e. Analisis Manfaat-Biaya untuk Minawisata Bahari Mangrove di Teluk Un dan Vid Bangir per unit usaha per tahun
KOMPONEN TAHUN
1 2
3 4
5 MANFAAT
a. Manfaat Langsung
- Retribusi masuk areal MB Mangrove 119,000,000
119,000,000 119,000,000
119,000,000 119,000,000
b. Manfaat EksternalLingkungan - Bahan Bangunan, Kayu Bakar, -
22,189,700 22,189,701
22,189,702 22,189,703
22,189,704 Ikan, Kepiting Bakau
Total Manfaat 141,189,700
141,189,701 141,189,702
141,189,703 141,189,704
Discount Rate DR = 10 1
0.91 0.83
0.75 0.68
0.62 Present Value
128,482,627 117,187,452
105,892,277 96,008,998
87,537,616 BIAYA
a. Biaya Langsung
- Investasi 45,000,000
15,000,000 15,000,000
15,000,000 15,000,000
15,000,000 - Penyusutan
9,000,000 9,000,000
9,000,000 9,000,000
9,000,000 - Pemeliharaan
4,500,000 4,500,000
4,500,000 4,500,000
4,500,000 - Upah buruh pengawas
18,250,000 18,250,000
18,250,000 18,250,000
18,250,000 - Upah pemandu MB Mangrove
3,400,000 3,400,000
3,400,000 3,400,000
3,400,000
b. Biaya EksternalLingkungan
- Konversi luas ekosistem mangrove 25,173,000
25,173,000 25,173,000
25,173,000 25,173,000
c. Biaya Proteksi Lingkungan
- Pungutan adat pengganti sasi
850,000 850,000
850,000 850,000
850,000 - Penanaman anakan mangrove
2,380,000 2,380,000
2,380,000 2,380,000
2,380,000 Total Biaya
45,000,000 78,553,000
78,553,000 78,553,000
78,553,000 78,553,000
Discount Rate DR = 10 1
0.91 0.83
0.75 0.68
0.62 Present Value
45,000,000 71,483,230
65,198,990 58,914,750
53,416,040 48,702,860
Net Benefit -45,000,000
56,999,397 51,988,462
46,977,527 42,592,958
38,834,756 Net Present Value NPV
192,393,100 BC
5.28
Lampiran 8 Equation untuk model dinamik minawisata bahari berbasis konservasi
a. Basis Model LUASAN_MANGROVEt = LUASAN_MANGROVEt - dt +
Pertambahan_Luasan_Mangrove - Pengurangan_Luasan_Mangrove dtINIT LUASAN_MANGROVE = 153.58
INFLOWS: Pertambahan_Luasan_Mangrove =
Laju_Pertumbuhan_MangroveLUASAN_MANGROVE+Upaya_Konservasi_ Mangrove
OUTFLOWS: Pengurangan_Luasan_Mangrove =
Laju_Degradasi_MangroveLUASAN_MANGROVE+Luas_Mangrove_yang_ dikonversi
LUASAN_TERUMBU_KARANGt = LUASAN_TERUMBU_KARANGt - dt + Pertambahan_Luasan_TK - Pengurangan_Luasan_TK dtINIT
LUASAN_TERUMBU_KARANG = 62.78 INFLOWS:
Pertambahan_Luasan_TK = Laju_Pertumbuhan_TKLUASAN_TERUMBU_KARANG+Upaya_Konservasi
_TK OUTFLOWS:
Pengurangan_Luasan_TK = Laju_Degradasi_TKLUASAN_TERUMBU_KARANG+Pencemaran
NPV_KUMULATIF_MB_KARAMBAt = NPV_KUMULATIF_MB_KARAMBAt - dt + Manfaat_3 - Biaya_3 dtINIT
NPV_KUMULATIF_MB_KARAMBA = 0 INFLOWS:
Manfaat_3 = Bd_3+Be_3DR OUTFLOWS:
Biaya_3 = IFDR=1THEN1184000000ELSECd_3+Ce_3+Cp_3DR NPV_KUMULATIF_MB_KERANGt = NPV_KUMULATIF_MB_KERANGt
- dt + Manfaat_2 - Biaya_2 dtINIT NPV_KUMULATIF_MB_KERANG = 0 INFLOWS:
Manfaat_2 = Bd_2+Be_2DR OUTFLOWS:
Biaya_2 = IFDR=1THEN388000000ELSECd_2+Ce_2+Cp_2DR NPV_KUMULATIF_MB_MANGROVEt =
NPV_KUMULATIF_MB_MANGROVEt - dt + Manfaat_5 - Biaya_5 dtINIT NPV_KUMULATIF_MB_MANGROVE = 0
INFLOWS: Manfaat_5 = Bd_5+Be_5DR
OUTFLOWS: Biaya_5 = IFDR=1THEN45000000ELSECd_5+Ce_5+Cp_5DR
Lanjutan lampiran 8.a : NPV_KUMULATIF_MB_PANCINGt =
NPV_KUMULATIF_MB_PANCINGt - dt + Manfaat_1 - Biaya_1 dtINIT NPV_KUMULATIF_MB_PANCING = 0
INFLOWS: Manfaat_1 = Bd_1+Be_1DR
OUTFLOWS: Biaya_1 = IFDR=1THEN1206400000ELSECd_1+Ce_1+Cp_1DR
NPV_KUMULATIF_MB_SELAMt = NPV_KUMULATIF_MB_SELAMt - dt + Manfaat_4 - Biaya_4 dtINIT NPV_KUMULATIF_MB_SELAM = 0
INFLOWS: Manfaat_4 = Bd_4+Be_4DR
OUTFLOWS: Biaya_4 = IFDR=1THEN2190000000ELSECd_4+Ce_4+Cp_4DR
Alokasi_Dana_Untuk_Konservasi_Mangrove = 0.3Biaya_Proteksi_Lingkungan_Pemanfaatan_Mangrove
Alokasi_Dana_Untuk_Pembangunan_Desa = 0.7Biaya_Proteksi_Lingkungan_Pemanfaatan_TK+0.7Biaya_Proteksi_Lingk
ungan_Pemanfaatan_Mangrove Alokasi_Dana_Untuk__Konservasi_TK =
0.3Biaya_Proteksi_Lingkungan_Pemanfaatan_TK Bd_1 = IFDR=1THEN0ELSE2563600000
Bd_2 = IFDR=1THEN0ELSE155200000 Bd_3 = IFDR=1THEN0ELSE2893400000
Bd_4 = IFDR=1THEN0ELSE2730200000 Bd_5 = IFDR=1THEN0ELSE119000000
Be_1 = IFDR=1THEN0ELSE28817880 Be_2 = IFDR=1THEN0ELSE271600
Be_3 = IFDR=1THEN0ELSE12121200 Be_4 = IFDR=1THEN0ELSE3182800
Be_5 = IFDR=1THEN0ELSE22189700 Biaya_Proteksi_Lingkungan_Pemanfaatan_Mangrove = Cp_5
Biaya_Proteksi_Lingkungan_Pemanfaatan_TK = Cp_1+Cp_2+Cp_3+Cp_4 Cd_1 = 1134770000
Cd_2 = 87300000 Cd_3 = 1468900000
Cd_4 = 1547600000 Cd_5 = 50150000
Ce_1 = 149857500 Ce_2 = 1416200
Ce_3 = 63029500 Ce_4 = 16585600
Ce_5 = 25173000 Cp_1 = 47879000DR
Cp_2 = 7178000DR Cp_3 = 33633000DR
Cp_4 = 53290000DR
Lanjutan lampiran 8.a : Cp_5 = 3230000DR
Fraksi_Fee_Konservasi_Mangrove = 0.00001 Fraksi_Fee_Konservasi_TK = 0.003
Fraksi_Kesadaran_Lingkungan = 0.7 Fraksi_Pencemaran = 0.0000595
Laju_Degradasi_Mangrove = 0.00851 Laju_Degradasi_TK = 0.052
Laju_Pertumbuhan_Mangrove = 0.073 Laju_Pertumbuhan_TK = 0.073
Luas_Mangrove_yang_dikonversi = 8.7 NPV_TAHUNAN_MB_KARAMBA = Manfaat_3-Biaya_3
NPV_TAHUNAN_MB_KERANG = Manfaat_2-Biaya_2 NPV_TAHUNAN_MB_MANGROVE = Manfaat_5-Biaya_5
NPV_TAHUNAN_MB_PANCING = Manfaat_1-Biaya_1 NPV_TAHUNAN_MB_SELAM = Manfaat_4-Biaya_4
NPV_TAHUNAN_TOTAL = NPV_TAHUNAN_MB_PANCING+NPV_TAHUNAN_MB_KERANG+NPV_T
AHUNAN_MB_KARAMBA+NPV_TAHUNAN_MB_SELAM+NPV_TAHUN AN_MB_MANGROVE
Pencemaran = Fraksi_Kesadaran_LingkunganPendudukFraksi_Pencemaran Penduduk = 2412
Upaya_Konservasi_Mangrove = Alokasi_Dana_Untuk_Konservasi_Mangrove1500Fraksi_Fee_Konservasi_Ma
ngrove Upaya_Konservasi_TK =
Alokasi_Dana_Untuk__Konservasi_TK50000000Fraksi_Fee_Konservasi_TK WAKTU = TIME
DR = GRAPHWAKTU 0.00, 1.00, 1.00, 0.91, 2.00, 0.83, 3.00, 0.75, 4.00, 0.68, 5.00, 0.62
b. Skenario Pesimistik LUASAN_MANGROVEt = LUASAN_MANGROVEt - dt +
