Hasil Ramalan Alternatif Kebijakan Terhadap Pemerataan
157
Marut, D. K. 2009. Perlu Kebijakan Konkrit untuk Percepatan Pencapaian MDGs. INFID, Jakarta.
Nanga, M. 2006. Dampak Transfer Fiskal terhadap Kemiskinan di Indonesia: Suatu Analisis Simulasi Kebijakan. Disertasi Doktor. Sekolah
Pascasarjana, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor. Nayak, P. 2005. A Human Development Approach to The Status of Development
in North East India. Paper in 47
th
Annual International Conference of Western Social Science Association at Albuquerque, News Mexico, 13 –
16 April 2005. Pakasi, C. B. D. 2005. Dampak Desentralisasi Fiskal terhadap Perekonomian
Kabupaten dan Kota di Provinsi Sulawesi Utara. Disertasi Doktor. Sekolah Pascasarjana, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor.
Pyndyck, R. S. and D. L. Rubienfeld. 1991. Econometric Model and Econometric Forecast. McGraw-Hill International Edition, Singapore.
Qureshi, M. N. 2010. Evolution of Human Development Approach by Cutting the Heart of Economic Growth Approach - Brief Review of Literature.
European Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Sciences - Isue 23-2010 : 8 - 18.
Raiser, M. 1998. Subsidising Inequality: Economics Reforms, Fiscal Transfer and Convergence Across Chinese Provinces. Journal of Development
Studies, 343: 1-26. Ramirez, A., G. Ranis, and F. Stewart. 1997. Economic Growth and Human
Development. Center Discussion Paper, 787: 1-53. Ranis, G. and F. Steward. 2002. Economic Growth and Human Development in
Latin Amerika. Cepal Review, 78: 7-23. Ranis, G. 2004. Human Development and Economic Growth. Economic Growth
Center Yale University, Center Discussion Paper 887: 1-13. Ranis, A., A. Ramirez, and F. Stewart. 2000. Economic Growth and Human
Development. World Development, 28 2: 197. Romer. 2001. Advanced Macroeconomics. Second Edition. McGraw-Hill
International Editions, Singapore. Rostow, W. W. 1960. The Stages of Economic Growth. Cambridge University
Press, New York. Rudra, P. P. and G.S. Sanyal. 2011. Good Governance and Human Development:
Evidence from Indian States. Journal of Social and Development Science, 1 1: 1-8.
158
Sen, A. 1976. Poverty: An Ordinal Approach to Measurement: Econometrica, 44: 219-231.
Son, H. H. and N. Kakwani. 2004. Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction: Initial Conditions Matter. Working Paper No. 2. United Nations
Development Programme International Poverty Centre, Brasilia. Sitepu, R. K. 2007. Dampak Investasi Sumber Daya Manusia dan Transfer
Pendapatan terhadap Distribusi Pendapatan dan Kemiskinan di Indonesia. Disertasi Doktor. Sekolah Pascasarjana, Institut Pertanian
Bogor, Bogor.
Stiglitz, J. E. 1999. Economics of the Public Sector. Third Edition. M.W. Norton Company, London.
Suharno. 2008. Metode Pengukuran Kemiskinan Makro-Garis Kemiskinan di Indonesia. Pusat Studi Kependudukan. Universitas Gadjahmada,
Yogyakarta. Sukadana. 2007. Dampak Pembangunan Manusia dan Korupsi pada Pertumbuhan
Ekonomi: Suatu Konsep Teoritis dan Empiris. Tesis Magister. Program Pascasarjana, Universitas Indonesia, Jakarta.
Suriasumantri, J. S. 2007. Filsafat Ilmu Sebuah Pengantar Populer. Cetakan Ke XX. Pustaka Sinar Harapan, Jakarta.
Suryahadi, A., D. Suryadarma, and S. Sumarto. 2006. Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction in Indonesia: The Effects of Location and Sectoral
Components of Growth. SMERU Research Institute, Jakarta. Tim Khusus Penanggulangan Kemiskinan Republik Indonesia. 2009. Indeks
Pembangunan Manusia. TKPRI, Jakarta. Todaro, M. P. and S. C. Smith. 2006. Economic Development. Ninth Edition.
Pearson Education Limited, London. United Nations Development Program. 1990. Human Development Report 1990.
United Nations Development Program, New York. . 1995. Human Development Report 1995.
United Nations Development Program, New York. . 1996. Human Development Report 1996.
United Nations Development Program, New York. . 1997. Human Development Report 1997.
United Nations Development Program, New York. . 1998. Human Development Report 1998.
United Nations Development Program, New York.
159
. 1999. Human Development Report 1999. United Nations Development Program, New York.
. 2000. Human Development Report 2000. United Nations Development Program, New York.
. 2001. Human Development Report 2001. United Nations Development Program, New York.
. 2002. Human Development Report 2002. United Nations Development Program, New York.
. 2003. Human Development Report 2003. United Nations Development Program, New York.
. 2004. Human Development Report 2004. United Nations Development Program, New York.
. 2006. Human Development Report 2006. United Nations Development Program, New York.
. 2007. Human Development Report 2007. United Nations Development Program, New York.
. 2008. Human Development Report 2008. United Nations Development Program, New York.
. 2009. Human Development Report 2009. United Nations Development Program, New York.
United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and The Pacific. 2010. Progress Report in Asia and The Pasific. UNESCAP, New York.
Utami, D. R. 2007. Analisis Pengaruh Pengeluaran Pemerintah Daerah Kabupaten Kota di Bidang Pendidikan dan Kesehatan terhadap Indeks
Pembangunan Manusia. Tesis Magister. Program Pascasarjana Universitas Indonesia, Jakarta.
Wheeler, D. 1980. Basic Need Fulfillment and Economic Growth: A Simultaneous Model. Journal of Development Economics, 74: 435-451.
Yudhoyono, S. B. 2004. Pembangunan Pertanian dan Perdesaan Sebagai Upaya Mengatasi Kemiskinan dan Pengangguran: Analisis Ekonomi Politik
Kebijakan Fiskal. Disertasi Doktor. Sekolah Pascasarjana, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor.
160
LAMPIRAN
Lampiran 1. Program Estimasi Model Fiskal dan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia
OPTION PS=500 LS=250 NOCENTER NONUMBER;
LIBNAME IN C:\;
DATA DT;
SET IN.RAW110112; IF PROV=72 THEN DELETE;
BLJ = GPST+GPSI+GPSB+BSP+BSK+BSL; ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐;
NX1 = NX; 1.
NX = NX1+PKP‐BLJ; ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐;
MISK=TKDKPOP; KRTCAP=PKRTPOP;
BSPK=BSP+BSK; PDRBSEC=TQST+TQSI+TQSB+TQSLL;
BLJ = GPST+GPSI+GPSB+BSP+BSK+BSL; TKS=TKST+TKSI+TKKSB+TKKSL;
RTQSB=TQSBPDRBSEC; TTKKSB= TKKSBTREN;
LOGTKST=LOGTKST; RUN;
PROC SORT; BY PROV THN; RUN;
PROC TSCSREG DATA=DT FIXONE;
ID PROV THN; BLOK PENDAPATAN DAERAH;
MODEL PJKD = BLJ PP ; MODEL DAU = BLJ POP ;
BLOK TOTAL BELANJA DAERAH; MODEL BSP = PAT PNS;
MODEL BSK = PAT PNS; MODEL GPST= PAT ;
MODEL GPSI= PAT; MODEL GPSB = PAT ;
MODEL GPSLL = PAT BSPK ; BLOK PERMINTAAN AGREGAT;
MODEL PKRT = PDRBSEC POP ; MODEL PMTB = PDRBSEC KUK;
BLOK PENAWARAN AGREGAT; MODEL TQST = LOGTKST GPST;
MODEL TQSI = TKSI GPSI; MODEL TQSB = TTKKSB GPSB JLHK ;
MODEL TQSLL = TKKSL GPSLL JLHK; BLOK TENAGA KERJA;
MODEL TKST = TQST ;
MODEL TKSI = TQSI ; MODEL TKKSB= RTQSB;
MODEL TKKSL= TQSLL; BLOK IPM;
MODEL AHH = BSK KRTCAP; MODEL AMH = BSK BSP KRTCAP;
MODEL RLS = BSP KRTCAP APSD; MODEL PPP = U KRTCAP;
MODEL TKDK = PPP; RUN;