IMPLIKASI KEBIJAKAN The Policy of Economic Development of Sustainable Capture Fisheries in DKI Jakarta Province
LAMPIRAN
Lampiran 1. Input Data untuk Metode Estimasi Algoritma Fox untuk ikan pelagis
Tahun Produksi ton
Effort SDT CPUE SDT
1997 12.574,827
105617,267 0,119060
1998 10.837,265
179498,674 0,060375
1999 15.013,985
142658,687 0,105244
2000 11.236,229
63414,453 0,177187
2001 5.759,775
64897,647 0,088752
2002 6.186,795
59702,095 0,103628
2003 8.431,456
81319,774 0,103683
2004 9.935,039
80775,013 0,122996
2005 10.640,162
80585,527 0,132036
2006 12.562,273
80280,770 0,156479
2007 8.911,080
80989,970 0,110027
2008 7.127,065
197323,448 0,036119
2009 7.273,198
196799,554 0,036957
2010 4.678,118
224245,587 0,020862
2011 3.515,979
201365,797 0,017461
8978,883067 122631,617728
0,092724 Sumber : Hasil Analisis Data, 2013
Lampiran 2. Hasil OLS untuk Metode Estimasi Algoritma Fox
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics Multiple R
0,870564204 R Square
0,757882034 Adjusted R Square
0,739257575 Standard Error
0,024886647 Observations
15 ANOVA
df SS
MS Regression
1 0,025202911
0,025202911 Residual
13 0,008051487
0,000619345 Total
14 0,033254399
Coefficients Standard Error
t Stat Upper 95
Lower 95,0 Upper 95,0
Intercept 0,178861512
0,014953986 11,96079157
0,211167635 0,146555389
0,211167635 X Variable 1
-0,000000702 1,10111E-07
-6,379093587 -4,64526E-07
-9,40285E-07 -4,64526E-07
Lampiran 3. Perhitungan Solusi Bioekonomi Algoritma Fox dengan MS.Excell
Solusi Bioekonomi dengan Algoritma Fox Parameter Statik
i= δ=ln1+r
φ1=CostPriceqK φ2=δr
ß= φ1+1-φ2
Sole Owner MEY
Open AccessOAY
MSY x ton
8.556,36 1.149,67
7.981,53 r =
-2,8531824479 h ton
11.327,32 3.043,96
11.386,38 q =
0,0000112047 E trip
118.151 236.302
127.321 K =
15.963,06 Ton
π juta Rp 70.385,56
0,0000000 69.961,61
Effort Opt Emsy = r2q 127.320,67
Trip
Biomass MSY xopt = K2
7.981,53 Ton
hMSY h opt = rK4 11.386,38
Ton
Rata2 Produksi Aktual =
3.515,88
Ton 3.516
Rata2 Effort Aktual = 201.360,07
Trip 363.000
Overfishing = 226,81
Price = 7,178288
juta Rpton
Cost = 0,092468
juta Rptrip
231
Lampiran 4. Data Input untuk Metode Estimasi CYP
Tahun LnCPUEt+1
LnCPUEt Et+Et+1
1997 -2,807177163
-2,128124917 285115,9415
1998 -2,251472875
-2,807177163 322157,3613
1999 -1,730548515
-2,251472875 206073,1405
2000 -2,42191295
-1,730548515 128312,0999
2001 -2,266949935
-2,42191295 124599,7419
2002 -2,266419742
-2,266949935 141021,8698
2003 -2,095599872
-2,266419742 162094,7876
2004 -2,024683363
-2,095599872 161360,5405
2005 -1,854831995
-2,024683363 160866,297
2006 -2,207029879
-1,854831995 161270,7401
2007 -3,320944744
-2,207029879 278313,4189
2008 -3,297989635
-3,320944744 394123,0027
2009 -3,869845929
-3,297989635 421045,1412
2010 -4,047805134
-3,869845929 425611,3843
2011
Y X1
X2
Lampiran 5. Hasil OLS dengan Metode Estimasi CYP untuk Sumberdaya Ikan Pelagis
SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0,843800672
R Square 0,711999574
Adjusted R Square 0,65963586
Standard Error 0,433714375
Observations 14
ANOVA df
SS MS
F Significance
F Regression
2 5,115486235 2,557743118
13,59719395 0,001063316 Residual
11 2,069189747 0,188108159
Total 13 7,184675982
Coefficients Standard
Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95
Upper 95 Lower 95,0
Upper 95,0 Intercept
- 1,064035475 0,578874099
-1,838112083 0,093179657
- 2,338128775
0,210057825 -2,338128775
0,210057825 X Variable 1
0,148732924 0,387791816 0,383538069
0,708630093 -
0,704791107 1,002256955
-0,704791107 1,002256955
X Variable 2 -0,00000487
2,1639E-06 -2,251596215
0,045761649 -9,63492E-
06 -1,09517E-07
-9,63492E-06 -1,09517E-07
233
Lampiran 6. Perhitungan Solusi Bioekonomi CYP dengan MS.Excell
Parameter Statik i=
δ=ln1+r φ1=CostPriceqK
φ2=δr
a = -1,0640355
ß= φ1+1-φ2
b = 0,1487329
Sole Owner MEY Open
AccessOAY MSY
c = -0,0000049
x ton 8.823,85
759,284 8.444,21
r = 21-b1+b 1,48209746169
h ton 6.244,92
1.074,740 6.257,57
q = -c2+r 0,00001696554
E trip 41.716
83.431,700 43.680
K = EXPa2+r2rq 16.888,41
Ton
π juta Rp 40.970,44
- 40.879,65
Effort Opt Emsy = r2q 43.679,64
Trip
Biomass MSY xopt = K2 8.444,21
Ton
hMSY h opt = rK4 6.257,57
Ton
Rata2 Produksi Aktual = 3.515,88
Ton 3.516
Rata2 Effort Aktual = 201.360,07
Trip 363.000
Overfishing = -77,98
Price = 7,17829 juta Rpton
Cost = 0,09247 juta Rptrip