RESULT AND DISCUSSION 1 Characteristics of land and

Bogor, 21-22 October 2015 333 Timber Pusat Litbang Hutan, 1993”. The stand table from different site class can be seen in Appendices 2 and 3. Paired t-test was conducted to observe whether the concept of land suitability classes correlate with site class in the stand table. In addition paired t-test was done to obtain whether the diameter and total height from not-suitable and marginally suitable lands are significantly different. 3. RESULT AND DISCUSSION 3.1 Characteristics of land and Swietenia sp at BKPH Gundih In BKPH Gundih, soil texture based on the laboratory analysis varies from clay to loam and silty loam, even sandy loam with soil pH 7.4 to 8. Solum depth is generally shallow, from 32 soil profiles only 2 which have 90 to 100 cm depth. The majority of soils have solum around 20 to 30 cm depth as presented in Figure 2 a. The dominant slope ranges from 20 to 25, however some of the locations have slope until 36. Although at a landscape level the slopes are steep, however terracering are applied to reduce the steepness of the micro slopes. Soil organic matter is moderate, and the structure mainly granuler. Soil erosion is relatively low due to the existence of terraces and litter fall covers the soil. The drainage is moderate, however in some of the flat areas the drainage are slightly slow. The age of the Swietenia sp. ranges from 13 years to 43 years . The average plant density of the young stand is 1666 tressha, and while the density of the old stand 33 to 43 year is 483 - 683 treesha. The mean diameter and height at the youngest tand 13 years are 12.6 cm and 8.7 m. The widest diameter found in the 38 years stand 31.3 cm and the highest reaches at the 43 years stand 17.5 m. The lowest bole height is found -in the 15 years stand, that is 4.3 m and the highest is 11 m measured at 43 year stand.

3.2 Characteristics of land and Swietenia sp at BKPH Candiroto

Soil solum in BKPH Candiroto is mostly deep, it is more than 120 cm depth. The soil textures vary, which are loam, silty loam, clay loam, and loamy clay with soil structure generally granuler. The soil is slightly acid with pH ranges from 4.5 to 5.6. At a landscape level the slopes are steep, however at the micro level the slopes decrease due to the presence of bench terraces. These terraces are mostly not proper because the risers are not supported by risers protectors, such as stones or grasses. The age of Swietenia sp. at BKPH Candiroto vary from young stand of approximately 3 years to old stand that is 61 years. In average, the plant density are 2867 treesha for the young stand and 200 treesha for the old ones. The diameter, bole height and total plant height of the 3 years stand are 2.9 cm; 2.2 m; and 3.2 m, respectively. While, for the 61 years stand the diameter, bole height and total plant height are 55.5 cm; 10,1 m; and 19,5 m, respectively. Figure 2: Shallow soil profil of BKPH Gundih a and deep soil at BKPH Candiroto a b Bogor, 21-22 October 2015 334

3.3 Land suitability classes of Swietenia sp.

Analysis of land suitability classes shows that the main limitation of the biophysical factors in the study areas is soil depth, the others are macro slopes, and the number of dry month. Based on the applied criteria Wahyuningrum et al., 2003, it is found that 46 sample plots are classified as not suitable for Swietenia sp. and the rest 37.5 are categorized as marginally suitable for Swietenia sp. These not suitable plots are mainly 64 located in BKPH Gundih, the rest 36 are found in BKPH Candiroto. The main restriction for growing Swietenia sp. in BKPH Gundih is the soil depth, while in BKPH Candiroto is slope. In BKPH Gundih only 4 sample plots out of 33 plots are classified as marginally suitable, while in BKPH Candiroto 25 plots out of 41 plots are marginally suitable. Table 4 shows stand characteristics in not suitable and marginally suitable land. Table 4. The average stand characteristics of Swietenia sp. in not suitable and marginally suitable land Suitability Age [year] Diameter [cm] Height [m] Number of [treeha] Not suitable 9 8,2 7,3 1475 11 14,5 10,6 1238 13 12,1 8,4 1667 14 14,7 12,1 1092 15 12,9 8,6 1042 16 18,8 12,8 433 18 21,5 13,9 804 20 20,5 12,8 958 23 23,0 11,1 742 30 29,4 17,0 425 33 23,3 15,7 683 38 31,3 16,7 492 43 37,2 18,2 342 52 70,8 20,3 125 61 55,5 19,5 200 Marginally suitable 3 2,9 3,2 2867 7 11,4 11,9 2017 9 9,7 8,6 1300 11 13,3 11,2 1775 13 11,5 10,0 1000 14 17,8 13,3 925 15 20,6 12,6 642 16 15,5 10,7 300 18 21,1 11,4 850 25 24,9 15,8 550 30 30,9 16,0 500 43 46,4 20,8 238 Bogor, 21-22 October 2015 335 The diameter and total height for the observed trees are graphed and compared with those from stand table of the Bonita I and II as provided in Figure 3 and 4. For further analyses, the tree height is refered to the total tree height. Based on Figure 3 a, it can be seen that although the land is classied as not suitable for Swietenia sp., however the diameter growth similar to the diameter growth of Bonita II, even for some plots are higher. Differ with respect to diameter, the height growth of Swietenia sp. from the not suitable land is lower than those of Bonita I after 20 years old as presented in Figure 3 b. When the plant densities are compared, the tree densities from the not-suitable lands Table 4 are higher than the density in Bonita I and II Appendix 1 and 2. Therefore the higher increment of diameter from not suitable lands is not caused by its wider space. Figure 3: The growth comparison of diameter a and total height b of Swietenia sp. at not suitable land and those at Bonita I and II land. The growth of Swietenia sp. in the marginally suitable land has similar pattern with the not suitable land as illustrated in Figure 4. The diameter from marginally suitable land has similar trend with Bonita II. Meanwhile, the height growth in marginally suitable land is in line with that of Bonita I until the age around 28 years Figure 4 b. The same explaination with the growth in not suitable land, the tree densities in the marginally suitable lands are higher than those of Bonita I and II. In this study the stand volume per hectare cannot be compared, because the densities are different. The results of paired t-test using 95 confidence interval show that the diameter in the not suitable land and the Bonita I is not significantly different Table 5. However for the marginally suitable land the diameter are significantly different bot for Bonita I and II. The results of paired t-test using 95 confidence interval show that there are significance differences in the growth of diameter and height in the not suitable and marginally suitable lands. The diameter growth is significance with p = 0.027 and t is =2.789, while for the height the difference is at p = 0.032 and t = -2.266. These differences are also illustrated in graphs as presented in Figure 5. This case shows that, the range of growth requirements of Swietenia sp. Wahyuningrum et.al, 2003, particularly for marginally suitable and not suitable are appropriate. Unfortunally, during data collection, it was difficult to find the site which are suitable for Swietenia sp. So that, it cannot be concluded about the suitable range requirement. a b Bogor, 21-22 October 2015 336 Figure 4: The growth comparison between diameter a and total height b of Swietenia sp. at the marginally suitable land and those from land with Bonita I and II. Table 5: Paired t-test at 95 confidence interval of the mean diameter and height Variable Pair data of bonita and land suitability class t-statistic Significant 2- tailed Diameter Bonita I – Not suitable 1,53 0.15 Bonita II – Not suitable -2.27 0.04 Bonita I – Marginally suitable -2.96 0.01 Bonita II – Marginally suitable -4.49 0.00 Not suitable - Marginally suitable 2.79 0.03 Height Bonita I – Not suitable -3.55 0.00 Bonita II – Not suitable -10.89 0.00 Bonita I – Marginally suitable -3.94 0.00 Bonita II – Marginally suitable -3.33 0.00 Not suitable - Marginally suitable -2.27 0.03 Figure 5: Diameter a and total height b growth of Swietenia sp. in non and marginally suitable lands

4. CONCLUSION

The diameter growth of Swietenia sp. in the not suitable and marginally suitable lands are similar to those of Bonita II, however the total height growth from those classified lands are similar to those of Bonita I until the stands are around 20 years. The growth requirements of marginally suitable and not suitable are accurate. F or a thorough study, the number of sample plots especially sample in suitable sites, should be added. The application of the research findings presented in this paper is when rehabilitation or afforestation will be conducted in areas which have similar characteristics with the current study areas, the expected diameter 20 40 60 80 100 20 40 60 80 D ia m e te r c m Age year Non suitable Marginal suitable 5 10 15 20 25 20 40 60 80 T o ta l h ei g h t m Age year Non suitable Marginal suitable b a b a Bogor, 21-22 October 2015 337 and height can be predicted based on the graphs presented in Figure 3 and 4. Afterwards, the volume per area can be estimated when the tree density is known. Improvement of the areas with steep slopes at macro or landscape levels can be handled by applying terraces. However, the type of terrace must consider its soil depth. Bench terrace is a proper choice when the soil is deep, however when the soil is shallow then contour terrace can be applied. REFERENCES Booth, T.H., Jovanovic, T., New, M. 2002. A new world climatic mapping program to assist species selection. Forest Ecology and Management, 163, 111 –117. CSRFAO. 1983. Reconnaice land resources surveys 1:250000. Scale, Atlas Format Procedures p.106. Ministry of Agriculture and FAOUNDP. Bogor. Grant, J.C., Moffatt, T., Shety, M., Grieve, B., Convery, K. 2012. Site suitability and land availability for Endospermum medullosum plantation on Espiritu Santo, Vanuatu. The International Forestry Review, 424 –432. Harbagung. 2010. 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Pedoman teknis klasifikasi kemampuan penggunaan lahan dan kesesuaian lahan. Info DAS, 15, 1-13. Wahyuningrum, N. 2008. Evaluasi lahan: Kesesuaian dan kemampuan lahan. Prosiding Gelar Teknologi, 34-40. Bogor, 21-22 October 2015 338 TOPIC IV: FOREST AND CLIMATE CHANGE Bogor, 21-22 October 2015 339 PAPER D1 - Risk Alleviation Strategy of REDD+ Implementation in Musi Banyuasin, South-Sumatra Indonesia Deden Djaenudin Center of Social Economic Policy and Climate Change Research and Development, Jalan Gunung Batu No. 5 16610 Bogor Indonesia. Corresponding Email: dendja07yahoo.com.au ABSTRACT Indonesia is still in the REDD+ readiness phase with several obstacles due to uncertainties that lead to failure risks. This study aims to provide some alternative strategies to alleviate the risk level. Location of the study was at Musi Banyuasin-South Sumatra. Through an interview with key persons and an assessment on project performance by using Voluntary Carbon Standards VCS, this study scrutinized source of uncertainties, risks and its impact as well on project performance. Based on the possibility of their occurrence, there are some uncertainties experienced at site descendingly are a encroachment activities; b expansion of residential areas; c number of loggers; d the tillers of land tenure issues; and e forest fires. Based on VCS standard, the risks affecting the project was in medium level, however the project became infeasible. Some s trategies to alleviate the risk: providing buffer area, changing the status of the project area as a protected area; reducing land conflicts; applying a disincentive for developers who failed; applying an appropriate adaptive payment scheme; optimizing the management and utilization of existing co-benefits; and providing of an effective and efficient finance distribution mechanism. Keywords: REDD+, uncertainty, risk, failure, strategies, Musi Banyuasin

1. INTRODUCTION