; ZICEGY = ICEGY - LICEGY; ZICBRA = ICBRA - LICBRA; ZICUSA = ICUSA - LICUSA; ZICCHN = ICCHN - LICCHN; ZPENPAK = PENPAK - LPENPAK; ZPENGBR = PENGBR - LPENGBR; ZPENFRA = PENFRA - LPENFRA; ZPENIDN = PENIDN - LPENIDN; ZPENIRN = PENIRN - LPENIRN; ZPENITA = PENITA - LPENITA; ZPENTUR = PENTUR - LPENTUR; ZPENEGY = PENEGY - LPENEGY; ZPENRUS = PENRUS - LPENRUS; ZPENCHN = PENCHN - LPENCHN; ZERBRA = ERBRA - LERBRA; ZEREGY = EREGY - LEREGY; ZERKAZ = ERKAZ - LERKAZ; ZERUKR = ERUKR - LERUKR; ZERARG = ERARG - LERARG; ZERCAN = ERCAN - LERCAN; ZERCHN = ERCHN - LERCHN; ZERMEX = ERMEX - LERMEX; ZERDZA = ERDZA - LERDZA; ZERMYS = ERMYS - LERMYS; ZERGOR = ERGOR - LERGOR; ZERAGO = ERAGO - LERAGO; ZERHKG = ERHKG - LERHKG; ZERIDN = ERIDN - LERIDN; ZERPAK = ERPAK - LERPAK; ZERKOR = ERKOR - LERKOR; ZERLBY = ERLBY - LERLBY; ZERNLD = ERNLD - LERNLD; ZERJPN = ERJPN - LERJPN; ZERPAK = ERPAK - LERPAK; ZERFRA = ERFRA - LERFRA; ZERESP = ERESP - LERESP; ZERTUR = ERTUR - LERTUR; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan ZERDEU = ERDEU - LERDEU; ZERBEL = ERBEL - LERBEL; ZERRUS = ERRUS - LERRUS; ZERIAUS = ERIAUS - LERIAUS; ZIRIDN = IRIDN - LIRIDN; ZIRCAN = IRCAN - LIRCAN; ZIRAUS = IRAUS - LIRAUS; ZIRTUR = IRTUR - LIRTUR; ZTEGAUS = TEGAUS - LTEGAUS; ZCPIMYS = CPIMYS - LCPIMYS; ZCPIGOR = CPIGOR - LCPIGOR; ZCPIAGO = CPIAGO - LCPIAGO; ZCPIHKG = CPIHKG - LCPIHKG; ZCPIIDN = CPIIDN - LCPIIDN; ZCPIPAK = CPIPAK - LCPIPAK; ZCPIUSA = CPIUSA - LCPIUSA; ZCPINLD = CPINLD - LCPINLD; ZCPIKOR = CPIKOR - LCPIKOR; ZCPILBY = CPILBY - LCPILBY; ZRPXTW = RPXTW - LRPXTW; ZRPSIDN = RPSIDN - LRPSIDN; ZRPHIDN = RPHIDN - LRPHIDN; ZPMGIUSA = RPMGIUSA - LPMGIUSA; ZPMGIAUS = RPMGIAUS - LPMGIAUS; ZPMGICAN = RPMGICAN - LPMGICAN; ZPMTIJPN = RPMTIJPN - LPMTIJPN; ZPMTISGP = RPMTISGP - LPMTISGP; ZPMTIAUS = RPMTIAUS - LPMTIAUS; ZDTIDN = DTIDN - LDTIDN; ZDTRS = DTRS - LDTRS; ZDTRT = DTRT - LDTRT; ZDTKM = DTKM - LDTKM; ZDTIM = DTIM - LDTIM; ZROPKM = ROPKM - LROPKM; ZROPRT = ROPRT - LROPRT; ZRPTIDN = RPTIDN - LRPTIDN; ZRPTPB = RPTPB - LRPTPB; ZRPTPE = RPTPE - LRPTPE; ZOPRT = OPRT - LOPRT; ZOPKM = OPKM - LOPKM; ZOPIM = OPIM - LOPIM; ZULRT = ULRT - LULRT; ZULKM = ULKM - LULKM; ZULIM = ULIM - LULIM; ZQDTUSA = QTUSA - DTUSA; BQGDEU = QGDEU - LQGDEULQGDEU100; BQGRUS = QGRUS - LQGRUSLQGRUS100; BQGARG = QGARG - LQGARGLQGARG100; BQGAUS = QGAUS - LQGAUSLQGAUS100; BQGUSA = QGUSA - LQGUSALQGUSA100; BDGDZA = DGDZA - LDGDZALDGDZA100; BDGMYS = DGMYS - LDGMYSLDGMYS100; BDGDEU = DGDEU - LDGDEULDGDEU100; BDGUKR = DGUKR - LDGUKRLDGUKR100; BDGAUS = DGAUS - LDGAUSLDGAUS100; BDGIDN = DGIDN - LDGIDNLDGIDN100; BDGGBR = DGGBR - LDGGBRLDGGBR100; BDGMEX = DGMEX - LDGMEXLDGMEX100; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan BDGUSA = DGUSA - LDGUSALDGUSA100; BDGSOV = DGSOV - LDGSOVLDGSOV100; BMGCHN = MGCHN - LMGCHNLMGCHN100; BMGMEX = MGMEX - LMGMEXLMGMEX100; BMGEGY = MGEGY - LMGEGYLMGEGY100; BMGDZA = MGDZA - LMGDZALMGDZA100; BMGITA = MGITA - LMGITALMGITA100; BMGMYS = MGMYS - LMGMYSLMGMYS100; BMGJPN = MGJPN - LMGJPNLMGJPN100; BMGIDN = MGIDN - LMGIDNLMGIDN100; BOMGW = OMGW - LOMGWLOMGW100; BXGUKR = XGUKR - LXGUKRLXGUKR100; BXGKAZ = XGKAZ - LXGKAZLXGKAZ100; BXGUSA = XGUSA - LXGUSALXGUSA100; BXGGBR = XGGBR - LXGGBRLXGGBR100; BXGCAN = XGCAN - LXGCANLXGCAN100; BRPXGIDN = RPXGIDN - LRPXGIDNLRPXGIDN100; BRPXGKAZ = RPXGKAZ - LRPXGKAZLRPXGKAZ100; BRPXGDEU = RPXGDEU - LRPXGDEULRPXGDEU100; BRPXGAUS = RPXGAUS - LRPXGAUSLRPXGAUS100; BRPXGJPN = RPXGJPN - LRPXGJPNLRPXGJPN100; BRPXGUSA = RPXGUSA - LRPXGUSALRPXGUSA100; BRPXGGBR = RPXGGBR - LRPXGGBRLRPXGGBR100; BRPMGMEX = RPMGMEX - LRPMGMEXLRPMGMEX100; BRPMGFRA = RPMGFRA - LRPMGFRALRPMGFRA100; BRPMGCHN = RPMGCHN - LRPMGCHNLRPMGCHN100; BRPMGIDN = RPMGIDN - LRPMGIDNLRPMGIDN100; BRPMGDZA = RPMGDZA - LRPMGDZALRPMGDZA100; BRPMGRUS = RPMGRUS - LRPMGRUSLRPMGRUS100; BPMGICAN = RPMGICAN - LPMGICANLPMGICAN100; BXGW = XGW - LXGWLXGW100; BMGW = MGW - LMGWLMGW100; BRPTIDN = RPTIDN - LRPTIDNLRPTIDN100; BRPTPB = RPTPB - LRPTPBLRPTPB100; BRPTPE = RPTPE - LRPTPELRPTPE100; BRPXTIDN = RPXTIDN - LRPXTIDNLRPXTIDN100; BRPXTDEU = RPXTDEU - LRPXTDEULRPXTDEU100; BRPXTTUR = RPXTTUR - LRPXTTURLRPXTTUR100; BRPXTBEL = RPXTBEL - LRPXTBELLRPXTBEL100; BRPXTJPN = RPXTJPN - LRPXTJPNLRPXTJPN100; BRPXTCAN = RPXTCAN - LRPXTCANLRPXTCAN100; BRPXTUSA = RPXTUSA - LRPXTUSALRPXTUSA100; BRPXTGBR = RPXTGBR - LRPXTGBRLRPXTGBR100; BRPXTKAZ = RPXTKAZ - LRPXTKAZLRPXTKAZ100; BRPXTSOV = RPXTSOV - LRPXTSOVLRPXTSOV100; BQTIDN = QTIDN - LQTIDNLQTIDN100; BQTTUR = QTTUR - LQTTURLQTTUR100; BQTITA = QTITA - LQTITALQTITA100; BQTSOV = QTSOV - LQTSOVLQTSOV100; BQTUSA = QTUSA - LQTUSALQTUSA100; BXTNLD = XTNLD - LXTNLDLXTNLD100; BXTCHN = XTCHN - LXTCHNLXTCHN100; BXTFRA = XTFRA - LXTFRALXTFRA100; BXTPAK = XTPAK - LXTPAKLXTPAK100; BXTESP = XTESP - LXTESPLXTESP100; BXTITA = XTITA - LXTITALXTITA100; BXTIDN = XTIDN - LXTIDNLXTIDN100; BMTFRA = MTFRA - LMTFRALMTFRA100; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan BMTNLD = MTNLD - LMTNLDLMTNLD100; BMTUSA = MTUSA - LMTUSALMTUSA100; BMTIDN = MTIDN - LMTIDNLMTIDN100; BMTAGO = MTAGO - LMTAGOLMTAGO100; BMTLBY = MTLBY - LMTLBYLMTLBY100; BRPXTW = RPXTW - LRPXTWLRPXTW100; BRPMTW = RPMTW - LRPMTWLRPMTW100; BRPMTKOR = RPMTKOR - LRPMTKORLRPMTKOR100; BRPMTCHN = RPMTCHN - LRPMTCHNLRPMTCHN100; BRPMTIDN = RPMTIDN - LRPMTIDNLRPMTIDN100; BRPMTDZA = RPMTDZA - LRPMTDZALRPMTDZA100; BRPMTSOV = RPMTSOV - LRPMTSOVLRPMTSOV100; BRPGW = RPGW - LRPGWLRPGW; BULRT = ULRT - LULRTLULRT100; BDTPAK = DTPAK - LDTPAKLDTPAK100; BDTTUR = DTTUR - LDTTURLDTTUR100; BDTIDN = DTIDN - LDTIDNLDTIDN100; BDTIM = DTIM - LDTIMLDTIM100; BDTKM = DTKM - LDTKMLDTKM100; BDTRT = DTRT - LDTRTLDTRT100; BDTRS = DTRS - LDTRSLDTRS100; BDTSOV = DTSOV - LDTSOVLDTSOV100; BICIDN = ICIDN - LICIDNLICIDN100; BICDZA = ICDZA - LICDZALICDZA100; BICKOR = ICKOR - LICKORLICKOR100; BPENIDN = PENIDN - LPENIDNLPENIDN100; BERMYS = ERMYS - LERMYSLERMYS100; BERFRA = ERFRA - LERFRALERFRA100; BERIDN = ERIDN - LERIDNLERIDN100; BRPHIDN = RPHIDN - LRPHIDNLRPHIDN100; BOPIM = OPIM - LOPIMLOPIM100; BXTW = XTW - LXTWLXTW100; BMTW = MTW - LMTWLMTW100; KRPMTIDN = RPMTIDNERIDN1000; KRPMGIDN = RPMGIDNERIDN1000; KRPXTW = RPXTWERIDN1000; LKPMGIDN = LagKRPMGIDN; GMTIDN = MTIDN - LMTIDNMTIDN; GMGIDN = MGIDN - LMGIDNMGIDN; GOMGW = OMGWLMGW; SRPMTSOV = RPMTSOV - RPXTW; SRPMGIDN = RPMGIDN - RPGW; SRPMTIDN = RPMTIDN - RPXTW; SRPTPB = RPTIDN - RPTPB; SRPTPE = RPTPB - RPTPE; SRPMGRUS = RPMGRUS - RPGW; SRPXTTUR = RPXTTUR - RPXTW; SRPXTBEL = RPXTBEL - LRPXTBEL; SQTTUR = DTTUR - QTTUR; membuat diskripsi variabel Label RPXGCHN =Hrg Ril Ex Gan China TEGCHN =Tekno Gan China AGCHN =Luas Areal Gan China RPLXGCHN =Hrg Ril Ex lain Gan CHN IRCHN =Suku Bunga China RPXGPAK =Hrg Ril Ex Gan PAK TEGPAK =Tekno Gan QGPAK Lampiran 11. Lanjutan AGPAK =Luas Areal Gan Pakistan RPLXGPAK =Hrg Ril Ex lain Gan PAK IRPAK =Suku Bunga Pakistan RPXGTUR =Harga Ril Ex Gan Turki TEGTUR =Tekno Gan QGTUR AGTUR =Luas Areal Gan Turki RPLXGTUR =Hrg Ril Ex lain Gan Tur IRTUR =Suku Bunga Turki RPXGAUS =Hrg Ril Ex Gan Australi TEGAUS =Tekno Gan QGAUS AGAUS =Luas Areal Gan Australi RPLXGAUS =Hrg Ril Ex lain Gan AUS IRAUS =Suku Bunga Australia RPXGFRA =Hrg Ril Ex Gan France AGFRA =Luas Areal Gan France IRFRA =Suku Bunga France RPXGIND =Hrg Ril Ex Gan India TEGIND =Tekno Gan QGIND AGIND =Luas Areal Gan India TEGUSA =Tekno Gan QGUSA AGUSA =Luas Areal Gan USA IRUSA =Suku Bunga USA PENCAN =Penduduk Canada AGCAN =Luas Areal Gan Canada IRCAN =Suku Bunga Canada RPXGDEU =Hrg Ril Ex Gan Jerman AGDEU =Luas Areal Gan Jerman IRDEU =Suku Bunga Jerman AGRUS =Luas Areal Gan Rusia IRRUS =Suku Bunga Rusia RPMGRUS =Hrg Ril Impor Gan RUS ICRUS =PDB Percapita Rusia PENFRA =Penduduk France XGFRA =Ekspor Gan France RPMGDEU =Hrg Ril Impor Gan DEU ICDEU =PDB Percapita Jerman RPMGGBR =Hrg Ril Impor Gan GBR ICGBR =PDB Percapita Inggris XGGBR =Ekspor Gan Inggris ICIND =PDB Percapita India PENIND =Penduduk India ICPAK =PDB Percapita PAK PENPAK =Penduduk Pakistan XGUSA =Ekspor Gan USA MGITA =Impor Gan Italia RPMGIDN =Hrg Ril Imp Gan IDN ICIDN =PDB Percapita IDN PENIDN =Penduduk Indonesia RPGW =Hrg Ril Gan Dunia LXGUSA =Lag XGUSA ERFRA =Nilai Tukar France LXGFRA =Lag XGFRA XGCAN =Ekspor Gan Canada ERCAN =Nilai Tukar Canada LXGCAN =Lag XGCAN XGAUS =Ekspor Gan Australia LXGAUS =Lag XGAUS XGARG =Ekspor Gan Argentina Lampiran 12. Lanjutan LXGARG =Lag XGARG XGRUS =Ekspor Gan Rusia LXGRUS =Lag XGRUS XGDEU =Ekspor Gan Jerman ERDEU =Nilai Tukar Jerman LXGDEU =Lag XGDEU XGUKR =Ekspor Gan Ukrania LXGUKR =Lag XGUKR RPXGGBR =Hrg Ril Ex Gan GBR ERGBR =Nilai Tukar Inggris LXGGBR =Lag XGGBR XGKAZ =Ekspor Gan Kazastan RPXGKAZ =Hrg Ril Ex Gan KAZ ERKAZ =Nilai Tukar Kazastan LXGKAZ =Lag XGKAZ XGIDN =Ekspor Gan Indonesia RPXGIDN =Hrg Ril Ex Gan IDN ERIDN =Nilai Tukar IDN LXGIDN =Lag XGIDN MGDZA =Impor Gan Aljasair RPMGDZA =Hrg Ril Impor Gan DZA ERDZA =Nilai Tukar Aljasair LMGDZA =Lag MGDZA ERITA =Nilai Tukar Italia LMGITA =Lag MGITA MGMYS =Impor Gan Malaysia PMGMYS =Hrg Imp Gan MYS ERMYS =Nilai Tukar Malaysia LMGMYS =Lag MGMYS MGEGY =Impor Gan Mesir RPMGEGY =Hrg Ril Imp Gan Mesir LMGEGY =Lag MGEGY MGESP =Impor Gan Spanyol RPMGESP =Hrg Ril Imp Gan ESP ERESP =Nilai Tukar Spanyol LMGESP =Lag MGESP MGMEX =Impor Gan Meksiko PMGMEX =Hrg Ril Impor Gan MEX ERMEX =Nilai Tukar Meksiko LMGMEX =Lag MGMEX MGJPN =Impor Gan Jepang RPMGJPN =Hrg Ril Impor Gan JPN ERJPN =Nilai Tukar Jepang LMGJPN =Lag MGJPN MGCHN =Impor Gan China RPMGCHN =Hrg Ril Impor Gan CHN ERCHN =Nilai Tukar China LMGCHN =Lag MGCHN MGIDN =Impor Gan Indonesia LMGIDN =Lag MGIDN MGBRA =Impor Gan Brasil RPMGBRA =Hrg Ril Imp Gan BRA ERBRA =Nilai Tukar Brasil LMGBRA =Lag MGBRA RPXTIND =Hrg Ril Ex Tep IND RPXGW =Hrg Ril Ex Gan Dunia QGW =Prod Gan Dunia ICUSA =PDB Parcapita USA Lampiran 11. Lanjutan RPXTRUS =Hrg Ril Ex Tep RUS ICTUR =PDB Parcapita Turki RPXTIRN =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Iran RPXTITA =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Italia ICITA =PDB Percapita Italia RPXTIDN =Hrg Ril Ex Tep IDN IRIDN =Suku Bunga IDN RPMTUSA =Hrg Ril Imp Tep USA PENUSA =Penduduk USA RPMTIND =Hrg Ril Imp Tep IND RPMTRUS =Hrg Ril Imp Tep RUS RPMTBRA =Hrg Ril Imp Tep BRA PENBRA =Penduduk Brasil RPMTPAK =Hrg Ril Imp Tep PAK PENTUR =Penduduk Turki RPMTITA =Hrg Ril Imp Tep ITA PENITA =Penduduk Italia RPMTIRN =Hrg Ril Imp Tep IRN PENIRN =Penduduk Iran ERBEL =Nilai Tukar Belgia LXTBEL =Lag XTBEL XTDEU =Ekspor Tep Jerman LXTDEU =Lag XTDEU XTITA =Ekspor Tep Italia LXTITA =Lag XTITA XTTUR =Ekspor Tep Turki RPXTTUR =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Turki ERTUR =Nilai Tukar Turki LXTTUR =Lag XTTUR XTESP =Ekspor Tep Spanyol LXTESP =Lag XTESP XTFRA =Ekspor Tep France RPXTFRA =Hrg Ril Ex Tep FRA LXTFRA =Lag XTFRA XTPAK =Ekspor Tep Pakistan RPXTPAK =Hrg Ril Ex Tep PAK LXTPAK =Lag XTPAK XTJPN =Ekspor Tep Jepang LXTJPN =Lag XTJPN XTNLD =Ekspor Tep Belanda ERNLD =Nilai Tukar Belanda LXTNLD =Lag XTNLD XTCHN =Ekspor Tep China RPXTCHN =Hrg Ril Ex Tep CHN LXTCHN =Lag XTCHN PENCHN =Penduduk China XTIDN =Ekspor Tep Indonesia LXTIDN =Lag XTIDN MTLBY =Impor Tep Libya ERLBY =Nilai Tukar Libya RPLMTLBY =Hrg Ril Imp Lain Tep LBY LMTLBY =Lag MTLBY MTKOR =Impor Tep Korea RPLMTKOR =Hrg Ril Imp Lain Tep KOR LMTKOR =Lag MTKOR MTNLD =Impor Tep Belanda LMTNLD =Lag MTNLD MTUSA =Impor Tep USA Lampiran 11. Lanjutan LMTUSA =Lag MTUSA MTPAK =Impor Tep Pakistan MTIDN =Impor Tep Indonesia RPMTIDN =Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN LMTIDN =Lag MTIDN MTHKG =Impor Tep Hongkong ERHKG =Nilai Tukar Hongkong RPLMTHKG =Hrg Ril Imp Lain Tep HKG LMTHKG =Lag Imp Tep HKG MTFRA =Impor Tep France RPMTFRA =Hrg Ril Imp Tep France RPLMTFRA =Hrg Ril Imp Lain Tep FRA LMTFRA =Lag MTFRA MTAGO =Impor Tep Angola RPMTAGO =Hrg Ril Imp Tep AGO ERAGO =Nilai Tukar Angola RPLMTAGO =Hrg Ril Imp Lain Tep AGO LMTAGO =Lag MTAGO PENGOR =Penduduk Georgia MTGOR =Impor Tep Georgia ERGOR =Nilai Tukar Georgia LMTGOR =Lag MTGOR RPXTW =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia XTW =Ekspor Tep Dunia MTW =Impor Tep Dunia LRPXTW =Lag RPXTW RPXTBEL =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belgia LRPXTBEL =Lag RPXTBEL LRPXTDEU =Lag RPXTDEU LRPXTITA =Lag RPXTITA LRPXTESP =Lag RPXTESP LRPXTPAK =Lag RPXTPAK LRPXTFRA =Lag RPXTFRA ICFRA =PDB Percapita France RPXTJPN =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Jepang LRPXTJPN =Lag RPXTJPN RPXTNLD =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belanda LRPXTNLD =Lag RPXTNLD LRPXTCHN =Lag RPXTCHN LRPXTIDN =Lag RPXTIDN RPMTW =Hrg Ril Imp Tep Dunia QTW =Prod Tepung Dunia LRPMTW =Lag RPMTW RPMTLBY =Hrg Ril Imp Tep Libya LRPMTLBY =Lag RPMTLBY RPMTGOR =Hrg Ril Imp Tep GOR LRPMTGOR =Lag RPMTGOR RPMTNLD =Hrg Ril Imp Tep NLD LRPMTNLD =Lag RPMTNLD LRPMTUSA =Lag RPMTUSA LRPMTFRA =Lag RPMTFRA LRPMTIDN =Lag RPMTIDN RPMTHKG =Hrg Ril Imp Tep HKG LRPMTHKG =Lag RPMTHKG LRPMTPAK =Lag RPMTPAK LRPMTAGO =Lag RPMTAGO RPMTKOR =Hrg Ril Imp Tep KOR Lampiran 11. Lanjutan LRPMTKOR =Lag RPMTKOR RPXGUSA =Hrg Ril Ex Gan USA LRPXGUSA =Lag RPXGUSA LRPXGFRA =Lag RPXGFRA RPXGCAN =Hrg Ril Ex Gan CAN LRPXGCAN =Lag RPXGCAN LRPXGAUS =Lag RPXGAUS RPXGARG =Hrg Ril Ex Gan ARG LRPXGARG =Lag RPXGARG ERARG =Nilai Tukar ARG RPXGRUS =Hrg Ril Ex Gan RUS LRPXGRUS =Lag RPXGRUS LRPXGDEU =Lag RPXGDEU RPXGUKR =Hrg Ril Ex Gan UKR LRPXGUKR =Lag RPXGUKR LRPXGGBR =Lag RPXGGBR LRPXGKAZ =Lag RPXGKAZ RPMGW =Hrg Ril Imp Gan Dunia MGW =Impor Gan Dunia LRPMGW =Lag RPMGW RPMGITA =Hrg Ril Imp Gan ITA LRPMGITA =Lag RPMGITA LRPMGCHN =Lag RPMGCHN ICCHN =PDB Percapita China IMGEGY =Interv Imp Gan Mesir EREGY =Nilai Tukar Mesir LRPMGESP =Lag RPMGESP LRPMGIDN =Lag RPMGIDN DTRT =Deman Tep RT LDTRT =Lag DTRT DTKM =Deman Tep KM LDTKM =Lag DTKM DTIM =Deman Tep IM RPTPB =Hrg Ril Tep PB PDBIM =PDB Sek IM OPIM =Hrg Output IM LDTIM =Lag DTIM MARIN =Margin Industri CPIIDN =CPI Indonesia LPDBIM =Lag PDBIM DLRT =Deman Labour RT ULRT =Upah Labour RT RPTPE =Hrg Ril Tep PE OPRT =Hrg Output RT ROPRT =Hrg Ril Output RT LDLRT =Lag DLRT DLKM =Deman Labour KM ULKM =Upah Labour KM OPKM =Hrg Output KM ROPKM =Hrg Ril Output KM LDLKM =Lag DLKM DLIM =Deman Labour IM ULIM =Upah Labour IM LDLIM =Lag DLIM MARPB =Margin PB STIDN =Supply Tep Indonesia LRPTPB =Lag RPTPB MARPE =Margin PE Lampiran 11. Lanjutan RPMGFRA =Hrg Ril Imp Gan FRA RPMGIND =Hrg Ril Imp Gan IND RPMGMYS =Hrg Ril Imp Gan MYS RPMGMEX =Hrg Ril Imp Gan MEX RPXTBRA =Hrg Ril Ex Tep BRA RPMTTUR =Hrg Ril Imp Tep TUR RPXTESP =Hrg Ril Ex Tep ESP PENRUS =Penduduk Rusia PENDEU =Penduduk Jerman ICBRA =PDB Percapita Brasil DGW =Demand Gandum Dunia PENEGY =Penduduk Mesir LRPXGW =Lag RPXGW LDTRS =Lag DTRS LRPTPE =Lag RPTPE XGW =Ekspor Gandum Dunia LRPGW =Lag RPGW PHIDN =Hrg Telur Indonesia QGSOV =Prod Gan Soviet QGFRA =Prod Gan Prancis QGCAN =Prod Gan Canada QGDZA =Prod Gan Aljazair QGBRA =Prod Gan Brasil DGSOV =Deman Gan Soviet DGIDN =Deman Gan Indonesia DGITA =Deman Gan Italia DGBRA =Deman Gan Brasil ICJPN =PDB Percapita Jepang ICNLD =PDB Percapita Belanda ICLBY =PDB Percapita Libya QTTUR =Prod Tep Turki QTDEU =Prod Tep Jerman QTIDN =Prod Tep Indonesia QTSOV =Prod Tep Soviet QTAGO =Prod Tep Angola QTUSA =Prod Tep USA XTSOV =Ekspor Tep Soviet DTNLD =Deman Tep Belanda DTLBY =Deman Tep Libya DTAGO =Deman Tep Angola DTUSA =Deman Tep USA DTFRA =Deman Tep Prancis DTSOV =Deman Tep Soviet MTSOV =Impor Tep Soviet RPXTDEU =Hrg Ril Eks Tep DEU RPTIDN =Hrg Ril Tep IDN LPENIDN =Lag PENIDN LICIDN =Lag ICIDN LQGUSA =Lag QGUSA LQGAUS =Lag QGAUS LQGITA =Lag QGITA LDGFRA =Lag DGFRA LDGJPN =Lag DGJPN LDGAUS =Lag DGAUS LDGDZA =Lag DGDZA LDGM =Lag DGM LXGSOV =Lag XGSOV LMGSOV =Lag MGSOV Lampiran 11. Lanjutan LMGICAN =Lag MGICAN LMGIUSA =Lag MGIUSA LMGIAUS =Lag MGIAUS LMTIAUS =Lag MTIAUS LMTIJPN =Lag MTIJPN LMTISGP =Lag MTISGP LDTIDN =Lag DTIDN LQTSOV =Lag QTSOV LQTNLD =Lag QTNLD LDTIDN =Lag DTIDN LDTSOV =Lag DTSOV LXTSOV =Lag XTSOV LMTSOV =Lag MTSOV LRPTIDN =Lag RPTIDN LRPHIDN =Lag RPHIDN LRPXGSOV =Lag RPXGSOV LRPMGBRA =Lag RPMGBRA LRPMGSOV =Lag RPMGSOV LRPMGJPN =Lag RPMGJPN LRPMGDZA =Lag RPMGDZA LRPXTTUR =Lag RPXTTUR LRPXTSOV =Lag RPXTSOV LRPMTSOV =Lag RPMTSOV ZXGUSA =Selisih XGUSA ZXGFRA =Selisih XGFRA ZXGSOV =Selisih XGSOV ZXGCAN =Selisih XGCAN ZXGAUS =Selisih XGAUS ZRPGW =Selisih RPGW ZMGSOV =Selisih MGSOV ZMGITA =Selisih MGITA ZMGIDN =Selisih MGIDN ZQTFRA =Selisih QTFRA ZQTBEL =Selisih QTBEL ZQTIDN =Selisih QTIDN ZXTIDN =Selisih XTIDN ZXTFRA =Selisih XTFRA ZMTNLD =Selisih MTNLD ZMTSOV =Selisih MTSOV ZDTKM =Selisih DTKM ZDTIM =Selisih DTIM ZRPXTW =Selisih RPXTW ZRPXGSOV =Selisih RPXGSOV ZRPMGRUS =Selisih RPMGRUS ZRPMGJPN =Selisih RPMGJPN ZRPMGIDN =Selisih RPMGIDN ZRPXTFRA =Selisih RPXTFRA ZRPXTSOV =Selisih RPXTSOV ZRPXTIDN =Selisih RPXTIDN ZRPMTUSA =Selisih RPMTUSA ZRPMTIDN =Selisih RPMTIDN ZRPTIDN =Selisih RPTIDN ZERJPN =Selisih ERJPN ZICIDN =Selisih ICIDN BMTIDN =Growth MTIDN BDTTUR =Growth DTTUR BDTKM =Growth DTKM BRPTIDN =Growth RPTIDN Lampiran 11. Lanjutan BRPTPB =Growth RPTPB KRPMTIDN =Rupiah RPMTIDN KRPMGIDN =Rupiah RPMGIDN PSIDN =Hrg Gula Indonesia; run; PROC SYSLIN 2SLS DATA=ANALISIS; ENDOGENOUS XGUSA RPXGUSA XTFRA RPXTFRA RPXTW RPTIDN MGIUSA DGIDN XGW XGFRA RPXGFRA XTBEL RPXTBEL RPGW RPTPB MGIAUS MGIDN MGW XGCAN RPXGCAN XTSOV RPXTSOV RPTPE MGICAN DTIDN XTW XGSOV RPXGSOV XTTUR RPXTTUR DGM MTIJPN MTIDN MTW XGAUS RPXGAUS XTDEU RPXTDEU DTIM MTISGP QTIDN QGW MGSOV RPMGSOV XTIDN RPXTIDN DTKM MTIAUS DGW MGITA RPMGITA MTNLD RPMTNLD DTRT QTW MGBRA RPMGBRA MTLBY RPMTLBY DTRS DTW MGJPN RPMGJPN MTAGO RPMTAGO MGDZA RPMGDZA MTSOV RPMTSOV RPMGIDN MTUSA RPMTUSA RPMTIDN; INSTRUMENTS QGBRA DGSOV QTTUR XGARG DTFRA MTPAK MGRIDN QTSD QGFRA DGITA QTDEU XGDEU DTUSA MTHKG MTRIDN ICJPN ERLBY QGSD QGSOV DGBRA QTIND XGGBR DTIND MTFRA ICIDN MTSD QGCAN DGCHN QTPAK DTBRA MTKOR PENIDN ICNLD DGSD QGAUS DGGBR MGCHN DTNLD XTITA ROPKM ICLBY XTSD QGIND DGIND QTSOV MGMYS DTLBY XTESP ROPRT MGSD QGPAK DGPAK QTAGO MGEGY DTSOV XTPAK PDBIM XGSD QGTUR DGTUR QTUSA MGESP DTAGO XTJPN DTSD QGDZA DGUSA QTIRN MGMEX DTCHN XTNLD DGT QGCHN DGDEU QTBRA DTEGY XTCHN DGS QGUSA DGFRA QTEGY DTPAK DGPL QGDEU QTITA DTITA DGFM QTCHN DTTUR DGL DTIRN DGB LQGAUS LRPMGITA ZXGSOV BDTTUR LQGITA LRPMGBRA ZXGCAN BMTIDN LQGUSA LRPMGSOV ZXGAUS LDGAUS LRPMGJPN ZXGUSA LDGFRA LRPMGDZA ZMGITA LRPMGIDN ZMGSOV LDGJPN LRPXGCAN LDGDZA LRPXGAUS ZMGIDN LXGUSA LRPXGUSA ZICIDN LXGFRA LRPXGFRA ZXTIDN LXGSOV LRPXGSOV LXGCAN LRPXTBEL ZDTKM LXGAUS LRPXTTUR ZQTIDN LMGSOV LRPXTDEU ZQTFRA LMGITA LRPXTFRA ZQTBEL LMGDZA LRPXTSOV ZMTNLD LMGJPN LRPXTIDN ZMTSOV LQTSOV LRPMTNLD ZXTFRA LQTNLD LRPMTLBY LDTSOV LRPMTSOV ZERJPN LDTIDN ZRPGW LMTSOV LPENIDN ZRPXTW LMTAGO LRPMTIDN ZRPTIDN Lampiran 11. Lanjutan LMTUSA LMGICAN LXTTUR LMGIUSA LXTDEU LRPHIDN ZRPMGRUS LMTIAUS ZRPMGJPN LXTBEL LMTIJPN ZRPMGIDN LXTSOV LMTISGP ZRPMTIDN LXTFRA LICIDN ZRPXTIDN LDTRS LRPGW ZRPMTUSA LRPXTW ZRPXGSOV LRPTIDN ZRPXTSOV LRPTPE ZRPXTFRA LRPTPB ZXGFRA; Persamaan Dunia MODEL XGUSA = RPXGUSA QGUSA dw noint; MODEL XGFRA = RPXGFRA QGFRA LXGFRA dw noint; MODEL XGSOV = ZRPXGSOV QGSOV LXGSOV dw noint; MODEL XGCAN = LRPXGCAN QGCAN LXGCAN dw noint; MODEL XGAUS = RPXGAUS LQGAUS LXGAUS dw noint; MODEL MGSOV = DGSOV ICRUS dw noint; MODEL MGITA = RPMGITA DGITA LMGITA dw; MODEL MGBRA = LRPMGBRA QGBRA DGBRA dw noint; MODEL MGJPN = ZRPMGJPN LDGJPN ICJPN LMGJPN dw; MODEL MGDZA = RPMGDZA QGDZA LDGDZA LMGDZA dw noint; MODEL RPXGUSA = RPGW LRPXGUSA dw; MODEL RPXGFRA = RPGW dw; MODEL RPXGSOV = RPGW dw noint; MODEL RPXGCAN = RPGW LRPXGCAN dw; MODEL RPXGAUS = RPGW dw; MODEL RPMGSOV = RPGW dw noint; MODEL RPMGITA = LRPGW dw; MODEL RPMGBRA = RPGW dw noint; MODEL RPMGJPN = RPGW dw; MODEL RPMGDZA = RPGW LRPMGDZA dw; MODEL XTFRA = ZRPXTFRA ZQTFRA DTFRA dw; MODEL XTBEL = ZRPXTBEL QTBEL dw noint; MODEL XTSOV = ZRPXTSOV ZQTSOV LXTSOV dw; MODEL XTTUR = LQTTUR dw; MODEL XTDEU = RPXTDEU QTDEU LXTDEU dw noint; MODEL MTNLD = RPMTNLD LQTNLD DTNLD LMTNLD dw noint; MODEL MTLBY = RPMTLBY LDTLBY dw; MODEL MTSOV = QTSOV DTSOV LICRUS dw; MODEL MTUSA = RPMTUSA ZDTUSA ICUSA LMTUSA dw noint; MODEL RPXTFRA = RPXTW LRPXTFRA dw; MODEL RPXTBEL = RPXTW LRPXTBEL dw; MODEL RPXTSOV = RPXTW dw noint; MODEL RPXTTUR = RPXTW LRPXTTUR dw noint; MODEL RPXTDEU = RPXTW LRPXTDEU dw; MODEL RPMTNLD = RPXTW dw; MODEL RPMTLBY = RPXTW dw; MODEL RPMTSOV = RPXTW MTSOV LRPMTSOV dw noint; MODEL RPMTUSA = RPXTW dw; Persamaan Indonesia MODEL RPGW = LXGW MGW LRPGW dw noint; MODEL RPMGIDN = LRPGW dw; MODEL MGIAUS = RPMGIDN LMTIDN ICIDN LPENIDN dw; MODEL MGICAN = LRPMGIDN LMTIDN ICIDN PENIDN dw noint; Lampiran 11. Lanjutan MODEL MGIUSA = SRPMGIDN LMTIDN ICIDN PENIDN dw noint; MODEL RPXTW = MTW XTW LRPXTW dw noint; MODEL RPMTIDN = RPXTW dw; MODEL RPTIDN = RPMGIDN RPMTIDN ZQTIDN DTIDN dw noint; MODEL RPTPB = RPTIDN LDTKM DTRT dw; MODEL RPTPE = RPTPB dw; MODEL DTIM = LRPTIDN LPENIDN dw; MODEL DTKM = LRPTPB LPENIDN dw; MODEL DTRT = LRPTPB PENIDN dw; MODEL DTRS = LRPTPE PENIDN dw; MODEL MTIAUS = RPMTIDN ZMGIDN ZPENIDN DTIDN LMTIAUS dw noint; MODEL MTIJPN = ZRPMTIDN MGIDN LICIDN ZPENIDN dw; MODEL MTISGP = RPMTIDN MGIDN LICIDN ZDTIDN dw noint; Persamaan Identitas IDENTITY DGM = MGIDN - DGT - DGS - DGPL - DGFM - DGL - DGB; IDENTITY DGIDN = MGIDN; IDENTITY MGIDN = MGIUSA + MGIAUS + MGICAN + MGRIDN; IDENTITY DTIDN = DTRS + DTRT + DTKM + DTIM; IDENTITY MTIDN = MTIJPN + MTISGP + MTIAUS + MTRIDN; IDENTITY XGW = XGUSA + XGFRA + XGSOV + XGCAN + XGAUS + XGSD + XGARG + XGDEU + XGGBR; IDENTITY MGW = MGSOV +MGITA +MGBRA +MGJPN +MGDZA +MGIDN +MGSD +MGMYS +MGEGY +MGESP +MGMEX +MGCHN; IDENTITY XTW = XTFRA+XTBEL+XTSOV+XTTUR+XTDEU+XTSD +XTITA +XTESP +XTPAK +XTJPN +XTNLD +XTCHN +XTIDN; IDENTITY MTW = MTNLD +MTLBY + MTSOV + MTAGO + MTUSA + MTIDN + MTSD + MTKOR + MTPAK + MTHKG + MTFRA; IDENTITY DGW = DGFRA +DGDEU +DGCHN + DGGBR + DGIND + DGPAK + DGTUR + DGUSA + DGITA + DGIDN + DGSD; IDENTITY QTW = QTCHN +QTIND +QTUSA + QTPAK + QTTUR + QTIRN + QTBRA + QTEGY + QTITA + QTIDN + QTSD; IDENTITY DTW = DTCHN +DTUSA +DTIND + DTBRA + DTEGY + DTPAK + DTTUR + DTITA + DTIDN + DTIRN + DTSD; IDENTITY QTIDN = 0.74DGM; run; Lampiran 12. Hasil Estimasi Model Industri Tepung Terigu Indonesia dengan menggunakan Metode 2SLS, Prosedur SYSLIN, Software SASETS versi 6.12 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: XGUSA Dependent variable: XGUSA Ekspor Gan USA Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 2 2.3354804E16 1.1677402E16 411.227 0.0001 Error 21 5.9632629E14 2.839649E13 U Total 23 2.395113E16 Root MSE5328835.71575 R-Square 0.9751 Dep Mean31700693.7826 Adj R-SQ 0.9727 C.V. 16.80984 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label RPXGUSA 1 68189 22812 2.989 0.0070 Hrg Ril Ex Gan USA QGUSA 1 0.295976 0.071301 4.151 0.0005 QGUSA Durbin-Watson 1.608 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.184 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: XGFRA Dependent variable: XGFRA Ekspor Gan France Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 3 5.2911062E15 1.7637021E15 399.263 0.0001 Error 20 8.8347801E13 4.4173901E12 U Total 23 5.379454E15 Root MSE2101758.80447 R-Square 0.9836 Dep Mean15157494.8261 Adj R-SQ 0.9811 C.V. 13.86614 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label RPXGFRA 1 8141.587423 5764.464673 1.412 0.1732 Hrg Ril Ex Gan France QGFRA 1 0.249320 0.093289 2.673 0.0146 Prod Gan Prancis LXGFRA 1 0.379698 0.198673 1.911 0.0704 Lag XGFRA Durbin-Watson 2.900 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation -0.485 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: XGSOV Dependent variable: XGSOV Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 3 8.3602985E14 2.7867662E14 19.481 0.0001 Error 20 2.8609599E14 1.43048E13 U Total 23 1.1221258E15 Root MSE3782168.62870 R-Square 0.7450 Dep Mean4690263.17391 Adj R-SQ 0.7068 C.V. 80.63873 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label ZRPXGSOV 1 3947.931722 4064.376266 0.971 0.3430 Selisih RPXGSOV QGSOV 1 0.032875 0.016524 1.990 0.0605 Prod Gan Soviet LXGSOV 1 0.715746 0.162348 4.409 0.0003 Lag XGSOV Durbin-Watson 2.078 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation -0.068 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: XGCAN Dependent variable: XGCAN Ekspor Gan Canada Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 3 7.5355311E15 2.5118437E15 238.471 0.0001 Error 20 2.1066245E14 1.0533123E13 U Total 23 7.7461936E15 Root MSE3245477.25152 R-Square 0.9728 Dep Mean18045944.6087 Adj R-SQ 0.9687 C.V. 17.98452 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label LRPXGCAN 1 683.695321 8746.083963 0.078 0.9385 Lag RPXGCAN QGCAN 1 0.342609 0.117615 2.913 0.0086 Prod Gan Canada LXGCAN 1 0.502637 0.142478 3.528 0.0021 Lag XGCAN Durbin-Watson 2.334 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation -0.191 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: XGAUS Dependent variable: XGAUS Ekspor Gan Australia Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 3 3.9318384E15 1.3106128E15 382.044 0.0001 Error 20 6.8610627E13 3.4305313E12 U Total 23 4.000449E15 Root MSE1852169.35814 R-Square 0.9828 Dep Mean12791952.4348 Adj R-SQ 0.9803 C.V. 14.47918 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label RPXGAUS 1 628.036102 3524.795603 0.178 0.8604 Hrg Ril Ex Gan Australi LQGAUS 1 0.495951 0.072858 6.807 0.0001 Lag QGAUS LXGAUS 1 0.342267 0.097623 3.506 0.0022 Lag XGAUS Durbin-Watson 1.754 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.120 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: MGSOV Dependent variable: MGSOV Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 2 4.940428E15 2.470214E15 65.144 0.0001 Error 21 7.9631107E14 3.7919575E13 U Total 23 5.736739E15 Root MSE6157887.18465 R-Square 0.8612 Dep Mean13790183.0000 Adj R-SQ 0.8480 C.V. 44.65414 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label DGSOV 1 0.055546 0.062231 0.893 0.3822 Deman Gan Soviet ICRUS 1 2657.019653 1969.523546 1.349 0.1917 PDB Percapita Rusia Durbin-Watson 0.875 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.537 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: MGITA Dependent variable: MGITA Impor Gan Italia Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 3 3.3834107E13 1.1278036E13 22.620 0.0001 Error 19 9.4729982E12 498578853553 C Total 22 4.3307105E13 Root MSE 706101.16382 R-Square 0.7813 Dep Mean5473537.21739 Adj R-SQ 0.7467 C.V. 12.90027 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 3914202 2656184 1.474 0.1570 Intercept RPMGITA 1 -4400.874020 1835.756070 -2.397 0.0270 Hrg Ril Imp Gan ITA DGITA 1 0.036389 0.174185 0.209 0.8367 Deman Gan Italia LMGITA 1 0.459069 0.181680 2.527 0.0205 Lag MGITA Durbin-Watson 2.095 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation -0.057 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: MGBRA Dependent variable: MGBRA Impor Gan Brasil Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 3 5.6366699E14 1.87889E14 61.537 0.0001 Error 20 6.1064891E13 3.0532446E12 U Total 23 6.2473188E14 Root MSE1747353.59151 R-Square 0.9023 Dep Mean4841918.95652 Adj R-SQ 0.8876 C.V. 36.08804 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label LRPMGBRA 1 -390.362789 383.105317 -1.019 0.3204 Lag RPMGBRA QGBRA 1 -0.419809 0.217556 -1.930 0.0680 Prod Gan Brasil DGBRA 1 0.821633 0.104004 7.900 0.0001 Deman Gan Brasil Durbin-Watson 1.998 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation -0.047 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: MGJPN Dependent variable: MGJPN Impor Gan Jepang Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 4 442836760824 110709190206 1.858 0.1617 Error 18 1.0723575E12 59575418680 C Total 22 1.5151943E12 Root MSE 244080.76262 R-Square 0.2923 Dep Mean5773236.17391 Adj R-SQ 0.1350 C.V. 4.22780 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 4579125 1382408 3.312 0.0039 Intercept ZRPMGJPN 1 -1435.408458 2131.292614 -0.673 0.5092 Selisih RPMGJPN LDGJPN 1 0.093119 0.050150 1.857 0.0798 Lag DGJPN ICJPN 1 11.010912 5.901933 1.866 0.0785 PDB Percapita Jepang LMGJPN 1 0.044386 0.246429 0.180 0.8591 Lag MGJPN Durbin-Watson 1.684 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.010 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: MGDZA Dependent variable: MGDZA Impor Gan Aljasair Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 4 2.6190378E14 6.5475946E13 136.995 0.0001 Error 19 9.0809107E12 477942669488 U Total 23 2.7098469E14 Root MSE 691333.97825 R-Square 0.9665 Dep Mean3198481.34783 Adj R-SQ 0.9594 C.V. 21.61444 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label RPMGDZA 1 -72.556798 187.734176 -0.386 0.7034 Hrg Ril Impor Gan DZA QGDZA 1 -0.547176 0.251441 -2.176 0.0424 Prod Gan Aljazair LDGDZA 1 0.400371 0.084039 4.764 0.0001 Lag DGDZA LMGDZA 1 0.622683 0.152180 4.092 0.0006 Lag MGDZA Durbin-Watson 1.869 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.035 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPXGUSA Dependent variable: RPXGUSA Hrg Ril Ex Gan USA Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 2 65927.26317 32963.63159 69.240 0.0001 Error 20 9521.50017 476.07501 C Total 22 75448.76334 Root MSE 21.81914 R-Square 0.8738 Dep Mean 188.62388 Adj R-SQ 0.8612 C.V. 11.56754 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 93.465593 23.910724 3.909 0.0009 Intercept RPGW 1 0.058603 0.019872 2.949 0.0079 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia LRPXGUSA 1 0.304879 0.170301 1.790 0.0886 Lag RPXGUSA Durbin-Watson 1.414 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.293 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPXGFRA Dependent variable: RPXGFRA Hrg Ril Ex Gan France Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 1 55973.70166 55973.70166 66.169 0.0001 Error 21 17764.28360 845.91827 C Total 22 73737.98525 Root MSE 29.08467 R-Square 0.7591 Dep Mean 194.88195 Adj R-SQ 0.7476 C.V. 14.92425 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 144.573172 8.661934 16.691 0.0001 Intercept RPGW 1 0.085105 0.010462 8.134 0.0001 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia Durbin-Watson 0.582 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.685 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPXGSOV Dependent variable: RPXGSOV Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 1 21326957.136 21326957.136 1276.480 0.0001 Error 22 367568.01174 16707.63690 U Total 23 21694525.147 Root MSE 129.25802 R-Square 0.9831 Dep Mean 624.84709 Adj R-SQ 0.9823 C.V. 20.68634 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label RPGW 1 1.163085 0.032554 35.728 0.0001 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia Durbin-Watson 0.604 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.616 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPXGCAN Dependent variable: RPXGCAN Hrg Ril Ex Gan CAN Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 2 82877.27162 41438.63581 65.722 0.0001 Error 20 12610.26112 630.51306 C Total 22 95487.53275 Root MSE 25.11002 R-Square 0.8679 Dep Mean 201.39180 Adj R-SQ 0.8547 C.V. 12.46824 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 126.808249 26.765264 4.738 0.0001 Intercept RPGW 1 0.091381 0.024796 3.685 0.0015 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia LRPXGCAN 1 0.096687 0.185010 0.523 0.6070 Lag RPXGCAN Durbin-Watson 1.533 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.225 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPXGAUS Dependent variable: RPXGAUS Hrg Ril Ex Gan Australi Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 1 154618.91313 154618.91313 170.306 0.0001 Error 21 19065.67292 907.88919 C Total 22 173684.58605 Root MSE 30.13120 R-Square 0.8902 Dep Mean 205.92121 Adj R-SQ 0.8850 C.V. 14.63239 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 122.306432 8.973608 13.630 0.0001 Intercept RPGW 1 0.141447 0.010839 13.050 0.0001 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia Durbin-Watson 1.203 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.374 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPMGSOV Dependent variable: RPMGSOV Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 1 19620519.992 19620519.992 1919.795 0.0001 Error 22 224842.50442 10220.11384 U Total 23 19845362.496 Root MSE 101.09458 R-Square 0.9887 Dep Mean 614.00890 Adj R-SQ 0.9882 C.V. 16.46468 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label RPGW 1 1.115584 0.025461 43.815 0.0001 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia Durbin-Watson 0.467 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.696 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPMGITA Dependent variable: RPMGITA Hrg Ril Imp Gan ITA Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 1 353146.49125 353146.49125 87.248 0.0001 Error 21 84999.79160 4047.60912 C Total 22 438146.28286 Root MSE 63.62082 R-Square 0.8060 Dep Mean 310.73370 Adj R-SQ 0.7968 C.V. 20.47439 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 187.303404 18.724323 10.003 0.0001 Intercept LRPGW 1 0.176610 0.018908 9.341 0.0001 Lag RPGW Durbin-Watson 0.393 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.773 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPMGBRA Dependent variable: RPMGBRA Hrg Ril Imp Gan BRA Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 1 22458238.502 22458238.502 2582.229 0.0001 Error 22 191339.07053 8697.23048 U Total 23 22649577.573 Root MSE 93.25894 R-Square 0.9916 Dep Mean 667.32557 Adj R-SQ 0.9912 C.V. 13.97503 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label RPGW 1 1.193534 0.023488 50.816 0.0001 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia Durbin-Watson 0.675 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.600 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPMGJPN Dependent variable: RPMGJPN Hrg Ril Impor Gan JPN Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 1 7053.51448 7053.51448 11.840 0.0025 Error 21 12509.97390 595.71304 C Total 22 19563.48839 Root MSE 24.40723 R-Square 0.3605 Dep Mean 210.03274 Adj R-SQ 0.3301 C.V. 11.62068 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 192.173850 7.268909 26.438 0.0001 Intercept RPGW 1 0.030211 0.008780 3.441 0.0025 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia Durbin-Watson 0.977 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.476 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPMGDZA Dependent variable: RPMGDZA Hrg Ril Impor Gan DZA Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 2 9550720.6045 4775360.3023 769.331 0.0001 Error 20 124143.16275 6207.15814 C Total 22 9674863.7673 Root MSE 78.78552 R-Square 0.9872 Dep Mean 706.07292 Adj R-SQ 0.9859 C.V. 11.15827 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 31.443398 24.496958 1.284 0.2140 Intercept RPGW 1 0.711089 0.149874 4.745 0.0001 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia LRPMGDZA 1 0.311182 0.115082 2.704 0.0137 Lag RPMGDZA Durbin-Watson 1.893 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.043 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: XTFRA Dependent variable: XTFRA Ekspor Tep France Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 3 771391066751 257130355584 3.341 0.0411 Error 19 1.4620804E12 76951602612 C Total 22 2.2334715E12 Root MSE 277401.51876 R-Square 0.3454 Dep Mean1434435.47826 Adj R-SQ 0.2420 C.V. 19.33872 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 4502600 976971 4.609 0.0002 Intercept ZRPXTFRA 1 1112.683316 1308.120275 0.851 0.4056 Selisih RPXTFRA ZQTFRA 1 0.894205 0.829043 1.079 0.2943 Selisih QTFRA DTFRA 1 -0.746104 0.236492 -3.155 0.0052 Deman Tep Francis Durbin-Watson 0.982 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.492 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: XTBEL Dependent variable: XTBEL XTBEL Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 2 8.5306973E12 4.2653487E12 74.165 0.0001 Error 21 1.2077479E12 57511805305 U Total 23 9.7384452E12 Root MSE 239816.19066 R-Square 0.8760 Dep Mean 596937.78261 Adj R-SQ 0.8642 C.V. 40.17440 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label ZRPXTBEL 1 844.177635 1079.838651 0.782 0.4431 QTBEL 1 0.859084 0.071964 11.938 0.0001 QTBEL Durbin-Watson 0.440 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.751 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: XTSOV Dependent variable: XTSOV Ekspor Tep Soviet Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 3 741609545362 247203181787 11.023 0.0002 Error 19 426102659721 22426455775 C Total 22 1.1677122E12 Root MSE 149754.65193 R-Square 0.6351 Dep Mean 364672.30435 Adj R-SQ 0.5775 C.V. 41.06554 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 176343 67492 2.613 0.0171 Intercept ZRPXTSOV 1 322.313883 116.562998 2.765 0.0123 Selisih RPXTSOV ZQTSOV 1 0.002762 0.022807 0.121 0.9049 LXTSOV 1 0.698484 0.149802 4.663 0.0002 Lag XTSOV Durbin-Watson 1.442 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.155 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: XTTUR Dependent variable: XTTUR Ekspor Tep Turki Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 1 241530335401 241530335401 7.480 0.0124 Error 21 678092816965 32290134141 C Total 22 919623152365 Root MSE 179694.55791 R-Square 0.2626 Dep Mean 362059.82609 Adj R-SQ 0.2275 C.V. 49.63118 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 -565265 341127 -1.657 0.1124 Intercept LQTTUR 1 0.105898 0.038720 2.735 0.0124 Durbin-Watson 1.417 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.282 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: XTDEU Dependent variable: XTDEU Ekspor Tep Jerman Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 3 7.2412059E12 2.4137353E12 273.285 0.0001 Error 20 176645723330 8832286166.5 U Total 23 7.4178516E12 Root MSE 93980.24349 R-Square 0.9762 Dep Mean 556371.43478 Adj R-SQ 0.9726 C.V. 16.89164 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label RPXTDEU 1 37.931896 270.124922 0.140 0.8897 Hrg Ril Eks Tep DEU QTDEU 1 0.047510 0.027620 1.720 0.1008 Prod Tep Jerman LXTDEU 1 0.609721 0.176375 3.457 0.0025 Lag XTDEU Durbin-Watson 1.865 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.058 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: MTNLD Dependent variable: MTNLD Impor Tep Belanda Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 4 1.4748771E12 368719283515 225.118 0.0001 Error 19 31119910355 1637890018.7 U Total 23 1.505997E12 Root MSE 40470.85394 R-Square 0.9793 Dep Mean 221038.30435 Adj R-SQ 0.9750 C.V. 18.30943 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label RPMTNLD 1 -36.324738 90.880816 -0.400 0.6938 Hrg Ril Imp Tep NLD LQTNLD 1 -0.475903 0.112841 -4.217 0.0005 Lag QTNLD DTNLD 1 0.557637 0.070881 7.867 0.0001 Deman Tep Belanda LMTNLD 1 0.213523 0.124322 1.717 0.1021 Lag MTNLD Durbin-Watson 1.744 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.030 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: MTLBY Dependent variable: MTLBY Impor Tep Libya Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 2 589236791749 294618395874 11.114 0.0006 Error 20 530198581336 26509929067 C Total 22 1.1194354E12 Root MSE 162818.69999 R-Square 0.5264 Dep Mean 493590.30435 Adj R-SQ 0.4790 C.V. 32.98661 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 151558 223953 0.677 0.5063 Intercept RPMTLBY 1 -228.650142 211.073292 -1.083 0.2916 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Libya LDTLBY 1 0.427203 0.149831 2.851 0.0099 Durbin-Watson 1.882 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.044 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: MTSOV Dependent variable: MTSOV Impor Tep Soviet Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 3 3.2199181E12 1.073306E12 19.258 0.0001 Error 19 1.0589543E12 55734437632 C Total 22 4.2788724E12 Root MSE 236081.42162 R-Square 0.7525 Dep Mean 604641.30435 Adj R-SQ 0.7134 C.V. 39.04487 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 686424 956727 0.717 0.4818 Intercept QTSOV 1 -0.814166 0.108888 -7.477 0.0001 Prod Tep Soviet DTSOV 1 0.783495 0.107997 7.255 0.0001 Deman Tep Soviet LICRUS 1 81.671002 96.259307 0.848 0.4068 Durbin-Watson 2.335 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation -0.217 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: MTUSA Dependent variable: MTUSA Impor Tep USA Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 4 270681432496 67670358124 158.429 0.0001 Error 19 8115559632.9 427134717.52 U Total 23 278796992129 Root MSE 20667.23778 R-Square 0.9709 Dep Mean 82971.52174 Adj R-SQ 0.9648 C.V. 24.90883 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label RPMTUSA 1 -49.573293 28.781789 -1.722 0.1012 Hrg Ril Imp Tep USA ZDTUSA 1 0.002409 0.007485 0.322 0.7511 ICUSA 1 1.820884 0.829088 2.196 0.0407 PDB Parcapita USA LMTUSA 1 0.786604 0.131834 5.967 0.0001 Lag MTUSA Durbin-Watson 1.660 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.141 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPXTFRA Dependent variable: RPXTFRA Hrg Ril Ex Tep FRA Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 2 87083.94447 43541.97223 48.517 0.0001 Error 20 17949.30945 897.46547 C Total 22 105033.25392 Root MSE 29.95773 R-Square 0.8291 Dep Mean 268.91103 Adj R-SQ 0.8120 C.V. 11.14039 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 115.137451 30.274436 3.803 0.0011 Intercept RPXTW 1 0.015064 0.016756 0.899 0.3793 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia LRPXTFRA 1 0.490957 0.149968 3.274 0.0038 Lag RPXTFRA Durbin-Watson 1.545 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.201 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPXTBEL Dependent variable: RPXTBEL Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belgia Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 2 68285.38322 34142.69161 31.575 0.0001 Error 20 21626.13515 1081.30676 C Total 22 89911.51837 Root MSE 32.88323 R-Square 0.7595 Dep Mean 306.60646 Adj R-SQ 0.7354 C.V. 10.72490 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 175.868815 48.968694 3.591 0.0018 Intercept RPXTW 1 0.031520 0.019294 1.634 0.1180 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia LRPXTBEL 1 0.319416 0.200557 1.593 0.1269 Lag RPXTBEL Durbin-Watson 1.715 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.103 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPXTSOV Dependent variable: RPXTSOV Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 1 46356486.170 46356486.170 1138.929 0.0001 Error 22 895439.90065 40701.81367 U Total 23 47251926.070 Root MSE 201.74690 R-Square 0.9810 Dep Mean 955.35749 Adj R-SQ 0.9802 C.V. 21.11743 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label RPXTW 1 1.113154 0.032984 33.748 0.0001 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia Durbin-Watson 1.103 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.433 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPXTTUR Dependent variable: RPXTTUR Hrg Ril Ex Tep Turki Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 2 5541972262.3 2770986131.1 158.731 0.0001 Error 21 366600510.93 17457167.187 U Total 23 5908572773.2 Root MSE 4178.17750 R-Square 0.9380 Dep Mean 12213.13726 Adj R-SQ 0.9320 C.V. 34.21052 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label RPXTW 1 4.060191 1.408683 2.882 0.0089 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia LRPXTTUR 1 0.641867 0.106878 6.006 0.0001 Lag RPXTTUR Durbin-Watson 1.652 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.151 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPXTDEU Dependent variable: RPXTDEU Hrg Ril Eks Tep DEU Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 2 44414.63605 22207.31802 17.072 0.0001 Error 20 26016.26124 1300.81306 C Total 22 70430.89729 Root MSE 36.06679 R-Square 0.6306 Dep Mean 288.91253 Adj R-SQ 0.5937 C.V. 12.48364 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 132.518980 45.276840 2.927 0.0083 Intercept RPXTW 1 0.012850 0.014400 0.892 0.3828 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia LRPXTDEU 1 0.482896 0.182268 2.649 0.0154 Lag RPXTDEU Durbin-Watson 1.886 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.044 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPMTNLD Dependent variable: RPMTNLD Hrg Ril Imp Tep NLD Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 1 132004.98966 132004.98966 13.336 0.0015 Error 21 207868.08285 9898.48014 C Total 22 339873.07251 Root MSE 99.49111 R-Square 0.3884 Dep Mean 367.24720 Adj R-SQ 0.3593 C.V. 27.09105 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 290.158196 29.597079 9.804 0.0001 Intercept RPXTW 1 0.084747 0.023207 3.652 0.0015 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia Durbin-Watson 0.241 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.806 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPMTLBY Dependent variable: RPMTLBY Hrg Ril Imp Tep Libya Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 1 913491.13209 913491.13209 223.069 0.0001 Error 21 85997.33404 4095.11114 C Total 22 999488.46613 Root MSE 63.99306 R-Square 0.9140 Dep Mean 421.86208 Adj R-SQ 0.9099 C.V. 15.16919 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 219.070712 19.036953 11.508 0.0001 Intercept RPXTW 1 0.222936 0.014927 14.935 0.0001 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia Durbin-Watson 0.825 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.407 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPMTSOV Dependent variable: RPMTSOV Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 3 48528089.007 16176029.669 868.343 0.0001 Error 20 372572.23291 18628.61165 U Total 23 48900661.239 Root MSE 136.48667 R-Square 0.9924 Dep Mean 984.56184 Adj R-SQ 0.9912 C.V. 13.86268 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label RPXTW 1 0.871982 0.144524 6.033 0.0001 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia MTSOV 1 0.000014670 0.000053631 0.274 0.7872 Impor Tep Soviet LRPMTSOV 1 0.191775 0.100342 1.911 0.0704 Lag RPMTSOV Durbin-Watson 1.352 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.164 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPMTUSA Dependent variable: RPMTUSA Hrg Ril Imp Tep USA Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 1 215077.61061 215077.61061 59.481 0.0001 Error 21 75934.04620 3615.90696 C Total 22 291011.65681 Root MSE 60.13241 R-Square 0.7391 Dep Mean 409.11036 Adj R-SQ 0.7266 C.V. 14.69834 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 310.710406 17.888471 17.369 0.0001 Intercept RPXTW 1 0.108175 0.014026 7.712 0.0001 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia Durbin-Watson 2.203 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation -0.144 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPGW Dependent variable: RPGW Hrg Ril Gan Dunia Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 3 15662762.885 5220920.9616 1016.906 0.0001 Error 20 102682.47438 5134.12372 U Total 23 15765445.359 Root MSE 71.65280 R-Square 0.9935 Dep Mean 591.13994 Adj R-SQ 0.9925 C.V. 12.12112 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label LXGW 1 -0.000002187 0.000002203 -0.993 0.3326 MGW 1 0.000002372 0.000002211 1.073 0.2961 Impor Gan Dunia LRPGW 1 0.819411 0.020317 40.332 0.0001 Lag RPGW Durbin-Watson 1.946 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation -0.022 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPMGIDN Dependent variable: RPMGIDN Hrg Ril Imp Gan IDN Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 1 1020513.7552 1020513.7552 26.941 0.0001 Error 21 795460.16831 37879.05563 C Total 22 1815973.9235 Root MSE 194.62542 R-Square 0.5620 Dep Mean 516.40021 Adj R-SQ 0.5411 C.V. 37.68887 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 306.576896 57.280449 5.352 0.0001 Intercept LRPGW 1 0.300225 0.057841 5.191 0.0001 Lag RPGW Durbin-Watson 0.546 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.624 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: MGIAUS Dependent variable: MGIAUS MGIAUS Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 4 6.4209616E12 1.6052404E12 11.233 0.0001 Error 18 2.5723678E12 142909323790 C Total 22 8.9933294E12 Root MSE 378033.49559 R-Square 0.7140 Dep Mean1218500.36609 Adj R-SQ 0.6504 C.V. 31.02449 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 -2593529 2467012 -1.051 0.3070 Intercept RPMGIDN 1 -303.236962 701.010695 -0.433 0.6705 Hrg Ril Imp Gan IDN LMTIDN 1 -0.846900 5.621708 -0.151 0.8819 Lag MTIDN ICIDN 1 857.840073 507.201783 1.691 0.1080 PDB Percapita IDN LPENIDN 1 18556 13561 1.368 0.1881 Lag PENIDN Durbin-Watson 2.198 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation -0.217 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: MGICAN Dependent variable: MGICAN MGICAN Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 4 7.6218674E12 1.9054668E12 22.589 0.0001 Error 19 1.6027291E12 84354165490 U Total 23 9.2245965E12 Root MSE 290437.88577 R-Square 0.8263 Dep Mean 504402.50000 Adj R-SQ 0.7897 C.V. 57.58058 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label LRPMGIDN 1 -529.463359 347.679942 -1.523 0.1443 Lag RPMGIDN LMTIDN 1 -1.933650 3.620275 -0.534 0.5995 Lag MTIDN ICIDN 1 972.661506 368.340351 2.641 0.0161 PDB Percapita IDN PENIDN 1 1079.520033 2387.909053 0.452 0.6563 Penduduk Indonesia Durbin-Watson 1.095 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.344 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: MGIUSA Dependent variable: MGIUSA MGIUSA Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 4 4.5066886E12 1.1266721E12 17.058 0.0001 Error 19 1.2549601E12 66050533995 U Total 23 5.7616487E12 Root MSE 257002.98441 R-Square 0.7822 Dep Mean 421090.39565 Adj R-SQ 0.7363 C.V. 61.03273 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label SRPMGIDN 1 -377.097517 136.548483 -2.762 0.0124 LMTIDN 1 -0.645746 1.851478 -0.349 0.7311 Lag MTIDN ICIDN 1 284.827845 324.604049 0.877 0.3912 PDB Percapita IDN PENIDN 1 1176.797773 1296.298290 0.908 0.3753 Penduduk Indonesia Durbin-Watson 1.850 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.054 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPXTW Dependent variable: RPXTW Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 3 36925005.729 12308335.243 506.464 0.0001 Error 20 486049.31010 24302.46551 U Total 23 37411055.040 Root MSE 155.89248 R-Square 0.9870 Dep Mean 909.63834 Adj R-SQ 0.9851 C.V. 17.13785 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label MTW 1 0.000013225 0.000055608 0.238 0.8144 Impor Tep Dunia XTW 1 -0.000007541 0.000054494 -0.138 0.8913 Ekspor Tep Dunia LRPXTW 1 0.795001 0.027162 29.269 0.0001 Lag RPXTW Durbin-Watson 1.993 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation -0.116 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPMTIDN Dependent variable: RPMTIDN Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 1 8745239.0670 8745239.0670 192.088 0.0001 Error 21 956072.04939 45527.24045 C Total 22 9701311.1164 Root MSE 213.37113 R-Square 0.9014 Dep Mean 842.23591 Adj R-SQ 0.8968 C.V. 25.33389 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 214.780121 63.474641 3.384 0.0028 Intercept RPXTW 1 0.689786 0.049770 13.860 0.0001 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia Durbin-Watson 1.444 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.243 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPTIDN Dependent variable: RPTIDN Hrg Ril Tep IDN Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 4 87200322.150 21800080.537 69.798 0.0001 Error 19 5934323.0109 312332.79005 U Total 23 93134645.161 Root MSE 558.86742 R-Square 0.9363 Dep Mean 1976.88912 Adj R-SQ 0.9229 C.V. 28.27004 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label RPMGIDN 1 1.052708 0.575427 1.829 0.0831 Hrg Ril Imp Gan IDN RPMTIDN 1 0.060261 0.288806 0.209 0.8369 Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN ZQTIDN 1 -0.000416 0.000275 -1.515 0.1463 Selisih QTIDN DTIDN 1 0.000679 0.000073160 9.282 0.0001 DTIDN Durbin-Watson 0.685 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.654 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPTPB Dependent variable: RPTPB Hrg Ril Tep PB Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 3 3260341.0069 1086780.3356 10039.515 0.0001 Error 19 2056.75527 108.25028 C Total 22 3262397.7621 Root MSE 10.40434 R-Square 0.9994 Dep Mean 2040.98082 Adj R-SQ 0.9993 C.V. 0.50977 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 61.317375 11.791173 5.200 0.0001 Intercept RPTIDN 1 0.998085 0.006657 149.939 0.0001 Hrg Ril Tep IDN LDTKM 1 0.000002352 0.000006083 0.387 0.7034 Lag DTKM DTRT 1 0.000048839 0.000093133 0.524 0.6061 Deman Tep RT Durbin-Watson 2.141 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation -0.072 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: RPTPE Dependent variable: RPTPE Hrg Ril Tep PE Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 1 2423980.2747 2423980.2747 114.756 0.0001 Error 21 443582.66715 21122.98415 C Total 22 2867562.9419 Root MSE 145.33748 R-Square 0.8453 Dep Mean 2304.28466 Adj R-SQ 0.8379 C.V. 6.30727 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 545.004483 167.001013 3.263 0.0037 Intercept RPTPB 1 0.861978 0.080465 10.712 0.0001 Hrg Ril Tep PB Durbin-Watson 1.049 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.434 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: DTIM Dependent variable: DTIM Deman Tep IM Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 2 1.5249938E12 762496887686 50.345 0.0001 Error 20 302909585918 15145479296 C Total 22 1.8279034E12 Root MSE 123066.97078 R-Square 0.8343 Dep Mean 643790.82609 Adj R-SQ 0.8177 C.V. 19.11599 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 -1823520 247457 -7.369 0.0001 Intercept LRPTIDN 1 -123.827332 92.716582 -1.336 0.1967 Lag RPTIDN LPENIDN 1 14754 1792.930046 8.229 0.0001 Lag PENIDN Durbin-Watson 2.001 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation -0.029 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: DTKM Dependent variable: DTKM Deman Tep KM Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 2 5.171329E12 2.5856645E12 21.641 0.0001 Error 20 2.3895519E12 119477594583 C Total 22 7.5608809E12 Root MSE 345655.31181 R-Square 0.6840 Dep Mean1161601.60870 Adj R-SQ 0.6524 C.V. 29.75679 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 -3372195 693204 -4.865 0.0001 Intercept LRPTPB 1 -226.266694 261.413410 -0.866 0.3970 Lag RPTPB LPENIDN 1 27176 5064.642485 5.366 0.0001 Lag PENIDN Durbin-Watson 2.004 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation -0.016 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: DTRT Dependent variable: DTRT Deman Tep RT Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 2 24158370065 12079185033 50.634 0.0001 Error 20 4771152434.4 238557621.72 C Total 22 28929522499 Root MSE 15445.31067 R-Square 0.8351 Dep Mean 80952.60870 Adj R-SQ 0.8186 C.V. 19.07945 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 -238219 31917 -7.464 0.0001 Intercept LRPTPB 1 -15.764900 11.695644 -1.348 0.1928 Lag RPTPB PENIDN 1 1881.487630 229.064560 8.214 0.0001 Penduduk Indonesia Durbin-Watson 1.977 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation -0.018 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: DTRS Dependent variable: DTRS DTRS Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 2 32294907149 16147453575 54.362 0.0001 Error 20 5940689154.4 297034457.72 C Total 22 38235596304 Root MSE 17234.68763 R-Square 0.8446 Dep Mean 93123.47826 Adj R-SQ 0.8291 C.V. 18.50735 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 -263273 35038 -7.514 0.0001 Intercept LRPTPE 1 -21.777561 12.335637 -1.765 0.0928 Lag RPTPE PENIDN 1 2177.349803 236.599468 9.203 0.0001 Penduduk Indonesia Durbin-Watson 2.109 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation -0.083 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: MTIAUS Dependent variable: MTIAUS MTIAUS Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 5 1790394978.3 358078995.66 9.267 0.0002 Error 18 695509582.17 38639421.231 U Total 23 2485904560.5 Root MSE 6216.06155 R-Square 0.7202 Dep Mean 6023.66739 Adj R-SQ 0.6425 C.V. 103.19397 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label RPMTIDN 1 -2.108003 3.012036 -0.700 0.4930 Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN ZMGIDN 1 -0.002051 0.002382 -0.861 0.4005 Selisih MGIDN ZPENIDN 1 204.105215 1821.341043 0.112 0.9120 DTIDN 1 0.002419 0.001664 1.454 0.1632 DTIDN LMTIAUS 1 0.533283 0.197822 2.696 0.0148 Lag MTIAUS Durbin-Watson 1.934 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.026 The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: MTIJPN Dependent variable: MTIJPN MTIJPN Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 4 339684507.40 84921126.849 1.819 0.1691 Error 18 840110247.42 46672791.523 C Total 22 1179794754.8 Root MSE 6831.74879 R-Square 0.2879 Dep Mean 4610.77217 Adj R-SQ 0.1297 C.V. 148.16930 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label INTERCEP 1 -10008 13493 -0.742 0.4678 Intercept ZRPMTIDN 1 -0.079347 6.401691 -0.012 0.9902 Selisih RPMTIDN MGIDN 1 -0.002365 0.002612 -0.905 0.3773 Impor Gan Indonesia LICIDN 1 27.005679 11.826164 2.284 0.0348 Lag ICIDN ZPENIDN 1 773.495307 4023.312851 0.192 0.8497 Durbin-Watson 1.113 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.437 Lampiran 12. Lanjutan The SAS System SYSLIN Procedure Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation Model: MTISGP Dependent variable: MTISGP MTISGP Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value ProbF Model 4 8904720983.4 2226180245.8 12.009 0.0001 Error 19 3522021006.1 185369526.64 U Total 23 12426741990 Root MSE 13615.04780 R-Square 0.7166 Dep Mean 14552.67783 Adj R-SQ 0.6569 C.V. 93.55699 NOTE: The NOINT option changes the definition of the R-Square statistic to: 1 - Residual Sum of SquaresUncorrected Total Sum of Squares. Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob |T| Label RPMTIDN 1 -10.855261 4.280007 -2.536 0.0201 Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN MGIDN 1 -0.013550 0.006231 -2.175 0.0425 Impor Gan Indonesia LICIDN 1 86.697271 25.869147 3.351 0.0034 Lag ICIDN ZDTIDN 1 0.000968 0.005637 0.172 0.8655 Durbin-Watson 1.896 For Number of Obs. 23 1st Order Autocorrelation 0.001 Lampiran 13. N ilai Elastisitas Variabel Endo gen Persamaan Struktural No Peuba h Koefisien Elastisitas Jangka Pendek Jangka Panjang 1 XGUSA Ekspor Biji Gandum Amerika Serikat RPXGUSA 68189 0.41998611 0.41998611 QGUSA 0.295976 0.581888304 0.581888304 2 XGFRA Ekspor Biji Gandum Prancis RPXGFRA 8141.587423 0.112379079 0.181168333 QGFRA 0.24932 0.521535764 0.840777176 LXGFRA 0.379698 3 XGSOV Ekspor Biji Gandum Uni Soviet ZRPXGSOV 3947.931722 -0.121864743 3.087582E-05 QGSOV 0.032875 0.752766585 -0.000190722 LXGSOV 0.715746 4 XGCAN Ekspor Biji Gandum Kanada LRPXGCAN 683.695321 0.008077254 0.016240159 QGCAN 0.342609 0.477233701 0.959527952 LXGCAN 0.502637 5 XGAUS Ekspor Biji Gandum Australia RPXGAUS 628.036102 0.010522533 0.015998183 LQGAUS 0.495951 0.633920408 0.96379596 LXGAUS 0.342267 6 MGSOV Impor Biji Gandum Uni Soviet ICRUS 2657.019653 0.612755245 0.612755245 DGSOV 0.055546 0.416433434 0.416433434 7 MGITA Impor Tepung Terigu Italia INTERSEP 3914202 RPMGITA -4400.87402 -0.274167927 -0.506844546 DGITA 0.036389 0.091066478 0.168351375 LMGITA 0.459069 8 MGBRA Impor Biji Gandum Brasil QGBRA -0.419809 -0.280641564 -0.280641564 DGBRA 0.821633 1.316629385 1.316629385 LRPMGBRA -390.362789 -0.065076303 -0.065076303 Lampiran 13. Lanj utan No Peuba h Koefisien Elastisitas Jangka Pendek Jangka Panjang 9 MGJPN Impor Biji Gandum Jepang INTERSEP 4579125 ZRPMGJPN -1435.408458 0.000838438 0.000877382 ICJPN 11.010912 0.048954663 0.051228491 LDGJPN 0.093119 0.111244744 0.116411798 LMGJPN 0.044386 10 MGDZA Impor Biji Gandum Aljazair RPMGDZA -72.556798 -0.018269496 -0.048419489 QGDZA -0.547176 -0.242672423 -0.643152636 LDGDZA 0.400371 0.679899787 1.801932558 LMGDZA 0.622683 11 RPGW Harga Biji Gandum Dunia LXGW -0.000002187 -0.338489398 -1.874363323 MGW 0.000002372 0.364659465 2.019278392 LRPGW 0.819411 12 RPXGUSA Harga Ekspor Biji Gandum Amerika Serikat INTERSEP 93.465593 RPGW 0.058603 0.201592051 0.290010014 LRPXGUSA 0.304879 13 RPXGFRA Harga Ekspo r Biji Gandum Prancis INTERSEP 144.573172 RPGW 0.085105 0.278701436 0.278701436 14 RPXGSOV Harga Ekspor Biji Gandum Uni Soviet RPGW 1.163085 1.06534345 1.06534345 15 RPXGCA N Harga Ekspor Biji Gandu m Kanada INTERSEP 126.808249 RPGW 0.091381 0.293098958 0.324471095 LRPXGCA N 0.096687 16 RPXGA US Harga Ekspor Biji Gandum Australia INTERSEP 122.306432 RPGW 0.141447 0.44262331 0.44262331 Lampiran 13. Lanj utan No Peuba h Koefisien Elastisitas Jangka Pendek Jangka Panjang 17 RPM GSOV Harga Impor Biji Gandum Un i Soviet RPGW 1.115584 1.057689359 1.057689359 18 RPM GITA Harga Impor Biji Gandum Italia INTERSEP 187.303404 LRPGW 0.17661 0.368538645 0.368538645 19 RPM GBRA Impor Biji Gandum Brasilia RPGW 1.193534 1.034969388 1.034969388 20 RPM GJPN Harga Impor Biji Gandum Jepang INTERSEP 192.17385 RPGW 0.030211 0.095619075 0.095619075 21 RPM GDZA Harga Impo r Biji Gandum A ljazair INTERSEP 31.443398 RPGW 0.711089 0.608090964 0.882803534 LRPM GDZA 0.311182 22 RPM GIDN Harga Impor Biji Gandum Indonesia INTERSEP 306.576896 LRPGW 0.300225 0.395179016 0.395179016 23 XTFRA Impor Tepung Terigu Prancis INTERSEP 4502600 ZRPXTFRA 1112.683316 -0.012690697 -0.012690697 ZQTFRA 0.894205 0.014933729 0.014933729 DTFRA -0.746104 -2.131254471 -2.131254471 24 XTBEL Ekspor Tepung Terigu Belgia ZRPXTBEL 844.177635 -0.018736293 -0.018736293 QTBEL 0.859084 1.200262532 1.200262532 25 XTSOV Ekspor Tepung Terigu Uni Soviet INTERSEP 176343 ZRPXTSOV 322.313883 -0.159241903 -0.52813749 ZQTSOV 0.002762 -0.000621176 -0.002060175 LXTSOV 0.698484 Lampiran 13. Lanj utan No Peuba h Koefisien Elastisitas Jangka Pendek Jangka Panjang 26 XTTUR Ekspor Tepung Terigu Turki INTERSEP -565265 LQTTUR 0.105898 2.652546893 2.652546893 27 XTDEU Ekspor Tepung Terigu Jerman RPXTDEU 37.931896 0.020068146 0.05142 QTDEU 0.04751 0.356901383 0.914477548 LXTDEU 0.609721 26 MTLBY Impor Tepung Terigu Libya INTERSEP 151558 RPMTLBY -228.650142 -0.214130605 -0.214130605 LDTLBY 0.427203 0.900381456 0.900381456 29 MTNLD Impor Tepung Terigu Belanda RPMTNLD -36.324738 -0.064017814 -0.081398202 LQTNLD -0.475903 -1.572364887 -1.999250947 DTNLD 0.557637 2.442591334 3.105737782 LMTNLD 0.213523 30 MTSOV Impor Tepung Terigu Uni Soviet INTERSEP 686424 QTSOV -0.814166 -35.41534162 -35.41534162 DTSOV 0.783495 34.87895037 34.87895037 LICRUS 81.671002 0.423675042 0.423675042 31 MTUSA Impor Tepung Terigu Amerika Serikat RPMTUSA -49.573293 -0.262282307 -1.22908727 ZDTUSA 0.002409 0.008352109 0.039139015 ICUSA 1.820884 0.552377754 2.588510347 LMTUSA 0.786604 32 RPXTW Harga Tepung Terigu Dunia MTW 0.000013225 0.100206646 0.488815291 XTW -0.000007541 -0.057518424 -0.280579045 LRPXTW 0.795001 Lampiran 13. Lanj utan No Peuba h Koefisien Elastisitas Jangka Pendek Jangka Panjang 33 RPXTFRA Harga Ekspor Tepung Terigu Prancis INTERSEP 115.137451 RPXTW 0.015064 0.055709428 0.109439533 LRPXTFRA 0.490957 34 RPXTBEL Harga Ekspor Tepung Terigu Belgia INTERSEP 175.868815 RPXTW 0.03152 0.103870907 0.152620259 LRPXTBEL 0.319416 35 RPXTSOV Harga Tepung Terigu Soviet RPXTW 1.113154 1.063464688 36 RPXTTUR Harga Ekspor Tepung Terigu Turki RPXTW 4.060191 0.335309716 0.936271487 LRPXTTUR 0.641867 37 RPXTDEU Harga Ekspor Tepung Terigu Jerman INTERSEP 132.51898 RPXTW 0.01285 0.045282862 0.087570125 LRPXTDEU 0.482896 38 RPMTNLD Harga Impor Tepung Terigu Belanda INTERSEP 290.158196 RPXTW 0.084747 0.234345683 39 RPMTLBY Harga Impor Tepung Terigu Libya INTERSEP 219.070712 RPXTW 0.222936 0.51335208 0.51335208 40 RPMTSOV Harga Impor Tepung Terigu Soviet RPXTW 0.871982 0.803809613 0.994536934 MTSOV 0.00001467 0.007975816 0.009868311 LRPMTSOV 0.191775 41 RPMTUSA Harga Impor Tepung Terigu Amerika Serikat INTERSEP 310.710408 RPXTW 0.108175 0.269772195 Lampiran 13. Lanj utan No Peuba h Koefisien Elastisitas Jangka Pendek Jangka Panjang 42 RPMTIDN Harga Impor Tepung Terigu Indonesia INTERSEP 214.780121 RPXTW 0.689786 0.787319076 43 RPTIDN Harga Tepung Terigu di Tingkat Industri RPMGIDN 1.052708 0.286107759 RPMTIDN 0.060261 0.028381542 ZQTIDN -0.000416 -0.015846944 DTIDN 0.000679 0.691217906 44 RPTPB Harga Tepung Terigu di Tingkat Pedagang Besar INTERSEP 61.317375 RPTIDN 0.998085 0.966396464 LDTKM 0.000002352 0.00129213 DTRT 0.000048839 0.001922415 45 RPTPE Harga Tepung Terigu di Tingkat Pedagang Eceran INTERSEP 545.004483 RPTPB 0.861978 0.763129828 46 DTIM Permintaan Tepung Terigu di Tingkat Industri Makanan INTERSEP -1823520 LRPTIDN -123.827332 -0.378441041 LPENIDN 14754 4.284864052 47 DTKM Perminaan Tepung Terigu di Tingkat Industri Kecil Menengah INTERSEP -3372195 LRPTPB -226.266694 -0.395602827 LPENIDN 27176 4.370294451 48 DTRT Permintaan Tepung Terigu di Tingkat Industri Rumah Tangga INTERSEP -238219 LRPTPB -15.7649 -0.395860856 PENIDN 1881.48763 4.345493619 49 DTRS Permintaan Tepung Terigu di Tingkat Rumah Tangga INTERSEP -263273 LRPTPE -21.777561 -0.359886222 PENIDN 2177.349803 2.912705423 Lampiran 13. Lanj utan No Peuba h Koefisien Elastisitas Jangka Pendek Jangka Panjang 50 MGIAUS Impor Biji Gandum Indonesia dari Australia INTERSEP -2593529 RPMGIDN -303.236962 -0.131180217 LMTIDN -0.8469 -0.02943814 ICIDN 857.840073 0.483187997 LPENIDN 18556 2.773186862 51 MGICAN Impor Biji Gandum dari Canada INTERSEP LRPMGIDN -529.463359 -0.600926888 LMTIDN -1.93365 -0.170662411 ICIDN 972.661506 1.391083843 PENIDN 1079.520033 0.10032701 52 MGIUSA Impor Biji Gandum dari Amerika Serikat SRPMGIDN -377.097517 1.34599145E-01 MTIDN -0.645746 -0.068159776 ICIDN 284.827845 0.487169898 PENIDN 1176.797773 0.082475819 53 MTIAUS Impor Tepung Indonesia dari Australia INTERSEP ZRPMTIDN -2.108003 0.040424193 0.086613929 ZMGIDN -0.002051 -0.031207547 -0.066866104 ZPENIDN 204.105215 0.102889156 0.220452986 DTIDN 0.002419 0.833381169 1.785624198 LMTIAUS 0.533283 54 MTIJPN Impor Tepung Terigu Indonesia dari Jepang INTERSEP -10008 ZRPMTIDN -0.079347 0.001987868 MGIDN -0.002365 -1.33454122 LICIDN 27.005679 4.154390753 ZPENIDN 773.495307 15607.43925 55 MTISGP Impor Tepung Terigu Indonesia dari Singapura INTERSEP RPMTIDN -10.855261 -0.716177042 MGIDN -0.01355 -2.42254081 LICIDN 86.697271 4.22560238 ZDTIDN 0.000968 0.006188427 Lampiran 14. Program Validasi Model Industri Tepung Terigu Indonesia dengan menggunakan Metode NEWTON, Prosedur SIMNLIN, Software SASETS versi 6.12… options nodate nonumber; data purwoto; merge sasuser.data1yes sasuser.data2yes sasuser.data3yes sasuser.data4yes sasuser.data5yes sasuser.data6yes; if CPITUR 1 then CPITUR=1; if PXTTUR 0 then PXTTUR=1; if PXGTUR 0 then PXGTUR=1; if PLXGTUR 0 then PLXGTUR=1; if PMTTUR 0 then PMTTUR=1; if tahun = . then delete; run; data analisis; set purwoto; Membuat Variabel Dampak Kebijakan Perdagangan Thd Kinerja Industri Tepung Terigu Indo DGIDN = DGM + DGT + DGS + DGPL + DGFM + DGL + DGB; QTIDN = 0.74DGM; STIDN = QTIDN + MTIDN - XTIDN; MGIDN = MGIUSA + MGIAUS + MGICAN + MGRIDN; MTIDN = MTIJPN + MTISGP + MTIAUS + MTRIDN; ZGIDN = DGIDN - MGIDN; LSTIDN = LagSTIDN; ZTIDN = STIDN - DTIDN; PMTIDR = PMTIDN ERIDN1000; RPTIDN = PTIDN CPIIDN100; RPMTIDR = PMTIDR CPIIDN100; RPTPB = PTPB CPIIDN100; RPTPE = PTPE CPIIDN100; MARIN = RPTIDN - RPMTIDR; MARPB = RPTPB - RPTIDN; MARPE = RPTPE - RPTPB; DTIDN = DTRT + DTKM + DTIM + DTRS; QGSOV = QGARM + QGAZR + QGBLS + QGGOR + QGKAZ + QGKYR + QGLAT + QGLIT + QGMOL + QGUKR + QGRUS; DGSOV = DGARM + DGAZR + DGBLS + DGGOR + DGKAZ + DGKYR + DGLAT + DGLIT + DGMOL + DGUKR + DGRUS; QTSOV = QTARM + QTAZR + QTBLS + QTGOR + QTKAZ + QTKYR + QTLAT + QTLIT + QTMOL + QTUKR + QTRUS; DTSOV = DTARM + DTAZR + DTBLS + DTGOR + DTKAZ + DTKYR + DTLAT + DTLIT + DTMOL + DTUKR + DTRUS; XGSOV = XGARM + XGAZR + XGBLS + XGGOR + XGKAZ + XGKYR + XGLAT + XGLIT + XGMOL + XGUKR + XGRUS; MGSOV = MGARM + MGAZR + MGBLS + MGGOR + MGKAZ + MGKYR + MGLAT + MGLIT + MGMOL + MGUKR + MGRUS; XTSOV = XTARM + XTAZR + XTBLS + XTGOR + XTKAZ + XTKYR + XTLAT + XTLIT + XTMOL + XTUKR + XTRUS; MTSOV = MTARM + MTAZR + MTBLS + MTGOR + MTKAZ + MTKYR + MTLAT + MTLIT + MTMOL + MTUKR + MTRUS; XGSD = XGRW - XGSOV + XGRUS + XGUKR + XGKAZ; MGSD = MGRW - MGSOV; XTSD = XTRW - XTSOV; MTSD = MTRW - MTSOV + MTGOR; XGW = XGUSA + XGFRA + XGSOV + XGCAN + XGAUS + XGSD + XGARG + XGDEU + XGGBR; MGW = MGSOV+MGITA+MGBRA+MGJPN + MGDZA + MGIDN + MGSD + MGMYS + MGEGY + MGESP + MGMEX + MGCHN; XTW = XTFRA+XTBEL+XTSOV+XTTUR+XTDEU+XTSD+XTITA+XTESP + XTPAK + XTJPN + XTNLD + XTCHN + XTIDN; MTW = MTNLD + MTLBY + MTSOV + MTAGO + MTUSA + MTIDN + MTSD + MTKOR + MTPAK + MTHKG + MTFRA; OMGW = MGSOV + MGITA + MGBRA + MGJPN + MGDZA + MGSD + MGMYS + MGEGY + MGESP + MGMEX + MGCHN; QGSD = QGRW - QGSOV + QGRUS; DGSD = DGRW - DGSOV + DGRUS; QTSD = QTRW - QTSOV + QTRUS; DTSD = DTRW - DTSOV + DTRUS; QGW = QGCHN + QGPAK + QGTUR + QGAUS + QGFRA + QGIND + QGUSA + QGCAN + QGDEU + QGSD; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan DGW = DGFRA + DGDEU + DGCHN + DGGBR + DGIND + DGPAK + DGTUR + DGUSA + DGITA + DGIDN + DGSD; QTW = QTCHN + QTIND + QTUSA + QTPAK + QTTUR + QTIRN + QTBRA + QTEGY + QTITA + QTIDN + QTSD; DTW = DTCHN + DTUSA + DTIND + DTBRA + DTEGY + DTPAK + DTTUR + DTITA + DTIDN + DTIRN + DTSD; Merilkan data Nominal RPMGTUR = PMGTUR CPITUR100; RPXGCHN = PXGCHN CPICHN100; RPLXGCHN= PLXGCHNCPICHN100; RPXGPAK = PXGPAK CPIPAK100; RPLXGPAK= PLXGPAKCPIPAK100; RPXGAUS = PXGAUS CPIAUS100; RPLXGAUS= PLXGAUSCPIAUS100; RPXGFRA = PXGFRA CPIFRA100; RPXGDEU = PXGDEU CPIDEU100; RPMGRUS = PMGRUS CPIRUS100; RPMGDEU = PMGDEU CPIDEU100; RPMGGBR = PMGGBR CPIGBR100; RPMGIDN = PMGIDN CPIIDN100; RPMGFRA = PMGFRA CPIFRA100; RPGW = PGW CPIW 100; RPXGGBR = PXGGBR CPIGBR100; RPXGKAZ = PXGKAZ CPIKAZ100; RPXGIDN = PXGIDN CPIIDN100; RPMGDZA = PMGDZA CPIDZA100; RPMGMYS = PMGMYS CPIMYS100; RPMGEGY = PMGEGY CPIEGY100; RPMGESP = PMGESP CPIESP100; RPMGMEX = PMGMEX CPIMEX100; RPMGJPN = PMGJPN CPIJPN100; RPMGCHN = PMGCHN CPICHN100; RPMGBRA = PMGBRA CPIBRA100; RPXTIND = PXTIND CPIIND100; RPXGW = PXGW CPIW 100; RPXTSOV = PXTRUS CPIRUS100; RPXTRUS = PXTRUS CPIRUS100; RPXTIRN = PXTIRN CPIIRN100; RPXTITA = PXTITA CPIITA100; RPXTIDN = PXTIDN CPIIDN100; RPMTUSA = PMTUSA CPIUSA100; RPMTIND = PMTIND CPIIND100; RPMTSOV = PMTRUS CPIRUS100; RPMTRUS = PMTRUS CPIRUS100; RPMTBRA = PMTBRA CPIBRA100; RPMTPAK = PMTPAK CPIPAK100; RPMTITA = PMTITA CPIITA100; RPMTIRN = PMTIRN CPIIRN100; RPXTFRA = PXTFRA CPIFRA100; RPXTPAK = PXTPAK CPIPAK100; RPXTCHN = PXTCHN CPICHN100; RPLMTLBY= PLMTLBYCPILBY100; RPLMTKOR= PLMTKORCPIKOR100; RPMTIDN = PMTIDN CPIIDN100; RPLMTHKG= PLMTHKGCPIHKG100; RPMTFRA = PMTFRA CPIFRA100; RPLMTFRA= PLMTFRACPIFRA100; RPMTAGO = PMTAGO CPIAGO100; RPLMTAGO= PLMTAGOCPIAGO100; RPXTW = PXTW CPIW 100; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan RPXTBEL = PXTBEL CPIBEL100; RPXTJPN = PXTJPN CPIJPN100; RPXTNLD = PXTNLD CPINLD100; RPMTW = PMTW CPIW 100; RPMTLBY = PMTLBY CPILBY100; RPMTGOR = PMTGOR CPIGOR100; RPMTNLD = PMTNLD CPINLD100; RPMTHKG = PMTHKG CPIHKG100; RPMTKOR = PMTKOR CPIKOR100; RPXGUSA = PXGUSA CPIUSA100; RPXGCAN = PXGCAN CPICAN100; RPXGARG = PXGARG CPIARG100; RPMGSOV = PMGRUS CPIRUS100; RPXGSOV = PXGRUS CPIRUS100; RPXGRUS = PXGRUS CPIRUS100; RPXGUKR = PXGUKR CPIUKR100; RPMGW = PMGW CPIW 100; RPMGITA = PMGITA CPIITA100; RPXTDEU = PXTDEU CPIDEU100; RPXTESP = PXTESP CPIESP100; RPXGIND = PXGIND CPIIND100; RPMGIND = PMGIND CPIIND100; RPMGUSA = PMGUSA CPIUSA100; RPXTUSA = PXTUSA CPIUSA100; RPXTBRA = PXTBRA CPIBRA100; RPMTCHN = PMTCHN CPICHN100; RPMTEGY = PMTEGY CPIEGY100; RPXTEGY = PXTEGY CPIEGY100; RPXTTUR = PXTTUR CPITUR100; RPXGTUR = PXGTUR CPITUR100; RPLXGTUR= PLXGTURCPITUR100; RPMTTUR = PMTTUR CPITUR100; RPXTCAN = PXTCAN CPICAN100; RPXTAUS = PXTAUS CPIAUS100; RPXTUKR = PXTUKR CPIUKR100; RPXTGBR = PXTGBR CPIGBR100; RPXTARG = PXTARG CPIARG100; RPMTDZA = PMTDZA CPIDZA100; RPMTCAN = PMTCAN CPICAN100; RPMTARG = PMTARG CPIARG100; RPMTDEU = PMTDEU CPIDEU100; RPMTMYS = PMTMYS CPIMYS100; RPMTESP = PMTESP CPIESP100; RPMTJPN = PMTJPN CPIJPN100; RPXGBEL = PXGBEL CPIBEL100; RPXGITA = PXGITA CPIITA100; RPXGESP = PXGESP CPIESP100; RPXGNLD = PXGNLD CPINLD100; RPMGLBY = PMGITA CPIITA100; RPXTKOR = PXTDEU CPIDEU100; RPXTNLD = PXTESP CPIESP100; RPXGAGO = PXGAGO CPIAGO100; RPXGJPN = PXGJPN CPIJPN100; RPMGHKG = PMGHKG CPIHKG100; RPMGGOR = PMGGOR CPIGOR100; RPMGNLD = PMGNLD CPINLD100; RPMGKOR = PMGKOR CPIKOR100; RPMGAGO = PMGAGO CPIAGO100; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan RPXTKAZ = PXTKAZ CPIKAZ100; RPMGPAK = PMGPAK CPIPAK100; RPMTBEL = PMTBEL CPIBEL100; RPMTMEX = PMTMEX CPIMEX100; RPHIDN = PHIDN CPIIDN100; RPSIDN = PSIDN CPIIDN100; ROPRT = OPRT CPIIDN100; ROPKM = OPKM CPIIDN100; RPMGIUSA = PMGIUSACPIUSA100; RPMGIAUS = PMGIAUSCPIAUS100; RPMGICAN = PMGICANCPICAN100; RPMTIJPN = PMTIJPNCPIJPN100; RPMTISGP = PMTISGPCPISGP100; RPMTIAUS = PMTIAUSCPIAUS100; Membuat Nilai Tukar Thd Indonesia ERIUSA = 1ERUSA; ERIAUS = ERAUSERIDN; ERICAN = ERCANERIDN; ERIJPN = ERJPNERIDN; ERISGP = ERSGPERIDN; GOOR = RPGW; TOOR = RPXTW; Membuat Variabel Lag LQTW = LagQTW; LQGW = LagQGW; LMTW = LagMTW; LXTW = LagXTW; LMGW = LagMGW; LXGW = LagXGW; LIRCAN = LagIRCAN; LIRAUS = LagIRAUS; LIRTUR = LagIRTUR; LIRIDN = LagIRIDN; LIREGY = LagIREGY; LIRTUR = LagIRTUR; LIRPAK = LagIRPAK; LIRIND = LagIRIND; LCPIHKG = LagCPIHKG; LCPIPAK = LagCPIPAK; LCPIUSA = LagCPIUSA; LCPINLD = LagCPINLD; LCPIKOR = LagCPIKOR; LCPILBY = LagCPILBY; LCPIBRA = LagCPIBRA; LCPIIDN = LagCPIIDN; LCPIJPN = LagCPIJPN; LCPIESP = LagCPIESP; LCPIEGY = LagCPIEGY; LCPIMYS = LagCPIMYS; LCPIITA = LagCPIITA; LCPIDZA = LagCPIDZA; LCPIGOR = LagCPIGOR; LCPIAGO = LagCPIAGO; LTEGAUS = LagTEGAUS; LPENGBR = LagPENGBR; LPENIRN = LagPENIRN; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan LPENITA = LagPENITA; LPENTUR = LagPENTUR; LPENEGY = LagPENEGY; LPENRUS = LagPENRUS; LPENIND = LagPENIND; LPENCHN = LagPENCHN; LPENGOR = LagPENGOR; LPENFRA = LagPENFRA; LPENHKG = LagPENHKG; LPENIDN = LagPENIDN; LPENPAK = LagPENPAK; LPENNLD = LagPENNLD; LICRUS = LagICRUS; LICGBR = LagICGBR; LICIRN = LagICIRN; LICITA = LagICITA; LICTUR = LagICTUR; LICCHN = LagICCHN; LICBRA = LagICBRA; LICIDN = LagICIDN; LICJPN = LagICJPN; LICEGY = LagICEGY; LICMYS = LagICMYS; LICDZA = LagICDZA; LICGOR = LagICGOR; LICAGO = LagICAGO; LICFRA = LagICFRA; LICHKG = LagICHKG; LICIND = LagICIND; LICPAK = LagICPAK; LICUSA = LagICUSA; LICNLD = LagICNLD; LICKOR = LagICKOR; LICLBY = LagICLBY; LERICAN = LagERICAN; LERIAUS = LagERIAUS; LEREGY = LagEREGY; LERMEX = LagERMEX; LERBRA = LagERBRA; LERCHN = LagERCHN; LERMYS = LagERMYS; LERDZA = LagERDZA; LERKAZ = LagERKAZ; LERGBR = LagERGBR; LERUKR = LagERUKR; LERRUS = LagERRUS; LERARG = LagERARG; LERAUS = LagERAUS; LERCAN = LagERCAN; LERGOR = LagERGOR; LERAGO = LagERAGO; LERHKG = LagERHKG; LERIDN = LagERIDN; LERPAK = LagERPAK; LERNLD = LagERNLD; LERKOR = LagERKOR; LERLBY = LagERLBY; LERCHN = LagERCHN; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan LERNLD = LagERNLD; LERJPN = LagERJPN; LERPAK = LagERPAK; LERFRA = LagERFRA; LERDEU = LagERDEU; LERESP = LagERESP; LERTUR = LagERTUR; LERITA = LagERITA; LERBEL = LagERBEL; LQGEGY = LagQGEGY; LQGTUR = LagQGTUR; LQGGBR = LagQGGBR; LQGUKR = LagQGUKR; LQGDEU = LagQGDEU; LQGRUS = LagQGRUS; LQGAUS = LagQGAUS; LQGCAN = LagQGCAN; LQGUSA = LagQGUSA; LQGGOR = LagQGGOR; LQGLBY = LagQGLBY; LQGFRA = LagQGFRA; LQGJPN = LagQGJPN; LQGESP = LagQGESP; LQGMEX = LagQGMEX; LQGEGY = LagQGEGY; LQGITA = LagQGITA; LQGDZA = LagQGDZA; LQGBRA = LagQGBRA; LQGARG = LagQGARG; LQGKAZ = LagQGKAZ; LQGCHN = LagQGCHN; LQGPAK = LagQGPAK; LDGSOV = LagDGSOV; LDGBRA = LagDGBRA; LDGJPN = LagDGJPN; LDGMEX = LagDGMEX; LDGESP = LagDGESP; LDGEGY = LagDGEGY; LDGMYS = LagDGMYS; LDGDZA = LagDGDZA; LDGITA = LagDGITA; LDGKAZ = LagDGKAZ; LDGGBR = LagDGGBR; LDGUKR = LagDGUKR; LDGDEU = LagDGDEU; LDGRUS = LagDGRUS; LDGARG = LagDGARG; LDGAUS = LagDGAUS; LDGCAN = LagDGCAN; LDGUSA = LagDGUSA; LDGFRA = LagDGFRA; LDGCHN = LagDGCHN; LDGIDN = LagDGIDN; LDGIND = LagDGIND; LDGTUR = LagDGTUR; LXGSOV = LagXGSOV; LXGCHN = LagXGCHN; LXGJPN = LagXGJPN; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan LXGMEX = LagXGMEX; LXGDZA = LagXGDZA; LXGITA = LagXGITA; LXGBRA = LagXGBRA; LXGESP = LagXGESP; LXGUSA = LagXGUSA; LXGFRA = LagXGFRA; LXGCAN = LagXGCAN; LXGAUS = LagXGAUS; LXGARG = LagXGARG; LXGRUS = LagXGRUS; LXGDEU = LagXGDEU; LXGUKR = LagXGUKR; LXGGBR = LagXGGBR; LXGKAZ = LagXGKAZ; LXGIDN = LagXGIDN; LMGSOV = LagMGSOV; LMGCHN = LagMGCHN; LMGFRA = LagMGFRA; LMGCAN = LagMGCAN; LMGAUS = LagMGAUS; LMGDEU = LagMGDEU; LMGRUS = LagMGRUS; LMGARG = LagMGARG; LMGDZA = LagMGDZA; LMGITA = LagMGITA; LMGMYS = LagMGMYS; LMGEGY = LagMGEGY; LMGESP = LagMGESP; LMGMEX = LagMGMEX; LMGJPN = LagMGJPN; LMGCHN = LagMGCHN; LMGIDN = LagMGIDN; LMGBRA = LagMGBRA; LOMGW = LagOMGW; LMGIUSA = LagMGIUSA; LMGIAUS = LagMGIAUS; LMGICAN = LagMGICAN; LRPGW = LagRPGW; LRPXGW = LagRPXGW; LRPMGW = LagRPMGW; LRPXGESP = LagRPXGESP; LRPXGBEL = LagRPXGBEL; LRPXGTUR = LagRPXGTUR; LRPXGPAK = LagRPXGPAK; LRPXGUSA = LagRPXGUSA; LRPXGFRA = LagRPXGFRA; LRPXGCAN = LagRPXGCAN; LRPXGAUS = LagRPXGAUS; LRPXGARG = LagRPXGARG; LRPXGSOV = LagRPXGSOV; LRPXGRUS = LagRPXGRUS; LRPXGDEU = LagRPXGDEU; LRPXGUKR = LagRPXGUKR; LRPXGGBR = LagRPXGGBR; LRPXGKAZ = LagRPXGKAZ; LRPXGCHN = LagRPXGCHN; LRPXGIDN = LagRPXGIDN; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan LRPXGITA = LagRPXGITA; LRPXGJPN = LagRPXGJPN; LRPXGNLD = LagRPXGNLD; LRPMGAGO = LagRPMGAGO; LRPMGGOR = LagRPMGGOR; LRPMGHKG = LagRPMGHKG; LRPMGNLD = LagRPMGNLD; LRPMGKOR = LagRPMGKOR; LRPMGLBY = LagRPMGLBY; LRPMGTUR = LagRPMGTUR; LRPMGUSA = LagRPMGUSA; LRPMGPAK = LagRPMGPAK; LRPMGIND = LagRPMGIND; LRPMGGBR = LagRPMGGBR; LRPMGFRA = LagRPMGFRA; LRPMGBRA = LagRPMGBRA; LRPMGDZA = LagRPMGDZA; LRPMGITA = LagRPMGITA; LRPMGCHN = LagRPMGCHN; LRPMGEGY = LagRPMGEGY; LRPMGESP = LagRPMGESP; LRPMGMEX = LagRPMGMEX; LRPMGJPN = LagRPMGJPN; LRPMGIDN = LagRPMGIDN; LRPMGMYS = LagRPMGMYS; LRPMGRUS = LagRPMGRUS; LRPMGSOV = LagRPMGSOV; LQTSOV = LagQTSOV; LQTKOR = LagQTKOR; LQTFRA = LagQTFRA; LQTDEU = LagQTDEU; LQTAGO = LagQTAGO; LQTUSA = LagQTUSA; LQTGOR = LagQTGOR; LQTLBY = LagQTLBY; LQTNLD = LagQTNLD; LQTDEU = LagQTDEU; LQTIDN = LagQTIDN; LQTCHN = LagQTCHN; LQTJPN = LagQTJPN; LQTPAK = LagQTPAK; LQTFRA = LagQTFRA; LQTESP = LagQTESP; LQTTUR = LagQTTUR; LQTBEL = LagQTBEL; LQTITA = LagQTITA; LQTIND = LagQTIND; LQTRUS = LagQTRUS; LQTIRN = LagQTIRN; LQTBRA = LagQTBRA; LQTEGY = LagQTEGY; LDTLBY = LagDTLBY; LDTSOV = LagDTSOV; LDTHKG = LagDTHKG; LDTGOR = LagDTGOR; LDTIDN = LagDTIDN; LDTNLD = LagDTNLD; LDTJPN = LagDTJPN; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan LDTESP = LagDTESP; LDTDEU = LagDTDEU; LDTBEL = LagDTBEL; LDTIRN = LagDTIRN; LDTBRA = LagDTBRA; LDTIND = LagDTIND; LDTCHN = LagDTCHN; LDTUSA = LagDTUSA; LDTRUS = LagDTRUS; LDTEGY = LagDTEGY; LDTPAK = LagDTPAK; LDTTUR = LagDTTUR; LDTITA = LagDTITA; LXTSOV = LagXTSOV; LXTUKR = LagXTUKR; LXTKOR = LagXTKOR; LXTAGO = LagXTAGO; LXTUSA = LagXTUSA; LXTGOR = LagXTGOR; LXTLBY = LagXTLBY; LXTBEL = LagXTBEL; LXTDEU = LagXTDEU; LXTITA = LagXTITA; LXTTUR = LagXTTUR; LXTESP = LagXTESP; LXTFRA = LagXTFRA; LXTPAK = LagXTPAK; LXTJPN = LagXTJPN; LXTNLD = LagXTNLD; LXTCHN = LagXTCHN; LXTIDN = LagXTIDN; LMTSOV = LagMTSOV; LMTCHN = LagMTCHN; LMTJPN = LagMTJPN; LMTESP = LagMTESP; LMTITA = LagMTITA; LMTDEU = LagMTDEU; LMTBEL = LagMTBEL; LMTLBY = LagMTLBY; LMTKOR = LagMTKOR; LMTNLD = LagMTNLD; LMTUSA = LagMTUSA; LMTPAK = LagMTPAK; LMTIDN = LagMTIDN; LMTHKG = LagMTHKG; LMTFRA = LagMTFRA; LMTAGO = LagMTAGO; LMTGOR = LagMTGOR; LMTIJPN = LagMTIJPN; LMTISGP = LagMTISGP; LMTIAUS = LagMTIAUS; LRPXTSOV = LagRPXTSOV; LRPXTUKR = LagRPXTUKR; LRPXTAUS = LagRPXTAUS; LRPXTCAN = LagRPXTCAN; LRPXTKAZ = LagRPXTKAZ; LRPXTGBR = LagRPXTGBR; LRPXTRUS = LagRPXTRUS; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan LRPXTUSA = LagRPXTUSA; LRPXTEGY = LagRPXTEGY; LRPXTBRA = LagRPXTBRA; LRPXTBEL = LagRPXTBEL; LRPXTDEU = LagRPXTDEU; LRPXTITA = LagRPXTITA; LRPXTTUR = LagRPXTTUR; LRPXTESP = LagRPXTESP; LRPXTPAK = LagRPXTPAK; LRPXTFRA = LagRPXTFRA; LRPXTJPN = LagRPXTJPN; LRPXTNLD = LagRPXTNLD; LRPXTCHN = LagRPXTCHN; LRPXTIDN = LagRPXTIDN; LRPXTW = LagRPXTW; LRPMTW = LagRPMTW; LRPMTCAN = LagRPMTCAN; LRPMTDZA = LagRPMTDZA; LRPMTEGY = LagRPMTEGY; LRPMTIRN = LagRPMTIRN; LRPMTITA = LagRPMTITA; LRPMTTUR = LagRPMTTUR; LRPMTSOV = LagRPMTSOV; LRPMTRUS = LagRPMTRUS; LRPMTCHN = LagRPMTCHN; LRPMTBEL = LagRPMTBEL; LRPMTLBY = LagRPMTLBY; LRPMTGOR = LagRPMTGOR; LRPMTNLD = LagRPMTNLD; LRPMTUSA = LagRPMTUSA; LRPMTFRA = LagRPMTFRA; LRPMTIDN = LagRPMTIDN; LRPMTHKG = LagRPMTHKG; LRPMTPAK = LagRPMTPAK; LRPMTAGO = LagRPMTAGO; LRPMTKOR = LagRPMTKOR; LRPMTMYS = LagRPMTMYS; LRPMTMEX = LagRPMTMEX; LRPMTJPN = LagRPMTJPN; LRPMTBRA = LagRPMTBRA; LRPMTESP = LagRPMTESP; LERIUSA = LagERIUSA; LDGM = LagDGM; LULRT = LagULRT; LULKM = LagULKM; LULIM = LagULIM; LOPRT = LagOPRT; LOPKM = LagOPKM; LOPIM = LagOPIM; LDTRT = LagDTRT; LDTKM = LagDTKM; LDTIM = LagDTIM; LDTRS = LagDTRS; LPDBIM = LagPDBIM; LZTIDN = LagZTIDN; LSTIDN = LagSTIDN; LDLRT = LagDLRT; LDLKM = LagDLKM; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan LDLIM = LagDLIM; LROPKM = LagROPKM; LROPRT = LagROPRT; LRPTIDN = LagRPTIDN; LRPTPB = LagRPTPB; LRPTPE = LagRPTPE; LPMGIUSA = LagRPMGIUSA; LPMGIAUS = LagRPMGIAUS; LPMGICAN = LagRPMGICAN; LPMTIJPN = LagRPMTIJPN; LPMTISGP = LagRPMTISGP; LPMTIAUS = LagRPMTIAUS; LRPHIDN = LagRPHIDN; LRPSIDN = LagRPSIDN; membuat variabel ZQTW = QTW - LQTW; ZQGW = QGW - LQGW; ZMTW = MTW - LMTW; ZXTW = XTW - LXTW; ZMGW = MGW - LMGW; ZXGW = XGW - LXGW; ZRPGW = RPGW - LRPGW; ZRPXGKAZ = RPXGKAZ - LRPXGKAZ; ZRPXGJPN = RPXGJPN - LRPXGJPN; ZRPXGITA = RPXGITA - LRPXGITA; ZRPXGIDN = RPXGIDN - LRPXGIDN; ZRPXGBEL = RPXGBEL - LRPXGBEL; ZRPXGGBR = RPXGGBR - LRPXGGBR; ZRPXGUKR = RPXGUKR - LRPXGUKR; ZRPXGUSA = RPXGUSA - LRPXGUSA; ZRPXGCHN = RPXGCHN - LRPXGCHN; ZRPXGPAK = RPXGPAK - LRPXGPAK; ZRPXGTUR = RPXGTUR - LRPXGTUR; ZRPXGTUR = RPXGTUR - LRPXGTUR; ZRPXGAUS = RPXGAUS - LRPXGAUS; ZRPXGFRA = RPXGFRA - LRPXGFRA; ZRPXGCAN = RPXGCAN - LRPXGCAN; ZRPXGDEU = RPXGDEU - LRPXGDEU; ZRPXGRUS = RPXGRUS - LRPXGRUS; ZRPXGSOV = RPXGSOV - LRPXGSOV; ZXGSOV = XGAUS - LXGSOV; ZXGAUS = XGAUS - LXGAUS; ZXGIDN = XGIDN - LXGIDN; ZXGKAZ = XGKAZ - LXGKAZ; ZXGGBR = XGGBR - LXGGBR; ZXGARG = XGARG - LXGARG; ZXGRUS = XGRUS - LXGRUS; ZXGCHN = XGCHN - LXGCHN; ZXGJPN = XGJPN - LXGJPN; ZXGDZA = XGDZA - LXGDZA; ZXGFRA = XGFRA - LXGFRA; ZXGUSA = XGUSA - LXGUSA; ZXGCAN = XGCAN - LXGCAN; ZXGITA = XGITA - LXGITA; ZXGARG = XGARG - LXGARG; ZXGBRA = XGBRA - LXGBRA; ZXGUKR = XGUKR - LXGUKR; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan ZRPMGBRA = RPMGBRA - LRPMGBRA; ZRPMGPAK = RPMGPAK - LRPMGPAK; ZRPMGKOR = RPMGKOR - LRPMGKOR; ZRPMGLBY = RPMGLBY - LRPMGLBY; ZRPMGGOR = RPMGGOR - LRPMGGOR; ZRPMGJPN = RPMGJPN - LRPMGJPN; ZRPMGDZA = RPMGDZA - LRPMGDZA; ZRPMGTUR = RPMGTUR - LRPMGTUR; ZRPMGRUS = RPMGRUS - LRPMGRUS; ZRPMGFRA = RPMGFRA - LRPMGFRA; ZRPMGCHN = RPMGCHN - LRPMGCHN; ZRPMGGBR = RPMGGBR - LRPMGGBR; ZRPMGIND = RPMGIND - LRPMGIND; ZRPMGUSA = RPMGUSA - LRPMGUSA; ZRPMGITA = RPMGITA - LRPMGITA; ZRPMGIDN = RPMGIDN - LRPMGIDN; ZQGSOV = QGDEU - LQGSOV; ZQGDEU = QGDEU - LQGDEU; ZQGFRA = QGFRA - LQGFRA; ZQGJPN = QGJPN - LQGJPN; ZQGESP = QGESP - LQGESP; ZQGMEX = QGMEX - LQGMEX; ZQGEGY = QGEGY - LQGEGY; ZQGCAN = QGCAN - LQGCAN; ZQGUSA = QGUSA - LQGUSA; ZQGBRA = QGBRA - LQGBRA; ZQGRUS = QGRUS - LQGRUS; ZQGAUS = QGAUS - LQGAUS; ZQGITA = QGITA - LQGITA; ZQGKAZ = QGKAZ - LQGKAZ; ZQGUKR = QGUKR - LQGUKR; ZQGARG = QGARG - LQGARG; ZQDGDZA = QGDZA - DGDZA; ZQDGFRA = QGFRA - DGFRA; ZQDGUSA = QGUSA - DGUSA; ZMGSOV = MGSOV - LMGSOV; ZMGDZA = MGDZA - LMGDZA; ZMGCHN = MGCHN - LMGCHN; ZMGIDN = MGIDN - LMGIDN; ZMGESP = MGESP - LMGESP; ZMGMYS = MGMYS - LMGMYS; ZMGITA = MGITA - LMGITA; ZMGBRA = MGBRA - LMGBRA; ZMGJPN = MGJPN - LMGJPN; ZMGMEX = MGMEX - LMGMEX; ZMGFRA = MGFRA - LMGFRA; ZMGEGY = MGEGY - LMGEGY; ZMGARG = MGARG - LMGARG; ZDGBRA = DGBRA - LDGBRA; ZDGDZA = DGDZA - LDGDZA; ZDGRUS = DGRUS - LDGRUS; ZDGEGY = DGEGY - LDGEGY; ZDGJPN = DGJPN - LDGJPN; ZDGDEU = DGDEU - LDGDEU; ZDGAUS = DGAUS - LDGAUS; ZDGGBR = DGGBR - LDGGBR; ZDGIDN = DGIDN - LDGIDN; ZDGMEX = DGMEX - LDGMEX; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan ZDGFRA = DGFRA - LDGFRA; ZDGKAZ = DGKAZ - LDGKAZ; ZDGUKR = DGUKR - LDGUKR; ZDGCAN = DGCAN - LDGCAN; ZDGMYS = DGMYS - LDGMYS; ZDGUSA = DGUSA - LDGUSA; ZDQGFRA = DGFRA - QGFRA; ZDQGUSA = DGUSA - QGUSA; ZQDGUSA = QGUSA - DGUSA; ZRPGW = RPGW - LRPGW; ZRPMTW = RPMTW - LRPMTW; ZQTSOV = QTSOV - LQTSOV; ZQTLBY = QTLBY - LQTLBY; ZQTITA = QTITA - LQTITA; ZQTRUS = QTRUS - LQTRUS; ZQTGOR = QTGOR - LQTGOR; ZQTUSA = QTUSA - LQTUSA; ZQTIDN = QTIDN - LQTIDN; ZQTCHN = QTCHN - LQTCHN; ZQTNLD = QTNLD - LQTNLD; ZQTJPN = QTJPN - LQTJPN; ZQTPAK = QTPAK - LQTPAK; ZQTFRA = QTFRA - LQTFRA; ZQTESP = QTESP - LQTESP; ZQTTUR = QTTUR - LQTTUR; ZQTDEU = QTDEU - LQTDEU; ZQTBEL = QTBEL - LQTBEL; ZDTHKG = DTHKG - LDTHKG; ZDTGOR = DTGOR - LDTGOR; ZDTUSA = DTUSA - LDTUSA; ZDTIDN = DTIDN - LDTIDN; ZDTCHN = DTCHN - LDTCHN; ZDTNLD = DTNLD - LDTNLD; ZDTJPN = DTJPN - LDTJPN; ZDTPAK = DTPAK - LDTPAK; ZDTESP = DTESP - LDTESP; ZDTTUR = DTTUR - LDTTUR; ZDTITA = DTITA - LDTITA; ZDTDEU = DTDEU - LDTDEU; ZDTBEL = DTBEL - LDTBEL; ZMTSOV = MTSOV - LMTSOV; ZMTPAK = MTPAK - LMTKOR; ZMTKOR = MTKOR - LMTKOR; ZMTGOR = MTGOR - LMTGOR; ZMTFRA = MTFRA - LMTFRA; ZMTKOR = MTKOR - LMTKOR; ZMTNLD = MTNLD - LMTNLD; ZMTAGO = MTAGO - LMTAGO; ZMTLBY = MTLBY - LMTLBY; ZMTESP = MTESP - LMTESP; ZMTBEL = MTBEL - LMTBEL; ZMTIDN = MTIDN - LMTIDN; ZMTUSA = MTUSA - LMTUSA; ZMTITA = MTITA - LMTITA; ZMTHKG = MTHKG - LMTHKG; ZXTDEU = XTDEU - LXTDEU; ZXTBEL = XTBEL - LXTBEL; ZXTIDN = XTIDN - LXTIDN; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan ZXTSOV = XTSOV - LXTSOV; ZXTNLD = XTNLD - LXTNLD; ZXTITA = XTITA - LXTITA; ZXTFRA = XTFRA - LXTFRA; ZXTESP = XTESP - LXTESP; ZXTCHN = XTCHN - LXTCHN; ZXTUSA = XTUSA - LXTUSA; ZXTAGO = XTAGO - LXTAGO; ZXTGOR = XTGOR - LXTGOR; ZXTPAK = XTPAK - LXTPAK; ZRPMTLBY = RPMTLBY - LRPMTLBY; ZRPMTESP = RPMTESP - LRPMTESP; ZRPMTBRA = RPMTBRA - LRPMTBRA; ZRPMTJPN = RPMTJPN - LRPMTJPN; ZRPMTMEX = RPMTMEX - LRPMTMEX; ZRPMTMYS = RPMTMYS - LRPMTMYS; ZRPMTDZA = RPMTDZA - LRPMTDZA; ZRPMTEGY = RPMTEGY - LRPMTEGY; ZRPMTGOR = RPMTGOR - LRPMTGOR; ZRPMTAGO = RPMTAGO - LRPMTAGO; ZRPMTHKG = RPMTHKG - LRPMTHKG; ZRPMTIDN = RPMTIDN - LRPMTIDN; ZRPMTPAK = RPMTPAK - LRPMTPAK; ZRPMTUSA = RPMTUSA - LRPMTUSA; ZRPMTNLD = RPMTNLD - LRPMTNLD; ZRPMTKOR = RPMTKOR - LRPMTKOR; ZRPMTIRN = RPMTIRN - LRPMTIRN; ZRPMTITA = RPMTITA - LRPMTITA; ZRPMTTUR = RPMTTUR - LRPMTTUR; ZRPMTRUS = RPMTRUS - LRPMTRUS; ZRPMTCHN = RPMTCHN - LRPMTCHN; ZRPXTSOV = RPXTSOV - LRPXTSOV; ZRPXTAUS = RPXTAUS - LRPXTAUS; ZRPXTITA = RPXTITA - LRPXTITA; ZRPXTCAN = RPXTCAN - LRPXTCAN; ZRPXTKAZ = RPXTKAZ - LRPXTKAZ; ZRPXTGBR = RPXTGBR - LRPXTGBR; ZRPXTRUS = RPXTRUS - LRPXTRUS; ZRPXTUSA = RPXTUSA - LRPXTUSA; ZRPXTIDN = RPXTIDN - LRPXTIDN; ZRPXTCHN = RPXTCHN - LRPXTCHN; ZRPXTNLD = RPXTNLD - LRPXTNLD; ZRPXTJPN = RPXTJPN - LRPXTJPN; ZRPXTPAK = RPXTPAK - LRPXTPAK; ZRPXTFRA = RPXTFRA - LRPXTFRA; ZRPXTESP = RPXTESP - LRPXTESP; ZRPXTTUR = RPXTTUR - LRPXTTUR; ZRPXTDEU = RPXTDEU - LRPXTDEU; ZRPXTBEL = RPXTBEL - LRPXTBEL; ZICIDN = ICIDN - LICIDN; ZICJPN = ICJPN - LICJPN; ZICDZA = ICDZA - LICDZA; ZICMYS = ICMYS - LICMYS; ZICGBR = ICGBR - LICGBR; ZICFRA = ICFRA - LICFRA; ZICGOR = ICGOR - LICGOR; ZICAGO = ICAGO - LICAGO; ZICHKG = ICHKG - LICHKG; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan ZICIDN = ICIDN - LICIDN; ZICPAK = ICPAK - LICPAK; ZICNLD = ICNLD - LICNLD; ZICKOR = ICKOR - LICKOR; ZICIRN = ICIRN - LICIRN; ZICITA = ICITA - LICITA; ZICTUR = ICTUR - LICTUR; ZICEGY = ICEGY - LICEGY; ZICBRA = ICBRA - LICBRA; ZICUSA = ICUSA - LICUSA; ZICCHN = ICCHN - LICCHN; ZPENPAK = PENPAK - LPENPAK; ZPENGBR = PENGBR - LPENGBR; ZPENFRA = PENFRA - LPENFRA; ZPENIDN = PENIDN - LPENIDN; ZPENIRN = PENIRN - LPENIRN; ZPENITA = PENITA - LPENITA; ZPENTUR = PENTUR - LPENTUR; ZPENEGY = PENEGY - LPENEGY; ZPENRUS = PENRUS - LPENRUS; ZPENCHN = PENCHN - LPENCHN; ZERBRA = ERBRA - LERBRA; ZEREGY = EREGY - LEREGY; ZERKAZ = ERKAZ - LERKAZ; ZERUKR = ERUKR - LERUKR; ZERARG = ERARG - LERARG; ZERCAN = ERCAN - LERCAN; ZERCHN = ERCHN - LERCHN; ZERMEX = ERMEX - LERMEX; ZERDZA = ERDZA - LERDZA; ZERMYS = ERMYS - LERMYS; ZERGOR = ERGOR - LERGOR; ZERAGO = ERAGO - LERAGO; ZERHKG = ERHKG - LERHKG; ZERIDN = ERIDN - LERIDN; ZERPAK = ERPAK - LERPAK; ZERKOR = ERKOR - LERKOR; ZERLBY = ERLBY - LERLBY; ZERNLD = ERNLD - LERNLD; ZERJPN = ERJPN - LERJPN; ZERPAK = ERPAK - LERPAK; ZERFRA = ERFRA - LERFRA; ZERESP = ERESP - LERESP; ZERTUR = ERTUR - LERTUR; ZERDEU = ERDEU - LERDEU; ZERBEL = ERBEL - LERBEL; ZERRUS = ERRUS - LERRUS; ZERIAUS = ERIAUS - LERIAUS; ZIRIDN = IRIDN - LIRIDN; ZIRCAN = IRCAN - LIRCAN; ZIRAUS = IRAUS - LIRAUS; ZIRTUR = IRTUR - LIRTUR; ZTEGAUS = TEGAUS - LTEGAUS; ZCPIMYS = CPIMYS - LCPIMYS; ZCPIGOR = CPIGOR - LCPIGOR; ZCPIAGO = CPIAGO - LCPIAGO; ZCPIHKG = CPIHKG - LCPIHKG; ZCPIIDN = CPIIDN - LCPIIDN; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan ZCPIPAK = CPIPAK - LCPIPAK; ZCPIUSA = CPIUSA - LCPIUSA; ZCPINLD = CPINLD - LCPINLD; ZCPIKOR = CPIKOR - LCPIKOR; ZCPILBY = CPILBY - LCPILBY; ZRPXTW = RPXTW - LRPXTW; ZPMGIUSA = RPMGIUSA - LPMGIUSA; ZPMGIAUS = RPMGIAUS - LPMGIAUS; ZPMGICAN = RPMGICAN - LPMGICAN; ZPMTIJPN = RPMTIJPN - LPMTIJPN; ZPMTISGP = RPMTISGP - LPMTISGP; ZPMTIAUS = RPMTIAUS - LPMTIAUS; ZDTIDN = DTIDN - LDTIDN; ZDTRS = DTRS - LDTRS; ZDTRT = DTRT - LDTRT; ZDTKM = DTKM - LDTKM; ZDTIM = DTIM - LDTIM; ZROPKM = ROPKM - LROPKM; ZROPRT = ROPRT - LROPRT; ZRPTIDN = RPTIDN - LRPTIDN; ZRPTPB = RPTPB - LRPTPB; ZRPTPE = RPTPE - LRPTPE; ZOPRT = OPRT - LOPRT; ZOPKM = OPKM - LOPKM; ZOPIM = OPIM - LOPIM; ZULRT = ULRT - LULRT; ZULKM = ULKM - LULKM; ZULIM = ULIM - LULIM; ZQDTUSA = QTUSA - DTUSA; BQGDEU = QGDEU - LQGDEULQGDEU100; BQGRUS = QGRUS - LQGRUSLQGRUS100; BQGARG = QGARG - LQGARGLQGARG100; BQGAUS = QGAUS - LQGAUSLQGAUS100; BQGUSA = QGUSA - LQGUSALQGUSA100; BDGDZA = DGDZA - LDGDZALDGDZA100; BDGMYS = DGMYS - LDGMYSLDGMYS100; BDGDEU = DGDEU - LDGDEULDGDEU100; BDGUKR = DGUKR - LDGUKRLDGUKR100; BDGAUS = DGAUS - LDGAUSLDGAUS100; BDGIDN = DGIDN - LDGIDNLDGIDN100; BDGGBR = DGGBR - LDGGBRLDGGBR100; BDGMEX = DGMEX - LDGMEXLDGMEX100; BDGUSA = DGUSA - LDGUSALDGUSA100; BMGCHN = MGCHN - LMGCHNLMGCHN100; BMGMEX = MGMEX - LMGMEXLMGMEX100; BMGEGY = MGEGY - LMGEGYLMGEGY100; BMGDZA = MGDZA - LMGDZALMGDZA100; BMGITA = MGITA - LMGITALMGITA100; BMGMYS = MGMYS - LMGMYSLMGMYS100; BMGJPN = MGJPN - LMGJPNLMGJPN100; BXGUKR = XGUKR - LXGUKRLXGUKR100; BXGKAZ = XGKAZ - LXGKAZLXGKAZ100; BXGUSA = XGUSA - LXGUSALXGUSA100; BXGGBR = XGGBR - LXGGBRLXGGBR100; BXGCAN = XGCAN - LXGCANLXGCAN100; BRPXGIDN = RPXGIDN - LRPXGIDNLRPXGIDN100; BRPXGKAZ = RPXGKAZ - LRPXGKAZLRPXGKAZ100; BRPXGDEU = RPXGDEU - LRPXGDEULRPXGDEU100; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan BRPXGAUS = RPXGAUS - LRPXGAUSLRPXGAUS100; BRPXGJPN = RPXGJPN - LRPXGJPNLRPXGJPN100; BRPXGUSA = RPXGUSA - LRPXGUSALRPXGUSA100; BRPXGGBR = RPXGGBR - LRPXGGBRLRPXGGBR100; BRPMGMEX = RPMGMEX - LRPMGMEXLRPMGMEX100; BRPMGFRA = RPMGFRA - LRPMGFRALRPMGFRA100; BRPMGCHN = RPMGCHN - LRPMGCHNLRPMGCHN100; BRPMGIDN = RPMGIDN - LRPMGIDNLRPMGIDN100; BRPMGDZA = RPMGDZA - LRPMGDZALRPMGDZA100; BPMGICAN = RPMGICAN - LPMGICANLPMGICAN100; BXGW = XGW - LXGWLXGW100; BMGW = MGW - LMGWLMGW100; BRPXTIDN = RPXTIDN - LRPXTIDNLRPXTIDN100; BRPXTDEU = RPXTDEU - LRPXTDEULRPXTDEU100; BRPXTTUR = RPXTTUR - LRPXTTURLRPXTTUR100; BRPXTBEL = RPXTBEL - LRPXTBELLRPXTBEL100; BRPXTJPN = RPXTJPN - LRPXTJPNLRPXTJPN100; BRPXTCAN = RPXTCAN - LRPXTCANLRPXTCAN100; BRPXTUSA = RPXTUSA - LRPXTUSALRPXTUSA100; BRPXTGBR = RPXTGBR - LRPXTGBRLRPXTGBR100; BRPXTKAZ = RPXTKAZ - LRPXTKAZLRPXTKAZ100; BQTTUR = QTTUR - LQTTURLQTTUR100; BQTITA = QTITA - LQTITALQTITA100; BXTNLD = XTNLD - LXTNLDLXTNLD100; BXTCHN = XTCHN - LXTCHNLXTCHN100; BXTFRA = XTFRA - LXTFRALXTFRA100; BXTPAK = XTPAK - LXTPAKLXTPAK100; BXTESP = XTESP - LXTESPLXTESP100; BXTITA = XTITA - LXTITALXTITA100; BMTFRA = MTFRA - LMTFRALMTFRA100; BMTNLD = MTNLD - LMTNLDLMTNLD100; BMTUSA = MTUSA - LMTUSALMTUSA100; BMTIDN = MTIDN - LMTIDNLMTIDN100; BMTAGO = MTAGO - LMTAGOLMTAGO100; BMTLBY = MTLBY - LMTLBYLMTLBY100; BRPXTW = RPXTW - LRPXTWLRPXTW100; BRPMTW = RPMTW - LRPMTWLRPMTW100; BRPMTKOR = RPMTKOR - LRPMTKORLRPMTKOR100; BRPMTCHN = RPMTCHN - LRPMTCHNLRPMTCHN100; BRPMTIDN = RPMTIDN - LRPMTIDNLRPMTIDN100; BRPMTDZA = RPMTDZA - LRPMTDZALRPMTDZA100; BRPGW = RPGW - LRPGWLRPGW100; BRPTPB = RPTPB - LRPTPBLRPTPB100; BRPTPE = RPTPE - LRPTPELRPTPE100; BULRT = ULRT - LULRTLULRT100; BDTPAK = DTPAK - LDTPAKLDTPAK100; BDTTUR = DTTUR - LDTTURLDTTUR100; BDTIDN = DTIDN - LDTIDNLDTIDN100; BDTKM = DTKM - LDTKMLDTKM100; BDTRT = DTRT - LDTRTLDTRT100; BDTRS = DTRS - LDTRSLDTRS100; BICIDN = ICIDN - LICIDNLICIDN100; BICDZA = ICDZA - LICDZALICDZA100; BICKOR = ICKOR - LICKORLICKOR100; BERMYS = ERMYS - LERMYSLERMYS100; BERFRA = ERFRA - LERFRALERFRA100; BERIDN = ERIDN - LERIDNLERIDN100; BOPIM = OPIM - LOPIMLOPIM100; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan BXTW = XTW - LXTWLXTW100; BMTW = MTW - LMTWLMTW100; KRPMTIDN = RPMTIDNERIDN1000; KRPMGIDN = RPMGIDNERIDN1000; membuat diskripsi variabel Label RPXGCHN =Hrg Ril Ex Gan China TEGCHN =Tekno Gan China AGCHN =Luas Areal Gan China RPLXGCHN =Hrg Ril Ex lain Gan CHN IRCHN =Suku Bunga China RPXGPAK =Hrg Ril Ex Gan PAK TEGPAK =Tekno Gan QGPAK AGPAK =Luas Areal Gan Pakistan RPLXGPAK =Hrg Ril Ex lain Gan PAK IRPAK =Suku Bunga Pakistan RPXGTUR =Harga Ril Ex Gan Turki TEGTUR =Tekno Gan QGTUR AGTUR =Luas Areal Gan Turki RPLXGTUR =Hrg Ril Ex lain Gan Tur IRTUR =Suku Bunga Turki RPXGAUS =Hrg Ril Ex Gan Australi TEGAUS =Tekno Gan QGAUS AGAUS =Luas Areal Gan Australi RPLXGAUS =Hrg Ril Ex lain Gan AUS IRAUS =Suku Bunga Australia RPXGFRA =Hrg Ril Ex Gan France AGFRA =Luas Areal Gan France IRFRA =Suku Bunga France RPXGIND =Hrg Ril Ex Gan India TEGIND =Tekno Gan QGIND AGIND =Luas Areal Gan India TEGUSA =Tekno Gan QGUSA AGUSA =Luas Areal Gan USA IRUSA =Suku Bunga USA PENCAN =Penduduk Canada AGCAN =Luas Areal Gan Canada IRCAN =Suku Bunga Canada RPXGDEU =Hrg Ril Ex Gan Jerman AGDEU =Luas Areal Gan Jerman IRDEU =Suku Bunga Jerman AGRUS =Luas Areal Gan Rusia IRRUS =Suku Bunga Rusia RPMGRUS =Hrg Ril Impor Gan RUS ICRUS =PDB Percapita Rusia PENFRA =Penduduk France XGFRA =Ekspor Gan France RPMGDEU =Hrg Ril Impor Gan DEU ICDEU =PDB Percapita Jerman RPMGGBR =Hrg Ril Impor Gan GBR ICGBR =PDB Percapita Inggris XGGBR =Ekspor Gan Inggris ICIND =PDB Percapita India PENIND =Penduduk India ICPAK =PDB Percapita PAK PENPAK =Penduduk Pakistan XGUSA =Ekspor Gan USA MGITA =Impor Gan Italia Lampiran 14. Lanjutan RPMGIDN =Hrg Ril Imp Gan IDN ICIDN =PDB Percapita IDN PENIDN =Penduduk Indonesia RPGW =Hrg Ril Gan Dunia LXGUSA =Lag XGUSA ERFRA =Nilai Tukar France LXGFRA =Lag XGFRA XGCAN =Ekspor Gan Canada ERCAN =Nilai Tukar Canada LXGCAN =Lag XGCAN XGAUS =Ekspor Gan Australia LXGAUS =Lag XGAUS XGARG =Ekspor Gan Argentina LXGARG =Lag XGARG XGRUS =Ekspor Gan Rusia LXGRUS =Lag XGRUS XGDEU =Ekspor Gan Jerman ERDEU =Nilai Tukar Jerman LXGDEU =Lag XGDEU XGUKR =Ekspor Gan Ukrania LXGUKR =Lag XGUKR RPXGGBR =Hrg Ril Ex Gan GBR ERGBR =Nilai Tukar Inggris LXGGBR =Lag XGGBR XGKAZ =Ekspor Gan Kazastan RPXGKAZ =Hrg Ril Ex Gan KAZ ERKAZ =Nilai Tukar Kazastan LXGKAZ =Lag XGKAZ XGIDN =Ekspor Gan Indonesia RPXGIDN =Hrg Ril Ex Gan IDN ERIDN =Nilai Tukar IDN LXGIDN =Lag XGIDN MGDZA =Impor Gan Aljasair RPMGDZA =Hrg Ril Impor Gan DZA ERDZA =Nilai Tukar Aljasair LMGDZA =Lag MGDZA ERITA =Nilai Tukar Italia LMGITA =Lag MGITA MGMYS =Impor Gan Malaysia PMGMYS =Hrg Imp Gan MYS ERMYS =Nilai Tukar Malaysia LMGMYS =Lag MGMYS MGEGY =Impor Gan Mesir RPMGEGY =Hrg Ril Imp Gan Mesir LMGEGY =Lag MGEGY MGESP =Impor Gan Spanyol RPMGESP =Hrg Ril Imp Gan ESP ERESP =Nilai Tukar Spanyol LMGESP =Lag MGESP MGMEX =Impor Gan Meksiko PMGMEX =Hrg Ril Impor Gan MEX ERMEX =Nilai Tukar Meksiko LMGMEX =Lag MGMEX MGJPN =Impor Gan Jepang RPMGJPN =Hrg Ril Impor Gan JPN ERJPN =Nilai Tukar Jepang LMGJPN =Lag MGJPN MGCHN =Impor Gan China Lampiran 14. Lanjutan RPMGCHN =Hrg Ril Impor Gan CHN ERCHN =Nilai Tukar China LMGCHN =Lag MGCHN MGIDN =Impor Gan Indonesia LMGIDN =Lag MGIDN MGBRA =Impor Gan Brasil RPMGBRA =Hrg Ril Imp Gan BRA ERBRA =Nilai Tukar Brasil LMGBRA =Lag MGBRA RPXTIND =Hrg Ril Ex Tep IND RPXGW =Hrg Ril Ex Gan Dunia QGW =Prod Gan Dunia ICUSA =PDB Parcapita USA RPXTRUS =Hrg Ril Ex Tep RUS ICTUR =PDB Parcapita Turki RPXTIRN =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Iran RPXTITA =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Italia ICITA =PDB Percapita Italia RPXTIDN =Hrg Ril Ex Tep IDN IRIDN =Suku Bunga IDN RPMTUSA =Hrg Ril Imp Tep USA PENUSA =Penduduk USA RPMTIND =Hrg Ril Imp Tep IND RPMTRUS =Hrg Ril Imp Tep RUS RPMTBRA =Hrg Ril Imp Tep BRA PENBRA =Penduduk Brasil RPMTPAK =Hrg Ril Imp Tep PAK PENTUR =Penduduk Turki RPMTITA =Hrg Ril Imp Tep ITA PENITA =Penduduk Italia RPMTIRN =Hrg Ril Imp Tep IRN PENIRN =Penduduk Iran ERBEL =Nilai Tukar Belgia LXTBEL =Lag XTBEL XTDEU =Ekspor Tep Jerman LXTDEU =Lag XTDEU XTITA =Ekspor Tep Italia LXTITA =Lag XTITA XTTUR =Ekspor Tep Turki RPXTTUR =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Turki ERTUR =Nilai Tukar Turki LXTTUR =Lag XTTUR XTESP =Ekspor Tep Spanyol LXTESP =Lag XTESP XTFRA =Ekspor Tep France RPXTFRA =Hrg Ril Ex Tep FRA LXTFRA =Lag XTFRA XTPAK =Ekspor Tep Pakistan RPXTPAK =Hrg Ril Ex Tep PAK LXTPAK =Lag XTPAK XTJPN =Ekspor Tep Jepang LXTJPN =Lag XTJPN XTNLD =Ekspor Tep Belanda ERNLD =Nilai Tukar Belanda LXTNLD =Lag XTNLD XTCHN =Ekspor Tep China RPXTCHN =Hrg Ril Ex Tep CHN LXTCHN =Lag XTCHN Lampiran 14. Lanjutan PENCHN =Penduduk China XTIDN =Ekspor Tep Indonesia LXTIDN =Lag XTIDN MTLBY =Impor Tep Libya ERLBY =Nilai Tukar Libya RPLMTLBY =Hrg Ril Imp Lain Tep LBY LMTLBY =Lag MTLBY MTKOR =Impor Tep Korea RPLMTKOR =Hrg Ril Imp Lain Tep KOR LMTKOR =Lag MTKOR MTNLD =Impor Tep Belanda LMTNLD =Lag MTNLD MTUSA =Impor Tep USA LMTUSA =Lag MTUSA MTPAK =Impor Tep Pakistan MTIDN =Impor Tep Indonesia RPMTIDN =Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN LMTIDN =Lag MTIDN MTHKG =Impor Tep Hongkong ERHKG =Nilai Tukar Hongkong RPLMTHKG =Hrg Ril Imp Lain Tep HKG LMTHKG =Lag Imp Tep HKG MTFRA =Impor Tep France RPMTFRA =Hrg Ril Imp Tep France RPLMTFRA =Hrg Ril Imp Lain Tep FRA LMTFRA =Lag MTFRA MTAGO =Impor Tep Angola RPMTAGO =Hrg Ril Imp Tep AGO ERAGO =Nilai Tukar Angola RPLMTAGO =Hrg Ril Imp Lain Tep AGO LMTAGO =Lag MTAGO PENGOR =Penduduk Georgia MTGOR =Impor Tep Georgia ERGOR =Nilai Tukar Georgia LMTGOR =Lag MTGOR RPXTW =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia XTW =Ekspor Tep Dunia MTW =Impor Tep Dunia LRPXTW =Lag RPXTW RPXTBEL =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belgia LRPXTBEL =lag RPXTBEL LRPXTDEU =Lag RPXTDEU LRPXTITA =Lag RPXTITA LRPXTESP =Lag RPXTESP LRPXTPAK =Lag RPXTPAK LRPXTFRA =Lag RPXTFRA ICFRA =PDB Percapita France RPXTJPN =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Jepang LRPXTJPN =Lag RPXTJPN RPXTNLD =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belanda LRPXTNLD =Lag RPXTNLD LRPXTCHN =Lag RPXTCHN LRPXTIDN =Lag RPXTIDN RPMTW =Hrg Ril Imp Tep Dunia QTW =Prod Tepung Dunia LRPMTW =Lag RPMTW RPMTLBY =Hrg Ril Imp Tep Libya LRPMTLBY =Lag RPMTLBY Lampiran 14. Lanjutan RPMTGOR =Hrg Ril Imp Tep GOR LRPMTGOR =Lag RPMTGOR RPMTNLD =Hrg Ril Imp Tep NLD LRPMTNLD =Lag RPMTNLD LRPMTUSA =Lag RPMTUSA LRPMTFRA =Lag RPMTFRA LRPMTIDN =Lag RPMTIDN RPMTHKG =Hrg Ril Imp Tep HKG LRPMTHKG =Lag RPMTHKG LRPMTPAK =Lag RPMTPAK LRPMTAGO =Lag RPMTAGO RPMTKOR =Hrg Ril Imp Tep KOR LRPMTKOR =Lag RPMTKOR RPXGUSA =Hrg Ril Ex Gan USA LRPXGUSA =Lag RPXGUSA LRPXGFRA =Lag RPXGFRA RPXGCAN =Hrg Ril Ex Gan CAN LRPXGCAN =Lag RPXGCAN LRPXGAUS =Lag RPXGAUS RPXGARG =Hrg Ril Ex Gan ARG LRPXGARG =Lag RPXGARG ERARG =Nilai Tukar ARG RPXGRUS =Hrg Ril Ex Gan RUS LRPXGRUS =Lag RPXGRUS LRPXGDEU =Lag RPXGDEU RPXGUKR =Hrg Ril Ex Gan UKR LRPXGUKR =Lag RPXGUKR LRPXGGBR =Lag RPXGGBR LRPXGKAZ =Lag RPXGKAZ RPMGW =Hrg Ril Impor Gan Dunia MGW =Impor Gan Dunia LRPMGW =Lag RPMGW RPMGITA =Hrg Ril Imp Gan ITA LRPMGITA =Lag RPMGITA LRPMGCHN =Lag RPMGCHN ICCHN =PDB Percapita China IMGEGY =Interv Imp Gan Mesir EREGY =Nilai Tukar Mesir LRPMGESP =Lag RPMGESP LRPMGIDN =Lag RPMGIDN DTRT =Deman Tep RT LDTRT =Lag DTRT DTKM =Deman Tep KM LDTKM =Lag DTKM DTIM =Deman Tep IM RPTPB =Hrg Ril Tep PB PDBIM =PDB Sek IM OPIM =Hrg Output IM LDTIM =Lag DTIM MARIN =Margin Industri CPIIDN =CPI Indonesia LPDBIM =Lag PDBIM DLRT =Deman Labour RT ULRT =Upah Labour RT RPTPE =Hrg Ril Tep PE OPRT =Hrg Output RT LDLRT =Lag DLRT DLKM =Deman Labour KM Lampiran 14. Lanjutan ULKM =Upah Labour KM OPKM =Hrg Output KM LDLKM =Lag DLKM DLIM =Deman Labour IM ULIM =Upah Labour IM LDLIM =Lag DLIM MARPB =Margin PB STIDN =Supply Tep Indonesia LRPTPB =Lag RPTPB MARPE =Margin PE RPMGFRA =Hrg Ril Imp Gan FRA RPMGIND =Hrg Ril Imp Gan IND RPMGMYS =Hrg Ril Imp Gan MYS RPMGMEX =Hrg Ril Imp Gan MEX RPXTBRA =Hrg Ril Ex Tep BRA RPMTTUR =Hrg Ril Imp Tep TUR RPXTESP =Hrg Ril Ex Tep ESP PENRUS =Penduduk Rusia PENDEU =Penduduk Jerman ICBRA =PDB Percapita BRASIL DGW =Demand Gandum Dunia PENEGY =Penduduk Mesir LRPXGW =Lag RPXGW LDTRS =Lag DTRS LRPTPE =Lag RPTPE XGW =Ekspor Gandum Dunia LRPGW =Lag RPGW PHIDN =Hrg Telur Indonesia RPTIDN =Hrg Ril Tep IDN XTBEL =Ekspor Tepung Belgia MTSOV =Impor Tep Soviet RPMTSOV =Hrg Ril Imp Tep Sov XTSOV =Ekspor Tep Soviet RPXTSOV =Hrg Ril Ekp Tep Sov XGSOV =Ekspor Gan Soviet RPXGSOV =Hrg Ril Eks Gan Sov MGSOV =Impor Gan Soviet RPMGSOV =Hrg Ril Imp Gan Sov RPXTDEU =Hrg Ril Ekp Tep DEU DGIDN =Deman Gan Indonesia DTIDN =Deman Tep Indonesia QTIDN =Prod Tep Indonesia DTRS =Deman Tep RS DGM =Deman Gan Makanan DTW =Deman Tep Dunia MGIUSA =Imp Gan IDN dr USA MGICAN =Imp Gan IDN dr CAN MGIAUS =Imp Gan IDN dr AUS MTIJPN =Imp Tep IDN dr JPN MTISGP =Imp Tep IDN dr SGP MTIAUS =Imp Tep IDN dr AUS KRPMTIDN =Rupiah RPMTIDN PSIDN =Hrg Gula Indonesia; run; UNTUK MELIHAT R SQUARE, COEF U, INEQUALITY U1, SIMULASI DITUTUP DAN TAHUN RANGE 1999 - 2003 Lampiran 14. Lanjutan PROC SIMNLIN DATA=ANALISIS STATS SIMULATE OUTPREDICT THEIL; ENDOGENOUS XGUSA XGFRA XGCAN XGSOV XGAUS RPXGUSA RPXGFRA RPXGCAN RPXGSOV RPXGAUS MGSOV MGITA MGBRA MGJPN MGDZA RPMGSOV RPMGITA RPMGBRA RPMGJPN RPMGDZA XTFRA XTBEL XTSOV XTTUR XTDEU RPXTFRA RPXTBEL RPXTSOV RPXTTUR RPXTDEU MTNLD MTLBY MTSOV MTUSA RPMTNLD RPMTLBY RPMTSOV RPMTUSA XGW MGW RPGW RPMGIDN XTW MTW RPXTW RPMTIDN RPTIDN RPTPB RPTPE DTIM DTKM DTRT DTRS DTIDN MTIJPN MTISGP MTIAUS MTIDN MGIUSA MGIAUS MGICAN MGIDN DGIDN DGM QTIDN; INSTRUMENTS QGBRA DGSOV QTTUR XGARG DTFRA MTPAK MGRIDN ERJPN QTSD QGFRA DGITA QTDEU XGDEU DTUSA MTHKG MTRIDN ICJPN ERLBY QGSD QGSOV DGBRA XGGBR DTIND MTFRA ICIDN MTSD QGCAN DGCHN QTPAK XGIDN DTBRA MTKOR PENIDN ICNLD DGSD QGAUS DGGBR QTIND MGCHN DTNLD XTITA ROPKM ICLBY XTSD QGIND DGIND QTSOV MGMYS DTLBY XTESP ROPRT MGSD QGPAK DGPAK QTAGO MGEGY DTSOV XTPAK PDBIM XGSD QGTUR DGTUR QTUSA MGESP DTAGO XTJPN PHIDN DTSD QGDZA DGUSA QTIRN MGMEX DTCHN XTNLD DGT QGCHN DGDEU QTBRA DTEGY XTCHN DGS QGUSA DGFRA QTEGY DTPAK DGPL QGDEU QTITA DTITA DGFM QTCHN DTTUR DGL DTIRN DGB; LDGAUS = LAGDGAUS ; LDGDZA = LAGDGDZA ; LDGFRA = LAGDGFRA ; LDGJPN = LAGDGJPN ; LDGM = LAGDGM ; LDTIDN = LAGDTIDN ; LDTKM = LAGDTKM ; LDTRS = LAGDTRS ; LPENIDN = LAGPENIDN ; LDTSOV = LAGDTSOV ; LDTTUR = LAGDTTUR ; LERJPN = LAGERJPN ; LICIDN = LAGICIDN ; LMGDZA = LAGMGDZA ; LMGICAN = LAGMGICAN ; LMGIDN = LAGMGIDN ; LMGITA = LAGMGITA ; LMGIUSA = LAGMGIUSA ; LMGJPN = LAGMGJPN ; LMGSOV = LAGMGSOV ; LMGW = LAGMGW ; LMTAGO = LAGMTAGO ; LMTIAUS = LAGMTIAUS ; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan LMTIDN = LAGMTIDN ; LMTIJPN = LAGMTIJPN ; LMTISGP = LAGMTISGP ; LMTNLD = LAGMTNLD ; LMTSOV = LAGMTSOV ; LMTUSA = LAGMTUSA ; LQGAUS = LAGQGAUS ; LQGITA = LAGQGITA ; LQGUSA = LAGQGUSA ; LQTBEL = LAGQTBEL ; LQTFRA = LAGQTFRA ; LQTIDN = LAGQTIDN ; LQTNLD = LAGQTNLD ; LRPGW = LAGRPGW ; LRPHIDN = LAGRPHIDN ; LRPMGBRA = LAGRPMGBRA; LRPMGDZA = LAGRPMGDZA; LRPMGIDN = LAGRPMGIDN; LRPMGITA = LAGRPMGITA; LRPMGJPN = LAGRPMGJPN; LRPMGRUS = LAGRPMGRUS; LRPMGSOV = LAGRPMGSOV; LRPMTIDN = LAGRPMTIDN; LRPMTLBY = LAGRPMTLBY; LRPMTNLD = LAGRPMTNLD; LRPMTSOV = LAGRPMTSOV; LRPMTUSA = LAGRPMTUSA; LRPTIDN = LAGRPTIDN ; LRPTPB = LAGRPTPB ; LRPTPE = LAGRPTPE ; LRPXGAUS = LAGRPXGAUS; LRPXGCAN = LAGRPXGCAN; LRPXGFRA = LAGRPXGFRA; LRPXGSOV = LAGRPXGSOV; LRPXGUSA = LAGRPXGUSA; LRPXTBEL = LAGRPXTBEL; LRPXTDEU = LAGRPXTDEU; LRPXTFRA = LAGRPXTFRA; LRPXTIDN = LAGRPXTIDN; LRPXTSOV = LAGRPXTSOV; LRPXTTUR = LAGRPXTTUR; LRPXTW = LAGRPXTW ; LXGAUS = LAGXGAUS ; LXGCAN = LAGXGCAN ; LXGFRA = LAGXGFRA ; LXGSOV = LAGXGSOV ; LXGUSA = LAGXGUSA ; LXGW = LAGXGW ; LXTBEL = LAGXTBEL ; LXTDEU = LAGXTDEU ; LXTFRA = LAGXTFRA ; LXTIDN = LAGXTIDN ; LXTSOV = LAGXTSOV ; LXTTUR = LAGXTTUR ; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan PARM b1 68189 b2 0.295976 c1 8141.587423 c2 0.249320 c3 0.379698 d1 3947.931722 d2 0.032875 d3 0.715746 e1 683.695321 e2 0.342609 e3 0.502637 f1 628.036102 f2 0.495951 f3 0.342267 g1 0.055546 g2 2657.019653 h0 3914202 h1 -4400.874020 h2 0.036389 h3 0.459069 i1 -0.419809 i2 0.821633 i3 -390.362789 j0 4579125 j1 11.010912 j2 0.093119 j3 -1435.408458 j4 0.044386 k1 -0.547176 k2 0.400371 k3 -72.556798 k4 0.622683 l1 -0.000002187 l2 0.000002372 l3 0.819411 m0 93.465593 m1 0.058603 m2 0.304879 n0 144.573172 n1 0.085105 o1 1.163085 p0 126.808249 p1 0.091381 p2 0.096687 q0 122.306432 q1 0.141447 r1 1.115584 s0 187.303404 s1 0.176610 t1 1.193534 u0 192.173850 u1 0.030211 v0 31.443398 v1 0.711089 v2 0.311181 w0 306.576896 w1 0.300225 x0 4502600 x1 1112.683316 x2 0.844205 x3 -0.746104 y1 844.177635 y2 0.859084 z0 176343 z1 322.313883 z2 0.002762 z3 0.698484 aa0 -565265 aa1 0.105898 bb1 0.047510 bb2 37.931896 bb3 0.609721 dd1 -36.324738 dd2 -0.475903 dd3 0.557637 dd4 0.213523 ee0 151558 ee1 -228.650142 ee2 0.427203 ff0 686424 ff1 -0.814166 ff2 0.783495 ff3 81.671002 hh1 -49.573293 hh2 0.002409 hh3 1.820884 hh4 0.786604 ii1 0.000013225 ii2 -0.000007541 ii3 0.795001 JJ0 115.137451 jj1 0.015064 jj2 0.490957 kk0 175.868815 kk1 0.031520 kk2 0.319416 ll1 1.113154 mm1 4.060191 mm2 0.641867 nn0 132.518980 nn1 0.012850 nn2 0.482896 pp0 290.158196 pp1 0.084747 qq0 219.070712 qq1 0.222936 rr1 0.871982 rr2 0.000014670 rr3 0.191775 tt0 301.710406 tt1 0.108175 uu0 214.780121 uu1 0.689786 vv1 1.052708 vv2 0.060261 vv3 -0.000416 vv4 0.000679 ww0 61.317375 ww1 0.998085 ww2 0.000002352 ww3 0.000048839 xx0 545.004483 xx1 0.861978 yy0 -1823520 yy1 -123.827332 yy2 14754 zz0 -3372195 zz1 -226.266694 zz2 27176 ab0 -238219 ab1 -15.764900 ab2 1881.487630 bc0 -263273 bc1 -21.777561 bc2 2177.349803 cd0 -2593529 cd1 -303.236962 cd2 -0.846900 cd3 857.840073 cd4 18556 de1 -529.463359 de2 -1.933650 de3 972.661506 de4 1079.520033 ef1 -377.097517 ef2 -0.645746 ef3 284.827845 ef4 1176.797773 fg1 -2.108003 fg2 -0.002051 fg3 204.105215 fg4 0.002419 fg5 0.533283 gh0 -10008 gh1 -0.079347 gh2 -0.002365 gh3 27.005679 gh4 773.495307 hi1 -10.855261 hi2 -0.013550 hi3 86.697271 hi4 0.000968; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan XGUSA = b1RPXGUSA + b2QGUSA; XGFRA = c1RPXGFRA + c2QGFRA + c3LXGFRA; XGSOV = d1RPXGSOV - LRPXGSOV + d2QGSOV + d3LXGSOV; XGCAN = e1LRPXGCAN + e2QGCAN + e3LXGCAN; XGAUS = f1RPXGAUS + f2LQGAUS + f3LXGAUS; MGSOV = g1DGSOV + g2ICRUS; MGITA = h0 + h1RPMGITA + h2DGITA + h3LMGITA; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan MGBRA = i1QGBRA + i2DGBRA + i3LRPMGBRA; MGJPN = j0 + j1ICJPN + j2LDGJPN + j3RPMGJPN - LRPMGJPN + j4LMGJPN; MGDZA = k1QGDZA + k2LDGDZA + k3RPMGDZA + k4LMGDZA; RPGW = l1LXGW + l2MGW + l3LRPGW; RPXGUSA = m0 + m1RPGW + m2LRPXGUSA; RPXGFRA = n0 + n1RPGW; RPXGSOV = o1RPGW; RPXGCAN = p0 + p1RPGW + p2LRPXGCAN; RPXGAUS = q0 + q1RPGW; RPMGSOV = r1RPGW; RPMGITA = s0 + s1LRPGW; RPMGBRA = t1RPGW; RPMGJPN = u0 + u1RPGW; RPMGDZA = v0 + v1RPGW + v2LRPMGDZA; RPMGIDN = w0 + w1LRPGW; XTFRA = x0 + x1RPXTFRA - LRPXTFRA + x2QTFRA - LQTFRA + x3DTFRA; XTBEL = y1RPXTBEL - LRPXTBEL + y2QTBEL; XTSOV = z0 + z1RPXTSOV - LRPXTSOV + z2QTSOV - LQTSOV + z3LXTSOV; XTTUR = aa0 + aa1LQTTUR; XTDEU = bb1QTDEU + bb2RPXTDEU + bb3LXTDEU; MTNLD = dd1RPMTNLD + dd2LQTNLD + dd3DTNLD + dd4LMTNLD; MTLBY = ee0 + ee1RPMTLBY + ee2LDTLBY; MTSOV = ff0 + ff1QTSOV + ff2DTSOV + ff3LICRUS; MTUSA = hh1RPMTUSA + hh2DTUSA - LDTUSA + hh3ICUSA + hh4LMTUSA; RPXTW = ii1MTW + ii2XTW + ii3LRPXTW; RPXTFRA = jj0 + jj1RPXTW + jj2LRPXTFRA; RPXTBEL = kk0 + kk1RPXTW + kk2LRPXTBEL; RPXTSOV = ll1RPXTW; RPXTTUR = mm1RPXTW + mm2LRPXTTUR; RPXTDEU = nn0 + nn1RPXTW + nn2LRPXTDEU; RPMTNLD = pp0 + pp1RPXTW; RPMTLBY = qq0 + qq1RPXTW; RPMTSOV = rr1RPXTW + rr2MTSOV + rr3LRPMTSOV; RPMTUSA = tt0 + tt1RPXTW; RPMTIDN = uu0 + uu1RPXTW; RPTIDN = vv1RPMGIDN + vv2RPMTIDN + vv3QTIDN - LQTIDN + vv4DTIDN; RPTPB = ww0 + ww1RPTIDN + ww2LDTKM + ww3DTRT; RPTPE = xx0 + xx1RPTPB; DTIM = yy0 + yy1LRPTIDN + yy2LPENIDN; DTKM = zz0 + zz1LRPTPB + zz2LPENIDN; DTRT = ab0 + ab1LRPTPB + ab2PENIDN; DTRS = bc0 + bc1LRPTPE + bc2PENIDN; MGIAUS = cd0 + cd1RPMGIDN + cd2LMTIDN + cd3ICIDN + cd4LPENIDN; MGICAN = de1LRPMGIDN + de2LMTIDN + de3ICIDN + de4PENIDN; MGIUSA = ef1RPMGIDN - RPGW + ef2LMTIDN + ef3ICIDN + ef4PENIDN; MGIDN = MGIAUS + MGICAN + MGIUSA + MGRIDN; DGIDN = MGIDN; DGM = MGIDN - DGT - DGS - DGPL - DGFM - DGL - DGB; QTIDN = 0.74 DGM; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan MTIAUS = fg1RPMTIDN + fg2MGIDN - LMGIDN + fg3PENIDN - LPENIDN + fg4DTIDN + fg5LMTIAUS; MTIJPN = gh0 + gh1RPMTIDN - LRPMTIDN + gh2MGIDN + gh3LICIDN + gh4PENIDN -LPENIDN; MTISGP = hi1RPMTIDN + hi2MGIDN + hi3LICIDN + hi4DTIDN - LDTIDN; MTIDN = MTIAUS + MTIJPN + MTISGP + MTRIDN; DTIDN = DTRS + DTRT + DTKM + DTIM; XGW = XGUSA + XGFRA + XGSOV + XGCAN + XGAUS + XGSD + XGARG + XGDEU + XGGBR; MGW = MGSOV+MGITA+MGBRA+MGJPN+MGDZA+ MGIDN + MGSD + MGMYS + MGEGY + MGESP + MGMEX + MGCHN; XTW = XTFRA+XTBEL+XTSOV+XTTUR+XTDEU+XTSD+XTITA+XTESP+XTPAK + XTJPN + XTNLD + XTCHN + XTIDN; MTW = MTNLD + MTLBY + MTSOV + MTAGO + MTUSA + MTIDN + MTSD + MTKOR + MTPAK + MTHKG + MTFRA; RANGE TAHUN=1999 TO 2003; run; Lampiran 15. Hasil Validasi Mode l Industri Penggilingan Tepung Terigu Indo nesia Tahun 1999-2003, Metode NEWTON, Prosedur SIMNLIN, Software SASETS, versi 6.12 No. Variabel RMSPE Bias Um Reg Ur Dist Ud U Theil 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1. XGUSA 6.5330 0.088 0.442 0.470 0.0310 2. XGFRA 13.0488 0.047 0.296 0.657 0.0619 3. XGCAN 16.0541 0.298 0.099 0.603 0.0638 4. XGSOV 36.7996 0.352 0.510 0.138 0.3335 5. XGAUS 14.0113 0.525 0.000 0.475 0.0589 6. RPXGUSA 12.4428 0.687 0.234 0.078 0.0555 7. RPXGFRA 31.6349 0.959 0.001 0.040 0.1336 8. RPXGCAN 9.3263 0.487 0.285 0.228 0.0421 9. RPXGSOV 110.2690 0.960 0.027 0.013 0.3410 10. RPXGAUS 6.8628 0.203 0.077 0.720 0.0312 11. MGSOV 122.5943 0.655 0.202 0.143 0.3017 12. MGITA 11.5474 0.329 0.573 0.098 0.0616 13. MGBRA 20.7937 0.723 0.220 0.056 0.1141 14. MGJPN 5.6019 0.257 0.219 0.524 0.0259 15. MGDZA 15.8344 0.342 0.213 0.445 0.0885 16. RPMGSOV 83.6376 0.935 0.035 0.030 0.2793 17. RPMGITA 48.0706 0.972 0.006 0.022 0.1884 18. RPMGBRA 38.4528 0.952 0.035 0.013 0.1606 19. RPMGJPN 7.7756 0.212 0.290 0.498 0.0370 20. RPMGDZA 29.3382 0.975 0.022 0.003 0.1279 21. XTFRA 22.4251 0.745 0.165 0.090 0.0908 22. XTBEL 23.0973 0.962 0.021 0.017 0.1325 23. XTSOV 28.0708 0.026 0.233 0.741 0.1337 24. XTTUR 94.3702 0.504 0.006 0.490 0.2453 25. XTDEU 12.5332 0.357 0.627 0.016 0.0680 26. RPXTFRA 16.4239 0.380 0.298 0.323 0.0721 27. RPXTBEL 14.2796 0.301 0.381 0.318 0.0629 28. RPXTSOV 74.6735 0.951 0.009 0.039 0.2579 29. RPXTTUR 2139 0.956 0.044 0.000 0.8642 30. RPXTDEU 23.0695 0.779 0.013 0.208 0.0980 31. MTNLD 7.2613 0.031 0.067 0.902 0.0434 32. MTLBY 45.6525 0.000 0.019 0.980 0.1716 33. MTSOV 71.3836 0.347 0.610 0.043 0.3053 34. MTUSA 8.8255 0.025 0.656 0.318 0.8642 35. RPMTNLD 72.5854 0.946 0.024 0.030 0.0980 36. RPMTLBY 49.0945 0.002 0.672 0.327 0.0434 37. RPMTSOV 29.6827 0.644 0.332 0.024 0.1716 38. RPMTUSA 3.9467 0.277 0.272 0.452 0.3053 39. XGW 2.9768 0.246 0.012 0.742 0.0463 40. MGW 2.8472 0.346 0.245 0.409 0.2431 41. RPGW 18.4082 0.962 0.004 0.034 0.1877 Lampiran 15. Lanjutan 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 42. RPMGIDN 166.5882 0.996 0.001 0.003 0.1221 43. XTW 3.9511 0.066 0.531 0.404 0.0193 44. MTW 4.5284 0.197 0.658 0.145 0.0226 45. RPXTW 18.8431 0.926 0.052 0.021 0.0863 46. RPMTIDN 120.4939 1.000 0.000 0.000 0.3744 47. RPTIDN 7.5498 0.866 0.031 0.103 0.0388 48. RPTPB 7.3400 0.865 0.031 0.105 0.0377 49. RPTPE 3.1788 0.001 0.008 0.991 0.0162 50. DTIM 16.9258 0.010 0.091 0.898 0.0828 51. DTKM 16.5730 0.075 0.080 0.845 0.0867 52. DTRT 16.8493 0.011 0.076 0.913 0.0817 53. DTRS 16.9612 0.028 0.097 0.875 0.0824 54. DTIDN 16.6356 0.044 0.083 0.873 0.0847 55. MTIJPN 74.1295 0.255 0.620 0.125 0.4343 56. MTISGP 415.4958 0.433 0.566 0.001 0.7350 57. MTIAUS 33.9148 0.434 0.165 0.402 0.2253 58. MTIDN 14.0703 0.005 0.010 0.985 0.0656 59. MGIUSA 42.8697 0.222 0.606 0.172 0.3165 60. MGIAUS 31.2662 0.001 0.148 0.851 0.1415 61. MGICAN 54.7758 0.013 0.406 0.580 0.1825 62. MGIDN 20.4555 0.011 0.528 0.461 0.1069 63. DGIDN 23.8350 0.376 0.312 0.313 0.1326 64. DGM 24.8328 0.376 0.314 0.310 0.1391 65. QTIDN 24.8328 0.376 0.314 0.310 0.1391 Lampiran 16. Program Simulasi Peramalan Tahun 2011-2015 Kebijakan Tarif dan Kuota Impor pada Model Industri Tepung Terigu Indonesia Metode NEWTON, Prosedur SIMNLIN, Software SASETS versi 6.12 options nodate nonumber; data purwoto; merge sasuser.data1yes sasuser.data2yes sasuser.data3yes sasuser.data4yes sasuser.data5yes sasuser.data6yes; if CPITUR 1 then CPITUR=1; if PXTTUR 0 then PXTTUR=1; if PXGTUR 0 then PXGTUR=1; if PLXGTUR 0 then PLXGTUR=1; if PMTTUR 0 then PMTTUR=1; if tahun = . then delete; run; data ramal; set purwoto; run; stepar, 2, expo 3 proc forecast data=ramal method=stepar trend=2 out=n_exo outdata lead=15; id tahun; RUN; data tepung; set n_exo; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGUSA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGFRA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGCAN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGSOV=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGAUS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGITA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGSOV=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGBRA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGJPN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGDZA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PXGUSA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PXGFRA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PXGCAN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PXGSOV=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PXGRUS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PXGAUS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PMGSOV=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PMGRUS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PMGITA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PMGBRA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PMGJPN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PMGDZA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PMGIDN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTFRA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTBEL=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTSOV=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTTUR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTDEU=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTIDN=1; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTNLD=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTLBY=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTAGO=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTSOV=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTUSA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PXTFRA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PXTBEL=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PXTSOV=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PXTRUS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PXTTUR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PXTDEU=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PXTIDN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PMTNLD=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PMTLBY=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PMTAGO=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PMTSOV=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PMTRUS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PMTUSA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PXTW=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PGW=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PMTIDN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PTIDN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PTPB=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then PTPE=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGM=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTIM=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTKM=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTRT=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTRS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGIUSA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGIAUS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGICAN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTIJPN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTISGP=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTIAUS=1; TAMBAHAN UNTUK MENJADIKAN EKSOGEN 1 if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPIUSA=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPIFRA=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPICAN=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPIRUS=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPIAUS=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPIITA=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPIBRA=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPIJPN=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPIDZA=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPIIDN=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPIW=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPIBEL=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPITUR=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPIDEU=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPINLD=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPILBY=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then CPIAGO=100; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGARM=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGAZR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGBLS=1; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGGOR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGKAZ=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGKYR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGLAT=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGLIT=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGMOL=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGUKR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGRUS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGARG=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGDEU=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XGGBR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGIDN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGIDN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGMYS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGEGY=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGESP=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGMEX=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGCHN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTIDN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTKOR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTPAK=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTHKG=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTFRA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTGOR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTESP=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTITA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTPAK=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTJPN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTNLD=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTCHN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTSOV=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGFRA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGDEU=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGCHN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGGBR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGIND=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGPAK=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGTUR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGUSA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGITA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGIDN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGSD=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGSOV=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGRUS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGARM=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGAZR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGBLS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGGOR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGKAZ=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGKYR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGLAT=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGLIT=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGMOL=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGUKR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DGRUS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then QTARM=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then QTAZR=1; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan if _TYPE_=FORECAST then QTBLS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then QTGOR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then QTKAZ=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then QTKYR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then QTLAT=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then QTLIT=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then QTMOL=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then QTUKR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then QTRUS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTCHN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTUSA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTIND=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTBRA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTEGY=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTPAK=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTTUR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTITA=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTIDN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTIRN=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTSD=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTSOV=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTARM=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTAZR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTBLS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTGOR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTKAZ=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTKYR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTLAT=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTLIT=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTMOL=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTUKR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then DTRUS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGARM=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGAZR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGBLS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGGOR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGKAZ=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGKYR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGLAT=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGLIT=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGMOL=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGUKR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MGRUS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTARM=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTAZR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTBLS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTGOR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTKAZ=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTKYR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTLAT=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTLIT=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTMOL=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTUKR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then XTRUS=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTARM=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTAZR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTBLS=1; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTGOR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTKAZ=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTKYR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTLAT=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTLIT=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTMOL=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTUKR=1; if _TYPE_=FORECAST then MTRUS=1; run; data RAMENDO; set TEPUNG; QTIDN = 0.74DGM; STIDN = QTIDN + MTIDN - XTIDN; MGIDN = MGIUSA + MGIAUS + MGICAN + MGRIDN; MTIDN = MTIJPN + MTISGP + MTIAUS + MTRIDN; DGIDN = MGIDN; DGM = MGIDN - DGT - DGS - DGPL - DGFM - DGL - DGB; ZGIDN = DGIDN - MGIDN; LSTIDN = LagSTIDN; ZTIDN = STIDN - DTIDN; PMTIDR = PMTIDN ERIDN; RPTIDN = PTIDN CPIIDN100; RPMTIDR = PMTIDR CPIIDN100; RPTPB = PTPB CPIIDN100; RPTPE = PTPE CPIIDN100; MARIN = RPTIDN - RPMTIDR; MARPB = RPTPB - RPTIDN; MARPE = RPTPE - RPTPB; DTIDN = DTRT + DTKM + DTIM + DTRS; QGSOV = QGARM +QGAZR +QGBLS +QGGOR +QGKAZ +QGKYR +QGLAT +QGLIT +QGMOL +QGUKR +QGRUS; DGSOV = DGARM +DGAZR +DGBLS +DGGOR +DGKAZ +DGKYR +DGLAT +DGLIT +DGMOL +DGUKR +DGRUS; QTSOV = QTARM +QTAZR +QTBLS +QGOR +QTKAZ +QTKYR +QTLAT +QTLIT +QTMOL +QTUKR +QTRUS; DTSOV = DTARM +DTAZR +DTBLS +DTGOR +DTKAZ +DTKYR +DTLAT +DTLIT +DTMOL +DTUKR +DTRUS; XGSOV = XGARM +XGAZR +XGBLS +XGGOR +XGKAZ +XGKYR +XGLAT +XGLIT +XGMOL +XGUKR +XGRUS; MGSOV = MGARM +MGAZR +MGBLS +MGGOR +MGKAZ +MGKYR +MGLAT +MGLIT +MGMOL +MGUKR +MGRUS; XTSOV = XTARM +XTAZR +XTBLS +XTGOR +XTKAZ +XTKYR +XTLAT +XTLIT +XTMOL +XTUKR +XTRUS; MTSOV = MTARM +MTAZR +MTBLS +MTGOR +MTKAZ +MTKYR +MTLAT +MTLIT +MTMOL +MTUKR +MTRUS; XGSD = XGRW - XGSOV + XGRUS + XGUKR + XGKAZ; MGSD = MGRW - MGSOV; XTSD = XTRW - XTSOV; MTSD = MTRW - MTSOV + MTGOR; XGW = XGUSA + XGFRA + XGSOV + XGCAN + XGAUS + XGSD + XGARG + XGDEU + XGGBR; MGW = MGSOV +MGITA +MGBRA +MGJPN +MGDZA +MGIDN +MGSD +MGMYS +MGEGY +MGESP +MGMEX + MGCHN; XTW = XTFRA +XTBEL +XTSOV +XTTUR +XTDEU+XTSD+XTITA+XTESP+XTPAK+XTJPN+XTNLD+XTCHN + XTIDN; MTW = MTNLD +MTLBY +MTSOV + MTAGO + MTUSA + MTIDN + MTSD + MTKOR + MTPAK + MTHKG + MTFRA; OMGW = MGSOV +MGITA +MGBRA +MGJPN +MGDZA +MGSD +MGMYS +MGEGY +MGESP +MGMEX +MGCHN; QGSD = QGRW - QGSOV + QGRUS; DGSD = DGRW - DGSOV + DGRUS; QTSD = QTRW - QTSOV + QTRUS; DTSD = DTRW - DTSOV + DTRUS; QGW = QGCHN + QGPAK + QGTUR + QGAUS + QGFRA + QGIND + QGUSA + QGCAN + QGDEU + QGSD; DGW = DGFRA +DGDEU +DGCHN +DGGBR +DGIND +DGPAK +DGTUR +DGUSA +DGITA +DGIDN +DGSD; QTW = QTCHN +QTIND +QTUSA +QTPAK +QTTUR +QTIRN +QTBRA +QTEGY +QTITA +QTIDN +QTSD; DTW = DTCHN +DTUSA +DTIND +DTBRA +DTEGY +DTPAK +DTTUR +DTITA +DTIDN +DTIRN +DTSD; Lampiran 14. Lanjutan Merilkan data Nominal RPMGTUR = PMGTUR CPITUR100; RPXGCHN = PXGCHN CPICHN100; RPLXGCHN= PLXGCHNCPICHN100; RPXGPAK = PXGPAK CPIPAK100; RPLXGPAK= PLXGPAKCPIPAK100; RPXGAUS = PXGAUS CPIAUS100; RPLXGAUS= PLXGAUSCPIAUS100; RPXGFRA = PXGFRA CPIFRA100; RPXGDEU = PXGDEU CPIDEU100; RPMGRUS = PMGRUS CPIRUS100; RPMGDEU = PMGDEU CPIDEU100; RPMGGBR = PMGGBR CPIGBR100; RPMGIDN = PMGIDN CPIIDN100; RPMGFRA = PMGFRA CPIFRA100; RPGW = PGW CPIW 100; RPXGGBR = PXGGBR CPIGBR100; RPXGKAZ = PXGKAZ CPIKAZ100; RPXGIDN = PXGIDN CPIIDN100; RPMGDZA = PMGDZA CPIDZA100; RPMGMYS = PMGMYS CPIMYS100; RPMGEGY = PMGEGY CPIEGY100; RPMGESP = PMGESP CPIESP100; RPMGMEX = PMGMEX CPIMEX100; RPMGJPN = PMGJPN CPIJPN100; RPMGCHN = PMGCHN CPICHN100; RPMGBRA = PMGBRA CPIBRA100; RPXTIND = PXTIND CPIIND100; RPXGW = PXGW CPIW 100; RPXTSOV = PXTRUS CPIRUS100; RPXTRUS = PXTRUS CPIRUS100; RPXTIRN = PXTIRN CPIIRN100; RPXTITA = PXTITA CPIITA100; RPXTIDN = PXTIDN CPIIDN100; RPMTUSA = PMTUSA CPIUSA100; RPMTIND = PMTIND CPIIND100; RPMTSOV = PMTRUS CPIRUS100; RPMTRUS = PMTRUS CPIRUS100; RPMTBRA = PMTBRA CPIBRA100; RPMTPAK = PMTPAK CPIPAK100; RPMTITA = PMTITA CPIITA100; RPMTIRN = PMTIRN CPIIRN100; RPXTFRA = PXTFRA CPIFRA100; RPXTPAK = PXTPAK CPIPAK100; RPXTCHN = PXTCHN CPICHN100; RPLMTLBY= PLMTLBYCPILBY100; RPLMTKOR= PLMTKORCPIKOR100; RPMTIDN = PMTIDN CPIIDN100; RPLMTHKG= PLMTHKGCPIHKG100; RPMTFRA = PMTFRA CPIFRA100; RPLMTFRA= PLMTFRACPIFRA100; RPMTAGO = PMTAGO CPIAGO100; RPLMTAGO= PLMTAGOCPIAGO100; RPXTW = PXTW CPIW 100; RPXTBEL = PXTBEL CPIBEL100; RPXTJPN = PXTJPN CPIJPN100; RPXTNLD = PXTNLD CPINLD100; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan RPMTW = PMTW CPIW 100; RPMTLBY = PMTLBY CPILBY100; RPMTGOR = PMTGOR CPIGOR100; RPMTNLD = PMTNLD CPINLD100; RPMTHKG = PMTHKG CPIHKG100; RPMTKOR = PMTKOR CPIKOR100; RPXGUSA = PXGUSA CPIUSA100; RPXGCAN = PXGCAN CPICAN100; RPXGARG = PXGARG CPIARG100; RPMGSOV = PMGRUS CPIRUS100; RPXGSOV = PXGRUS CPIRUS100; RPXGRUS = PXGRUS CPIRUS100; RPXGUKR = PXGUKR CPIUKR100; RPMGW = PMGW CPIW 100; RPMGITA = PMGITA CPIITA100; RPXTDEU = PXTDEU CPIDEU100; RPXTESP = PXTESP CPIESP100; RPXGIND = PXGIND CPIIND100; RPMGIND = PMGIND CPIIND100; RPMGUSA = PMGUSA CPIUSA100; RPXTUSA = PXTUSA CPIUSA100; RPXTBRA = PXTBRA CPIBRA100; RPMTCHN = PMTCHN CPICHN100; RPMTEGY = PMTEGY CPIEGY100; RPXTEGY = PXTEGY CPIEGY100; RPXTTUR = PXTTUR CPITUR100; RPXGTUR = PXGTUR CPITUR100; RPLXGTUR= PLXGTURCPITUR100; RPMTTUR = PMTTUR CPITUR100; RPXTCAN = PXTCAN CPICAN100; RPXTAUS = PXTAUS CPIAUS100; RPXTUKR = PXTUKR CPIUKR100; RPXTGBR = PXTGBR CPIGBR100; RPXTARG = PXTARG CPIARG100; RPMTDZA = PMTDZA CPIDZA100; RPMTCAN = PMTCAN CPICAN100; RPMTARG = PMTARG CPIARG100; RPMTDEU = PMTDEU CPIDEU100; RPMTMYS = PMTMYS CPIMYS100; RPMTESP = PMTESP CPIESP100; RPMTJPN = PMTJPN CPIJPN100; RPXGBEL = PXGBEL CPIBEL100; RPXGITA = PXGITA CPIITA100; RPXGESP = PXGESP CPIESP100; RPXGNLD = PXGNLD CPINLD100; RPMGLBY = PMGITA CPIITA100; RPXTKOR = PXTDEU CPIDEU100; RPXTNLD = PXTESP CPIESP100; RPXGAGO = PXGAGO CPIAGO100; RPXGJPN = PXGJPN CPIJPN100; RPMGHKG = PMGHKG CPIHKG100; RPMGGOR = PMGGOR CPIGOR100; RPMGNLD = PMGNLD CPINLD100; RPMGKOR = PMGKOR CPIKOR100; RPMGAGO = PMGAGO CPIAGO100; RPXTKAZ = PXTKAZ CPIKAZ100; RPMGPAK = PMGPAK CPIPAK100; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan RPMTBEL = PMTBEL CPIBEL100; RPMTMEX = PMTMEX CPIMEX100; RPHIDN = PHIDN CPIIDN100; RPSIDN = PSIDN CPIIDN100; ROPRT = OPRT CPIIDN100; ROPKM = OPKM CPIIDN100; RPMGIUSA = PMGIUSACPIUSA100; RPMGIAUS = PMGIAUSCPIAUS100; RPMGICAN = PMGICANCPICAN100; RPMTIJPN = PMTIJPNCPIJPN100; RPMTISGP = PMTISGPCPISGP100; RPMTIAUS = PMTIAUSCPIAUS100; Membuat Nilai Tukar Thd Indonesia ERIUSA = 1ERUSA; ERIAUS = ERAUSERIDN; ERICAN = ERCANERIDN; ERIJPN = ERJPNERIDN; ERISGP = ERSGPERIDN; Membuat Variabel Lag LQTW = LagQTW; LQGW = LagQGW; LMTW = LagMTW; LXTW = LagXTW; LMGW = LagMGW; LXGW = LagXGW; LIRCAN = LagIRCAN; LIRAUS = LagIRAUS; LIRTUR = LagIRTUR; LIRIDN = LagIRIDN; LIREGY = LagIREGY; LIRTUR = LagIRTUR; LIRPAK = LagIRPAK; LIRIND = LagIRIND; LCPIHKG = LagCPIHKG; LCPIPAK = LagCPIPAK; LCPIUSA = LagCPIUSA; LCPINLD = LagCPINLD; LCPIKOR = LagCPIKOR; LCPILBY = LagCPILBY; LCPIBRA = LagCPIBRA; LCPIIDN = LagCPIIDN; LCPIJPN = LagCPIJPN; LCPIESP = LagCPIESP; LCPIEGY = LagCPIEGY; LCPIMYS = LagCPIMYS; LCPIITA = LagCPIITA; LCPIDZA = LagCPIDZA; LCPIGOR = LagCPIGOR; LCPIAGO = LagCPIAGO; LTEGAUS = LagTEGAUS; LPENGBR = LagPENGBR; LPENIRN = LagPENIRN; LPENITA = LagPENITA; LPENTUR = LagPENTUR; LPENEGY = LagPENEGY; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan LPENRUS = LagPENRUS; LPENIND = LagPENIND; LPENCHN = LagPENCHN; LPENGOR = LagPENGOR; LPENFRA = LagPENFRA; LPENHKG = LagPENHKG; LPENIDN = LagPENIDN; LPENPAK = LagPENPAK; LPENNLD = LagPENNLD; LICRUS = LagICRUS; LICGBR = LagICGBR; LICIRN = LagICIRN; LICITA = LagICITA; LICTUR = LagICTUR; LICCHN = LagICCHN; LICBRA = LagICBRA; LICIDN = LagICIDN; LICJPN = LagICJPN; LICEGY = LagICEGY; LICMYS = LagICMYS; LICDZA = LagICDZA; LICGOR = LagICGOR; LICAGO = LagICAGO; LICFRA = LagICFRA; LICHKG = LagICHKG; LICIND = LagICIND; LICPAK = LagICPAK; LICUSA = LagICUSA; LICNLD = LagICNLD; LICKOR = LagICKOR; LICLBY = LagICLBY; LERICAN = LagERICAN; LERIAUS = LagERIAUS; LEREGY = LagEREGY; LERMEX = LagERMEX; LERBRA = LagERBRA; LERCHN = LagERCHN; LERMYS = LagERMYS; LERDZA = LagERDZA; LERKAZ = LagERKAZ; LERGBR = LagERGBR; LERUKR = LagERUKR; LERRUS = LagERRUS; LERARG = LagERARG; LERAUS = LagERAUS; LERCAN = LagERCAN; LERGOR = LagERGOR; LERAGO = LagERAGO; LERHKG = LagERHKG; LERIDN = LagERIDN; LERPAK = LagERPAK; LERNLD = LagERNLD; LERKOR = LagERKOR; LERLBY = LagERLBY; LERCHN = LagERCHN; LERNLD = LagERNLD; LERJPN = LagERJPN; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan LERPAK = LagERPAK; LERFRA = LagERFRA; LERDEU = LagERDEU; LERESP = LagERESP; LERTUR = LagERTUR; LERITA = LagERITA; LERBEL = LagERBEL; LQGEGY = LagQGEGY; LQGTUR = LagQGTUR; LQGGBR = LagQGGBR; LQGUKR = LagQGUKR; LQGDEU = LagQGDEU; LQGRUS = LagQGRUS; LQGAUS = LagQGAUS; LQGCAN = LagQGCAN; LQGUSA = LagQGUSA; LQGGOR = LagQGGOR; LQGLBY = LagQGLBY; LQGFRA = LagQGFRA; LQGJPN = LagQGJPN; LQGESP = LagQGESP; LQGMEX = LagQGMEX; LQGEGY = LagQGEGY; LQGITA = LagQGITA; LQGDZA = LagQGDZA; LQGBRA = LagQGBRA; LQGARG = LagQGARG; LQGKAZ = LagQGKAZ; LQGCHN = LagQGCHN; LQGPAK = LagQGPAK; LQGSOV = LagQGSOV; LDGSOV = LagDGSOV; LDGBRA = LagDGBRA; LDGJPN = LagDGJPN; LDGMEX = LagDGMEX; LDGESP = LagDGESP; LDGEGY = LagDGEGY; LDGMYS = LagDGMYS; LDGDZA = LagDGDZA; LDGITA = LagDGITA; LDGKAZ = LagDGKAZ; LDGGBR = LagDGGBR; LDGUKR = LagDGUKR; LDGDEU = LagDGDEU; LDGRUS = LagDGRUS; LDGARG = LagDGARG; LDGAUS = LagDGAUS; LDGCAN = LagDGCAN; LDGUSA = LagDGUSA; LDGFRA = LagDGFRA; LDGCHN = LagDGCHN; LDGIDN = LagDGIDN; LDGIND = LagDGIND; LDGTUR = LagDGTUR; LXGSOV = LagXGSOV; LXGCHN = LagXGCHN; LXGJPN = LagXGJPN; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan LXGMEX = LagXGMEX; LXGDZA = LagXGDZA; LXGITA = LagXGITA; LXGBRA = LagXGBRA; LXGESP = LagXGESP; LXGUSA = LagXGUSA; LXGFRA = LagXGFRA; LXGCAN = LagXGCAN; LXGAUS = LagXGAUS; LXGARG = LagXGARG; LXGRUS = LagXGRUS; LXGDEU = LagXGDEU; LXGUKR = LagXGUKR; LXGGBR = LagXGGBR; LXGKAZ = LagXGKAZ; LXGIDN = LagXGIDN; LMGSOV = LagMGSOV; LMGCHN = LagMGCHN; LMGFRA = LagMGFRA; LMGCAN = LagMGCAN; LMGAUS = LagMGAUS; LMGDEU = LagMGDEU; LMGRUS = LagMGRUS; LMGARG = LagMGARG; LMGDZA = LagMGDZA; LMGITA = LagMGITA; LMGMYS = LagMGMYS; LMGEGY = LagMGEGY; LMGESP = LagMGESP; LMGMEX = LagMGMEX; LMGJPN = LagMGJPN; LMGCHN = LagMGCHN; LMGIDN = LagMGIDN; LMGBRA = LagMGBRA; LOMGW = LagOMGW; LMGIUSA = LagMGIUSA; LMGIAUS = LagMGIAUS; LMGICAN = LagMGICAN; LRPGW = LagRPGW; LRPXGW = LagRPXGW; LRPMGW = LagRPMGW; LRPHIDN = LagRPHIDN; LRPSIDN = LagRPSIDN; LRPXGESP = LagRPXGESP; LRPXGBEL = LagRPXGBEL; LRPXGTUR = LagRPXGTUR; LRPXGPAK = LagRPXGPAK; LRPXGUSA = LagRPXGUSA; LRPXGFRA = LagRPXGFRA; LRPXGCAN = LagRPXGCAN; LRPXGAUS = LagRPXGAUS; LRPXGARG = LagRPXGARG; LRPXGSOV = LagRPXGSOV; LRPXGRUS = LagRPXGRUS; LRPXGDEU = LagRPXGDEU; LRPXGUKR = LagRPXGUKR; LRPXGGBR = LagRPXGGBR; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan LRPXGKAZ = LagRPXGKAZ; LRPXGCHN = LagRPXGCHN; LRPXGIDN = LagRPXGIDN; LRPXGITA = LagRPXGITA; LRPXGJPN = LagRPXGJPN; LRPXGNLD = LagRPXGNLD; LRPMGAGO = LagRPMGAGO; LRPMGGOR = LagRPMGGOR; LRPMGHKG = LagRPMGHKG; LRPMGNLD = LagRPMGNLD; LRPMGKOR = LagRPMGKOR; LRPMGLBY = LagRPMGLBY; LRPMGTUR = LagRPMGTUR; LRPMGUSA = LagRPMGUSA; LRPMGPAK = LagRPMGPAK; LRPMGIND = LagRPMGIND; LRPMGGBR = LagRPMGGBR; LRPMGFRA = LagRPMGFRA; LRPMGBRA = LagRPMGBRA; LRPMGDZA = LagRPMGDZA; LRPMGITA = LagRPMGITA; LRPMGCHN = LagRPMGCHN; LRPMGEGY = LagRPMGEGY; LRPMGESP = LagRPMGESP; LRPMGMEX = LagRPMGMEX; LRPMGJPN = LagRPMGJPN; LRPMGIDN = LagRPMGIDN; LRPMGMYS = LagRPMGMYS; LRPMGRUS = LagRPMGRUS; LRPMGSOV = LagRPMGSOV; LQTSOV = LagQTSOV; LQTKOR = LagQTKOR; LQTFRA = LagQTFRA; LQTDEU = LagQTDEU; LQTAGO = LagQTAGO; LQTUSA = LagQTUSA; LQTGOR = LagQTGOR; LQTLBY = LagQTLBY; LQTNLD = LagQTNLD; LQTDEU = LagQTDEU; LQTIDN = LagQTIDN; LQTCHN = LagQTCHN; LQTJPN = LagQTJPN; LQTPAK = LagQTPAK; LQTFRA = LagQTFRA; LQTESP = LagQTESP; LQTTUR = LagQTTUR; LQTBEL = LagQTBEL; LQTITA = LagQTITA; LQTIND = LagQTIND; LQTRUS = LagQTRUS; LQTIRN = LagQTIRN; LQTBRA = LagQTBRA; LQTEGY = LagQTEGY; LDTSOV = LagDTSOV; LDTHKG = LagDTHKG; LDTGOR = LagDTGOR; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan LDTIDN = LagDTIDN; LDTNLD = LagDTNLD; LDTJPN = LagDTJPN; LDTESP = LagDTESP; LDTDEU = LagDTDEU; LDTBEL = LagDTBEL; LDTIRN = LagDTIRN; LDTBRA = LagDTBRA; LDTIND = LagDTIND; LDTCHN = LagDTCHN; LDTUSA = LagDTUSA; LDTRUS = LagDTRUS; LDTEGY = LagDTEGY; LDTPAK = LagDTPAK; LDTTUR = LagDTTUR; LDTITA = LagDTITA; LDTFRA = LagDTFRA; LDTLBY = LagDTLBY; LXTSOV = LagXTSOV; LXTUKR = LagXTUKR; LXTKOR = LagXTKOR; LXTAGO = LagXTAGO; LXTUSA = LagXTUSA; LXTGOR = LagXTGOR; LXTLBY = LagXTLBY; LXTBEL = LagXTBEL; LXTDEU = LagXTDEU; LXTITA = LagXTITA; LXTTUR = LagXTTUR; LXTESP = LagXTESP; LXTFRA = LagXTFRA; LXTPAK = LagXTPAK; LXTJPN = LagXTJPN; LXTNLD = LagXTNLD; LXTCHN = LagXTCHN; LXTIDN = LagXTIDN; LMTSOV = LagMTSOV; LMTCHN = LagMTCHN; LMTJPN = LagMTJPN; LMTESP = LagMTESP; LMTITA = LagMTITA; LMTDEU = LagMTDEU; LMTBEL = LagMTBEL; LMTLBY = LagMTLBY; LMTKOR = LagMTKOR; LMTNLD = LagMTNLD; LMTUSA = LagMTUSA; LMTPAK = LagMTPAK; LMTIDN = LagMTIDN; LMTHKG = LagMTHKG; LMTFRA = LagMTFRA; LMTAGO = LagMTAGO; LMTGOR = LagMTGOR; LMTIJPN = LagMTIJPN; LMTISGP = LagMTISGP; LMTIAUS = LagMTIAUS; LRPXTSOV = LagRPXTSOV; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan LRPXTUKR = LagRPXTUKR; LRPXTAUS = LagRPXTAUS; LRPXTCAN = LagRPXTCAN; LRPXTKAZ = LagRPXTKAZ; LRPXTGBR = LagRPXTGBR; LRPXTRUS = LagRPXTRUS; LRPXTUSA = LagRPXTUSA; LRPXTEGY = LagRPXTEGY; LRPXTBRA = LagRPXTBRA; LRPXTBEL = LagRPXTBEL; LRPXTDEU = LagRPXTDEU; LRPXTITA = LagRPXTITA; LRPXTTUR = LagRPXTTUR; LRPXTESP = LagRPXTESP; LRPXTPAK = LagRPXTPAK; LRPXTFRA = LagRPXTFRA; LRPXTJPN = LagRPXTJPN; LRPXTNLD = LagRPXTNLD; LRPXTCHN = LagRPXTCHN; LRPXTIDN = LagRPXTIDN; LRPXTW = LagRPXTW; LRPMTW = LagRPMTW; LRPMTCAN = LagRPMTCAN; LRPMTDZA = LagRPMTDZA; LRPMTEGY = LagRPMTEGY; LRPMTIRN = LagRPMTIRN; LRPMTITA = LagRPMTITA; LRPMTTUR = LagRPMTTUR; LRPMTSOV = LagRPMTSOV; LRPMTRUS = LagRPMTRUS; LRPMTCHN = LagRPMTCHN; LRPMTBEL = LagRPMTBEL; LRPMTLBY = LagRPMTLBY; LRPMTGOR = LagRPMTGOR; LRPMTNLD = LagRPMTNLD; LRPMTUSA = LagRPMTUSA; LRPMTFRA = LagRPMTFRA; LRPMTIDN = LagRPMTIDN; LRPMTHKG = LagRPMTHKG; LRPMTPAK = LagRPMTPAK; LRPMTAGO = LagRPMTAGO; LRPMTKOR = LagRPMTKOR; LRPMTMYS = LagRPMTMYS; LRPMTMEX = LagRPMTMEX; LRPMTJPN = LagRPMTJPN; LRPMTBRA = LagRPMTBRA; LRPMTESP = LagRPMTESP; LERIUSA = LagERIUSA; LDGM = LagDGM; LULRT = LagULRT; LULKM = LagULKM; LULIM = LagULIM; LOPRT = LagOPRT; LOPKM = LagOPKM; LOPIM = LagOPIM; LDTRT = LagDTRT; LDTKM = LagDTKM; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan LDTIM = LagDTIM; LDTRS = LagDTRS; LPDBIM = LagPDBIM; LZTIDN = LagZTIDN; LSTIDN = LagSTIDN; LDLRT = LagDLRT; LDLKM = LagDLKM; LDLIM = LagDLIM; LRPTIDN = LagRPTIDN; LRPTPB = LagRPTPB; LRPTPE = LagRPTPE; LPMGIUSA = LagRPMGIUSA; LPMGIAUS = LagRPMGIAUS; LPMGICAN = LagRPMGICAN; LPMTIJPN = LagRPMTIJPN; LPMTISGP = LagRPMTISGP; LPMTIAUS = LagRPMTIAUS; LROPKM = LagROPKM; LROPRT = LagROPRT; membuat variabel ZQTW = QTW - LQTW; ZQGW = QGW - LQGW; ZMTW = MTW - LMTW; ZXTW = XTW - LXTW; ZMGW = MGW - LMGW; ZXGW = XGW - LXGW; ZRPGW = RPGW - LRPGW; ZRPXGKAZ = RPXGKAZ - LRPXGKAZ; ZRPXGJPN = RPXGJPN - LRPXGJPN; ZRPXGITA = RPXGITA - LRPXGITA; ZRPXGIDN = RPXGIDN - LRPXGIDN; ZRPXGBEL = RPXGBEL - LRPXGBEL; ZRPXGGBR = RPXGGBR - LRPXGGBR; ZRPXGUKR = RPXGUKR - LRPXGUKR; ZRPXGUSA = RPXGUSA - LRPXGUSA; ZRPXGCHN = RPXGCHN - LRPXGCHN; ZRPXGPAK = RPXGPAK - LRPXGPAK; ZRPXGTUR = RPXGTUR - LRPXGTUR; ZRPXGTUR = RPXGTUR - LRPXGTUR; ZRPXGAUS = RPXGAUS - LRPXGAUS; ZRPXGFRA = RPXGFRA - LRPXGFRA; ZRPXGCAN = RPXGCAN - LRPXGCAN; ZRPXGDEU = RPXGDEU - LRPXGDEU; ZRPXGRUS = RPXGRUS - LRPXGRUS; ZRPXGSOV = RPXGSOV - LRPXGSOV; ZXGSOV = XGAUS - LXGSOV; ZXGAUS = XGAUS - LXGAUS; ZXGIDN = XGIDN - LXGIDN; ZXGKAZ = XGKAZ - LXGKAZ; ZXGGBR = XGGBR - LXGGBR; ZXGARG = XGARG - LXGARG; ZXGRUS = XGRUS - LXGRUS; ZXGCHN = XGCHN - LXGCHN; ZXGJPN = XGJPN - LXGJPN; ZXGDZA = XGDZA - LXGDZA; ZXGFRA = XGFRA - LXGFRA; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan ZXGUSA = XGUSA - LXGUSA; ZXGCAN = XGCAN - LXGCAN; ZXGITA = XGITA - LXGITA; ZXGARG = XGARG - LXGARG; ZXGBRA = XGBRA - LXGBRA; ZXGUKR = XGUKR - LXGUKR; ZRPMGBRA = RPMGBRA - LRPMGBRA; ZRPMGPAK = RPMGPAK - LRPMGPAK; ZRPMGKOR = RPMGKOR - LRPMGKOR; ZRPMGLBY = RPMGLBY - LRPMGLBY; ZRPMGGOR = RPMGGOR - LRPMGGOR; ZRPMGJPN = RPMGJPN - LRPMGJPN; ZRPMGDZA = RPMGDZA - LRPMGDZA; ZRPMGTUR = RPMGTUR - LRPMGTUR; ZRPMGRUS = RPMGRUS - LRPMGRUS; ZRPMGFRA = RPMGFRA - LRPMGFRA; ZRPMGCHN = RPMGCHN - LRPMGCHN; ZRPMGGBR = RPMGGBR - LRPMGGBR; ZRPMGIND = RPMGIND - LRPMGIND; ZRPMGUSA = RPMGUSA - LRPMGUSA; ZRPMGITA = RPMGITA - LRPMGITA; ZRPMGIDN = RPMGIDN - LRPMGIDN; ZQGSOV = QGDEU - LQGSOV; ZQGDEU = QGDEU - LQGDEU; ZQGFRA = QGFRA - LQGFRA; ZQGJPN = QGJPN - LQGJPN; ZQGESP = QGESP - LQGESP; ZQGMEX = QGMEX - LQGMEX; ZQGEGY = QGEGY - LQGEGY; ZQGCAN = QGCAN - LQGCAN; ZQGUSA = QGUSA - LQGUSA; ZQGBRA = QGBRA - LQGBRA; ZQGRUS = QGRUS - LQGRUS; ZQGAUS = QGAUS - LQGAUS; ZQGITA = QGITA - LQGITA; ZQGKAZ = QGKAZ - LQGKAZ; ZQGUKR = QGUKR - LQGUKR; ZQGARG = QGARG - LQGARG; ZQDGDZA = QGDZA - DGDZA; ZQDGFRA = QGFRA - DGFRA; ZQDGUSA = QGUSA - DGUSA; ZMGSOV = MGSOV - LMGSOV; ZMGDZA = MGDZA - LMGDZA; ZMGCHN = MGCHN - LMGCHN; ZMGIDN = MGIDN - LMGIDN; ZMGESP = MGESP - LMGESP; ZMGMYS = MGMYS - LMGMYS; ZMGITA = MGITA - LMGITA; ZMGBRA = MGBRA - LMGBRA; ZMGJPN = MGJPN - LMGJPN; ZMGMEX = MGMEX - LMGMEX; ZMGFRA = MGFRA - LMGFRA; ZMGEGY = MGEGY - LMGEGY; ZMGARG = MGARG - LMGARG; ZDGBRA = DGBRA - LDGBRA; ZDGDZA = DGDZA - LDGDZA; ZDGRUS = DGRUS - LDGRUS; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan ZDGEGY = DGEGY - LDGEGY; ZDGJPN = DGJPN - LDGJPN; ZDGDEU = DGDEU - LDGDEU; ZDGAUS = DGAUS - LDGAUS; ZDGGBR = DGGBR - LDGGBR; ZDGIDN = DGIDN - LDGIDN; ZDGMEX = DGMEX - LDGMEX; ZDGFRA = DGFRA - LDGFRA; ZDGKAZ = DGKAZ - LDGKAZ; ZDGUKR = DGUKR - LDGUKR; ZDGCAN = DGCAN - LDGCAN; ZDGMYS = DGMYS - LDGMYS; ZDGUSA = DGUSA - LDGUSA; ZDQGFRA = DGFRA - QGFRA; ZDQGUSA = DGUSA - QGUSA; ZQDGUSA = QGUSA - DGUSA; ZRPGW = RPGW - LRPGW; ZRPMTW = RPMTW - LRPMTW; ZQTSOV = QTSOV - LQTSOV; ZQTLBY = QTLBY - LQTLBY; ZQTITA = QTITA - LQTITA; ZQTRUS = QTRUS - LQTRUS; ZQTGOR = QTGOR - LQTGOR; ZQTUSA = QTUSA - LQTUSA; ZQTIDN = QTIDN - LQTIDN; ZQTCHN = QTCHN - LQTCHN; ZQTNLD = QTNLD - LQTNLD; ZQTJPN = QTJPN - LQTJPN; ZQTPAK = QTPAK - LQTPAK; ZQTFRA = QTFRA - LQTFRA; ZQTESP = QTESP - LQTESP; ZQTTUR = QTTUR - LQTTUR; ZQTDEU = QTDEU - LQTDEU; ZQTBEL = QTBEL - LQTBEL; ZDTHKG = DTHKG - LDTHKG; ZDTGOR = DTGOR - LDTGOR; ZDTUSA = DTUSA - LDTUSA; ZDTIDN = DTIDN - LDTIDN; ZDTCHN = DTCHN - LDTCHN; ZDTNLD = DTNLD - LDTNLD; ZDTJPN = DTJPN - LDTJPN; ZDTPAK = DTPAK - LDTPAK; ZDTESP = DTESP - LDTESP; ZDTTUR = DTTUR - LDTTUR; ZDTITA = DTITA - LDTITA; ZDTDEU = DTDEU - LDTDEU; ZDTBEL = DTBEL - LDTBEL; ZDTSOV = DTSOV - LDTSOV; ZMTSOV = MTSOV - LMTSOV; ZMTPAK = MTPAK - LMTKOR; ZMTKOR = MTKOR - LMTKOR; ZMTGOR = MTGOR - LMTGOR; ZMTFRA = MTFRA - LMTFRA; ZMTKOR = MTKOR - LMTKOR; ZMTNLD = MTNLD - LMTNLD; ZMTAGO = MTAGO - LMTAGO; ZMTLBY = MTLBY - LMTLBY; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan ZMTESP = MTESP - LMTESP; ZMTBEL = MTBEL - LMTBEL; ZMTIDN = MTIDN - LMTIDN; ZMTUSA = MTUSA - LMTUSA; ZMTITA = MTITA - LMTITA; ZMTHKG = MTHKG - LMTHKG; ZXTDEU = XTDEU - LXTDEU; ZXTBEL = XTBEL - LXTBEL; ZXTIDN = XTIDN - LXTIDN; ZXTSOV = XTSOV - LXTSOV; ZXTNLD = XTNLD - LXTNLD; ZXTITA = XTITA - LXTITA; ZXTFRA = XTFRA - LXTFRA; ZXTESP = XTESP - LXTESP; ZXTCHN = XTCHN - LXTCHN; ZXTUSA = XTUSA - LXTUSA; ZXTAGO = XTAGO - LXTAGO; ZXTGOR = XTGOR - LXTGOR; ZXTPAK = XTPAK - LXTPAK; ZRPMTLBY = RPMTLBY - LRPMTLBY; ZRPMTESP = RPMTESP - LRPMTESP; ZRPMTBRA = RPMTBRA - LRPMTBRA; ZRPMTJPN = RPMTJPN - LRPMTJPN; ZRPMTMEX = RPMTMEX - LRPMTMEX; ZRPMTMYS = RPMTMYS - LRPMTMYS; ZRPMTDZA = RPMTDZA - LRPMTDZA; ZRPMTEGY = RPMTEGY - LRPMTEGY; ZRPMTGOR = RPMTGOR - LRPMTGOR; ZRPMTAGO = RPMTAGO - LRPMTAGO; ZRPMTHKG = RPMTHKG - LRPMTHKG; ZRPMTIDN = RPMTIDN - LRPMTIDN; ZRPMTPAK = RPMTPAK - LRPMTPAK; ZRPMTUSA = RPMTUSA - LRPMTUSA; ZRPMTNLD = RPMTNLD - LRPMTNLD; ZRPMTKOR = RPMTKOR - LRPMTKOR; ZRPMTIRN = RPMTIRN - LRPMTIRN; ZRPMTITA = RPMTITA - LRPMTITA; ZRPMTTUR = RPMTTUR - LRPMTTUR; ZRPMTRUS = RPMTRUS - LRPMTRUS; ZRPMTCHN = RPMTCHN - LRPMTCHN; ZRPXTSOV = RPXTSOV - LRPXTSOV; ZRPXTAUS = RPXTAUS - LRPXTAUS; ZRPXTITA = RPXTITA - LRPXTITA; ZRPXTCAN = RPXTCAN - LRPXTCAN; ZRPXTKAZ = RPXTKAZ - LRPXTKAZ; ZRPXTGBR = RPXTGBR - LRPXTGBR; ZRPXTRUS = RPXTRUS - LRPXTRUS; ZRPXTUSA = RPXTUSA - LRPXTUSA; ZRPXTIDN = RPXTIDN - LRPXTIDN; ZRPXTCHN = RPXTCHN - LRPXTCHN; ZRPXTNLD = RPXTNLD - LRPXTNLD; ZRPXTJPN = RPXTJPN - LRPXTJPN; ZRPXTPAK = RPXTPAK - LRPXTPAK; ZRPXTFRA = RPXTFRA - LRPXTFRA; ZRPXTESP = RPXTESP - LRPXTESP; ZRPXTTUR = RPXTTUR - LRPXTTUR; ZRPXTDEU = RPXTDEU - LRPXTDEU; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan ZRPXTBEL = RPXTBEL - LRPXTBEL; ZICIDN = ICIDN - LICIDN; ZICJPN = ICJPN - LICJPN; ZICDZA = ICDZA - LICDZA; ZICMYS = ICMYS - LICMYS; ZICGBR = ICGBR - LICGBR; ZICFRA = ICFRA - LICFRA; ZICGOR = ICGOR - LICGOR; ZICAGO = ICAGO - LICAGO; ZICHKG = ICHKG - LICHKG; ZICIDN = ICIDN - LICIDN; ZICPAK = ICPAK - LICPAK; ZICNLD = ICNLD - LICNLD; ZICKOR = ICKOR - LICKOR; ZICIRN = ICIRN - LICIRN; ZICITA = ICITA - LICITA; ZICTUR = ICTUR - LICTUR; ZICEGY = ICEGY - LICEGY; ZICBRA = ICBRA - LICBRA; ZICUSA = ICUSA - LICUSA; ZICCHN = ICCHN - LICCHN; ZPENPAK = PENPAK - LPENPAK; ZPENGBR = PENGBR - LPENGBR; ZPENFRA = PENFRA - LPENFRA; ZPENIDN = PENIDN - LPENIDN; ZPENIRN = PENIRN - LPENIRN; ZPENITA = PENITA - LPENITA; ZPENTUR = PENTUR - LPENTUR; ZPENEGY = PENEGY - LPENEGY; ZPENRUS = PENRUS - LPENRUS; ZPENCHN = PENCHN - LPENCHN; ZERBRA = ERBRA - LERBRA; ZEREGY = EREGY - LEREGY; ZERKAZ = ERKAZ - LERKAZ; ZERUKR = ERUKR - LERUKR; ZERARG = ERARG - LERARG; ZERCAN = ERCAN - LERCAN; ZERCHN = ERCHN - LERCHN; ZERMEX = ERMEX - LERMEX; ZERDZA = ERDZA - LERDZA; ZERMYS = ERMYS - LERMYS; ZERGOR = ERGOR - LERGOR; ZERAGO = ERAGO - LERAGO; ZERHKG = ERHKG - LERHKG; ZERIDN = ERIDN - LERIDN; ZERPAK = ERPAK - LERPAK; ZERKOR = ERKOR - LERKOR; ZERLBY = ERLBY - LERLBY; ZERNLD = ERNLD - LERNLD; ZERJPN = ERJPN - LERJPN; ZERPAK = ERPAK - LERPAK; ZERFRA = ERFRA - LERFRA; ZERESP = ERESP - LERESP; ZERTUR = ERTUR - LERTUR; ZERDEU = ERDEU - LERDEU; ZERBEL = ERBEL - LERBEL; ZERRUS = ERRUS - LERRUS; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan ZERIAUS = ERIAUS - LERIAUS; ZIRIDN = IRIDN - LIRIDN; ZIRCAN = IRCAN - LIRCAN; ZIRAUS = IRAUS - LIRAUS; ZIRTUR = IRTUR - LIRTUR; ZTEGAUS = TEGAUS - LTEGAUS; ZCPIMYS = CPIMYS - LCPIMYS; ZCPIGOR = CPIGOR - LCPIGOR; ZCPIAGO = CPIAGO - LCPIAGO; ZCPIHKG = CPIHKG - LCPIHKG; ZCPIIDN = CPIIDN - LCPIIDN; ZCPIPAK = CPIPAK - LCPIPAK; ZCPIUSA = CPIUSA - LCPIUSA; ZCPINLD = CPINLD - LCPINLD; ZCPIKOR = CPIKOR - LCPIKOR; ZCPILBY = CPILBY - LCPILBY; ZRPXTW = RPXTW - LRPXTW; ZPMGIUSA = RPMGIUSA - LPMGIUSA; ZPMGIAUS = RPMGIAUS - LPMGIAUS; ZPMGICAN = RPMGICAN - LPMGICAN; ZPMTIJPN = RPMTIJPN - LPMTIJPN; ZPMTISGP = RPMTISGP - LPMTISGP; ZPMTIAUS = RPMTIAUS - LPMTIAUS; ZDTIDN = DTIDN - LDTIDN; ZDTRS = DTRS - LDTRS; ZDTRT = DTRT - LDTRT; ZDTKM = DTKM - LDTKM; ZDTIM = DTIM - LDTIM; ZRPTIDN = RPTIDN - LRPTIDN; ZRPTPB = RPTPB - LRPTPB; ZRPTPE = RPTPE - LRPTPE; ZOPRT = OPRT - LOPRT; ZOPKM = OPKM - LOPKM; ZOPIM = OPIM - LOPIM; ZULRT = ULRT - LULRT; ZULKM = ULKM - LULKM; ZULIM = ULIM - LULIM; ZROPRT = ROPRT - LROPRT; ZROPKM = ROPKM - LROPKM; ZQDTUSA = QTUSA - DTUSA; BQGDEU = QGDEU - LQGDEULQGDEU100; BQGRUS = QGRUS - LQGRUSLQGRUS100; BQGARG = QGARG - LQGARGLQGARG100; BQGAUS = QGAUS - LQGAUSLQGAUS100; BQGUSA = QGUSA - LQGUSALQGUSA100; BDGDZA = DGDZA - LDGDZALDGDZA100; BDGMYS = DGMYS - LDGMYSLDGMYS100; BDGDEU = DGDEU - LDGDEULDGDEU100; BDGUKR = DGUKR - LDGUKRLDGUKR100; BDGAUS = DGAUS - LDGAUSLDGAUS100; BDGIDN = DGIDN - LDGIDNLDGIDN100; BDGGBR = DGGBR - LDGGBRLDGGBR100; BDGMEX = DGMEX - LDGMEXLDGMEX100; BDGUSA = DGUSA - LDGUSALDGUSA100; BMGCHN = MGCHN - LMGCHNLMGCHN100; BMGMEX = MGMEX - LMGMEXLMGMEX100; BMGEGY = MGEGY - LMGEGYLMGEGY100; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan BMGDZA = MGDZA - LMGDZALMGDZA100; BMGITA = MGITA - LMGITALMGITA100; BMGMYS = MGMYS - LMGMYSLMGMYS100; BMGJPN = MGJPN - LMGJPNLMGJPN100; BXGUKR = XGUKR - LXGUKRLXGUKR100; BXGKAZ = XGKAZ - LXGKAZLXGKAZ100; BXGUSA = XGUSA - LXGUSALXGUSA100; BXGGBR = XGGBR - LXGGBRLXGGBR100; BXGCAN = XGCAN - LXGCANLXGCAN100; BRPXGIDN = RPXGIDN - LRPXGIDNLRPXGIDN100; BRPXGKAZ = RPXGKAZ - LRPXGKAZLRPXGKAZ100; BRPXGDEU = RPXGDEU - LRPXGDEULRPXGDEU100; BRPXGAUS = RPXGAUS - LRPXGAUSLRPXGAUS100; BRPXGJPN = RPXGJPN - LRPXGJPNLRPXGJPN100; BRPXGUSA = RPXGUSA - LRPXGUSALRPXGUSA100; BRPXGGBR = RPXGGBR - LRPXGGBRLRPXGGBR100; BRPMGMEX = RPMGMEX - LRPMGMEXLRPMGMEX100; BRPMGFRA = RPMGFRA - LRPMGFRALRPMGFRA100; BRPMGCHN = RPMGCHN - LRPMGCHNLRPMGCHN100; BRPMGIDN = RPMGIDN - LRPMGIDNLRPMGIDN100; BRPMGDZA = RPMGDZA - LRPMGDZALRPMGDZA100; BPMGICAN = RPMGICAN - LPMGICANLPMGICAN100; BXGW = XGW - LXGWLXGW100; BMGW = MGW - LMGWLMGW100; BRPXTIDN = RPXTIDN - LRPXTIDNLRPXTIDN100; BRPXTDEU = RPXTDEU - LRPXTDEULRPXTDEU100; BRPXTTUR = RPXTTUR - LRPXTTURLRPXTTUR100; BRPXTBEL = RPXTBEL - LRPXTBELLRPXTBEL100; BRPXTJPN = RPXTJPN - LRPXTJPNLRPXTJPN100; BRPXTCAN = RPXTCAN - LRPXTCANLRPXTCAN100; BRPXTUSA = RPXTUSA - LRPXTUSALRPXTUSA100; BRPXTGBR = RPXTGBR - LRPXTGBRLRPXTGBR100; BRPXTKAZ = RPXTKAZ - LRPXTKAZLRPXTKAZ100; BQTTUR = QTTUR - LQTTURLQTTUR100; BQTITA = QTITA - LQTITALQTITA100; BXTNLD = XTNLD - LXTNLDLXTNLD100; BXTCHN = XTCHN - LXTCHNLXTCHN100; BXTFRA = XTFRA - LXTFRALXTFRA100; BXTPAK = XTPAK - LXTPAKLXTPAK100; BXTESP = XTESP - LXTESPLXTESP100; BXTITA = XTITA - LXTITALXTITA100; BMTFRA = MTFRA - LMTFRALMTFRA100; BMTNLD = MTNLD - LMTNLDLMTNLD100; BMTUSA = MTUSA - LMTUSALMTUSA100; BMTIDN = MTIDN - LMTIDNLMTIDN100; BMTAGO = MTAGO - LMTAGOLMTAGO100; BMTLBY = MTLBY - LMTLBYLMTLBY100; BRPXTW = RPXTW - LRPXTWLRPXTW100; BRPMTW = RPMTW - LRPMTWLRPMTW100; BRPMTKOR = RPMTKOR - LRPMTKORLRPMTKOR100; BRPMTCHN = RPMTCHN - LRPMTCHNLRPMTCHN100; BRPMTIDN = RPMTIDN - LRPMTIDNLRPMTIDN100; BRPMTDZA = RPMTDZA - LRPMTDZALRPMTDZA100; BRPGW = RPGW - LRPGWLRPGW100; BRPTPB = RPTPB - LRPTPBLRPTPB100; BRPTPE = RPTPE - LRPTPELRPTPE100; BULRT = ULRT - LULRTLULRT100; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan BDTPAK = DTPAK - LDTPAKLDTPAK100; BDTTUR = DTTUR - LDTTURLDTTUR100; BDTIDN = DTIDN - LDTIDNLDTIDN100; BDTKM = DTKM - LDTKMLDTKM100; BDTRT = DTRT - LDTRTLDTRT100; BDTRS = DTRS - LDTRSLDTRS100; BDTSOV = DTSOV - LDTSOVLDTSOV100; BICIDN = ICIDN - LICIDNLICIDN100; BICDZA = ICDZA - LICDZALICDZA100; BICKOR = ICKOR - LICKORLICKOR100; BERMYS = ERMYS - LERMYSLERMYS100; BERFRA = ERFRA - LERFRALERFRA100; BERIDN = ERIDN - LERIDNLERIDN100; BOPIM = OPIM - LOPIMLOPIM100; BXTW = XTW - LXTWLXTW100; BMTW = MTW - LMTWLMTW100; KRPMTIDN = RPMTIDNERIDN; KRPMGIDN = RPMGIDNERIDN; GMTIDN = MTIDN - LMTIDNMTIDN; GMGIDN = MGIDN - LMGIDNMGIDN; SMTIDN = LMTIDNMTIDN; SOMGW = LOMGWOMGW; membuat diskripsi variabel Label RPXGCHN =Hrg Ril Ex Gan China TEGCHN =Tekno Gan China AGCHN =Luas Areal Gan China RPLXGCHN =Hrg Ril Ex lain Gan CHN IRCHN =Suku Bunga China RPXGPAK =Hrg Ril Ex Gan PAK TEGPAK =Tekno Gan QGPAK AGPAK =Luas Areal Gan Pakistan RPLXGPAK =Hrg Ril Ex lain Gan PAK IRPAK =Suku Bunga Pakistan RPXGTUR =Harga Ril Ex Gan Turki TEGTUR =Tekno Gan QGTUR AGTUR =Luas Areal Gan Turki RPLXGTUR =Hrg Ril Ex lain Gan Tur IRTUR =Suku Bunga Turki RPXGAUS =Hrg Ril Ex Gan Australi TEGAUS =Tekno Gan QGAUS AGAUS =Luas Areal Gan Australi RPLXGAUS =Hrg Ril Ex lain Gan AUS IRAUS =Suku Bunga Australia RPXGFRA =Hrg Ril Ex Gan France AGFRA =Luas Areal Gan France IRFRA =Suku Bunga France RPXGIND =Hrg Ril Ex Gan India TEGIND =Tekno Gan QGIND AGIND =Luas Areal Gan India TEGUSA =Tekno Gan QGUSA AGUSA =Luas Areal Gan USA IRUSA =Suku Bunga USA PENCAN =Penduduk Canada AGCAN =Luas Areal Gan Canada IRCAN =Suku Bunga Canada RPXGDEU =Hrg Ril Ex Gan Jerman Lampiran 16. Lanjutan AGDEU =Luas Areal Gan Jerman IRDEU =Suku Bunga Jerman AGRUS =Luas Areal Gan Rusia IRRUS =Suku Bunga Rusia RPMGRUS =Hrg Ril Impor Gan RUS ICRUS =PDB Percapita Rusia PENFRA =Penduduk France XGFRA =Ekspor Gan France RPMGDEU =Hrg Ril Impor Gan DEU ICDEU =PDB Percapita Jerman RPMGGBR =Hrg Ril Impor Gan GBR ICGBR =PDB Percapita Inggris XGGBR =Ekspor Gan Inggris ICIND =PDB Percapita India PENIND =Penduduk India ICPAK =PDB Percapita PAK PENPAK =Penduduk Pakistan XGUSA =Ekspor Gan USA MGITA =Impor Gan Italia RPMGIDN =Hrg Ril Imp Gan IDN ICIDN =PDB Percapita IDN PENIDN =Penduduk Indonesia RPGW =Hrg Ril Gan Dunia LXGUSA =Lag XGUSA ERFRA =Nilai Tukar France LXGFRA =Lag XGFRA XGCAN =Ekspor Gan Canada ERCAN =Nilai Tukar Canada LXGCAN =Lag XGCAN XGAUS =Ekspor Gan Australia LXGAUS =Lag XGAUS XGARG =Ekspor Gan Argentina LXGARG =Lag XGARG XGRUS =Ekspor Gan Rusia LXGRUS =Lag XGRUS XGDEU =Ekspor Gan Jerman ERDEU =Nilai Tukar Jerman LXGDEU =Lag XGDEU XGUKR =Ekspor Gan Ukrania LXGUKR =Lag XGUKR RPXGGBR =Hrg Ril Ex Gan GBR ERGBR =Nilai Tukar Inggris LXGGBR =Lag XGGBR XGKAZ =Ekspor Gan Kazastan RPXGKAZ =Hrg Ril Ex Gan KAZ ERKAZ =Nilai Tukar Kazastan LXGKAZ =Lag XGKAZ XGIDN =Ekspor Gan Indonesia RPXGIDN =Hrg Ril Ex Gan IDN ERIDN =Nilai Tukar IDN LXGIDN =Lag XGIDN MGDZA =Impor Gan Aljasair RPMGDZA =Hrg Ril Impor Gan DZA ERDZA =Nilai Tukar Aljasair LMGDZA =Lag MGDZA ERITA =Nilai Tukar Italia LMGITA =Lag MGITA Lampiran 16. Lanjutan MGMYS =Impor Gan Malaysia PMGMYS =Hrg Imp Gan MYS ERMYS =Nilai Tukar Malaysia LMGMYS =Lag MGMYS MGEGY =Impor Gan Mesir RPMGEGY =Hrg Ril Imp Gan Mesir LMGEGY =Lag MGEGY MGESP =Impor Gan Spanyol RPMGESP =Hrg Ril Imp Gan ESP ERESP =Nilai Tukar Spanyol LMGESP =Lag MGESP MGMEX =Impor Gan Meksiko PMGMEX =Hrg Ril Impor Gan MEX ERMEX =Nilai Tukar Meksiko LMGMEX =Lag MGMEX MGJPN =Impor Gan Jepang RPMGJPN =Hrg Ril Impor Gan JPN ERJPN =Nilai Tukar Jepang LMGJPN =Lag MGJPN MGCHN =Impor Gan China RPMGCHN =Hrg Ril Impor Gan CHN ERCHN =Nilai Tukar China LMGCHN =Lag MGCHN MGIDN =Impor Gan Indonesia LMGIDN =Lag MGIDN MGBRA =Impor Gan Brasil RPMGBRA =Hrg Ril Imp Gan BRA ERBRA =Nilai Tukar Brasil LMGBRA =Lag MGBRA RPXTIND =Hrg Ril Ex Tep IND RPXGW =Hrg Ril Ex Gan Dunia QGW =Prod Gan Dunia ICUSA =PDB Parcapita USA RPXTRUS =Hrg Ril Ex Tep RUS ICTUR =PDB Parcapita Turki RPXTIRN =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Iran RPXTITA =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Italia ICITA =PDB Percapita Italia RPXTIDN =Hrg Ril Ex Tep IDN IRIDN =Suku Bunga IDN RPMTUSA =Hrg Ril Imp Tep USA PENUSA =Penduduk USA RPMTIND =Hrg Ril Imp Tep IND RPMTRUS =Hrg Ril Imp Tep RUS RPMTBRA =Hrg Ril Imp Tep BRA PENBRA =Penduduk Brasil RPMTPAK =Hrg Ril Imp Tep PAK PENTUR =Penduduk Turki RPMTITA =Hrg Ril Imp Tep ITA PENITA =Penduduk Italia RPMTIRN =Hrg Ril Imp Tep IRN PENIRN =Penduduk Iran ERBEL =Nilai Tukar Belgia LXTBEL =Lag XTBEL XTDEU =Ekspor Tep Jerman LXTDEU =Lag XTDEU XTITA =Ekspor Tep Italia Lampiran 16. Lanjutan LXTITA =Lag XTITA XTTUR =Ekspor Tep Turki RPXTTUR =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Turki ERTUR =Nilai Tukar Turki LXTTUR =Lag XTTUR XTESP =Ekspor Tep Spanyol LXTESP =Lag XTESP XTFRA =Ekspor Tep France RPXTFRA =Hrg Ril Ex Tep FRA LXTFRA =Lag XTFRA XTPAK =Ekspor Tep Pakistan RPXTPAK =Hrg Ril Ex Tep PAK LXTPAK =Lag XTPAK XTJPN =Ekspor Tep Jepang LXTJPN =Lag XTJPN XTNLD =Ekspor Tep Belanda ERNLD =Nilai Tukar Belanda LXTNLD =Lag XTNLD XTCHN =Ekspor Tep China RPXTCHN =Hrg Ril Ex Tep CHN LXTCHN =Lag XTCHN PENCHN =Penduduk China XTIDN =Ekspor Tep Indonesia LXTIDN =Lag XTIDN MTLBY =Impor Tep Libya ERLBY =Nilai Tukar Libya RPLMTLBY =Hrg Ril Imp Lain Tep LBY LMTLBY =Lag MTLBY MTKOR =Impor Tep Korea RPLMTKOR =Hrg Ril Imp Lain Tep KOR LMTKOR =Lag MTKOR MTNLD =Impor Tep Belanda LMTNLD =Lag MTNLD MTUSA =Impor Tep USA LMTUSA =Lag MTUSA MTPAK =Impor Tep Pakistan MTIDN =Impor Tep Indonesia RPMTIDN =Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN LMTIDN =Lag MTIDN MTHKG =Impor Tep Hongkong ERHKG =Nilai Tukar Hongkong RPLMTHKG =Hrg Ril Imp Lain Tep HKG LMTHKG =Lag Imp Tep HKG MTFRA =Impor Tep France RPMTFRA =Hrg Ril Imp Tep France RPLMTFRA =Hrg Ril Imp Lain Tep FRA LMTFRA =Lag MTFRA MTAGO =Impor Tep Angola RPMTAGO =Hrg Ril Imp Tep AGO ERAGO =Nilai Tukar Angola RPLMTAGO =Hrg Ril Imp Lain Tep AGO LMTAGO =Lag MTAGO PENGOR =Penduduk Georgia MTGOR =Impor Tep Georgia ERGOR =Nilai Tukar Georgia LMTGOR =Lag MTGOR RPXTW =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia Lampiran 16. Lanjutan XTW =Ekspor Tep Dunia MTW =Impor Tep Dunia LRPXTW =Lag RPXTW RPXTBEL =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belgia LRPXTBEL =lag RPXTBEL LRPXTDEU =Lag RPXTDEU LRPXTITA =Lag RPXTITA LRPXTESP =Lag RPXTESP LRPXTPAK =Lag RPXTPAK LRPXTFRA =Lag RPXTFRA ICFRA =PDB Percapita France RPXTJPN =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Jepang LRPXTJPN =Lag RPXTJPN RPXTNLD =Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belanda LRPXTNLD =Lag RPXTNLD LRPXTCHN =Lag RPXTCHN LRPXTIDN =Lag RPXTIDN RPMTW =Hrg Ril Imp Tep Dunia QTW =Prod Tepung Dunia LRPMTW =Lag RPMTW RPMTLBY =Hrg Ril Imp Tep Libya LRPMTLBY =Lag RPMTLBY RPMTGOR =Hrg Ril Imp Tep GOR LRPMTGOR =Lag RPMTGOR RPMTNLD =Hrg Ril Imp Tep NLD LRPMTNLD =Lag RPMTNLD LRPMTUSA =Lag RPMTUSA LRPMTFRA =Lag RPMTFRA LRPMTIDN =Lag RPMTIDN RPMTHKG =Hrg Ril Imp Tep HKG LRPMTHKG =Lag RPMTHKG LRPMTPAK =Lag RPMTPAK LRPMTAGO =Lag RPMTAGO RPMTKOR =Hrg Ril Imp Tep KOR LRPMTKOR =Lag RPMTKOR RPXGUSA =Hrg Ril Ex Gan USA LRPXGUSA =Lag RPXGUSA LRPXGFRA =Lag RPXGFRA RPXGCAN =Hrg Ril Ex Gan CAN LRPXGCAN =Lag RPXGCAN LRPXGAUS =Lag RPXGAUS RPXGARG =Hrg Ril Ex Gan ARG LRPXGARG =Lag RPXGARG ERARG =Nilai Tukar ARG RPXGRUS =Hrg Ril Ex Gan RUS LRPXGRUS =Lag RPXGRUS LRPXGDEU =Lag RPXGDEU RPXGUKR =Hrg Ril Ex Gan UKR LRPXGUKR =Lag RPXGUKR LRPXGGBR =Lag RPXGGBR LRPXGKAZ =Lag RPXGKAZ RPMGW =Hrg Ril Impor Gan Dunia MGW =Impor Gan Dunia LRPMGW =Lag RPMGW RPMGITA =Hrg Ril Imp Gan ITA LRPMGITA =Lag RPMGITA LRPMGCHN =Lag RPMGCHN Lampiran 16. Lanjutan ICCHN =PDB Percapita China IMGEGY =Interv Imp Gan Mesir EREGY =Nilai Tukar Mesir LRPMGESP =Lag RPMGESP LRPMGIDN =Lag RPMGIDN DTRT =Deman Tep RT LDTRT =Lag DTRT DTKM =Deman Tep KM LDTKM =Lag DTKM DTIM =Deman Tep IM RPTPB =Hrg Ril Tep PB PDBIM =PDB Sek IM OPIM =Hrg Output IM LDTIM =Lag DTIM MARIN =Margin Industri CPIIDN =CPI Indonesia LPDBIM =Lag PDBIM DLRT =Deman Labour RT ULRT =Upah Labour RT RPTPE =Hrg Ril Tep PE OPRT =Hrg Output RT LDLRT =Lag DLRT DLKM =Deman Labour KM ULKM =Upah Labour KM OPKM =Hrg Output KM LDLKM =Lag DLKM DLIM =Deman Labour IM ULIM =Upah Labour IM LDLIM =Lag DLIM MARPB =Margin PB STIDN =Supply Tep Indonesia LRPTPB =Lag RPTPB MARPE =Margin PE RPMGFRA =Hrg Ril Imp Gan FRA RPMGIND =Hrg Ril Imp Gan IND RPMGMYS =Hrg Ril Imp Gan MYS RPMGMEX =Hrg Ril Imp Gan MEX RPXTBRA =Hrg Ril Ex Tep BRA RPMTTUR =Hrg Ril Imp Tep TUR RPXTESP =Hrg Ril Ex Tep ESP PENRUS =Penduduk Rusia PENDEU =Penduduk Jerman ICBRA =PDB Percapita BRASIL DGW =Demand Gandum Dunia PENEGY =Penduduk Mesir LRPXGW =Lag RPXGW LDTRS =Lag DTRS LRPTPE =Lag RPTPE XGW =Ekspor Gandum Dunia LRPGW =Lag RPGW PHIDN =Hrg Telur Indonesia RPTIDN =Hrg Ril Tep IDN XTBEL =Ekspor Tepung Belgia MTSOV =Impor Tep Soviet RPMTSOV =Hrg Ril Imp Tep Sov XTSOV =Ekspor Tep Soviet RPXTSOV =Hrg Ril Ekp Tep Sov Lampiran 16. Lanjutan XGSOV =Ekspor Gan Soviet RPXGSOV =Hrg Ril Eks Gan Sov MGSOV =Impor Gan Soviet RPMGSOV =Hrg Ril Imp Gan Sov RPXTDEU =Hrg Ril Ekp Tep DEU DGIDN =Deman Gan Indonesia DTIDN =Deman Tep Indonesia QTIDN =Prod Tep Indonesia DTRS =Deman Tep RS DGM =Deman Gan Makanan DTW =Deman Tep Dunia MGIUSA =Imp Gan IDN dr USA MGICAN =Imp Gan IDN dr CAN MGIAUS =Imp Gan IDN dr AUS MTIJPN =Imp Tep IDN dr JPN MTISGP =Imp Tep IDN dr SGP MTIAUS =Imp Tep IDN dr AUS KRPMTIDN =Rupiah RPMTIDN PSIDN =Hrg Gula Indonesia; UNTUK NILAI DASAR SIMULASI DIKUNCI SIMULASI RAMALAN SESUAI HISTORIS Skenario 1. Kuota Impor Biji Gandum sebesar 90 persen MGIUSA = 0.9 MGIUSA; MGIAUS = 0.9 MGIAUS; MGICAN = 0.9 MGICAN; MGRIDN = 0.9 MGRIDN; MGIDN = 0.9 MGIDN; DGIDN = 0.9 DGIDN; DGM = 0.9 DGM; QTIDN = 0.74 DGM; Skenario 2. Pelarangan Impor Tepung Terigu Indonesia MTIJPN = 0; MTISGP = 0; MTIAUS = 0; MTRIDN = 0; MTIDN = 0; Skenario 3. Pengenaan Tarif Bea Masuk Impor Biji Gandum sebesar 5 persen RPMGIDN = 1.05 RPMGIDN; Skenario 4. Pengenaan Tarif Bea Masuk Impor Tepung Terigu sebesar 5 persen RPMTIDN = 1.05 RPMTIDN; Skenario 5. Penambahan Kuota Impor Biji Gandum sebesar 110 persen MGIUSA = 1.1 MGIUSA; MGIAUS = 1.1 MGIAUS; MGICAN = 1.1 MGICAN; MGRIDN = 1.1 MGRIDN; MGIDN = 1.1 MGIDN; DGIDN = 1.1 DGIDN; DGM = 1.1 DGM; QTIDN = 0.74 DGM; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan Skenario 6. Penambahan Kuota Impor Tepung Terigu sebesar 150 persen MTIJPN = 1.5 MTIJPN; MTISGP = 1.5 MTISGP; MTIAUS = 1.5 MTIAUS; MTRIDN = 1.5 MTRIDN; MTIDN = 1.5 MTIDN; Skenario 7. Gabungan Kuota Impor Biji Gandum sebesar 90 persen dan Pelarangan Impor Tepung Terigu MGIUSA = 0.9 MGIUSA; MGIAUS = 0.9 MGIAUS; MGICAN = 0.9 MGICAN; MGRIDN = 0.9 MGRIDN; MGIDN = 0.9 MGIDN; DGIDN = 0.9 DGIDN; DGM = 0.9 DGM; QTIDN = 0.74 DGM; MTIJPN = 0; MTISGP = 0; MTIAUS = 0; MTRIDN = 0; MTIDN = 0; run; MODEL SIMULASI RAMALAN PROC SIMNLIN DATA=RAMENDO STATS SIMULATE OUT=HASIL; ENDOGENOUS XGUSA XGFRA XGCAN XGSOV XGAUS RPXGUSA RPXGFRA RPXGCAN RPXGSOV RPXGAUS MGSOV MGITA MGBRA MGJPN MGDZA RPMGSOV RPMGITA RPMGBRA RPMGJPN RPMGDZA XTFRA XTBEL XTSOV XTTUR XTDEU RPXTFRA RPXTBEL RPXTSOV RPXTTUR RPXTDEU MTNLD MTLBY MTSOV MTUSA RPMTNLD RPMTLBY RPMTSOV RPMTUSA XGW MGW RPGW RPMGIDN XTW MTW RPXTW RPMTIDN RPTIDN RPTPB RPTPE DTIM DTKM DTRT DTRS DTIDN MTIJPN MTISGP MTIAUS MTIDN MGIUSA MGIAUS MGICAN MGIDN DGIDN DGM QTIDN; INSTRUMENTS QGBRA DGSOV QTTUR XGARG DTFRA MTPAK MGRIDN ERJPN QTSD QGFRA DGITA QTDEU XGDEU DTUSA MTHKG MTRIDN ICJPN ERLBY QGSD QGSOV DGBRA XGGBR DTIND MTFRA ICIDN MTSD QGCAN DGCHN QTPAK XGIDN DTBRA MTKOR PENIDN ICNLD DGSD QGAUS DGGBR QTIND MGCHN DTNLD XTITA ROPKM ICLBY XTSD QGIND DGIND QTSOV MGMYS DTLBY XTESP ROPRT MGSD QGPAK DGPAK QTAGO MGEGY DTSOV XTPAK PDBIM XGSD QGTUR DGTUR QTUSA MGESP DTAGO XTJPN PHIDN DTSD QGDZA DGUSA QTIRN MGMEX DTCHN XTNLD DGT RPMGIDN QGCHN DGDEU QTBRA DTEGY XTCHN DGS QGUSA DGFRA QTEGY DTPAK DGPL QGDEU QTITA DTITA DGFM QTCHN DTTUR DGL DTIRN DGB; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan LDGAUS = LAGDGAUS ; LDGDZA = LAGDGDZA ; LDGFRA = LAGDGFRA ; LDGJPN = LAGDGJPN ; LDGM = LAGDGM ; LDTIDN = LAGDTIDN ; LDTKM = LAGDTKM ; LDTRS = LAGDTRS ; LPENIDN = LAGPENIDN ; LDTSOV = LAGDTSOV ; LDTTUR = LAGDTTUR ; LERJPN = LAGERJPN ; LICIDN = LAGICIDN ; LMGDZA = LAGMGDZA ; LMGICAN = LAGMGICAN ; LMGIDN = LAGMGIDN ; LMGITA = LAGMGITA ; LMGIUSA = LAGMGIUSA ; LMGJPN = LAGMGJPN ; LMGSOV = LAGMGSOV ; LMGW = LAGMGW ; LMTAGO = LAGMTAGO ; LMTIAUS = LAGMTIAUS ; LMTIDN = LAGMTIDN ; LMTIJPN = LAGMTIJPN ; LMTISGP = LAGMTISGP ; LMTNLD = LAGMTNLD ; LMTSOV = LAGMTSOV ; LMTUSA = LAGMTUSA ; LQGAUS = LAGQGAUS ; LQGITA = LAGQGITA ; LQGUSA = LAGQGUSA ; LQTBEL = LAGQTBEL ; LQTFRA = LAGQTFRA ; LQTIDN = LAGQTIDN ; LQTNLD = LAGQTNLD ; LRPGW = LAGRPGW ; LRPHIDN = LAGRPHIDN ; LRPMGBRA = LAGRPMGBRA; LRPMGDZA = LAGRPMGDZA; LRPMGIDN = LAGRPMGIDN; LRPMGITA = LAGRPMGITA; LRPMGJPN = LAGRPMGJPN; LRPMGRUS = LAGRPMGRUS; LRPMGSOV = LAGRPMGSOV; LRPMTIDN = LAGRPMTIDN; LRPMTLBY = LAGRPMTLBY; LRPMTNLD = LAGRPMTNLD; LRPMTSOV = LAGRPMTSOV; LRPMTUSA = LAGRPMTUSA; LRPTIDN = LAGRPTIDN ; LRPTPB = LAGRPTPB ; LRPTPE = LAGRPTPE ; LRPXGAUS = LAGRPXGAUS; LRPXGCAN = LAGRPXGCAN; LRPXGFRA = LAGRPXGFRA; LRPXGSOV = LAGRPXGSOV; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan LRPXGUSA = LAGRPXGUSA; LRPXTBEL = LAGRPXTBEL; LRPXTDEU = LAGRPXTDEU; LRPXTFRA = LAGRPXTFRA; LRPXTIDN = LAGRPXTIDN; LRPXTSOV = LAGRPXTSOV; LRPXTTUR = LAGRPXTTUR; LRPXTW = LAGRPXTW ; LXGAUS = LAGXGAUS ; LXGCAN = LAGXGCAN ; LXGFRA = LAGXGFRA ; LXGSOV = LAGXGSOV ; LXGUSA = LAGXGUSA ; LXGW = LAGXGW ; LXTBEL = LAGXTBEL ; LXTDEU = LAGXTDEU ; LXTFRA = LAGXTFRA ; LXTIDN = LAGXTIDN ; LXTSOV = LAGXTSOV ; LXTTUR = LAGXTTUR ; PARM b1 68189 b2 0.295976 c1 8141.587423 c2 0.249320 c3 0.379698 d1 3947.931722 d2 0.032875 d3 0.715746 e1 683.695321 e2 0.342609 e3 0.502637 f1 628.036102 f2 0.495951 f3 0.342267 g1 0.055546 g2 2657.019653 h0 3914202 h1 -4400.874020 h2 0.036389 h3 0.459069 i1 -0.419809 i2 0.821633 i3 -390.362789 j0 4579125 j1 11.010912 j2 0.093119 j3 -1435.408458 j4 0.044386 k1 -0.547176 k2 0.400371 k3 -72.556798 k4 0.622683 l1 -0.000002187 l2 0.000002372 l3 0.819411 m0 93.465593 m1 0.058603 m2 0.304879 n0 144.573172 n1 0.085105 o1 1.163085 p0 126.808249 p1 0.091381 p2 0.096687 q0 122.306432 q1 0.141447 r1 1.115584 s0 187.303404 s1 0.176610 t1 1.193534 u0 192.173850 u1 0.030211 v0 31.443398 v1 0.711089 v2 0.311181 RPMGIDN DITUTUP KALAU SIMULASI 1.05 RPMGIDN, w0 306.576896 w1 0.300225 x0 4502600 x1 1112.683316 x2 0.844205 x3 -0.746104 y1 844.177635 y2 0.859084 z0 176343 z1 322.313883 z2 0.002762 z3 0.698484 aa0 -565265 aa1 0.105898 bb1 0.047510 bb2 37.931896 bb3 0.609721 dd1 -36.324738 dd2 -0.475903 dd3 0.557637 dd4 0.213523 ee0 151558 ee1 -228.650142 ee2 0.427203 ff0 686424 ff1 -0.814166 ff2 0.783495 ff3 81.671002 hh1 -49.573293 hh2 0.002409 hh3 1.820884 hh4 0.786604 ii1 0.000013225 ii2 -0.000007541 ii3 0.795001 Lampiran 16. Lanjutan JJ0 115.137451 jj1 0.015064 jj2 0.490957 kk0 175.868815 kk1 0.031520 kk2 0.319416 ll1 1.113154 mm1 4.060191 mm2 0.641867 nn0 132.518980 nn1 0.012850 nn2 0.482896 pp0 290.158196 pp1 0.084747 qq0 219.070712 qq1 0.222936 rr1 0.871982 rr2 0.000014670 rr3 0.191775 tt0 301.710406 tt1 0.108175 RPMTIDN DITUTUP KALAU SIMULASI 1.05 RPMTIDN, uu uu0 214.780121 uu1 0.689786 vv1 1.052708 vv2 0.060261 vv3 -0.000416 vv4 0.000679 ww0 61.317375 ww1 0.998085 ww2 0.000002352 ww3 0.000048839 xx0 545.004483 xx1 0.861978 yy0 -1823520 yy1 -123.827332 yy2 14754 zz0 -3372195 zz1 -226.266694 zz2 27176 ab0 -238219 ab1 -15.764900 ab2 1881.487630 bc0 -263273 bc1 -21.777561 bc2 2177.349803 MGIAUS, MGICAN, MGIUSA DITUTUP KLU SIMULASI cd0 -2593529 cd1 -303.236962 cd2 -0.846900 cd3 857.840073 cd4 18556 de1 -529.463359 de2 -1.933650 de3 972.661506 de4 1079.520033 ef1 -377.097517 ef2 -0.645746 ef3 284.827845 ef4 1176.797773 MTIAUS, MTIJPN, MTISGP DITUTU KLU SIMULASI fg1 -2.108003 fg2 -0.002051 fg3 204.105215 fg4 0.002419 fg5 0.533283 gh0 -10008 gh1 -0.079347 gh2 -0.002365 gh3 27.005679 gh4 773.495307 hi1 -10.855261 hi2 -0.013550 hi3 86.697271 hI4 0.000968; XGUSA = b1RPXGUSA + b2QGUSA; XGFRA = c1RPXGFRA + c2QGFRA + c3LXGFRA; XGSOV = d1RPXGSOV - LRPXGSOV + d2QGSOV + d3LXGSOV; XGCAN = e1LRPXGCAN + e2QGCAN + e3LXGCAN; XGAUS = f1RPXGAUS + f2LQGAUS + f3LXGAUS; MGSOV = g1DGSOV + g2ICRUS; MGITA = h0 + h1RPMGITA + h2DGITA + h3LMGITA; MGBRA = i1QGBRA + i2DGBRA + i3LRPMGBRA; MGJPN = j0 + j1ICJPN + j2LDGJPN + j3RPMGJPN - LRPMGJPN + j4LMGJPN; MGDZA = k1QGDZA + k2LDGDZA + k3RPMGDZA + k4LMGDZA; RPGW = l1LXGW + l2MGW + l3LRPGW; RPXGUSA = m0 + m1RPGW + m2LRPXGUSA; RPXGFRA = n0 + n1RPGW; RPXGSOV = o1RPGW; RPXGCAN = p0 + p1RPGW + p2LRPXGCAN; RPXGAUS = q0 + q1RPGW; RPMGSOV = r1RPGW; RPMGITA = s0 + s1LRPGW; RPMGBRA = t1RPGW; RPMGJPN = u0 + u1RPGW; RPMGDZA = v0 + v1RPGW + v2LRPMGDZA; RPMGIDN DITUTUP, KLU SIMULASI RPMGIDN = w0 + w1LRPGW; XTFRA = x0 + x1RPXTFRA - LRPXTFRA + x2QTFRA - LQTFRA + x3DTFRA; Lampiran 16. Lanjutan XTBEL = y1RPXTBEL - LRPXTBEL + y2QTBEL; XTSOV = z0 + z1RPXTSOV - LRPXTSOV + z2QTSOV - LQTSOV + z3LXTSOV; XTTUR = aa0 + aa1LQTTUR; XTDEU = bb1QTDEU + bb2RPXTDEU + bb3LXTDEU; MTNLD = dd1RPMTNLD + dd2LQTNLD + dd3DTNLD + dd4LMTNLD; MTLBY = ee0 + ee1RPMTLBY + ee2LDTLBY; MTSOV = ff0 + ff1QTSOV + ff2DTSOV + ff3LICRUS; MTUSA = hh1RPMTUSA + hh2DTUSA - LDTUSA + hh3ICUSA + hh4LMTUSA; RPXTW = ii1MTW + ii2XTW + ii3LRPXTW; RPXTFRA = jj0 + jj1RPXTW + jj2LRPXTFRA; RPXTBEL = kk0 + kk1RPXTW + kk2LRPXTBEL; RPXTSOV = ll1RPXTW; RPXTTUR = mm1RPXTW + mm2LRPXTTUR; RPXTDEU = nn0 + nn1RPXTW + nn2LRPXTDEU; RPMTNLD = pp0 + pp1RPXTW; RPMTLBY = qq0 + qq1RPXTW; RPMTSOV = rr1RPXTW + rr2MTSOV + rr3LRPMTSOV; RPMTUSA = tt0 + tt1RPXTW; RPMTIDN DITUTUP KLU SIMULASI RPMTIDN = uu0 + uu1RPXTW; RPTIDN = vv1RPMGIDN + vv2RPMTIDN + vv3QTIDN - LQTIDN + vv4DTIDN; RPTPB = ww0 + ww1RPTIDN + ww2LDTKM + ww3DTRT; RPTPE = xx0 + xx1RPTPB; DTIM = yy0 + yy1LRPTIDN + yy2LPENIDN; DTKM = zz0 + zz1LRPTPB + zz2LPENIDN; DTRT = ab0 + ab1LRPTPB + ab2PENIDN; DTRS = bc0 + bc1LRPTPE + bc2PENIDN; MGIAUS, MGICAN, MGIUSA, MGIDN, DGIDN, DGM, QTIDN, INI DITUTUP KLU SIMULASI MGIAUS = cd0 + cd1RPMGIDN + cd2LMTIDN + cd3ICIDN + cd4LPENIDN; MGICAN = de1LRPMGIDN + de2LMTIDN + de3ICIDN + de4PENIDN; MGIUSA = ef1RPMGIDN - RPGW + ef2LMTIDN + ef3ICIDN + ef4PENIDN; MGIDN = MGIAUS + MGICAN + MGIUSA + MGRIDN; DGIDN = MGIDN; DGM = MGIDN - DGT - DGS - DGPL - DGFM - DGL - 0DGB; QTIDN = 0.74 DGM; MTIAUS, MTIJPN, MTISGP, MTIDN, INI DITUTUP KLU SIMULASI MTIAUS = fg1RPMTIDN +fg2MGIDN-LMGIDN +fg3PENIDN-LPENIDN +fg4DTIDN +fg5LMTIAUS; MTIJPN = gh0 + gh1RPMTIDN - LRPMTIDN +gh2MGIDN + gh3LICIDN +gh4PENIDN- LPENIDN; MTISGP = hi1RPMTIDN + hi2MGIDN + hi3LICIDN + hi4DTIDN - LDTIDN; MTIDN = MTIAUS + MTIJPN + MTISGP + MTRIDN; DTIDN = DTRS + DTRT + DTKM + DTIM; XGW = XGUSA + XGFRA + XGSOV + XGCAN + XGAUS + XGSD + XGARG + XGDEU + XGGBR; MGW = MGSOV+MGITA+MGBRA+MGJPN+MGDZA +MGIDN +MGSD +MGMYS +MGEGY +MGESP+MGMEX + MGCHN; XTW = XTFRA+XTBEL+XTSOV+XTTUR+XTDEU +XTSD+XTITA+XTESP+XTPAK+XTJPN+XTNLD+XTCHN+XTIDN; MTW = MTNLD + MTLBY + MTSOV + MTAGO + MTUSA+ MTIDN+ MTSD+ MTKOR+MTPAK+MTHKG + MTFRA; RANGE TAHUN=2004 TO 2015; RUN; PROC PRINT DATA=HASIL; VAR TAHUN MGW XGW RPGW XTW MTW RPXTW RPMGIDN RPMTIDN RPTIDN RPTPB RPTPE MGIAUS MGICAN MGIUSA MGIDN DGIDN DGM QTIDN MTIAUS MTIJPN MTISGP MTIDN DTRS DTRT DTKM DTIM DTIDN; run; Lampiran 17. Hasil Peramalan Kinerja Industri Tepung Terigu Indo nesia Tanpa Peruba han Kebijakan Tahun 2011 – 2015 de ngan menggunakan Metode NEWTON, Prosedur SIMLIN, Software SASETS versi 6.12 Tahun Permintaan Biji Gandum MT Impor Biji Gandum MT RPM GID N US MT RPGW US MT MGW MT DGPL DGM DGIDN MGRIDN MGIUSA MGIAUS MGICAN MGIDN 2004 194904.37 4209322.00 4404226.37 1146300 360974.39 2038169.51 858782 4404226.37 345.91 107.68 101686663.15 2005 189237.83 4013301.00 4202538.83 939842 373845.88 2118362.87 770488 4202538.83 338.91 102.39 102264159.01 2006 187583.51 3992485.00 4180068.51 853242 376759.78 2174032.12 776035 4180068.51 337.32 101.07 103276908.11 2007 188570.31 4035604.00 4224174.31 816542 382723.70 2238931.67 785977 4224174.31 336.92 103.16 103439627.40 2008 191296.90 4108497.00 4299793.90 809371 389896.21 2303739.31 796787 4299793.90 337.55 108.48 103558895.37 2009 195170.08 4197426.00 4392596.08 817797 398293.79 2368203.19 808302 4392596.08 339.15 117.12 104070039.56 2010 199797.15 4291861.00 4491658.15 834139 405584.17 2432307.32 819627 4491658.15 341.74 123.64 104066163.24 2011 204921.48 4389590.00 4594511.48 854577 412872.25 2496517.78 830545 4594511.48 343.70 129.49 104818716.80 2012 210373.72 4488572.00 4698945.72 877112 419259.43 2560733.15 841842 4698945.72 345.45 132.75 105183579.95 2013 216041.21 4587927.00 4803968.21 900732 424874.31 2625122.73 853239 4803968.21 346.43 133.21 105579519.25 2014 221850.11 4687591.00 4909441.11 924902 429784.44 2689726.91 865028 4909441.11 346.57 131.01 105946748.28 2015 227753.85 4788148.00 5015901.85 949354 434758.22 2754544.24 877246 5015901.85 345.91 128.19 106496047.71 Lampiran 17. Lanjutan TAHUN XGW MT MTW MT XTW MT Permintaan Tepung Terigu Indonesia MT QTIDN MT DTRS DTRT DTKM DTIM DTIDN 2004 104440000.06 8481541.02 7265660.67 160409.00 136123.00 1946611.00 1069764.00 3312906.17 3221859.84 2005 104163077.11 8880669.10 7419402.41 163318.00 141838.00 2033660.00 1117176.00 3455990.95 3143877.99 2006 102889817.14 9104632.62 7488744.68 164890.00 143322.00 2058398.00 1130322.00 3496931.25 3147030.14 2007 101367541.30 9268058.89 7548099.65 172010.00 149463.00 2148929.00 1179539.00 3649940.70 3198799.98 2008 99967462.79 9390172.86 7603883.77 176942.00 153763.00 2212377.00 1213926.00 3757007.79 3271830.08 2009 100215496.23 9487528.20 7658748.32 182178.00 158318.00 2279038.00 1250090.00 3869623.78 3355932.62 2010 100801615.39 9570290.00 7713756.30 187207.00 162697.00 2342904.00 1284719.00 3977526.60 3444269.33 2011 101898084.14 9644408.73 7769288.74 192190.00 167037.00 2406030.00 1318944.00 4084201.43 3535530.85 2012 103335970.81 9713364.34 7825435.67 197173.00 171376.00 2469026.00 1353100.00 4190674.73 3627441.12 2013 104918786.61 9779202.79 7882168.35 202140.00 175702.00 2531757.00 1387111.00 4296710.07 3719624.82 2014 105976386.42 9843142.01 7939415.75 207117.00 180036.00 2594550.00 1421156.00 4402858.70 3811780.58 2015 106680989.01 9905907.38 7997097.73 212104.00 184379.00 2657438.00 1455254.00 4509175.32 3904314.03 Lampiran 17. Lanjutan TAHUN Impor Tepung Terigu Indonesia MT RPTW US MT RPMTIDN US MT Harga Tepung Terigu Domestik RpKg MTIJPN MTISGP MTIAUS MTRIDN MTIDN RPTIDN RPTPB RPTPE 2004 8044.98 19535.07 18569.79 62832 108982.00 222.34 368.15 2509.75 2577.33 2766.61 2005 8124.30 21217.94 18533.52 66114 113990.00 238.26 379.13 2786.58 2854.06 3005.14 2006 8135.84 21441.48 18201.93 69396 117175.00 253.35 389.54 2759.40 2827.21 2982.00 2007 8204.96 21577.49 18224.67 72678 120685.00 267.06 399.00 2843.76 2911.77 3054.89 2008 8324.32 21485.72 18404.45 75961 124175.00 279.16 407.34 2908.45 2976.77 3110.91 2009 8475.58 21416.74 18716.34 79242 127851.00 289.65 414.58 2982.10 3050.64 3174.59 2010 8654.30 21374.42 19113.92 82524 131667.00 298.67 420.80 3056.78 3125.55 3239.16 2011 8848.75 21356.64 19562.50 85807 135575.00 306.40 426.13 3130.58 3199.57 3302.96 2012 9053.90 21362.48 20044.78 89089 139550.00 313.04 430.71 3204.61 3273.82 3366.97 2013 9266.16 21387.40 20547.92 92371 143572.00 318.76 434.65 3277.76 3347.19 3430.21 2014 9482.35 21424.07 21064.20 95653 147624.00 323.72 438.07 3350.10 3419.75 3492.75 2015 9699.15 21458.68 21587.94 98935 151681.00 328.05 441.07 3421.49 3491.37 3554.49 392 Lamp iran 18. Hasil Simu lasi Peramalan Tahun 2011-2015 Kebijakan Tarif dan Kuota Impor pada Model Industri Tepung Terigu Indonesia Metode NEWTON, Prosedur SIMNLIN, Software SAS ETS, Versi 6.12 Skenario 1. Kuota Impor Biji Gandu m sebesar 90 persen Variable Nobs N Actual Predicted Label Mean Std Mean Std XGUSA 12 12 1.0000 26018248 423966 Ekspor Gan USA XGFRA 12 12 1.0000 18084282 773134 Ekspor Gan France XGCAN 12 12 1.0000 16424217 726148 Ekspor Gan Canada XGSOV 12 12 11.0000 8873652 1802836 Ekspor Gan Soviet XGA US 12 12 1.0000 17214063 883586 Ekspor Gan Australia RPXGUSA 12 12 1.0000 144.1504 0.8996 Hrg Ril Ex Gan USA RPXGFRA 12 12 1.0000 154.3271 1.0033 Hrg Ril Ex Gan France RPXGCA N 12 12 1.0000 152.0431 1.1450 Hrg Ril Ex Gan CA N RPXGSOV 12 12 1.0000 133.3015 13.7114 Hrg Ril Eks Gan Sov RPXGA US 12 12 1.0000 138.5177 1.6675 Hrg Ril Ex Gan Australi MGSOV 12 12 11.0000 4737632 1312620 Impor Gan Soviet MGITA 12 12 1.0000 5649484 195450 Impor Gan Italia MGBRA 12 12 1.0000 6379788 493641 Impor Gan Brasil MGJPN 12 12 1.0000 6006994 67818 Impor Gan Jepang MGDZA 12 12 1.0000 5183501 370227 Impor Gan A ljasair RPM GSOV 12 12 1.0000 127.8574 13.1514 Hrg Ril Imp Gan Sov RPM GITA 12 12 1.0000 207.6620 2.2094 Hrg Ril Imp Gan ITA RPM GBRA 12 12 1.0000 136.7912 14.0703 Hrg Ril Imp Gan BRA RPM GJPN 12 12 1.0000 195.6363 0.3562 Hrg Ril Impor Gan JPN RPM GDZA 12 12 1.0000 163.3042 11.5940 Hrg Ril Impor Gan DZA XTFRA 12 12 1.0000 949276 86850 Ekspor Tep France XTBEL 12 12 1.0000 683059 17821 Ekspor Tepung Belgia XTSOV 12 12 11.0000 627712 35973 Ekspor Tep Soviet XTTUR 12 12 1.0000 595533 59665 Ekspor Tep Turki XTDEU 12 12 1.0000 621604 18581 Ekspor Tep Jerman RPXTFRA 12 12 1.0000 236.1094 2.3504 Hrg Ril Ex Tep FRA RPXTBEL 12 12 1.0000 272.6960 2.0254 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belg ia RPXTSOV 12 12 1.0000 319.3194 38.9550 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep Sov RPXTTUR 12 12 1.0000 2725 838.1577 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Turki RPXTDEU 12 12 1.0000 263.0858 1.0529 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep DEU MTNLD 12 12 1.0000 397600 78795 Impor Tep Belanda MTLBY 12 12 1.0000 771858 76959 Impor Tep Libya MTSOV 12 12 11.0000 844609 45343 Impor Tep Soviet MTUSA 12 12 1.0000 252129 42699 Impor Tep USA RPMTNLD 12 12 1.0000 314.4687 2.9657 Hrg Ril Imp Tep NLD RPMTLBY 12 12 1.0000 283.0221 7.8017 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Libya RPMTSOV 12 12 1.0000 322.1300 38.1498 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Sov RPMTUSA 12 12 1.0000 332.7415 3.7856 Hrg Ril Imp Tep USA XGW 12 12 16410078 2045938 103024525 2240640 Ekspor Gandum Dunia MGW 12 12 72616271 1771354 103754484 1437417 Impor Gan Dunia RPGW 12 12 1.0000 114.6102 11.7888 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia RPM GIDN 12 12 1.0000 341.1852 3.7558 Hrg Ril Imp Gan IDN XTW 12 12 4198851 245330 7676019 221268 Ekspor Tep Dunia MTW 12 12 7106880 275074 9429715 426869 Impor Tep Dunia RPXTW 12 12 1.0000 286.8600 34.9952 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia RPMTIDN 12 12 1.0000 412.6521 24.1392 Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN RPTIDN 12 12 1.0000 3028 255.1933 Hrg Ril Tep IDN RPTPB 12 12 1.0000 3097 256.0376 Hrg Ril Tep PB RPTPE 12 12 1.0000 3214 220.6988 Hrg Ril Tep PE 393 Lamp iran 18. Lanjutan Variable Nobs N Actual Predicted Label Mean Std Mean Std DTIM 12 12 1.0000 1263991 127357 Deman Tep IM DTKM 12 12 1.0000 2304721 234842 Deman Tep KM DTRT 12 12 1.0000 160198 15999 Deman Tep RT DTRS 12 12 1.0000 184640 17894 Deman Tep RS DTIDN 12 12 4.0000 3913550 396061 Deman Tep Indonesia MTIJPN 12 12 1.0000 9758 641.5673 Imp Tep IDN dr JPN MTISGP 12 12 1.0000 27355 776.9246 Imp Tep IDN dr SGP MTIAUS 12 12 1.0000 19542 1098 Imp Tep IDN dr A US MTIDN 12 12 80886 11834 137539 14035 Impor Tep Indonesia MGIUSA 12 12 1.0000 361189 21063 Imp Gan IDN d r USA MGIAUS 12 12 1.0000 2166144 213215 Imp Gan IDN d r AUS MGICAN 12 12 1.0000 742181 34375 Imp Gan IDN d r CAN MGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4067653 256996 Impor Gan Indonesia DGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4067653 256996 Deman Gan Indonesia DGM 12 12 684533 93923 3885591 244640 Deman Gan Makanan QTIDN 12 12 0.7400 2875337 181033 Prod Tep Indonesia Skenario 2. Pelarangan Impor Tepung Terigu XGUSA 12 12 1.0000 26054303 406914 Ekspor Gan USA XGFRA 12 12 1.0000 18091131 776486 Ekspor Gan France XGCAN 12 12 1.0000 16424903 726465 Ekspor Gan Canada XGSOV 12 12 11.0000 8885442 1801990 Ekspor Gan Soviet XGA US 12 12 1.0000 17214902 883980 Ekspor Gan Australia RPXGUSA 12 12 1.0000 144.6792 1.0998 Hrg Ril Ex Gan USA RPXGFRA 12 12 1.0000 154.8918 1.2194 Hrg Ril Ex Gan France RPXGCA N 12 12 1.0000 152.7052 1.3763 Hrg Ril Ex Gan CA N RPXGSOV 12 12 1.0000 141.0185 16.6649 Hrg Ril Eks Gan Sov RPXGA US 12 12 1.0000 139.4562 2.0267 Hrg Ril Ex Gan Australi MGSOV 12 12 11.0000 4737632 1312620 Impor Gan Soviet MGITA 12 12 1.0000 5642107 199231 Impor Gan Italia MGBRA 12 12 1.0000 6377090 492187 Impor Gan Brasil MGJPN 12 12 1.0000 6006955 67834 Impor Gan Jepang MGDZA 12 12 1.0000 5182506 369630 Impor Gan A ljasair RPM GSOV 12 12 1.0000 135.2593 15.9843 Hrg Ril Imp Gan Sov RPM GITA 12 12 1.0000 208.6848 2.5039 Hrg Ril Imp Gan ITA RPM GBRA 12 12 1.0000 144.7103 17.1012 Hrg Ril Imp Gan BRA RPM GJPN 12 12 1.0000 195.8368 0.4329 Hrg Ril Impor Gan JPN RPM GDZA 12 12 1.0000 169.7677 14.3371 Hrg Ril Impor Gan DZA XTFRA 12 12 1.0000 949252 86843 Ekspor Tep France XTBEL 12 12 1.0000 683030 17832 Ekspor Tepung Belgia XTSOV 12 12 11.0000 626940 35947 Ekspor Tep Soviet XTTUR 12 12 1.0000 595533 59665 Ekspor Tep Turki XTDEU 12 12 1.0000 621593 18575 Ekspor Tep Jerman RPXTFRA 12 12 1.0000 235.9531 2.3998 Hrg Ril Ex Tep FRA RPXTBEL 12 12 1.0000 272.4356 2.0564 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belg ia RPXTSOV 12 12 1.0000 312.6830 36.3657 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep Sov RPXTTUR 12 12 1.0000 2671 810.3994 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Turki RPXTDEU 12 12 1.0000 262.9540 0.9904 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep DEU MTNLD 12 12 1.0000 397623 78805 Impor Tep Belanda MTLBY 12 12 1.0000 772162 77072 Impor Tep Libya MTSOV 12 12 11.0000 844609 45343 Impor Tep Soviet MTUSA 12 12 1.0000 252225 42756 Impor Tep USA RPMTNLD 12 12 1.0000 313.9635 2.7686 Hrg Ril Imp Tep NLD 394 Lamp iran 18. Lanjutan Variable Nobs N Actual Predicted Label Mean Std Mean Std RPMTLBY 12 12 1.0000 281.6930 7.2831 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Libya RPMTSOV 12 12 1.0000 315.8845 35.5566 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Sov RPMTUSA 12 12 1.0000 332.0966 3.5340 Hrg Ril Imp Tep USA XGW 12 12 16410078 2045938 103080744 2242968 Ekspor Gandum Dunia MGW 12 12 72616271 1771354 104596961 1563921 Impor Gan Dunia RPGW 12 12 1.0000 121.2453 14.3282 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia RPM GIDN 12 12 1.0000 342.9238 4.2565 Hrg Ril Imp Gan IDN XTW 12 12 4198851 245330 7675185 221350 Ekspor Tep Dunia MTW 12 12 7106880 275074 9292598 413886 Impor Tep Dunia RPXTW 12 12 1.0000 280.8983 32.6690 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia RPMTIDN 12 12 1.0000 408.5398 22.5346 Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN RPTIDN 12 12 1.0000 3009 280.0377 Hrg Ril Tep IDN RPTPB 12 12 1.0000 3078 280.8103 Hrg Ril Tep PB RPTPE 12 12 1.0000 3198 242.0523 Hrg Ril Tep PE DTIM 12 12 1.0000 1266287 125024 Deman Tep IM DTKM 12 12 1.0000 2308904 230590 Deman Tep KM DTRT 12 12 1.0000 160489 15703 Deman Tep RT DTRS 12 12 1.0000 184987 17526 Deman Tep RS DTIDN 12 12 4.0000 3920668 388812 Deman Tep Indonesia MTIJPN 12 12 1.0000 0 Imp Tep IDN dr JPN MTISGP 12 12 1.0000 0 Imp Tep IDN dr SGP MTIAUS 12 12 1.0000 0 Imp Tep IDN dr A US MTIDN 12 12 1.0000 0 Impor Tep Indonesia MGIUSA 12 12 1.0000 477578 46581 Imp Gan IDN d r USA MGIAUS 12 12 1.0000 2506199 262245 Imp Gan IDN d r AUS MGICAN 12 12 1.0000 1050640 83421 Imp Gan IDN d r CAN MGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4921240 362571 Impor Gan Indonesia DGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4921240 362571 Deman Gan Indonesia DGM 12 12 684533 93923 4718948 349444 Deman Gan Makanan QTIDN 12 12 0.7400 3492022 258589 Prod Tep Indonesia Skenario 3. Pengenaan Tarif Bea Masuk Impor Biji Gandum sebesar 5 persen XGUSA 12 12 1.0000 26036808 416467 Ekspor Gan USA XGFRA 12 12 1.0000 18087812 774618 Ekspor Gan France XGCAN 12 12 1.0000 16424575 726308 Ekspor Gan Canada XGSOV 12 12 11.0000 8879444 1803270 Ekspor Gan Soviet XGA US 12 12 1.0000 17214495 883759 Ekspor Gan Australia RPXGUSA 12 12 1.0000 144.4226 0.9829 Hrg Ril Ex Gan USA RPXGFRA 12 12 1.0000 154.6168 1.0939 Hrg Ril Ex Gan France RPXGCA N 12 12 1.0000 152.3831 1.2403 Hrg Ril Ex Gan CA N RPXGSOV 12 12 1.0000 137.2613 14.9499 Hrg Ril Eks Gan Sov RPXGA US 12 12 1.0000 138.9993 1.8181 Hrg Ril Ex Gan Australi MGSOV 12 12 11.0000 4737632 1312620 Impor Gan Soviet MGITA 12 12 1.0000 5645640 197308 Impor Gan Italia MGBRA 12 12 1.0000 6378392 492981 Impor Gan Brasil MGJPN 12 12 1.0000 6006975 67828 Impor Gan Jepang MGDZA 12 12 1.0000 5182983 369949 Impor Gan A ljasair RPM GSOV 12 12 1.0000 131.6555 14.3393 Hrg Ril Imp Gan Sov RPM GITA 12 12 1.0000 208.1912 2.3132 Hrg Ril Imp Gan ITA RPM GBRA 12 12 1.0000 140.8548 15.3413 Hrg Ril Imp Gan BRA RPM GJPN 12 12 1.0000 195.7392 0.3883 Hrg Ril Impor Gan JPN RPM GDZA 12 12 1.0000 166.6318 12.7659 Hrg Ril Impor Gan DZA XTFRA 12 12 1.0000 949274 86849 Ekspor Tep France 395 Lamp iran 18. Lanjutan Variable Nobs N Actual Predicted Label Mean Std Mean Std XTBEL 12 12 1.0000 683057 17822 Ekspor Tepung Belgia XTSOV 12 12 11.0000 627674 35968 Ekspor Tep Soviet XTTUR 12 12 1.0000 595533 59665 Ekspor Tep Turki XTDEU 12 12 1.0000 621603 18581 Ekspor Tep Jerman RPXTFRA 12 12 1.0000 236.1013 2.3528 Hrg Ril Ex Tep FRA RPXTBEL 12 12 1.0000 272.6825 2.0270 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belg ia RPXTSOV 12 12 1.0000 318.9756 38.8366 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep Sov RPXTTUR 12 12 1.0000 2723 836.7978 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Turki RPXTDEU 12 12 1.0000 263.0790 1.0499 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep DEU MTNLD 12 12 1.0000 397601 78796 Impor Tep Belanda MTLBY 12 12 1.0000 771874 76965 Impor Tep Libya MTSOV 12 12 11.0000 844609 45343 Impor Tep Soviet MTUSA 12 12 1.0000 252134 42702 Impor Tep USA RPMTNLD 12 12 1.0000 314.4426 2.9567 Hrg Ril Imp Tep NLD RPMTLBY 12 12 1.0000 282.9533 7.7780 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Libya RPMTSOV 12 12 1.0000 321.8061 38.0296 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Sov RPMTUSA 12 12 1.0000 332.7081 3.7741 Hrg Ril Imp Tep USA XGW 12 12 16410078 2045938 103053198 2241506 Ekspor Gandum Dunia MGW 12 12 72616271 1771354 104178272 1460572 Impor Gan Dunia RPGW 12 12 1.0000 118.0149 12.8536 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia RPM GIDN 12 12 1.0000 359.1890 4.1289 Hrg Ril Imp Gan IDN XTW 12 12 4198851 245330 7675977 221277 Ekspor Tep Dunia MTW 12 12 7106880 275074 9422725 426706 Impor Tep Dunia RPXTW 12 12 1.0000 286.5512 34.8888 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia RPMTIDN 12 12 1.0000 412.4391 24.0658 Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN RPTIDN 12 12 1.0000 3034 270.4516 Hrg Ril Tep IDN RPTPB 12 12 1.0000 3103 271.2399 Hrg Ril Tep PB RPTPE 12 12 1.0000 3220 233.8028 Hrg Ril Tep PE DTIM 12 12 1.0000 1263389 125908 Deman Tep IM DTKM 12 12 1.0000 2303626 232202 Deman Tep KM DTRT 12 12 1.0000 160122 15816 Deman Tep RT DTRS 12 12 1.0000 184549 17673 De man Tep RS DTIDN 12 12 4.0000 3911686 391568 Deman Tep Indonesia MTIJPN 12 12 1.0000 8742 574.6193 Imp Tep IDN dr JPN MTISGP 12 12 1.0000 21536 586.5960 Imp Tep IDN dr SGP MTIAUS 12 12 1.0000 19364 1163 Imp Tep IDN dr A US MTIDN 12 12 80886 11834 130527 13753 Impor Tep Indonesia MGIUSA 12 12 1.0000 394119 24070 Imp Gan IDN d r USA MGIAUS 12 12 1.0000 2401452 237188 Imp Gan IDN d r AUS MGICAN 12 12 1.0000 814826 37256 Imp Gan IDN d r CAN MGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4497219 285250 Impor Gan Indonesia DGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4497219 285250 Deman Gan Indonesia DGM 12 12 684533 93923 4294927 271504 Deman Gan Makanan QTIDN 12 12 0.7400 3178246 200913 Prod Tep Indonesia Skenario 4. Pengenaan Tarif Bea Masuk Impor Tepung Terigu sebesar 5 persen XGUSA 12 12 1.0000 26037758 416049 Ekspor Gan USA XGFRA 12 12 1.0000 18087993 774701 Ekspor Gan France XGCAN 12 12 1.0000 16424594 726316 Ekspor Gan Canada XGSOV 12 12 11.0000 8879743 1803270 Ekspor Gan Soviet XGA US 12 12 1.0000 17214517 883769 Ekspor Gan Australia RPXGUSA 12 12 1.0000 144.4366 0.9877 Hrg Ril Ex Gan USA RPXGFRA 12 12 1.0000 154.6317 1.0991 Hrg Ril Ex Gan France 396 Lamp iran 18. Lanjutan Variable Nobs N Actual Predicted Label Mean Std Mean Std RPXGCA N 12 12 1.0000 152.4005 1.2457 Hrg Ril Ex Gan CA N RPXGSOV 12 12 1.0000 137.4640 15.0205 Hrg Ril Eks Gan Sov RPXGA US 12 12 1.0000 139.0239 1.8267 Hrg Ril Ex Gan Australi MGSOV 12 12 11.0000 4737632 1312620 Impor Gan Soviet MGITA 12 12 1.0000 5645443 197407 Impor Gan Italia MGBRA 12 12 1.0000 6378320 492944 Impor Gan Brasil MGJPN 12 12 1.0000 6006974 67828 Impor Gan Jepang MGDZA 12 12 1.0000 5182956 369934 Impor Gan A ljasair RPM GSOV 12 12 1.0000 131.8499 14.4071 Hrg Ril Imp Gan Sov RPM GITA 12 12 1.0000 208.2183 2.3201 Hrg Ril Imp Gan ITA RPM GBRA 12 12 1.0000 141.0627 15.4137 Hrg Ril Imp Gan BRA RPM GJPN 12 12 1.0000 0 195.7445 0.3902 Hrg Ril Impor Gan JPN RPM GDZA 12 12 1.0000 166.8021 12.8325 Hrg Ril Impor Gan DZA XTFRA 12 12 1.0000 949274 86849 Ekspor Tep France XTBEL 12 12 1.0000 683057 17822 Ekspor Tepung Belgia XTSOV 12 12 11.0000 627670 35967 Ekspor Tep Soviet XTTUR 12 12 1.0000 595533 59665 Ekspor Tep Turki XTDEU 12 12 1.0000 621603 18580 Ekspor Tep Jerman RPXTFRA 12 12 1.0000 236.1006 2.3531 Hrg Ril Ex Tep FRA RPXTBEL 12 12 1.0000 272.6813 2.0271 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belg ia RPXTSOV 12 12 1.0000 318.9442 38.8245 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep Sov RPXTTUR 12 12 1.0000 2722 836.6646 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Turki RPXTDEU 12 12 1.0000 263.0783 1.0496 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep DEU MTNLD 12 12 1.0000 397601 78796 Impor Tep Belanda MTLBY 12 12 1.0000 771875 76965 Impor Tep Libya MTSOV 12 12 11.0000 844609 45343 Impor Tep Soviet MTUSA 12 12 1.0000 252135 42703 Impor Tep USA RPMTNLD 12 12 1.0000 314.4402 2.9558 Hrg Ril Imp Tep NLD RPMTLBY 12 12 1.0000 282.9470 7.7755 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Libya RPMTSOV 12 12 1.0000 321.7765 38.0174 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Sov RPMTUSA 12 12 1.0000 332.7050 3.7729 Hrg Ril Imp Tep USA XGW 12 12 16410078 2045938 103054668 2241506 Ekspor Gandum Dunia MGW 12 12 72616271 1771354 104199924 1462403 Impor Gan Dunia RPGW 12 12 1.0000 118.1891 12.9144 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia RPM GIDN 12 12 1.0000 342.1308 3.9441 Hrg Ril Imp Gan IDN XTW 12 12 4198851 245330 7675973 221277 Ekspor Tep Dunia MTW 12 12 7106880 275074 9422085 426654 Impor Tep Dunia RPXTW 12 12 1.0000 286.5230 34.8779 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia RPMTIDN 12 12 1.0000 433.0406 25.2612 Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN RPTIDN 12 12 1.0000 3020 271.7264 Hrg Ril Tep IDN RPTPB 12 12 1.0000 3089 272.5140 Hrg Ril Tep PB RPTPE 12 12 1.0000 3208 234.9011 Hrg Ril Tep PE DTIM 12 12 1.0000 1264981 126034 Deman Tep IM DTKM 12 12 1.0000 2306525 232430 Deman Tep KM DTRT 12 12 1.0000 160324 15832 Deman Tep RT DTRS 12 12 1.0000 184790 17688 Deman Tep RS DTIDN 12 12 4.0000 3916620 391952 Deman Tep Indonesia MTIJPN 12 12 1.0000 8690 571.3622 Imp Tep IDN dr JPN MTISGP 12 12 1.0000 21016 535.9557 Imp Tep IDN dr SGP MTIAUS 12 12 1.0000 19295 1161 Imp Tep IDN dr A US MTIDN 12 12 80886 11834 129885 13710 Impor Tep Indonesia MGIUSA 12 12 1.0000 400995 24217 Imp Gan IDN d r USA 397 Lamp iran 18. Lanjutan Variable Nobs N Actual Predicted Label Mean Std Mean Std MGIAUS 12 12 1.0000 2407120 237325 Imp Gan IDN d r AUS MGICAN 12 12 1.0000 824229 36382 Imp Gan IDN d r CAN MGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4519166 285942 Impor Gan Indonesia DGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4519166 285942 Deman Gan Indonesia DGM 12 12 684533 93923 4316874 272188 Deman Gan Makanan QTIDN 12 12 0.7400 3194487 201419 Prod Tep Indonesia Skenario 5. Penambahan Kuota Impor Biji Gandum sebesar 10 persen XGUSA 12 12 1.0000 26057694 407955 Ekspor Gan USA XGFRA 12 12 1.0000 18091785 776304 Ekspor Gan France XGCAN 12 12 1.0000 16424978 726488 Ekspor Gan Canada XGSOV 12 12 11.0000 8885969 1803707 Ekspor Gan Soviet XGA US 12 12 1.0000 17214981 883955 Ekspor Gan Australia RPXGUSA 12 12 1.0000 144.7289 1.0838 Hrg Ril Ex Gan USA RPXGFRA 12 12 1.0000 154.9429 1.2000 Hrg Ril Ex Gan France RPXGCA N 12 12 1.0000 152.7658 1.3551 Hrg Ril Ex Gan CA N RPXGSOV 12 12 1.0000 141.7174 16.3999 Hrg Ril Eks Gan Sov RPXGA US 12 12 1.0000 139.5412 1.9945 Hrg Ril Ex Gan Australi MGSOV 12 12 11.0000 4737632 1312620 Impor Gan Soviet MGITA 12 12 1.0000 5641314 199416 Impor Gan Italia MGBRA 12 12 1.0000 6376821 492231 Impor Gan Brasil MGJPN 12 12 1.0000 6006954 67839 Impor Gan Jepang MGDZA 12 12 1.0000 5182399 369634 Impor Gan A ljasair RPM GSOV 12 12 1.0000 135.9296 15.7301 Hrg Ril Imp Gan Sov RPM GITA 12 12 1.0000 208.7867 2.4609 Hrg Ril Imp Gan ITA RPM GBRA 12 12 1.0000 145.4275 16.8293 Hrg Ril Imp Gan BRA RPM GJPN 12 12 1.0000 195.8549 0.4260 Hrg Ril Impor Gan JPN RPM GDZA 12 12 1.0000 170.3763 14.1414 Hrg Ril Impor Gan DZA XTFRA 12 12 1.0000 949273 86849 Ekspor Tep France XTBEL 12 12 1.0000 683056 17823 Ekspor Tepung Belgia XTSOV 12 12 11.0000 627630 35962 Ekspor Tep Soviet XTTUR 12 12 1.0000 595533 59665 Ekspor Tep Turki XTDEU 12 12 1.0000 621602 18580 Ekspor Tep Jerman RPXTFRA 12 12 1.0000 236.0922 2.3556 Hrg Ril Ex Tep FRA RPXTBEL 12 12 1.0000 272.6674 2.0288 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belg ia RPXTSOV 12 12 1.0000 318.5912 38.7029 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep Sov RPXTTUR 12 12 1.0000 2719 835.2668 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Turki RPXTDEU 12 12 1.0000 263.0713 1.0465 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep DEU MTNLD 12 12 1.0000 397603 78796 Impor Tep Belanda MTLBY 12 12 1.0000 771891 76970 Impor Tep Libya MTSOV 12 12 11.0000 844609 45343 Impor Tep Soviet MTUSA 12 12 1.0000 252140 42705 Impor Tep USA RPMTNLD 12 12 1.0000 314.4133 2.9465 Hrg Ril Imp Tep NLD RPMTLBY 12 12 1.0000 282.8763 7.7512 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Libya RPMTSOV 12 12 1.0000 321.4438 37.8940 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Sov RPMTUSA 12 12 1.0000 332.6707 3.7611 Hrg Ril Imp Tep USA XGW 12 12 16410078 2045938 103085470 2242422 Ekspor Gandum Dunia MGW 12 12 72616271 1771354 104655105 1488258 Impor Gan Dunia RPGW 12 12 1.0000 121.8461 14.1004 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia RPM GIDN 12 12 1.0000 343.0971 4.1834 Hrg Ril Imp Gan IDN XTW 12 12 4198851 245330 7675930 221286 Ekspor Tep Dunia MTW 12 12 7106880 275074 9414911 426488 Impor Tep Dunia RPXTW 12 12 1.0000 286.2059 34.7687 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia 398 Lamp iran 18. Lanjutan Variable Nobs N Actual Predicted Label Mean Std Mean Std RPMTIDN 12 12 1.0000 412.2009 23.9830 Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN RPTIDN 12 12 1.0000 3010 292.4130 Hrg Ril Tep IDN RPTPB 12 12 1.0000 3079 293.1245 Hrg Ril Tep PB RPTPE 12 12 1.0000 3199 252.6669 Hrg Ril Tep PE DTIM 12 12 1.0000 1266223 124878 Deman Tep IM DTKM 12 12 1.0000 2308788 230319 Deman Tep KM DTRT 12 12 1.0000 160481 15686 Deman Tep RT DTRS 12 12 1.0000 184978 17508 Deman Tep RS DTIDN 12 12 4.0000 3920471 388360 Deman Tep Indonesia MTIJPN 12 12 1.0000 7599 499.1446 Imp Tep IDN dr JPN MTISGP 12 12 1.0000 14990 550.2626 Imp Tep IDN dr SGP MTIAUS 12 12 1.0000 19216 1290 Imp Tep IDN dr A US MTIDN 12 12 80886 11834 122689 13436 Impor Tep Indonesia MGIUSA 12 12 1.0000 452259 28234 Imp Gan IDN d r USA MGIAUS 12 12 1.0000 2647522 261402 Imp Gan IDN d r AUS MGICAN 12 12 1.0000 905268 38521 Imp Gan IDN d r CAN MGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4980553 315544 Impor Gan Indonesia DGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4980553 315544 Deman Gan Indonesia DGM 12 12 684533 93923 4758032 300400 Deman Gan Makanan QTIDN 12 12 0.7400 3520944 222296 Prod Tep Indonesia Skenario 6. Penambahan Kuota Impor Tepung Terigu sebesar 50 persen XGUSA 12 12 1.0000 26029797 420672 Ekspor Gan USA XGFRA 12 12 1.0000 18086484 773799 Ekspor Gan France XGCAN 12 12 1.0000 16424446 726245 Ekspor Gan Canada XGSOV 12 12 11.0000 8876936 1804036 Ekspor Gan Soviet XGA US 12 12 1.0000 17214332 883661 Ekspor Gan Australia RPXGUSA 12 12 1.0000 144.3198 0.9321 Hrg Ril Ex Gan USA RPXGFRA 12 12 1.0000 154.5063 1.0384 Hrg Ril Ex Gan France RPXGCA N 12 12 1.0000 152.2537 1.1807 Hrg Ril Ex Gan CA N RPXGSOV 12 12 1.0000 135.7503 14.1909 Hrg Ril Eks Gan Sov RPXGA US 12 12 1.0000 138.8155 1.7258 Hrg Ril Ex Gan Australi MGSOV 12 12 11.0000 4737632 1312620 Impor Gan Soviet MGITA 12 12 1.0000 5647037 196530 Impor Gan Italia MGBRA 12 12 1.0000 6378911 493321 Impor Gan Brasil MGJPN 12 12 1.0000 6006984 67826 Impor Gan Jepang MGDZA 12 12 1.0000 5183171 370085 Impor Gan A ljasair RPM GSOV 12 12 1.0000 130.2062 13.6113 Hrg Ril Imp Gan Sov RPM GITA 12 12 1.0000 207.9946 2.2332 Hrg Ril Imp Gan ITA RPM GBRA 12 12 1.0000 139.3042 14.5624 Hrg Ril Imp Gan BRA RPM GJPN 12 12 1.0000 195.6999 0.3686 Hrg Ril Impor Gan JPN RPM GDZA 12 12 1.0000 165.3751 12.0776 Hrg Ril Impor Gan DZA XTFRA 12 12 1.0000 949285 86852 Ekspor Tep France XTBEL 12 12 1.0000 683070 17818 Ekspor Tepung Belgia XTSOV 12 12 11.0000 628031 35954 Ekspor Tep Soviet XTTUR 12 12 1.0000 595533 59665 Ekspor Tep Turki XTDEU 12 12 1.0000 621608 18583 Ekspor Tep Jerman RPXTFRA 12 12 1.0000 236.1717 2.3303 Hrg Ril Ex Tep FRA RPXTBEL 12 12 1.0000 272.8001 2.0155 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belg ia RPXTSOV 12 12 1.0000 321.9769 40.1121 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep Sov RPXTTUR 12 12 1.0000 2747 849.8981 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Turki RPXTDEU 12 12 1.0000 263.1383 1.0799 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep DEU MTNLD 12 12 1.0000 397591 78791 Impor Tep Belanda 399 Lamp iran 18. Lanjutan Variable Nobs N Actual Predicted Label Mean Std Mean Std MTLBY 12 12 1.0000 771736 76909 Impor Tep Libya MTSOV 12 12 1.0000 844609 45343 Impor Tep Soviet MTUSA 12 12 1.0000 252092 42676 Impor Tep USA RPMTNLD 12 12 1.0000 314.6710 3.0538 Hrg Ril Imp Tep NLD RPMTLBY 12 12 1.0000 283.5544 8.0334 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Libya RPMTSOV 12 12 1.0000 324.6277 39.2965 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Sov RPMTUSA 12 12 1.0000 332.9997 3.8980 Hrg Ril Imp Tep USA XGW 12 12 16410078 2045938 103042059 2240546 Ekspor Gandum Dunia MGW 12 12 72616271 1771354 104006234 1407036 Impor Gan Dunia RPGW 12 12 1.0000 116.7157 12.2010 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia RPM GIDN 12 12 1.0000 341.7505 3.7962 Hrg Ril Imp Gan IDN XTW 12 12 4198851 245330 7676364 221266 Ekspor Tep Dunia MTW 12 12 7106880 275074 9485463 435969 Impor Tep Dunia RPXTW 12 12 1.0000 289.2474 36.0346 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia RPMTIDN 12 12 1.0000 414.2989 24.8562 Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN RPTIDN 12 12 1.0000 3024 268.9598 Hrg Ril Tep IDN RPTPB 12 12 1.0000 3093 269.7478 Hrg Ril Tep PB RPTPE 12 12 1.0000 3211 232.5167 Hrg Ril Tep PE DTIM 12 12 1.0000 1264492 126543 Deman Tep IM DTKM 12 12 1.0000 2305634 233356 Deman Tep KM DTRT 12 12 1.0000 160262 15897 Deman Tep RT DTRS 12 12 1.0000 184716 17769 Deman Tep RS DTIDN 12 12 4.0000 3915104 393533 Deman Tep Indonesia MTIJPN 12 12 1.0000 12943 980.3738 Imp Tep IDN dr JPN MTISGP 12 12 1.0000 31150 1867 Imp Tep IDN dr SGP MTIAUS 12 12 1.0000 28044 3040 Imp Tep IDN dr A US MTIDN 12 12 80886 11834 193455 23099 Impor Tep Indonesia MGIUSA 12 12 1.0000 363649 15219 Imp Gan IDN d r USA MGIAUS 12 12 1.0000 2358796 223952 Imp Gan IDN d r AUS MGICAN 12 12 1.0000 713802 49552 Imp Gan IDN d r CAN MGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4323068 257769 Impor Gan Indonesia DGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4323068 257769 Deman Gan Indonesia DGM 12 12 684533 93923 4120776 244500 Deman Gan Makanan QTIDN 12 12 0.7400 3049374 180930 Prod Tep Indonesia Skenario 7. Gabungan Kuota Impor Biji Gandu m sebesar 90 persen dan Pelarangan Impor Tepung Terigu XGUSA 12 12 1.0000 26015899 422963 Ekspor Gan USA XGFRA 12 12 1.0000 18083828 773312 Ekspor Gan France XGCAN 12 12 1.0000 16424163 726133 Ekspor Gan Canada XGSOV 12 12 11.0000 8873354 1801450 Ekspor Gan Soviet XGA US 12 12 1.0000 17214008 883610 Ekspor Gan Australia RPXGUSA 12 12 1.0000 144.1160 0.9133 Hrg Ril Ex Gan USA RPXGFRA 12 12 1.0000 154.2919 1.0198 Hrg Ril Ex Gan France RPXGCA N 12 12 1.0000 152.0014 1.1622 Hrg Ril Ex Gan CA N RPXGSOV 12 12 1.0000 132.8208 13.9364 Hrg Ril Eks Gan Sov RPXGA US 12 12 1.0000 138.4593 1.6949 Hrg Ril Ex Gan Australi MGSOV 12 12 11.0000 4737632 1312620 Impor Gan Soviet MGITA 12 12 1.0000 5650045 195337 Impor Gan Italia MGBRA 12 12 1.0000 6379976 493593 Impor Gan Brasil MGJPN 12 12 1.0000 6006994 67814 Impor Gan Jepang MGDZA 12 12 1.0000 5183577 370219 Impor Gan A ljasair RPM GSOV 12 12 1.0000 127.3963 13.3672 Hrg Ril Imp Gan Sov RPM GITA 12 12 1.0000 207.5906 2.2469 Hrg Ril Imp Gan ITA 400 Lamp iran 18. Lanjutan Variable Nobs N Actual Predicted Label Mean Std Mean Std RPM GBRA 12 12 1.0000 136.2980 14.3012 Hrg Ril Imp Gan BRA RPM GJPN 12 12 1.0000 195.6239 0.3620 Hrg Ril Impor Gan JPN RPM GDZA 12 12 1.0000 162.8825 11.7708 Hrg Ril Impor Gan DZA XTFRA 12 12 1.0000 949252 86843 Ekspor Tep France XTBEL 12 12 1.0000 683030 17832 Ekspor Tepung Belgia XTSOV 12 12 11.0000 626940 35947 Ekspor Tep Soviet XTTUR 12 12 1.0000 595533 59665 Ekspor Tep Turki XTDEU 12 12 1.0000 621593 18575 Ekspor Tep Jerman RPXTFRA 12 12 1.0000 235.9531 2.3998 Hrg Ril Ex Tep FRA RPXTBEL 12 12 1.0000 272.4356 2.0564 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belg ia RPXTSOV 12 12 1.0000 312.6830 36.3657 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep Sov RPXTTUR 12 12 1.0000 2671 810.3994 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Turki RPXTDEU 12 12 1.0000 262.9540 0.9904 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep DEU MTNLD 12 12 1.0000 397623 78805 Impor Tep Belanda MTLBY 12 12 1.0000 772162 77072 Impor Tep Libya MTSOV 12 12 11.0000 844609 45343 Impor Tep Soviet MTUSA 12 12 1.0000 252225 42756 Impor Tep USA RPMTNLD 12 12 1.0000 313.9635 2.7686 Hrg Ril Imp Tep NLD RPMTLBY 12 12 1.0000 281.6930 7.2831 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Libya RPMTSOV 12 12 1.0000 315.8845 35.5566 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Sov RPMTUSA 12 12 1.0000 332.0966 3.5340 Hrg Ril Imp Tep USA XGW 12 12 16410078 2045938 103021316 2241138 Ekspor Gandum Dunia MGW 12 12 72616271 1771354 103717064 1500746 Impor Gan Dunia RPGW 12 12 1.0000 114.1970 11.9823 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia RPM GIDN 12 12 1.0000 341.0638 3.8195 Hrg Ril Imp Gan IDN XTW 12 12 4198851 245330 7675185 221350 Ekspor Tep Dunia MTW 12 12 7106880 275074 9292598 413886 Impor Tep Dunia RPXTW 12 12 1.0000 280.8983 32.6690 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia RPMTIDN 12 12 1.0000 408.5398 22.5346 Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN RPTIDN 12 12 1.0000 3028 254.4807 Hrg Ril Tep IDN RPTPB 12 12 1.0000 3096 255.3202 Hrg Ril Tep PB RPTPE 12 12 1.0000 3214 220.0804 Hrg Ril Tep PE DTIM 12 12 1.0000 1264038 127853 Deman Tep IM DTKM 12 12 1.0000 2304807 235744 Deman Tep KM DTRT 12 12 1.0000 160204 16061 Deman Tep RT DTRS 12 12 1.0000 184647 17971 Deman Tep RS DTIDN 12 12 4.0000 3913697 397596 Deman Tep Indonesia MTIJPN 12 12 1.0000 0 Imp Tep IDN dr JPN MTISGP 12 12 1.0000 0 Imp Tep IDN dr SGP MTIAUS 12 12 1.0000 0 Imp Tep IDN dr A US MTIDN 12 12 80886 11834 0 Impor Tep Indonesia MGIUSA 12 12 1.0000 353958 34198 Imp Gan IDN d r USA MGIAUS 12 12 1.0000 2158825 226089 Imp Gan IDN d r AUS MGICAN 12 12 1.0000 718486 57348 Imp Gan IDN d r CAN MGIDN 12 12 1.0000 886825 4029408 293179 Impor Gan Indonesia DGIDN 12 12 886825 4029408 94872 293179 Deman Gan Indonesia DGM 12 12 684533 93923 3847346 281227 Deman Gan Makanan QTIDN 12 12 0.7400 2847036 208108 Prod Tep Indonesia ABSTRACT PURWOTO RUSLAN HIDAYAT. 2012. The Impact of Import Tariff and Quota Policy on Perfor mance of the Indo nesian Wheat Flour Industry BONAR M. SINAGA as Chairman, RINA OKTAVIANI and WILSON H. LIMBONG as Members of the Advisory Committee. The objectives of this study are to analyze impor t tariff and quota po licy on performance of the Indo nesian wheat flour industry, with particular objective is to: 1 identify the factors that influence the behavior of impor t, demand, and price of wheat, as well as the import, production, demand, and price of Indonesian wheat flour, 2 analyze the impacts of tariff and quota on impor t, demand and grain price, especially changes that occur in the welfare of milling grain producers, consumer and government revenue , 3 analyze the impacts of tariff and quota on impor t, production, demand and price of wheat flour, especially changes that occur in well-being of milling grain producer, consumer, and government revenue, and 4 determine the policy alternatives by considering the interests of producers of wheat flour, wheat flour consumers and government revenue in order to improve performance of wheat flour industry. Alternative policies are simulated by using econometric models in form of simultaneous equation consisting of 55 structural equations, one technical equation of production, and 9 identity equations. Method Two Stage Least Squares 2 SLS is used to estimate the parameters of structural equations. The study analyzed forecasting six single instruments scenarios, and one combined tariff dan quotas instruments scenario. The results show that the combined forecasting scenarios of Wheat Seed Impo rt Quota by 90 percent and Import Prohibition o f Wheat Flour is the best simulation based on the impacts on producers and consumers, while simulation of policies resulting the worst impact is the policy of increasing Wheat Seed Imports by 10 percent. Imposition of combined policy of Wheat Seed Import Quota by 90 percent and Import Prohibition of Wheat Flour gives a positive impact upon producers and consumers is recommended as an appropriate policy to promote wheat flour industry in Indo nesia by considering that those policies representing: 1 interest of Indonesian government to maintain national food security, 2 interest of wheat flour enterprise through additional producer surplus, and 3 interest of consumers through the additional consumer surplus. Key words : wheat flour industry, tariff and q uota po licy, pr od user and consumer surplus.

I. PENDAHULUAN

1. 1. Latar Belakang Perubahan gaya hidup sebagian anggota masyarakat Indonesia telah mendorong terjadinya penambahan pilihan pola makan, antara lain dengan dikenalnya pola makan berbahan dasar tepung terigu, seperti mie, roti, biskuit dan berbagai pangan yang berbahan baku tepung terigu. Perubahan ini menyebabkan tepung terigu menjadi salah satu komoditi pangan yang diperlukan oleh Indonesia untuk mencukupi kebutuhan pangannya. Selain itu, peningkatan permintaan tepung terigu juga didorong dengan adanya penambahan jumlah penduduk yang terus memanfaatkan pangan berbahan baku tepung terigu. Disisi lain, permintaan yang terus meningkat ini belum didukung dengan kemampuan produksi dalam negeri untuk memberikan kontribusi dalam pemenuhan kebutuhan tepung terigu dan biji gandum sebagai bahan dasar pembuatan tepung terigu. Untuk menutupi kebutuhan dalam negeri tersebut sejumlah pengusaha melakukan impor tepung terigu dan biji gandum dari luar negeri. Ditinjau dari sisi ketahanan pangan, impor biji gandum atau tepung terigu masih dapat ditolerir. Dalam tahun 2001, Sampai dengan tahun 2001, r perbandingan antara jumlah total produksi komoditas pangan utama dengan jumlah populasi penduduk Indonesia yang menunjukkan tingkat ketersediaan pangan untuk pemenuhan kebutuhan penduduk belum memuaskan. Gumbira 2003 menyatakan untuk tahun 2001, perbandingan pangan Indonesia sebesar 0.38. Nilai perbandingan tersebut diperoleh dari rata-rata jumlah produksi bahan pangan utama periode 1996-2000 sebagai berikut: padi 50.35 juta tontahun, For m a t t e d: Left: 4 cm , Right: 3 cm , Top: 3 cm , Bottom : 3 cm , Width: 21 cm , H eight: 29,7 cm 2 jagung 9.36 juta tontahun, kacang kedelai 1.31 juta tontahun, kacang tanah 0.70 juta tontahun, kacang hijau 0.32 juta tontahun, ubi kayu 15.73 juta tontahun, ubi jalar 1.84 juta tontahun, kentang 1.27 juta tontahun, dan rata-rata jumlah penduduk sejumlah 215 juta. Sedangkan Data BPS 2010 menunjukkan perbandingan pangan utama Indonesia periode 2005-2009 sebesar 0.43 . Nilai perbandingan tersebut diperoleh dari rata-rata jumlah produksi bahan pangan utama periode 2005-2009 sebagai berikut: padi 58.09 juta tontahun, jagung 14.27 juta tontahun, kacang kedelai 0.78 juta tontahun, kacang tanah 0.80 jut a tontahun, kacang hijau 0.31 juta tontahun, ubi kayu 20.62 juta tontahun, ubi jalar 1.91 juta tontahun, kentang 1.05 juta tontahun, dan rata-rata jumlah penduduk sejumlah 224 juta. Perbandingan pangan penduduk Indonesia sebesar 0.38 tersebut mendekati perbandingan ideal sebesar 0.45. Andrian 2009 1 , mengabarkan bahwa berdasarkan data Badan Pusat Statistik konsumsi tepung terigu di Indonesia pada tahun 1980-an sekitar 19.8 gramkapitahari meningkat mencapai 22.6 gramkapitahari pada tahun 2006, dan pada tahun 2008 mencapai 38 gramkapitahari. Dilain pihak terjadi penurunan konsumsi beras, Novita 2008 2 Lebih lanjut Gumbira 2003 menyatakan sekurang-kurangnya ada empat alasan mengapa impor biji gandum membantu ketahanan pangan Indonesia. menyatakan bahwa konsumsi beras pada 1980-an mencapai 160 kgkapitatahun, turun menjadi sekitar 104 kgkapitatahun dalam beberapa tahun belakangan. 1 Andrian. 2009. Ket ergant ungan Impor Gan dum Harus Dikurangi. Suara Karya April 2009. www.suarakarya-online.com , Jakart a 2 Novit a, N. C. 2008. Mungkinkah Mi Instan Menggusur Nasi? Koran Indonesia 11 Sept ember 2008. www.koranindonesia.com , Jakarta. For m a t t e d: I talian I taly For m a t t e d: I talian I taly For m a t t e d: I talian I taly 3 Pertama, ketersediaan biji gandum tahunan di pasar dunia adalah 130-200 juta ton, dibandingkan dengan beras yang hanya 11-25 juta ton. Kedua, harga biji gandum per ton lebih murah antara 70-100 USD dibandingkan dengan harga beras. Ketiga, kandungan protein biji gandum sebesar 12.5 persen , lebih tinggi dari beras yang hanya 7.5 persen . Keempat, turunan produk dari biji gandum ribuan jenis, sedangkan dari beras hanya beberapa.hanya sebatas hitungan jari tangan Tabel 1. Impor Biji Gandum dan Tepung Terigu Indonesia Tahun 2001-200 8 Tahun Volume Impor Biji Gandum Ton Volume Impor Tepung Terigu Ton 2001 2 718 272 255 749 2002 4 250 353 343 479 2003 3 503 463 343 547 2004 4 545 590 307 556 2005 4 428 51 478 016 2006 4 584 23 537 257 2007 4 649 140 581 535 2008 4 497 190 532 649 Sumber : FAO, 201 1. Keterangan : = Unofficial Data Kustiari dan Nuryanti 2009 menyatakan harga komoditas pertanian di pasar dunia yang meningkat dari waktu ke waktu telah menimbulkan permasalahan ketahanan pangan di tingkat rumahtanggaindividu. Pola makan pokok bergeser dari beras ke selain beras, antara lain beras jagung dan pangan berbahan baku gandum, yaitu tepung terigu dan mi instan. Pergeseran pola makan paling cepat terjadi di perdesaan. Masyarakat di daerah produsen pangan justru lebih tergantung pada pangan impor. Djanuwardi dkk 1990 menunjukkan For m a t t e d: Sw edish Sw eden For m a t t e d: Sw edish Sw eden For m a t t e d: Sw edish Sw eden For m a t t e d: I ndent: First line: 0 cm , Line spacing: single 4 For m a t t e d: I ndonesian bahwa antara beras dan terigu merupakan komoditi saling mesubstitusi, sementara jagung tidak terdapat bukti yang kuat sebagai substitusi terigu. .Masalah timbul ketika impor biji gandum dan tepung terigu terus meningkat setiap tahunnya. Data Food and Agriculture Organizatin FAO pada Tabel 1 menunjukkan bahwa impor biji gandum Indonesia tahun 2003 mencapai 3.5 juta ton, angka ini tidak berbeda dengan permintaan rata-rata tahun-tahun sebelumnya berkisar 3.5 juta ton. Sedangkan untuk tahun 2004 sampai dengan 2008 , d ata sement ara impor biji gandum Indonesia mencapai 4.5 juta ton tahun . Artinya permintaan pasar di dalam negeri setiap tahunnya terus meningkat sejalan dengan adanya kecenderungan penambahan pola makan sebagian masyarakat Indonesia . Peningkatan jumlah impor biji gandum yang mencapai 4.5 juta tontahun seperti yang diperkirakan, tidaklah bijaksana karena akan mensia-siakan potensi sumber daya alam dan mengurangi cadangan devisa. Cadangan devisa yang hilang pada tahun 2003 mencapai US 655 323 000, dan meningkat terus hingga tahun 2008 sebesar US 2 246 922 000. Adapun besarnya cadangan devisa yang harus dikeluarkan dengan adanya kegiatan impor biji gandum dan tepung terigu selama lima tahun terakhir yang meningkat setiap tahunnya sebagaimana disajikan pada Tabel 2. Tabel 2. Besarnya Devisa Indonesia yang Harus di Bayarkan karena K egiatan Impor Biji Gandum dan Tepung Terigu Tahun 2003-200 8 No Tahun Gandum 1000 Tepung Terigu1000 Jumlah1000 1 2003 579 925 75 398 655 323 2 2004 841 000 79 532 920 532 3 2005 799 003 128 045 927 048 4 2006 816 121 143 197 959 318 5 2007 1 181 313 180 550 1 361 863 5 For m a t t e d: Space Before: 18 pt For m a t t e d: Justified, I ndent: First line: 1,27 cm , Space Before: 0 pt, Line spacing: D ouble For m a t t e d T a ble For m a t t e d: I ndent: First line: 1,27 cm , Line spacing: D ouble For m a t t e d: I ndent: First line: 1,27 cm , Line spacing: D ouble For m a t t e d: I ndent: First line: 1,27 cm , Line spacing: D ouble For m a t t e d: I ndent: First line: 1,27 cm , Line spacing: D ouble For m a t t e d: I ndent: First line: 1,27 cm , Line spacing: D ouble For m a t t e d: I ndent: First line: 1,27 cm , Line spacing: D ouble 6 2008 1 975 480 271 442 2 246 922 Sumber : FAO, 201 1. Keterangan : = Unofficial Dilain pihak , impor biji gandum ini sulit untuk tidak dipertahankan karena pabrik pengolah biji gandum yang telah ada di Indonesia harus dianggap sebagai aset nasional. Daryanto 2003, menyatakan bahwa ditinjau dari kapasitas produksinya, Indonesia dapat dikatagorikan sebagai “raksasa terigu” yang pantas disegani di panggung dunia seperti terlihat pada Tabel 3. Tabel 1. Impor Biji Gandum dan Tepung Terigu Indonesia Tahun 1999- 2003 N o Tah un Volume Gandum ton Volume Tepung Terigu ton 1 1999 2 712 873 367 014 2 2000 3 576 665 459 070 3 200 1 2 718 272 255 749 4 200 2 4 250 353 343 479 5 200 3 3 503 463 343 547